CMCOColumbus McKinnon CorporationIndustrials · Industrial - Machineryas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $16.10 · now $16.10 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CMCO has typically landed between $13.18 and $19.02 — a range of −18.2% to +18.2% from the issuance price $16.10.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($16.10) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CMCO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $16.1 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$13.18worst · -18.2%$19.02best · +18.2%
  • now $16.1 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $16 (-0.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $14.73–$17.27
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $13.18–$19.02
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2025-01-31−56.1%−56.1%+0.0%
2025-01-30−55.7%−55.7%+0.0%
2025-01-29−52.4%−52.4%+0.0%
3 best
2026-07-07+61.9%−2.2%+62.5%
2026-07-08+57.0%−1.7%+63.3%
2009-04-01+54.9%+0.0%+54.9%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+0.4%
n=20
Feb
65%
−2.5%
n=20
Mar
50%
−0.7%
n=20
Apr
50%
+2.2%
n=20
May
60%
+2.5%
n=20
Jun
40%
−2.0%
n=20
Jul
50%
+2.0%
n=20
Aug
45%
−2.4%
n=20
Sep
45%
−0.4%
n=20
Oct
70%
+5.7%
n=20
Nov
55%
+3.3%
n=20
Dec
65%
+1.7%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$23$122026-08-20: 1 insider purchase, $47K — STEPHENS CHRISTOPHER J2026-07-31: 1 insider purchase, $148K — Linker John R2026-02-27: 3 insider sales, $39K — Paradowski Mark R, Korman Alan S, Rustowicz Gregory P2026-02-24: 1 insider sale, $0 — Adams Jon2026-02-11: 1 insider sale, $121K — Adams Jon2026-02: 5 open-market sales, $160K2026-07: 1 open-market purchase, $148K2026-08: 1 open-market purchase, $47K↑ buys↓ salesdirector STEPHENS CHRISTOPHER J — Purchase on 2026-08-20, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Linker John R — Purchase on 2026-07-31, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Paradowski Mark R — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Korman Alan S — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Rustowicz Gregory P — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Adams Jon — Sale on 2026-02-24, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Adams Jon — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-20STEPHENS CHRISTOPHER JdirectorPurchase2,750 @ $17.14$47K+14.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open22,317Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-31Linker John RofficerPurchase7,500 @ $19.67$148Kownership Δ n/a−10.3%not yet — horizon still open7,500Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-27Paradowski Mark RofficerSale1,502 @ $19.15$29K−100.0% of holding−18.9%−17.2%0Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-27Korman Alan SofficerSale302 @ $19.15$6K−100.0% of holding−18.9%−17.2%0Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-27Rustowicz Gregory PofficerSale242 @ $19.15$5K−100.0% of holding−18.9%−17.2%0Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-24Adams JonofficerSale0 @ $23.28$0+0.0% of holding−16.7%−18.6%9,366Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-11Adams JonofficerSale5,185 @ $23.28$121K−35.6% of holding−32.6%−30.2%9,366Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-05Yeung RebeccadirectorPurchase1,000 @ $15.03$15K+15.0% of holding+3.9%+0.1%7,682Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-02Beliveau-Dunn JeannedirectorPurchase1,000 @ $13.89$14K+38.8% of holding+13.4%+3.6%3,576Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-19Bohl Kathryn VdirectorPurchase2,819 @ $17.99$51K+23.5% of holding−21.9%−31.7%14,812Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-14Beliveau-Dunn JeannedirectorPurchase160 @ $18.34$3K+6.6% of holding−22.6%−36.7%2,576Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-06Chintapalli AppalofficerPurchase6,000 @ $16.96$102K+27.9% of holding−3.0%−25.3%27,523Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-03Abraham Chad RdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $16.10$81K+50.0% of holding+6.5%−18.1%15,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-03Abraham Chad RdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $16.04$80K+100.0% of holding+6.5%−18.1%10,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-03Abraham Chad RdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $16.02$80Kownership Δ n/a+6.5%−18.1%5,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-03Abraham Chad RdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $16.02$80K+33.3% of holding+6.5%−18.1%20,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-21Dastoor MichaeldirectorPurchase10,000 @ $19.21$192K+96.5% of holding+3.4%−26.0%20,366Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

283 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-17COLELLA GERALD GdirectorAward / grant7,59026,936Form 4
2026-08-17Dastoor MichaeldirectorAward / grant7,59039,765Form 4
2026-08-17Yeung RebeccadirectorAward / grant7,59023,825Form 4
2026-08-17Campelli AndrewdirectorAward / grant7,5907,590Form 4
2026-08-17Sleeper Nathan KdirectorAward / grant7,5907,590Form 4
2026-08-17Bohl Kathryn VdirectorAward / grant123,295Form 4
2026-08-17Beliveau-Dunn JeannedirectorAward / grant328,737Form 4
2026-08-17Beliveau-Dunn JeannedirectorAward / grant7,5907,590Form 4
2026-08-17Linker John RofficerAward / grant13,41513,415Form 4
2026-08-17Linker John RofficerAward / grant29,74829,748Form 4
2026-08-17Oddo Thomas PatrickofficerAward / grant146,417Form 4
2026-08-17Oddo Thomas PatrickofficerAward / grant5,12211,539Form 4
2026-08-17Oddo Thomas PatrickofficerAward / grant5,6805,680Form 4
2026-08-17Chintapalli AppalofficerAward / grant2836,204Form 4
2026-08-17Chintapalli AppalofficerAward / grant9,39145,595Form 4
2026-08-17Chintapalli AppalofficerAward / grant20,82420,824Form 4
2026-08-17LAMACH MICHAEL WdirectorAward / grant7,5907,590Form 4
2026-08-17Williams AdrienneofficerAward / grant2117,062Form 4
2026-08-17Williams AdrienneofficerAward / grant6,41023,472Form 4
2026-08-17Williams AdrienneofficerAward / grant14,21314,213Form 4
2026-08-17Korman Alan SofficerAward / grant2949,442Form 4
2026-08-17Korman Alan SofficerAward / grant9,05558,497Form 4
2026-08-17Korman Alan SofficerAward / grant20,08020,080Form 4
2026-08-17Bohl Kathryn VdirectorAward / grant164,310Form 4
2026-08-17Bohl Kathryn VdirectorAward / grant133,630Form 4
2026-08-17Bohl Kathryn VdirectorAward / grant328,737Form 4
2026-08-17Bohl Kathryn VdirectorAward / grant7,5907,590Form 4
2026-08-17Paradowski Mark RofficerAward / grant1830,590Form 4
2026-08-17Paradowski Mark RofficerAward / grant5,42136,011Form 4
2026-08-17Paradowski Mark RofficerAward / grant12,02012,020Form 4
2026-08-17STEPHENS CHRISTOPHER JdirectorAward / grant7,5907,590Form 4
2026-08-17Wilson David J.directorAward / grant171182,605Form 4
2026-08-17Wilson David J.directorAward / grant54,097236,702Form 4
2026-08-17Wilson David J.directorAward / grant119,961119,961Form 4
2026-08-17Ramos Lara Mario Y.officerAward / grant2132,038Form 4
2026-08-17Ramos Lara Mario Y.officerAward / grant6,70138,739Form 4
2026-08-17Ramos Lara Mario Y.officerAward / grant14,85914,859Form 4
2026-08-17Abraham Chad RdirectorAward / grant164,310Form 4
2026-08-17Abraham Chad RdirectorAward / grant123,295Form 4
2026-08-17Abraham Chad RdirectorAward / grant133,630Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.