Issued 2026-09-16 at $13.80 · now $13.80 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CMPS has typically landed between $9.75 and $19.38 — a range of −29.4% to +40.4% from the issuance price $13.80.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,484 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-09-18 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($13.80) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CMPS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $13.8 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $13.8 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $13.52 (-2.0%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $11.25–$15.8
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $9.75–$19.38
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2022-04-11 | −46.0% | −46.0% | +4.9% |
| 2025-05-21 | −45.9% | −45.9% | +10.6% |
| 2022-04-07 | −43.5% | −43.5% | +1.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2025-06-23 | +96.6% | +0.0% | +96.6% |
| 2026-04-14 | +90.6% | +0.0% | +90.6% |
| 2023-12-06 | +79.2% | +0.0% | +79.2% |
1,484 overlapping windows · 2020-09-18 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
38 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Nath Kabir | director | Withheld for tax | 5,962 | 361,028 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | JONAS JEFFREY M | director | Award / grant | 21,110 | 21,110 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | SANTINI GINO | director | Award / grant | 30,158 | 30,158 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | Riley Wayne Joseph | director | Award / grant | 21,110 | 21,110 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | Norton David Y | director | Award / grant | 21,110 | 21,110 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | Gover Justin D. | director | Award / grant | 21,110 | 21,110 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | Karydas Daphne | director | Award / grant | 21,110 | 21,110 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | Tregoning Kathleen | director | Award / grant | 41,119 | 41,119 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-27 | McQuade Robert | director | Award / grant | 21,110 | 21,110 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Nath Kabir | director | Award / grant | 367,815 | 367,815 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Goodwin Guy | officer | Award / grant | 115,600 | 115,600 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Loxam Teri | director | Award / grant | 75,000 | 152,002 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Loxam Teri | director | Award / grant | 157,635 | 157,635 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Nath Kabir | director | Award / grant | 175,000 | 366,990 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-26 | Goodwin Guy | officer | Award / grant | 55,000 | 55,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Nath Kabir | director | Withheld for tax | 13,131 | 191,990 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-11 | Loxam Teri | director | Withheld for tax | 1,781 | 77,002 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Loxam Teri | director | Withheld for tax | 4,467 | 78,783 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | Nath Kabir | director | Withheld for tax | 16,181 | 205,121 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-29 | JONAS JEFFREY M | director | Award / grant | 52,000 | 52,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-01 | Nath Kabir | director | Withheld for tax | 6,366 | 221,302 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-29 | Gover Justin D. | director | Award / grant | 52,000 | 52,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-12 | Lonngren Thomas | director | Award / grant | 26,000 | 26,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-12 | McGoldrick Linda | director | Award / grant | 26,000 | 26,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-12 | Riley Wayne Joseph | director | Award / grant | 26,000 | 26,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-12 | SANTINI GINO | director | Award / grant | 39,000 | 39,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-12 | McQuade Robert | director | Award / grant | 26,000 | 26,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-12 | Norton David Y | director | Award / grant | 26,000 | 26,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-12 | Jenkins Annalisa | director | Award / grant | 26,000 | 26,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-12 | Karydas Daphne | director | Award / grant | 26,000 | 26,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-11 | Nath Kabir | director | Award / grant | 92,000 | 227,668 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-11 | Nath Kabir | director | Award / grant | 275,000 | 275,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-11 | Goodwin Guy | officer | Award / grant | 32,000 | 32,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-11 | Goodwin Guy | officer | Award / grant | 63,000 | 63,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-11 | Loxam Teri | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 83,250 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-11 | Loxam Teri | director | Award / grant | 76,000 | 76,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-03 | Loxam Teri | director | Withheld for tax | 4,468 | 58,250 | Form 4 |
| 2025-02-03 | Nath Kabir | director | Withheld for tax | 15,516 | 135,668 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.