CLNE · TickerCove

CLNEClean Energy Fuels Corp.Energy · Oil & Gas Refining & Marketingas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $1.70 · now $1.70 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CLNE has typically landed between $1.29 and $2.15 — a range of −24.1% to +26.5% from the issuance price $1.70.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

4,837 overlapping 1 month windows · 2007-05-25 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($1.70) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$1.7 · 9% of range

$1.57 low$3.06 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−2.2%

typical move · IQR 20.7%

−24.1%worst (p90)+26.5%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where CLNE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $1.7 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $1.7 (+0.0%)
typical $1.66 (-2.2%)
middle 50% $1.49–$1.84
90% range $1.29–$2.15

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,837 windows spanning 2007-05-25 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2008-10-22	−68.2%	−68.2%	+0.0%
2008-10-21	−66.5%	−66.5%	+0.0%
2008-10-23	−61.2%	−66.2%	+1.4%
3 best
2020-12-07	+163.7%	+0.0%	+163.7%
2020-12-14	+142.5%	+0.0%	+163.7%
2020-12-11	+137.7%	−3.9%	+153.4%

4,837 overlapping windows · 2007-05-25 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

47%

+0.5%

n=19

Feb

53%

+3.6%

n=19

Mar

68%

+3.0%

n=19

Apr

32%

+1.7%

n=19

May

42%

+3.4%

n=19

Jun

60%

+1.0%

n=20

Jul

55%

+3.5%

n=20

Aug

45%

+1.4%

n=20

Sep

50%

−3.4%

n=20

Oct

42%

−1.6%

n=19

Nov

47%

−2.1%

n=19

Dec

42%

+0.1%

n=19

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-10	Corbus Barclay	director	Purchase	25,000 @ $1.62	$41K	+1.9% of holding	+3.2%	not yet — horizon still open	1,375,021	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-25	Scully Stephen	director	Purchase	25,000 @ $1.75	$44K	+7.5% of holding	+8.8%	not yet — horizon still open	360,244	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-23	Corbus Barclay	director	Purchase	14,000 @ $1.77	$25K	+1.0% of holding	+20.2%	not yet — horizon still open	1,350,021	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-18	Littlefair Andrew J	director	Sale	165,000 @ $2.05	$338K	−7.9% of holding	−8.2%	not yet — horizon still open	1,914,993	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-18	Corbus Barclay	director	Sale	105,300 @ $2.63	$277K	−9.0% of holding	+0.5%	−20.0%	1,061,248	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-14	Littlefair Andrew J	director	Sale	250,000 @ $2.25	$563K	−14.3% of holding	+3.7%	+9.5%	1,494,637	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-21	Vreeland Robert M.	officer	Purchase	5,000 @ $1.68	$8K	+0.8% of holding	−8.5%	+39.8%	646,938	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-21	Vreeland Robert M.	officer	Purchase	5,000 @ $1.67	$8K	+0.8% of holding	−8.5%	+39.8%	641,938	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-06	Vreeland Robert M.	officer	Purchase	10,000 @ $1.83	$18K	+1.6% of holding	−9.1%	+21.6%	636,938	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-26	Vreeland Robert M.	officer	Purchase	15,000 @ $1.94	$29K	+3.4% of holding	−6.0%	+26.7%	458,800	Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

42 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-23	Frabotta Bartolomeo A.	officer	Award / grant	50,000	512,886	Form 4
2026-06-10	Taormina Vincent C	director	Gift	67,839	0	Form 4
2026-06-10	Taormina Vincent C	director	Award / grant	67,839	423,144	Form 4
2026-06-10	Scully Stephen	director	Award / grant	67,839	67,839	Form 4
2026-06-10	Scully Stephen	director	Gift	67,839	0	Form 4
2026-06-10	Scully Stephen	director	Award / grant	67,839	335,244	Form 4
2026-06-10	Ford Patrick J	director	Award / grant	67,839	126,799	Form 4
2026-06-10	ARDISANA LIZABETH A	director	Award / grant	67,839	166,126	Form 4
2026-06-10	Littlefair Andrew J	director	Award / grant	67,839	1,982,832	Form 4
2026-06-10	Taormina Vincent C	director	Award / grant	67,839	67,839	Form 4
2026-04-22	Littlefair Andrew J	director	Award / grant	403,255	2,079,993	Form 4
2026-04-22	Corbus Barclay	director	Award / grant	166,532	1,336,021	Form 4
2026-03-04	Corbus Barclay	director	Withheld for tax	60,561	1,169,489	Form 4
2026-03-04	Littlefair Andrew J	director	Withheld for tax	41,976	1,676,738	Form 4
2026-03-04	Vreeland Robert M.	officer	Withheld for tax	30,982	832,274	Form 4
2026-03-02	Littlefair Andrew J	director	Award / grant	250,000	1,718,714	Form 4
2026-03-02	Vreeland Robert M.	officer	Award / grant	200,000	863,256	Form 4
2026-03-02	Corbus Barclay	director	Award / grant	200,000	1,230,050	Form 4
2026-02-27	Vreeland Robert M.	officer	Withheld for tax	36,482	610,456	Form 4
2026-02-27	Corbus Barclay	director	Withheld for tax	31,198	1,030,050	Form 4
2026-02-27	Littlefair Andrew J	director	Withheld for tax	25,923	1,468,714	Form 4
2025-05-22	Ford Patrick J	director	Award / grant	32,258	58,960	Form 4
2025-05-22	Ford Patrick J	director	Award / grant	45,112	45,112	Form 4
2025-05-22	Taormina Vincent C	director	Award / grant	45,112	45,112	Form 4
2025-05-22	Taormina Vincent C	director	Gift	32,258	0	Form 4
2025-05-22	Taormina Vincent C	director	Award / grant	32,258	355,305	Form 4
2025-05-22	Scully Stephen	director	Award / grant	32,258	32,258	Form 4
2025-05-22	Scully Stephen	director	Award / grant	32,258	267,405	Form 4
2025-05-22	Scully Stephen	director	Award / grant	45,112	45,112	Form 4
2025-05-22	ARDISANA LIZABETH A	director	Award / grant	32,258	98,287	Form 4
2025-05-22	ARDISANA LIZABETH A	director	Award / grant	45,112	45,112	Form 4
2025-05-22	Taormina Vincent C	director	Award / grant	32,258	32,258	Form 4
2025-05-22	Scully Stephen	director	Gift	32,258	0	Form 4
2025-03-04	Corbus Barclay	director	Withheld for tax	48,660	1,166,548	Form 4
2025-03-04	Vreeland Robert M.	officer	Withheld for tax	31,862	626,938	Form 4
2025-03-04	Littlefair Andrew J	director	Withheld for tax	30,413	1,744,637	Form 4
2025-02-27	Corbus Barclay	director	Award / grant	200,000	1,215,208	Form 4
2025-02-27	Corbus Barclay	director	Award / grant	50,000	50,000	Form 4
2025-02-27	Vreeland Robert M.	officer	Award / grant	200,000	658,800	Form 4
2025-02-27	Vreeland Robert M.	officer	Award / grant	50,000	50,000	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i