CLXThe Clorox CompanyConsumer Defensive · Household & Personal Productsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $84.86 · now $84.86 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CLX has typically landed between $74.70 and $94.60 — a range of −12.0% to +11.5% from the issuance price $84.86.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($84.86) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CLX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $84.86 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$74.7worst · -12.0%$94.6best · +11.5%
  • now $84.86 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $84.35 (-0.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $80.35–$88.35
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $74.7–$94.6
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2022-01-14−23.1%−23.7%+0.0%
2022-05-17−21.8%−21.8%+0.0%
2022-05-16−21.6%−21.6%+0.0%
3 best
2023-11-01+24.7%+0.0%+24.9%
2023-10-27+22.2%−2.2%+22.2%
2022-06-16+22.1%+0.0%+22.1%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$11.6B
market cap
$6.16
EPS (TTM)
15.5
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-03
next earnings
Revenue$7.1B
'20'25
Net income$810M
'20'25
Free cash flow$761M
'20'25
Net margin · by yr11.4%
'20'25
ROE · by yr252.3%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr8.97
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 28 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $84.86$67.32$294.64
  • DCF (intrinsic)$278.96
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 24.4× · n=28$150.57
  • Analyst target · range $83.00–$139.00$97.50
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$84.86

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
56%
+1.0%
n=18
Feb
53%
+0.9%
n=19
Mar
63%
+0.6%
n=19
Apr
47%
−0.1%
n=19
May
42%
−1.4%
n=19
Jun
63%
+1.2%
n=19
Jul
79%
+2.5%
n=19
Aug
47%
+1.1%
n=19
Sep
37%
−1.9%
n=19
Oct
44%
+0.5%
n=18
Nov
61%
+2.4%
n=18
Dec
50%
−0.1%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$126$852026-05-05: 1 insider purchase, $429K — Breber Pierre R2025-11-21: 1 insider purchase, $417K — Breber Pierre R2025-09-04: 1 insider sale, $1.9M — Reynolds Eric H2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $1.9M2025-11: 1 open-market purchase, $417K2026-05: 1 open-market purchase, $429K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Breber Pierre R — Purchase on 2026-05-05, filed same daydirector Breber Pierre R — Purchase on 2025-11-21, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Reynolds Eric H — Sale on 2025-09-04, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-05Breber Pierre RdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $85.82$429K+38.5% of holding−0.5%not yet — horizon still open18,000Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-21Breber Pierre RdirectorPurchase4,000 @ $104.13$417K+44.4% of holding−10.9%−18.8%13,000Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-04Reynolds Eric HofficerSale15,041 @ $123.78$1.9M−21.7% of holding−4.5%−10.2%54,221Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-07Breber Pierre RdirectorPurchase4,000 @ $136.57$546Kownership Δ n/a−13.2%−40.0%4,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-11Marriner KirstenofficerSale733 @ $150.00$110K−2.7% of holding−4.8%−33.3%26,305Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-10Marriner KirstenofficerSale2,832 @ $150.85$427K−9.5% of holding+3.3%−30.2%27,038Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-10Marriner KirstenofficerSale2,341 @ $151.53$355K−7.3% of holding+3.3%−30.2%29,870Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-10Marriner KirstenofficerSale2,304 @ $152.64$352K−6.7% of holding+3.3%−30.2%32,211Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-10Marriner KirstenofficerSale17 @ $153.46$3K−0.0% of holding+3.3%−30.2%34,515Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-16Hilt Angela CofficerSale919 @ $165.38$152K−4.4% of holding−1.3%−24.2%19,833Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-16Hilt Angela CofficerSale329 @ $166.07$55K−1.6% of holding−1.3%−24.2%20,752Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

186 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-22Barton NinaofficerWithheld for tax1,68126,443Form 4
2026-07-15Hyder Chris TofficerWithheld for tax27776,860Form 4
2026-06-30Plaines StephaniedirectorAward / grant2888,117Form 4
2026-06-30Breber Pierre RdirectorAward / grant3543,495Form 4
2026-06-30Shattock Matthew JdirectorAward / grant55020,947Form 4
2026-06-30WEINER RUSSELL JdirectorAward / grant35418,600Form 4
2026-06-30WILLIAMS CHRISTOPHER JdirectorAward / grant28822,660Form 4
2026-06-17Hyder Chris TofficerAward / grant42,11877,087Form 4
2026-06-17Bellet LucofficerAward / grant42,11862,756Form 4
2026-06-17Marriner KirstenofficerAward / grant26,32464,294Form 4
2026-06-17Hilt Angela CofficerAward / grant26,32456,111Form 4
2026-05-08WEINER RUSSELL JdirectorAward / grant24218,246Form 4
2026-05-08Shattock Matthew JdirectorAward / grant27120,397Form 4
2026-05-08Plaines StephaniedirectorAward / grant1047,829Form 4
2026-05-08Breber Pierre RdirectorAward / grant423,142Form 4
2026-05-08WILLIAMS CHRISTOPHER JdirectorAward / grant29722,372Form 4
2026-04-01Bellet LucofficerWithheld for tax24420,638Form 4
2026-03-31Shattock Matthew JdirectorAward / grant50720,126Form 4
2026-03-31Plaines StephaniedirectorAward / grant2657,725Form 4
2026-03-31WEINER RUSSELL JdirectorAward / grant32618,004Form 4
2026-03-31WILLIAMS CHRISTOPHER JdirectorAward / grant26522,075Form 4
2026-03-31Breber Pierre RdirectorAward / grant3263,100Form 4
2026-03-13Hyder Chris TofficerWithheld for tax4134,969Form 4
2026-03-13Grier StaceyofficerWithheld for tax3232,116Form 4
2026-02-13Plaines StephaniedirectorAward / grant737,460Form 4
2026-02-13WILLIAMS CHRISTOPHER JdirectorAward / grant21321,809Form 4
2026-02-13WEINER RUSSELL JdirectorAward / grant17217,678Form 4
2026-02-13Breber Pierre RdirectorAward / grant272,774Form 4
2026-02-13Shattock Matthew JdirectorAward / grant19119,620Form 4
2025-12-31WEINER RUSSELL JdirectorAward / grant1,63817,171Form 4
2025-12-31Breber Pierre RdirectorAward / grant1,6382,413Form 4
2025-12-31Breber Pierre RdirectorAward / grant3352,747Form 4
2025-12-31Plaines StephaniedirectorAward / grant1,6387,114Form 4
2025-12-31Plaines StephaniedirectorAward / grant2737,387Form 4
2025-12-31Bratspies Stephen BdirectorAward / grant1,6381,638Form 4
2025-12-31Boswell GinadirectorAward / grant825825Form 4
2025-12-31WEINER RUSSELL JdirectorAward / grant33517,506Form 4
2025-12-31Charter JuliadirectorAward / grant1,6384,472Form 4
2025-12-31WILLIAMS CHRISTOPHER JdirectorAward / grant1,63821,324Form 4
2025-12-31WILLIAMS CHRISTOPHER JdirectorAward / grant27321,597Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-07-062026-06-02$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-06-092026-05-01$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-06-082026-05-15$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-01-122025-12-19$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2025-12-152025-11-12$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-12-082025-11-10$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousesale2025-11-212025-10-30$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousesale2025-11-212025-10-31$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousepurchase2025-11-212025-10-30$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-11-062025-10-07$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-10-032025-09-29$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-09-092025-08-26$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-09-092025-08-26$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.