Issued 2026-09-16 at $38.71 · now $38.71 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CLDX has typically landed between $30.57 and $49.15 — a range of −21.0% to +27.0% from the issuance price $38.71.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,000 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($38.71) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CLDX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $38.71 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $38.71 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $38.48 (-0.6%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $34.65–$42.3
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $30.57–$49.15
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2018-03-21 | −72.0% | −72.4% | +0.0% |
| 2018-03-19 | −71.5% | −71.5% | +2.9% |
| 2018-03-20 | −71.2% | −72.0% | +1.2% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-05-18 | +473.1% | +0.0% | +473.1% |
| 2020-05-19 | +436.6% | +0.0% | +463.4% |
| 2020-05-29 | +401.1% | −0.4% | +402.2% |
5,000 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-04 | Jimenez Freddy A. | officer | Sale | 4,166 @ $29.09 | $121K | −11.9% of holding | −12.6% | −12.1% | 30,796 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-13 | Wright Richard M. | other | Sale | 49,298 @ $24.00 | $1.2M | −70.3% of holding | +12.9% | +16.9% | 20,833 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-13 | Jimenez Freddy A. | officer | Sale | 430 @ $25.41 | $11K | −1.2% of holding | −4.1% | −11.9% | 34,962 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-13 | Jimenez Freddy A. | officer | Sale | 341 @ $23.95 | $8K | −1.0% of holding | −4.1% | −11.9% | 35,392 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
48 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | Jimenez Freddy A. | officer | Award / grant | 93,000 | 93,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Lawver Teri L | director | Award / grant | 90,000 | 90,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Brownlie Keith L | director | Award / grant | 26,000 | 26,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | CONRAD HERBERT J | director | Award / grant | 26,000 | 26,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Cavanaugh Sarah | officer | Award / grant | 95,000 | 95,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | PENNER HARRY JR | director | Award / grant | 26,000 | 26,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | MARINO JAMES J | director | Award / grant | 26,000 | 26,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | PEPIN RONALD | officer | Award / grant | 20,000 | 20,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | KELER TIBOR | officer | Award / grant | 115,000 | 115,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Marucci Anthony S | director | Award / grant | 375,000 | 375,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Cohen Cheryl | director | Award / grant | 26,000 | 26,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | NEIL GARRY ARTHUR | director | Award / grant | 26,000 | 26,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Young Diane C. | officer | Award / grant | 57,000 | 57,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Crowley Elizabeth | officer | Award / grant | 100,000 | 100,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Jain Rita | director | Award / grant | 26,000 | 26,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Martin Samuel Bates | officer | Award / grant | 93,000 | 93,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Heath-Chiozzi Margo | officer | Award / grant | 95,000 | 95,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-25 | Torres Denice | director | Award / grant | 26,000 | 26,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Martin Samuel Bates | officer | Option exercise | 4,817 | 32,942 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Martin Samuel Bates | officer | Option exercise | 4,817 | 58,815 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | PEPIN RONALD | officer | Option exercise | 8,333 | 9,097 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | PEPIN RONALD | officer | Option exercise | 11,000 | 20,097 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | PEPIN RONALD | officer | Option exercise | 11,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-15 | PEPIN RONALD | officer | Option exercise | 8,333 | 5,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-13 | Wright Richard M. | other | Option exercise | 15,750 | 70,131 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-13 | Wright Richard M. | other | Option exercise | 26,672 | 54,381 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-13 | Wright Richard M. | other | Option exercise | 6,876 | 27,709 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-13 | Wright Richard M. | other | Option exercise | 15,750 | 7,875 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-13 | Wright Richard M. | other | Option exercise | 6,876 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-13 | Wright Richard M. | other | Option exercise | 26,672 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-10 | Lawver Teri L | director | Award / grant | 100,000 | 100,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-05 | Heath-Chiozzi Margo | officer | Award / grant | 82,000 | 82,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-05 | CONRAD HERBERT J | director | Award / grant | 16,500 | 16,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-05 | MARINO JAMES J | director | Award / grant | 16,500 | 16,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-05 | Cavanaugh Sarah | officer | Award / grant | 78,000 | 78,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-05 | Brownlie Keith L | director | Award / grant | 16,500 | 16,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-05 | NEIL GARRY ARTHUR | director | Award / grant | 16,500 | 16,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-05 | Torres Denice | director | Award / grant | 33,000 | 33,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-05 | Young Diane C. | officer | Award / grant | 72,000 | 72,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-05 | Cohen Cheryl | director | Award / grant | 16,500 | 16,500 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.