Issued 2026-09-25 at $11.66 · now $11.66 (2026-09-25, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-25 close, CLYM has typically landed between $8.08 and $17.22 — a range of −30.7% to +47.7% from the issuance price $11.66.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
493 overlapping 1 month windows · 2024-09-09 – 2026-08-26 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Base rate up 53.7% (90% CI 51.5–55.9%, ≈1,391 obs). Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-25 issuance close ($11.66) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-26, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CLYM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-25 close of $11.66 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $11.66 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $11.75 (+0.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $9.61–$13.9
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $8.08–$17.22
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2024-11-29 | −44.3% | −44.3% | +0.9% |
| 2024-09-20 | −43.1% | −43.1% | +0.0% |
| 2024-11-27 | −42.5% | −42.5% | +1.2% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2025-11-20 | +183.2% | −5.2% | +183.2% |
| 2025-11-24 | +175.6% | −6.8% | +178.4% |
| 2025-11-25 | +173.9% | −8.9% | +173.9% |
493 overlapping windows · 2024-09-09 – 2026-09-25 · not cherry-picked
Pending catalysts
- August 2027 — Trial primary completion: Phase 1/Phase PHASE2 primary completion: A Phase 1b/2a Study of Budoprutug in Subjects With Immune Thrombocytopenia (ITP) (source, as of 2026-08-14)
- September 2027 — Trial primary completion: Phase 1/Phase PHASE2 primary completion: A Phase 1b/2a Study of Budoprutug in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (SLE) (source, as of 2026-08-14)
- October 2027 — Trial primary completion: Phase 2 primary completion: A Phase 2 Study of Budoprutug in Subjects With Primary Membranous Nephropathy (source, as of 2026-08-14)
Public, scheduled events — dated attention, not a prediction of the outcome. See the FDA catalysts page for the historical base rate.
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~2 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Thomas Stephen Basil | director | Sale | 100,000 @ $13.67 | $1.4M | −17.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 467,969 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-29 | Brennan Aoife | director | Sale | 30,902 @ $13.17 | $407K | −26.0% of holding | −7.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 87,731 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-26 | Thomas Stephen Basil | director | Sale | 16,313 @ $7.01 | $114K | −9.5% of holding | +2.9% | +91.6% | 154,657 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-25 | Thomas Stephen Basil | director | Sale | 33,687 @ $7.00 | $236K | −16.5% of holding | +7.0% | +115.7% | 170,970 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-13 | Thomas Stephen Basil | director | Sale | 10,000 @ $5.81 | $58K | −4.7% of holding | +27.2% | +193.6% | 204,657 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-12 | Thomas Stephen Basil | director | Sale | 90,000 @ $5.23 | $471K | −29.5% of holding | +37.1% | +195.3% | 214,657 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-05 | RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | director | Purchase | 7,111 @ $3.50 | $25K | +0.2% of holding | +42.9% | +274.4% | 3,403,429 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-12 | RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | director | Purchase | 101,462 @ $2.86 | $290K | +3.1% of holding | +30.4% | +246.3% | 3,396,318 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-11 | RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | director | Purchase | 213,099 @ $2.18 | $465K | +6.9% of holding | +78.6% | +389.4% | 3,294,856 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-30 | Brennan Aoife | director | Sale | 20,618 @ $1.22 | $25K | −30.0% of holding | +19.9% | +246.1% | 48,132 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-20 | Pimblett Emily | officer | Sale | 1,242 @ $1.24 | $2K | −6.2% of holding | +10.7% | +247.8% | 18,888 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-20 | Pimblett Emily | officer | Sale | 1,199 @ $1.31 | $2K | −7.3% of holding | +4.9% | +62.1% | 15,130 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-19 | Pimblett Emily | officer | Sale | 1,235 @ $2.02 | $2K | −9.8% of holding | −11.1% | −37.9% | 11,329 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
61 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-29 | Celebi Breanna Maurine | director | Award / grant | 70,284 | 70,284 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-29 | RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | director | Award / grant | 70,284 | 70,284 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-27 | Brennan Aoife | director | Option exercise | 68,750 | 137,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-27 | Brennan Aoife | director | Option exercise | 68,750 | 118,633 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-27 | Brennan Aoife | director | Option exercise | 68,750 | 118,633 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Thomas Stephen Basil | director | Award / grant | 40,000 | 40,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Cumbo Alexander | director | Award / grant | 40,000 | 40,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | WILLIAMS DOUGLAS E | director | Award / grant | 40,000 | 40,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Drapkin Kimberlee C | director | Award / grant | 40,000 | 40,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Levin Andrew David | director | Award / grant | 40,000 | 40,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | director | Award / grant | 40,000 | 40,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-05 | Dunn Judith | director | Award / grant | 40,000 | 40,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-29 | RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | director | Award / grant | 2,106,000 | 22,546,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | ALTSCHULLER Susan | director | Award / grant | 142,500 | 142,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | Wilson Perrin Megan | officer | Award / grant | 300,000 | 300,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | Driscoll Cindy | officer | Award / grant | 100,000 | 100,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | Brennan Aoife | director | Award / grant | 700,000 | 700,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-11 | RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | director | Disposition | 20,440,000 | 3,081,757 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-11 | RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | director | Award / grant | 20,440,000 | 20,440,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-11 | RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | director | Award / grant | 20,440,000 | 20,440,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-11 | RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | director | Award / grant | 20,440,000 | 20,440,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-11 | RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | director | Award / grant | 20,440,000 | 20,440,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-11 | RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | director | Award / grant | 20,440,000 | 20,440,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-11 | RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | director | Award / grant | 20,440,000 | 20,440,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-11 | RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | director | Award / grant | 20,440,000 | 20,440,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-11 | RA CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. | director | Award / grant | 20,440,000 | 20,440,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-01 | ALTSCHULLER Susan | director | Award / grant | 600,000 | 600,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-07 | Thomas Stephen Basil | director | Award / grant | 100,375 | 304,657 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-27 | Thomas Stephen Basil | director | Option exercise | 25,094 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-27 | Brennan Aoife | director | Option exercise | 68,750 | 206,250 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-27 | Brennan Aoife | director | Option exercise | 68,750 | 68,750 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-27 | Thomas Stephen Basil | director | Option exercise | 25,094 | 204,282 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | Pimblett Emily | officer | Option exercise | 5,000 | 15,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-18 | Pimblett Emily | officer | Option exercise | 5,000 | 20,130 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-17 | Driscoll Cindy | officer | Award / grant | 200,000 | 200,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-04 | Levin Andrew David | director | Award / grant | 40,000 | 40,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-04 | Cumbo Alexander | director | Award / grant | 40,000 | 40,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-04 | Thomas Stephen Basil | director | Award / grant | 40,000 | 40,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-04 | WILLIAMS DOUGLAS E | director | Award / grant | 40,000 | 40,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-04 | Dunn Judith | director | Award / grant | 40,000 | 40,000 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.