Issued 2026-09-16 at $1.87 · now $1.87 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CLVT has typically landed between $1.42 and $2.26 — a range of −24.0% to +20.9% from the issuance price $1.87.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,959 overlapping 1 month windows · 2018-10-29 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($1.87) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CLVT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $1.87 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $1.87 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $1.81 (-3.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $1.65–$1.97
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1.42–$2.26
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-01-12 | −46.1% | −46.1% | +0.0% |
| 2026-01-15 | −44.4% | −44.4% | +0.0% |
| 2026-01-16 | −43.8% | −43.8% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-02-23 | +47.0% | +0.0% | +63.1% |
| 2026-02-20 | +44.1% | −5.1% | +54.8% |
| 2026-02-18 | +42.1% | −5.6% | +53.9% |
1,959 overlapping windows · 2018-10-29 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~8 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Cornick Kenneth L. | director | Purchase | 250,000 @ $1.85 | $463K | +14.3% of holding | +5.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,000,000 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-06 | Cornick Kenneth L. | director | Purchase | 650,000 @ $1.86 | $1.2M | +59.1% of holding | +11.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,750,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Snyder Andrew Miles | director | Sale | 2,002,242 @ $1.94 | $3.9M | −22.7% of holding | +4.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 6,819,742 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Snyder Andrew Miles | director | Sale | 310,702 @ $1.94 | $603K | −3.0% of holding | +4.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,178,764 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Snyder Andrew Miles | director | Sale | 176,674 @ $1.94 | $343K | −4.4% of holding | +4.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,856,597 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | Veinstein Bar | officer | Sale | 309,902 @ $3.74 | $1.2M | −26.7% of holding | −11.0% | −45.3% | 848,811 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-10 | Cornick Kenneth L. | director | Purchase | 100,000 @ $3.45 | $345K | +10.0% of holding | +1.4% | −39.4% | 1,100,000 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-03 | Cornick Kenneth L. | director | Purchase | 225,000 @ $3.52 | $792K | +29.0% of holding | +5.9% | −29.5% | 1,000,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-10-31 | Snyder Andrew Miles | director | Purchase | 1,460,000 @ $3.33 | $4.9M | +185.4% of holding | +8.3% | −25.2% | 2,247,510 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-31 | Cornick Kenneth L. | director | Purchase | 500,000 @ $3.38 | $1.7M | +181.8% of holding | +8.3% | −25.2% | 775,000 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-01 | Cornick Kenneth L. | director | Purchase | 165,000 @ $3.74 | $617K | +150.0% of holding | +12.8% | −39.3% | 275,000 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-14 | Snyder Andrew Miles | director | Purchase | 237,176 @ $4.17 | $989K | +43.1% of holding | −10.6% | −17.2% | 787,510 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-12 | Bomba Jane L Okun | director | Purchase | 49,750 @ $4.03 | $200K | ownership Δ n/a | −14.7% | −9.9% | 49,750 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-03 | SAHA SAURABH | director | Purchase | 58,275 @ $4.36 | $254K | +245.5% of holding | −3.3% | −10.8% | 82,016 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-03 | Pritchett Wendell E. | director | Purchase | 22,857 @ $4.38 | $100K | +46.7% of holding | −3.3% | −10.8% | 71,835 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
129 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Easton Michael M | officer | Award / grant | 194,300 | 893,609 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-15 | Lisowski Matthew J. | officer | Award / grant | 67,357 | 147,255 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-13 | Shem Tov Matitiahu S. | director | Withheld for tax | 47,633 | 2,290,782 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Snyder Andrew Miles | director | Award / grant | 23,726 | 294,429 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Bomba Jane L Okun | director | Award / grant | 13,310 | 312,987 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Cornick Kenneth L. | director | Award / grant | 13,310 | 115,348 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Cornick Kenneth L. | director | Withheld for tax | 2,662 | 112,686 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Snyder Andrew Miles | director | Withheld for tax | 1,513 | 292,916 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-30 | Bomba Jane L Okun | director | Withheld for tax | 386 | 312,601 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Webster Simon | officer | Award / grant | 396,825 | 4,626,325 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Heywood Suzanne | director | Award / grant | 62,264 | 93,979 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Bomba Jane L Okun | director | Award / grant | 62,264 | 299,677 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Cornick Kenneth L. | director | Award / grant | 62,264 | 102,038 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Snyder Andrew Miles | director | Award / grant | 62,264 | 270,703 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | SAHA SAURABH | director | Award / grant | 62,264 | 170,601 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Pritchett Wendell E. | director | Award / grant | 62,264 | 160,708 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Heywood Suzanne | director | Withheld for tax | 19,690 | 31,715 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | SAHA SAURABH | director | Withheld for tax | 8,178 | 108,337 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Cornick Kenneth L. | director | Withheld for tax | 5,990 | 39,774 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Pritchett Wendell E. | director | Withheld for tax | 3,367 | 98,444 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Bomba Jane L Okun | director | Withheld for tax | 2,851 | 237,413 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | Snyder Andrew Miles | director | Withheld for tax | 2,841 | 208,439 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Levy Henry | officer | Withheld for tax | 19,893 | 983,373 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Snyder Andrew Miles | director | Award / grant | 20,256 | 212,572 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Bomba Jane L Okun | director | Award / grant | 11,363 | 240,885 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Cornick Kenneth L. | director | Award / grant | 11,363 | 48,037 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Cornick Kenneth L. | director | Withheld for tax | 2,273 | 45,764 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Snyder Andrew Miles | director | Withheld for tax | 1,292 | 211,280 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Bomba Jane L Okun | director | Withheld for tax | 621 | 240,264 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Collins Jonathan Mark | officer | Other acquisition | 35,741 | 1,145,554 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Shem Tov Matitiahu S. | director | Withheld for tax | 125,471 | 2,338,415 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Collins Jonathan Mark | officer | Withheld for tax | 43,987 | 1,181,295 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Levy Henry | officer | Withheld for tax | 35,402 | 1,003,266 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Easton Michael M | officer | Withheld for tax | 30,456 | 699,309 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Graff William E. | officer | Withheld for tax | 23,838 | 834,124 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Collins Jonathan Mark | officer | Award / grant | 471,698 | 1,225,282 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Mourad Maroun S. | officer | Award / grant | 377,358 | 916,926 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Levy Henry | officer | Award / grant | 377,358 | 1,038,668 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Veinstein Bar | officer | Award / grant | 377,358 | 1,263,016 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-15 | Shem Tov Matitiahu S. | director | Award / grant | 1,132,075 | 2,463,886 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.