Issued 2026-09-16 at $318.96 · now $318.96 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CLH has typically landed between $286.85 and $357.43 — a range of −10.1% to +12.1% from the issuance price $318.96.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($318.96) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CLH has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $318.96 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $318.96 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $326.63 (+2.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $311.42–$341.84
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $286.85–$357.43
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −63.8% | −63.8% | +2.0% |
| 2020-02-19 | −55.7% | −64.2% | +0.7% |
| 2020-02-21 | −54.6% | −64.1% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-03-18 | +70.8% | +0.0% | +80.4% |
| 2020-10-28 | +39.8% | −0.7% | +41.6% |
| 2022-07-14 | +38.9% | +0.0% | +38.9% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | GERSTENBERG ERIC W | officer | Sale | 2,500 @ $321.34 | $803K | −4.2% of holding | +1.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 56,793 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Robertson Andrea | director | Sale | 789 @ $314.01 | $248K | −8.1% of holding | +0.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,979 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-26 | States Lauren | director | Sale | 789 @ $286.19 | $226K | −6.5% of holding | +6.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 11,359 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-18 | GERSTENBERG ERIC W | officer | Sale | 1,000 @ $293.00 | $293K | −2.5% of holding | −4.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 38,877 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-18 | Reed Marcy L. | director | Sale | 836 @ $287.94 | $241K | −14.1% of holding | −4.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,081 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-17 | Weber Brian P | officer | Sale | 4,683 @ $293.39 | $1.4M | −8.8% of holding | −2.8% | −3.2% | 48,728 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-04 | MCKIM ALAN S | director | Sale | 100,000 @ $292.65 | $29.3M | −4.6% of holding | +5.4% | −4.7% | 2,065,368 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-23 | GERSTENBERG ERIC W | officer | Sale | 2,500 @ $279.86 | $700K | −5.5% of holding | +5.6% | −0.8% | 43,020 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-20 | Gabriel Sharon M. | officer | Sale | 3,540 @ $282.07 | $999K | −13.2% of holding | +5.2% | −0.7% | 23,193 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-20 | Dugas Eric J. | officer | Sale | 2,788 @ $281.31 | $784K | −14.9% of holding | +5.2% | −0.7% | 15,933 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-19 | MCKIM ALAN S | director | Sale | 100,000 @ $281.14 | $28.1M | −4.2% of holding | +3.0% | +2.4% | 2,275,368 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-19 | Welch John R. | director | Sale | 750 @ $273.07 | $205K | −6.8% of holding | +3.0% | +2.4% | 10,237 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-16 | GERSTENBERG ERIC W | officer | Sale | 601 @ $240.90 | $145K | −1.2% of holding | +7.8% | +9.3% | 50,454 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-01 | Battles Michael Louis | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $233.50 | $467K | +2.5% of holding | −0.1% | −0.9% | 82,911 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-31 | Robertson Andrea | director | Sale | 836 @ $233.64 | $195K | −7.8% of holding | +0.7% | +0.1% | 9,888 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-13 | Weber Brian P | officer | Sale | 3,035 @ $227.17 | $689K | −5.3% of holding | −4.4% | −8.2% | 54,548 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-06 | GERSTENBERG ERIC W | officer | Sale | 8,076 @ $225.23 | $1.8M | −13.5% of holding | −2.5% | −10.1% | 51,619 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-05 | MCKIM ALAN S | director | Sale | 58,156 @ $223.80 | $13.0M | −2.5% of holding | −1.6% | −10.9% | 2,297,896 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-05 | Quirk Alison A. | director | Sale | 893 @ $223.69 | $200K | −23.1% of holding | −1.6% | −10.9% | 2,978 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-04 | MCKIM ALAN S | director | Sale | 41,844 @ $225.40 | $9.4M | −1.7% of holding | +0.3% | −9.7% | 2,356,052 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-28 | Welch John R. | director | Sale | 1,250 @ $228.51 | $286K | −9.9% of holding | −3.1% | −16.8% | 11,402 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-27 | Speights Robert | officer | Sale | 1,022 @ $228.49 | $234K | −5.9% of holding | −3.3% | −19.9% | 16,310 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-22 | States Lauren | director | Sale | 836 @ $226.17 | $189K | −6.6% of holding | −2.2% | −20.7% | 11,871 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-10 | Speights Robert | officer | Sale | 2,725 @ $190.44 | $519K | −6.4% of holding | +8.0% | +9.0% | 40,008 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-10 | Dugas Eric J. | officer | Purchase | 1,050 @ $191.38 | $201K | +4.5% of holding | +8.0% | +9.0% | 24,238 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-03 | MCKIM ALAN S | director | Sale | 50,000 @ $210.18 | $10.5M | −2.0% of holding | +0.3% | +5.6% | 2,422,011 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-03 | MCKIM ALAN S | director | Sale | 2,999 @ $212.02 | $636K | −0.1% of holding | +0.3% | +5.6% | 2,397,896 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-18 | States Lauren | director | Sale | 308 @ $228.79 | $70K | −2.5% of holding | −6.0% | +2.8% | 11,918 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-15 | States Lauren | director | Sale | 308 @ $239.04 | $74K | −2.5% of holding | −5.9% | −10.4% | 12,226 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-16 | States Lauren | director | Sale | 308 @ $245.06 | $75K | −2.4% of holding | −1.4% | −7.5% | 12,534 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
146 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | MCKIM ALAN S | director | Withheld for tax | 1,265 | 30,154 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | CURTIS GEORGE L | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,757 | 44,291 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | MCKIM ALAN S | director | Withheld for tax | 1,343 | 31,419 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Battles Michael Louis | director | Withheld for tax | 1,032 | 94,355 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Weber Brian P | officer | Withheld for tax | 814 | 47,914 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | GERSTENBERG ERIC W | officer | Withheld for tax | 564 | 38,313 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Dugas Eric J. | officer | Withheld for tax | 447 | 13,532 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Gabriel Sharon M. | officer | Withheld for tax | 359 | 20,706 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Underwood Rebecca | officer | Withheld for tax | 311 | 18,373 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-01 | Geer Charles H. II | officer | Withheld for tax | 40 | 10,799 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Diderich Jeroen | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,717 | 16,152 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Polito Karyn | director | Award / grant | 652 | 4,127 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | States Lauren | director | Award / grant | 652 | 12,148 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Stewart Shelley JR | director | Award / grant | 652 | 4,523 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Willett Robert | director | Award / grant | 652 | 10,028 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Reed Marcy L. | director | Award / grant | 652 | 5,733 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | PRESTON JOHN T | director | Award / grant | 652 | 7,044 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Robertson Andrea | director | Award / grant | 652 | 9,768 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Quirk Alison A. | director | Award / grant | 652 | 3,630 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Welch John R. | director | Award / grant | 652 | 10,889 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | GALANTE EDWARD G | director | Award / grant | 652 | 25,461 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Polito Karyn | director | Award / grant | 460 | 3,475 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Robertson Andrea | director | Gift | 342 | 9,116 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | MCKIM ALAN S | director | Withheld for tax | 1,265 | 32,762 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Battles Michael Louis | director | Withheld for tax | 1,148 | 97,538 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | GERSTENBERG ERIC W | officer | Withheld for tax | 977 | 42,043 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Weber Brian P | officer | Withheld for tax | 960 | 55,280 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Gabriel Sharon M. | officer | Withheld for tax | 727 | 22,466 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Dugas Eric J. | officer | Withheld for tax | 630 | 15,303 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | CURTIS GEORGE L | officer | Withheld for tax | 350 | 47,065 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Underwood Rebecca | officer | Withheld for tax | 125 | 20,085 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Harrison Robert W. | officer | Withheld for tax | 18 | 7,016 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | CURTIS GEORGE L | officer | Disposition | 1,028 | 46,048 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | GERSTENBERG ERIC W | officer | Disposition | 2,166 | 39,877 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Weber Brian P | officer | Disposition | 1,869 | 53,411 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Geer Charles H. II | officer | Disposition | 139 | 10,839 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Underwood Rebecca | officer | Disposition | 1,401 | 18,684 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Battles Michael Louis | director | Disposition | 2,166 | 95,387 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Dugas Eric J. | officer | Disposition | 1,324 | 13,979 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | Harrison Robert W. | officer | Disposition | 368 | 6,648 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.