Issued 2026-09-16 at $81.50 · now $81.50 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CMPR has typically landed between $65.21 and $100.80 — a range of −20.0% to +23.7% from the issuance price $81.50.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($81.50) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CMPR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $81.5 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $81.5 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $81.82 (+0.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $74.48–$89.16
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $65.21–$100.8
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-21 | −62.4% | −62.4% | +0.0% |
| 2020-03-04 | −62.3% | −62.3% | +0.0% |
| 2020-03-05 | −61.6% | −61.6% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2022-07-14 | +70.3% | +0.0% | +70.3% |
| 2022-07-15 | +69.2% | +0.0% | +69.2% |
| 2020-04-20 | +66.5% | +0.0% | +71.1% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Keane Robert S | director | Sale | 10,712 @ $84.61 | $906K | −1.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 769,288 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | Keane Robert S | director | Sale | 7,901 @ $84.62 | $669K | −7.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 95,266 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | Keane Robert S | director | Sale | 5,109 @ $85.41 | $436K | −0.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 764,179 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | Keane Robert S | director | Sale | 3,793 @ $85.41 | $324K | −4.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 91,473 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | Keane Robert S | director | Sale | 306 @ $86.09 | $26K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 91,167 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | Keane Robert S | director | Sale | 179 @ $86.04 | $15K | −0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 764,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Keane Robert S | director | Sale | 4,237 @ $96.50 | $409K | −5.3% of holding | −10.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 76,182 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Keane Robert S | director | Sale | 2,258 @ $95.33 | $215K | −2.7% of holding | −10.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 80,419 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | Keane Robert S | director | Sale | 5 @ $97.06 | $485 | −0.0% of holding | −10.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 76,177 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-28 | Quinn Sean Edward | director | Sale | 5,009 @ $104.22 | $522K | −14.8% of holding | +0.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 28,937 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-27 | Quinn Sean Edward | director | Sale | 20,534 @ $104.57 | $2.1M | −39.8% of holding | −9.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 31,083 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-27 | Quinn Sean Edward | director | Sale | 2,146 @ $105.11 | $226K | −6.9% of holding | −9.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 28,937 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-27 | Quinn Sean Edward | director | Sale | 300 @ $103.55 | $31K | −0.6% of holding | −9.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 51,617 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-05 | Wensveen Maarten | officer | Sale | 9,797 @ $93.49 | $916K | −31.6% of holding | +1.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 21,229 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-05 | Wensveen Maarten | officer | Sale | 4,636 @ $92.39 | $428K | −13.0% of holding | +1.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 31,026 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-05 | Wensveen Maarten | officer | Sale | 2,884 @ $91.73 | $265K | −7.5% of holding | +1.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 35,662 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-05 | Wensveen Maarten | officer | Sale | 1,555 @ $94.13 | $146K | −7.3% of holding | +1.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 19,674 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-05 | Wensveen Maarten | officer | Sale | 379 @ $90.73 | $34K | −1.0% of holding | +1.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 38,546 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-06 | Quinn Sean Edward | director | Purchase | 3,000 @ $63.00 | $189K | +9.2% of holding | +12.5% | +30.8% | 35,484 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-06 | Quinn Sean Edward | director | Purchase | 500 @ $62.50 | $31K | +1.4% of holding | +12.5% | +30.8% | 35,984 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-06 | Quinn Sean Edward | director | Purchase | 479 @ $61.85 | $30K | +1.3% of holding | +12.5% | +30.8% | 36,463 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-06 | Quinn Sean Edward | director | Purchase | 21 @ $61.83 | $1K | +0.1% of holding | +12.5% | +30.8% | 36,484 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-03 | Wensveen Maarten | officer | Sale | 21,010 @ $68.24 | $1.4M | −48.4% of holding | +8.1% | +23.4% | 22,407 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-03 | Wensveen Maarten | officer | Sale | 1,294 @ $69.30 | $90K | −5.8% of holding | +8.1% | +23.4% | 21,113 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-03 | Wensveen Maarten | officer | Sale | 526 @ $70.74 | $37K | −2.5% of holding | +8.1% | +23.4% | 20,587 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-14 | Quinn Sean Edward | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $41.50 | $208K | +32.8% of holding | +7.8% | +19.4% | 20,224 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
274 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Keane Robert S | director | Withheld for tax | 17,624 | 103,167 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Quinn Sean Edward | director | Withheld for tax | 11,277 | 40,979 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Wensveen Maarten | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,968 | 32,827 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Baumgartner Florian | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,716 | 82,332 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Quinn Sean Edward | director | Option exercise | 4,570 | 18,283 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Quinn Sean Edward | director | Option exercise | 14,799 | 44,395 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Wensveen Maarten | officer | Option exercise | 1,860 | 25,112 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Wensveen Maarten | officer | Option exercise | 3,697 | 28,809 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Wensveen Maarten | officer | Option exercise | 1,303 | 30,112 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Wensveen Maarten | officer | Option exercise | 11,683 | 41,795 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Wensveen Maarten | officer | Option exercise | 1,860 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Wensveen Maarten | officer | Option exercise | 3,697 | 14,787 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Wensveen Maarten | officer | Option exercise | 1,303 | 10,424 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Wensveen Maarten | officer | Option exercise | 11,683 | 35,048 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Baumgartner Florian | officer | Option exercise | 1,691 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Baumgartner Florian | officer | Option exercise | 3,550 | 14,200 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Baumgartner Florian | officer | Option exercise | 1,303 | 10,424 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Baumgartner Florian | officer | Option exercise | 11,810 | 35,429 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Keane Robert S | director | Option exercise | 9,579 | 85,756 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Keane Robert S | director | Option exercise | 146 | 85,902 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Keane Robert S | director | Option exercise | 3,387 | 89,289 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Keane Robert S | director | Option exercise | 347 | 89,636 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Keane Robert S | director | Option exercise | 30,376 | 120,012 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Keane Robert S | director | Option exercise | 779 | 120,791 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Keane Robert S | director | Option exercise | 9,579 | 38,313 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Keane Robert S | director | Option exercise | 146 | 581 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Keane Robert S | director | Option exercise | 3,387 | 27,102 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Keane Robert S | director | Option exercise | 347 | 695 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Keane Robert S | director | Option exercise | 30,376 | 91,127 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Keane Robert S | director | Option exercise | 779 | 2,336 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Quinn Sean Edward | director | Option exercise | 2,299 | 31,236 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Quinn Sean Edward | director | Option exercise | 4,570 | 35,806 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Quinn Sean Edward | director | Option exercise | 1,651 | 37,457 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Quinn Sean Edward | director | Option exercise | 14,799 | 52,256 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Quinn Sean Edward | director | Option exercise | 2,299 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Quinn Sean Edward | director | Option exercise | 1,651 | 13,203 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Baumgartner Florian | officer | Option exercise | 1,691 | 74,385 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Baumgartner Florian | officer | Option exercise | 3,550 | 77,935 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Baumgartner Florian | officer | Option exercise | 1,303 | 79,238 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Baumgartner Florian | officer | Option exercise | 11,810 | 91,048 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.