CMICummins Inc.Industrials · Industrial - Machineryas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $527.50 · now $527.50 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CMI has typically landed between $471.62 and $600.01 — a range of −10.6% to +13.7% from the issuance price $527.50.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-022026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($527.50) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CMI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $527.5 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$471.62worst · -10.6%$600.01best · +13.7%
  • now $527.5 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $537.6 (+1.9%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $506.7$568.5
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $471.62$600.01
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-16−47.6%−47.6%+2.3%
2008-09-23−47.2%−47.8%+0.0%
2008-09-24−45.8%−45.8%+0.0%
3 best
2009-03-05+52.4%−0.7%+52.4%
2009-03-06+51.9%+0.0%+53.5%
2008-04-15+51.2%+0.0%+51.2%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-022026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$91.7B
market cap
$19.25
EPS (TTM)
34.5
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-04
next earnings
Revenue$33.7B
'20'25
Net income$2.8B
'20'25
Free cash flow$2.4B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr8.4%
'20'25
ROE · by yr23.0%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.66
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 74 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $527.50$251.50$949.11
  • DCF (intrinsic)$299.62
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 30.7× · n=74$590.07
  • Analyst target · range $540.00$901.00$760.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$527.50

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
61%
+1.9%
n=18
Feb
68%
+3.6%
n=19
Mar
53%
+1.2%
n=19
Apr
47%
+6.1%
n=19
May
47%
−0.7%
n=19
Jun
42%
+0.6%
n=19
Jul
68%
+5.1%
n=19
Aug
53%
−0.9%
n=19
Sep
47%
−1.5%
n=19
Oct
56%
+0.8%
n=18
Nov
72%
+4.2%
n=18
Dec
50%
+0.2%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$728$3882026-08-24: 1 insider sale, $399K — Newsome Earl2026-05-14: 3 insider sales, $519K — JACKSON DONALD G …2026-05-12: 6 insider sales, $3.5M — Bush Jennifer Mary …2026-05-11: 4 insider sales, $1.8M — Merritt Brett Michael, Fetch Bonnie J, Stoner Nathan R …2026-05-08: 8 insider sales, $4.0M — Lamb-Hale Nicole, Boakye Marvin …2026-03-03: 6 insider sales, $2.3M — Davis Amy Rochelle …2026-02-24: 1 insider sale, $960K — JACKSON DONALD G2026-02-23: 6 insider sales, $1.9M — Newsome Earl, Davis Amy Rochelle …2026-02-11: 9 insider sales, $10.8M — MILLER WILLIAM I …2026-02-10: 3 insider sales, $2.5M — Bush Jennifer Mary …2025-11-25: 1 insider sale, $710K — Merritt Brett Michael2025-11-11: 2 insider sales, $2.2M — RUMSEY JENNIFER …2025-11-06: 6 insider sales, $6.2M — Smith Mark Andrew …2025-10-30: 1 insider sale, $90K — Smith Mark Andrew2025-10-06: 1 insider sale, $3.5M — Smith Mark Andrew2025-09-17: 1 insider sale, $662K — Smith Mark Andrew2025-09-16: 1 insider sale, $1.1M — Smith Mark Andrew2025-09-15: 1 insider sale, $2.0M — Smith Mark Andrew2025-08-22: 1 insider sale, $748K — Enright Robert2025-08-19: 2 insider sales, $530K — Quintos Karen H …2025-08-14: 6 insider sales, $2.0M — Davis Amy Rochelle …2025-08-13: 2 insider sales, $4.0M — Smith Mark Andrew, JACKSON DONALD G2025-08-12: 1 insider sale, $2.4M — Smith Mark Andrew2025-08: 15 open-market sales, $11.7M2025-09: 3 open-market sales, $3.8M2025-10: 2 open-market sales, $3.6M2025-11: 9 open-market sales, $9.0M2026-02: 19 open-market sales, $16.1M2026-03: 6 open-market sales, $2.3M2026-05: 21 open-market sales, $9.8M2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $399K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Newsome Earl — Sale on 2026-08-24, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer JACKSON DONALD G — Sale on 2026-05-14, filed same dayofficer JACKSON DONALD G — Sale on 2026-05-14, filed same dayofficer JACKSON DONALD G — Sale on 2026-05-14, filed same daydirector Bush Jennifer Mary — Sale on 2026-05-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Bush Jennifer Mary — Sale on 2026-05-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Bush Jennifer Mary — Sale on 2026-05-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Bush Jennifer Mary — Sale on 2026-05-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Bush Jennifer Mary — Sale on 2026-05-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Bush Jennifer Mary — Sale on 2026-05-12, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Merritt Brett Michael — Sale on 2026-05-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Fetch Bonnie J — Sale on 2026-05-11, filed same daydirector Fetch Bonnie J — Sale on 2026-05-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Stoner Nathan R — Sale on 2026-05-11, filed same daydirector Lamb-Hale Nicole — Sale on 2026-05-08, filed same dayofficer Boakye Marvin — Sale on 2026-05-08, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Boakye Marvin — Sale on 2026-05-08, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Lamb-Hale Nicole — Sale on 2026-05-08, filed same dayofficer Boakye Marvin — Sale on 2026-05-08, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Boakye Marvin — Sale on 2026-05-08, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Lamb-Hale Nicole — Sale on 2026-05-08, filed same dayofficer Boakye Marvin — Sale on 2026-05-08, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Davis Amy Rochelle — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Davis Amy Rochelle — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Davis Amy Rochelle — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Davis Amy Rochelle — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Davis Amy Rochelle — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Davis Amy Rochelle — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer JACKSON DONALD G — Sale on 2026-02-24, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Newsome Earl — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed same daydirector Davis Amy Rochelle — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Davis Amy Rochelle — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Newsome Earl — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed same daydirector Davis Amy Rochelle — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Davis Amy Rochelle — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 1 day after the tradedirector MILLER WILLIAM I — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector MILLER WILLIAM I — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector MILLER WILLIAM I — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector MILLER WILLIAM I — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector MILLER WILLIAM I — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector MILLER WILLIAM I — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector MILLER WILLIAM I — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector MILLER WILLIAM I — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector MILLER WILLIAM I — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Bush Jennifer Mary — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 13 days after the tradedirector Bush Jennifer Mary — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 13 days after the tradedirector Bush Jennifer Mary — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 13 days after the tradeofficer Merritt Brett Michael — Sale on 2025-11-25, filed same daydirector RUMSEY JENNIFER — Sale on 2025-11-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector RUMSEY JENNIFER — Sale on 2025-11-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Smith Mark Andrew — Sale on 2025-11-06, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Smith Mark Andrew — Sale on 2025-11-06, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Smith Mark Andrew — Sale on 2025-11-06, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Smith Mark Andrew — Sale on 2025-11-06, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Smith Mark Andrew — Sale on 2025-11-06, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Smith Mark Andrew — Sale on 2025-11-06, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Smith Mark Andrew — Sale on 2025-10-30, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Smith Mark Andrew — Sale on 2025-10-06, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Smith Mark Andrew — Sale on 2025-09-17, filed same dayofficer Smith Mark Andrew — Sale on 2025-09-16, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Smith Mark Andrew — Sale on 2025-09-15, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Enright Robert — Sale on 2025-08-22, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Quintos Karen H — Sale on 2025-08-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Quintos Karen H — Sale on 2025-08-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Davis Amy Rochelle — Sale on 2025-08-14, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Davis Amy Rochelle — Sale on 2025-08-14, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Davis Amy Rochelle — Sale on 2025-08-14, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Davis Amy Rochelle — Sale on 2025-08-14, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Davis Amy Rochelle — Sale on 2025-08-14, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Davis Amy Rochelle — Sale on 2025-08-14, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Smith Mark Andrew — Sale on 2025-08-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer JACKSON DONALD G — Sale on 2025-08-13, filed 196 days after the tradeofficer Smith Mark Andrew — Sale on 2025-08-12, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-24Newsome EarldirectorSale698 @ $572.22$399K−13.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open4,479Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-14JACKSON DONALD GofficerSale480 @ $710.36$341K−5.5% of holding−5.7%not yet — horizon still open8,316Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-14JACKSON DONALD GofficerSale160 @ $711.61$114K−1.8% of holding−5.7%not yet — horizon still open8,796Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-14JACKSON DONALD GofficerSale90 @ $712.70$64K−1.0% of holding−5.7%not yet — horizon still open8,956Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-12Bush Jennifer MarydirectorSale1,799 @ $697.29$1.3M−13.1% of holding−6.6%not yet — horizon still open11,986Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-12Bush Jennifer MarydirectorSale1,158 @ $695.21$805K−7.7% of holding−6.6%not yet — horizon still open13,785Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-12Bush Jennifer MarydirectorSale940 @ $694.13$652K−5.9% of holding−6.6%not yet — horizon still open14,943Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-12Bush Jennifer MarydirectorSale583 @ $696.26$406K−3.5% of holding−6.6%not yet — horizon still open15,883Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-12Bush Jennifer MarydirectorSale480 @ $698.38$335K−2.8% of holding−6.6%not yet — horizon still open16,466Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-12Bush Jennifer MarydirectorSale40 @ $699.10$28K−0.2% of holding−6.6%not yet — horizon still open16,946Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-11Merritt Brett MichaelofficerSale701 @ $688.75$483K−6.3% of holding−8.1%not yet — horizon still open10,404Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-11Fetch Bonnie JdirectorSale652 @ $700.19$457K−5.3% of holding−8.1%not yet — horizon still open11,679Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-11Fetch Bonnie JdirectorSale643 @ $702.66$452K−100.0% of holding−8.1%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-11Stoner Nathan RofficerSale607 @ $694.06$421K−6.0% of holding−8.1%not yet — horizon still open9,447Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-08Lamb-Hale NicoledirectorSale1,181 @ $684.35$808K−7.7% of holding−1.1%not yet — horizon still open14,084Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-08Boakye MarvinofficerSale1,112 @ $678.57$755K−11.6% of holding−1.1%not yet — horizon still open8,508Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-08Boakye MarvinofficerSale1,000 @ $680.63$681K−9.4% of holding−1.1%not yet — horizon still open9,620Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-08Lamb-Hale NicoledirectorSale947 @ $686.48$650K−5.8% of holding−1.1%not yet — horizon still open15,265Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-08Boakye MarvinofficerSale769 @ $679.32$522K−6.8% of holding−1.1%not yet — horizon still open10,620Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-08Boakye MarvinofficerSale360 @ $681.40$245K−3.1% of holding−1.1%not yet — horizon still open11,389Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-08Lamb-Hale NicoledirectorSale280 @ $685.63$192K−1.7% of holding−1.1%not yet — horizon still open16,212Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-08Boakye MarvinofficerSale240 @ $682.62$164K−2.0% of holding−1.1%not yet — horizon still open11,749Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-03Davis Amy RochelledirectorSale1,694 @ $559.99$949K−9.7% of holding+1.6%−13.9%15,807Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-03Davis Amy RochelledirectorSale1,049 @ $561.39$589K−5.7% of holding+1.6%−13.9%17,501Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-03Davis Amy RochelledirectorSale631 @ $562.09$355K−3.3% of holding+1.6%−13.9%18,550Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-03Davis Amy RochelledirectorSale400 @ $563.25$225K−2.0% of holding+1.6%−13.9%19,181Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-03Davis Amy RochelledirectorSale160 @ $564.30$90K−0.8% of holding+1.6%−13.9%19,581Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-03Davis Amy RochelledirectorSale120 @ $565.92$68K−0.6% of holding+1.6%−13.9%19,741Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-24JACKSON DONALD GofficerSale1,600 @ $600.13$960K−18.2% of holding−3.7%−16.4%7,214Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-23Newsome EarldirectorSale1,083 @ $583.52$632K−24.2% of holding−1.5%−14.8%3,389Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-23Davis Amy RochelledirectorSale1,033 @ $586.38$606K−5.5% of holding−1.5%−14.8%17,827Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-23Davis Amy RochelledirectorSale591 @ $587.29$347K−3.0% of holding−1.5%−14.8%18,860Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-23Newsome EarldirectorSale217 @ $584.43$127K−4.6% of holding−1.5%−14.8%4,472Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-23Davis Amy RochelledirectorSale160 @ $585.11$94K−0.8% of holding−1.5%−14.8%19,451Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-23Davis Amy RochelledirectorSale80 @ $588.37$47K−0.4% of holding−1.5%−14.8%19,611Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-11MILLER WILLIAM IdirectorSale7,066 @ $597.40$4.2M−17.1% of holding−6.0%−6.9%34,243Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-11MILLER WILLIAM IdirectorSale2,000 @ $593.50$1.2M−4.6% of holding−6.0%−6.9%41,309Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-11MILLER WILLIAM IdirectorSale1,909 @ $595.50$1.1M−4.2% of holding−6.0%−6.9%43,309Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-11MILLER WILLIAM IdirectorSale1,810 @ $591.41$1.1M−3.8% of holding−6.0%−6.9%45,218Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-11MILLER WILLIAM IdirectorSale1,697 @ $600.11$1.0M−3.5% of holding−6.0%−6.9%47,028Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-11MILLER WILLIAM IdirectorSale1,608 @ $604.15$971K−3.2% of holding−6.0%−6.9%48,725Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-11MILLER WILLIAM IdirectorSale1,476 @ $596.64$881K−2.8% of holding−6.0%−6.9%50,333Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-11MILLER WILLIAM IdirectorSale501 @ $602.26$302K−1.0% of holding−6.0%−6.9%51,809Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-11MILLER WILLIAM IdirectorSale40 @ $598.07$24K−0.1% of holding−6.0%−6.9%52,310Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-10Bush Jennifer MarydirectorSale2,166 @ $585.06$1.3M−12.5% of holding−4.3%−3.0%15,130Form 4 · filed 13 days after the trade
2026-02-10Bush Jennifer MarydirectorSale1,340 @ $584.01$783K−7.2% of holding−4.3%−3.0%17,296Form 4 · filed 13 days after the trade
2026-02-10Bush Jennifer MarydirectorSale764 @ $586.19$448K−3.9% of holding−4.3%−3.0%18,636Form 4 · filed 13 days after the trade
2025-11-25Merritt Brett MichaelofficerSale1,450 @ $489.32$710K−13.5% of holding+2.3%+18.8%9,271Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-11RUMSEY JENNIFERdirectorSale2,880 @ $473.57$1.4M−6.3% of holding+9.5%+41.5%42,880Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-11RUMSEY JENNIFERdirectorSale1,690 @ $474.42$802K−3.6% of holding+9.5%+41.5%45,760Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-06Smith Mark AndrewofficerSale5,310 @ $467.37$2.5M−14.4% of holding+8.2%+42.1%31,582Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-06Smith Mark AndrewofficerSale3,902 @ $472.80$1.8M−9.6% of holding+8.2%+42.1%36,892Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-06Smith Mark AndrewofficerSale1,320 @ $470.88$622K−3.1% of holding+8.2%+42.1%40,794Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-06Smith Mark AndrewofficerSale975 @ $476.99$465K−2.3% of holding+8.2%+42.1%42,114Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-06Smith Mark AndrewofficerSale803 @ $475.02$381K−1.8% of holding+8.2%+42.1%43,089Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-06Smith Mark AndrewofficerSale800 @ $469.69$376K−1.8% of holding+8.2%+42.1%43,892Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-10-30Smith Mark AndrewofficerSale200 @ $449.10$90K−0.6% of holding+13.7%+44.8%31,582Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-06Smith Mark AndrewofficerSale8,000 @ $439.30$3.5M−20.2% of holding−2.9%+35.8%31,582Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-17Smith Mark AndrewofficerSale1,580 @ $419.00$662K−4.8% of holding+2.1%+31.5%31,582Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-16Smith Mark AndrewofficerSale2,671 @ $415.00$1.1M−7.8% of holding+0.9%+31.0%31,582Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

180 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-19Merritt Brett MichaelofficerGift21810,186Form 4
2026-05-13Fetch Bonnie JdirectorGift15511,524Form 4
2026-05-13Stoner Nathan RofficerGift6008,847Form 4
2026-05-12LYNCH THOMAS JdirectorAward / grant30611,962Form 4
2026-05-12Quintos Karen HdirectorAward / grant3065,537Form 4
2026-05-12Nelson Kimberly AdirectorAward / grant3064,766Form 4
2026-05-12MILLER WILLIAM IdirectorAward / grant30634,670Form 4
2026-05-12Harris Carla AdirectorAward / grant3063,808Form 4
2026-05-12Belske Gary LdirectorAward / grant3063,244Form 4
2026-05-12Fisher Daniel WilliamdirectorAward / grant3062,603Form 4
2026-05-12Di Leo Allen Bruno VdirectorAward / grant3065,379Form 4
2026-05-12Stone John HdirectorAward / grant3062,747Form 4
2026-05-12Tsien MatthewdirectorAward / grant306753Form 4
2026-05-11Boakye MarvinofficerGift1508,358Form 4
2026-04-01Lamb-Hale NicoledirectorAward / grant29016,492Form 4
2026-03-01RUMSEY JENNIFERdirectorWithheld for tax19,45046,632Form 4
2026-03-01Smith Mark AndrewofficerWithheld for tax5,87839,832Form 4
2026-03-01Lamb-Hale NicoledirectorWithheld for tax2,87716,202Form 4
2026-03-01Boakye MarvinofficerWithheld for tax2,73511,989Form 4
2026-03-01Bush Jennifer MarydirectorWithheld for tax2,50416,986Form 4
2026-03-01Davis Amy RochelledirectorWithheld for tax2,26419,861Form 4
2026-03-01Stoner Nathan RofficerWithheld for tax2,02110,054Form 4
2026-03-01Fetch Bonnie JdirectorWithheld for tax1,29712,331Form 4
2026-03-01Wiltrout Jeffrey TofficerWithheld for tax1,0985,421Form 4
2026-03-01Newsome EarldirectorWithheld for tax1,0445,177Form 4
2026-03-01JACKSON DONALD GofficerWithheld for tax1,0009,046Form 4
2026-03-01Merritt Brett MichaelofficerWithheld for tax99811,105Form 4
2026-03-01Wood Jonathan DavidofficerWithheld for tax8884,188Form 4
2026-03-01Davis Amy RochelledirectorWithheld for tax88322,125Form 4
2026-03-01Peters Luther EofficerWithheld for tax5799,025Form 4
2026-03-01Wright Benjamin G.directorWithheld for tax5593,977Form 4
2026-03-01Gaidoo John OofficerWithheld for tax3803,084Form 4
2026-03-01Enright RobertofficerWithheld for tax3131,698Form 4
2026-03-01Gaidoo John OofficerWithheld for tax1303,464Form 4
2026-03-01Merritt Brett MichaelofficerAward / grant2,83212,103Form 4
2026-03-01Davis Amy RochelledirectorAward / grant5,18123,008Form 4
2026-03-01Fetch Bonnie JdirectorAward / grant3,29613,628Form 4
2026-03-01RUMSEY JENNIFERdirectorAward / grant44,73666,082Form 4
2026-03-01Enright RobertofficerAward / grant1,0562,011Form 4
2026-03-01Smith Mark AndrewofficerAward / grant14,12845,710Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Jared MoskowitzHousesale2026-04-302026-03-31$1–15K
Josh GottheimerHousepurchase2026-03-162026-02-05$1–15K
Julia LetlowHousepurchase2026-03-122026-02-04$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-03-092026-02-05$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousepurchase2025-11-212025-10-30$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousesale2025-11-212025-10-30$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousesale2025-11-212025-10-31$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousepurchase2025-08-132025-06-24$1–15K
Bruce WestermanHousesale2025-05-122025-04-21$1–15K
Marjorie Taylor GreeneHousepurchase2025-05-062025-05-05$1–15K
Bruce WestermanHousepurchase2025-04-162025-03-03$1–15K
Marjorie Taylor GreeneHousepurchase2025-04-112025-04-09$1–15K
Jared MoskowitzHousepurchase2024-12-092024-11-08$1–15K
Jared MoskowitzHousepurchase2024-12-092024-11-08$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.