CLColgate-Palmolive CompanyConsumer Defensive · Household & Personal Productsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $87.02 · now $87.02 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CL has typically landed between $80.31 and $94.02 — a range of −7.7% to +8.0% from the issuance price $87.02.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($87.02) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CL has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $87.02 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$80.31worst · -7.7%$94.02best · +8.0%
  • now $87.02 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $87.57 (+0.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $84.56–$90.57
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $80.31–$94.02
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-26−28.5%−28.5%+0.0%
2008-09-25−25.9%−25.9%+1.4%
2008-09-11−23.6%−23.6%+0.6%
3 best
2026-01-06+23.6%−0.1%+23.6%
2026-01-05+23.4%+0.0%+23.4%
2026-01-07+23.2%+0.0%+23.8%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$72.6B
market cap
$2.57
EPS (TTM)
35.3
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-31
next earnings
Revenue$20.4B
'20'25
Net income$2.1B
'20'25
Free cash flow$3.6B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr10.5%
'20'25
ROE · by yr3948.1%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr147.93
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 28 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $87.02$59.79$105.13
  • DCF (intrinsic)$93.17
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 24.4× · n=28$62.92
  • Analyst target · range $79.00–$102.00$99.50
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$87.02

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
33%
+0.2%
n=18
Feb
58%
+0.9%
n=19
Mar
74%
+1.5%
n=19
Apr
68%
+1.1%
n=19
May
58%
+1.0%
n=19
Jun
58%
+0.9%
n=19
Jul
63%
+1.0%
n=19
Aug
42%
−0.2%
n=19
Sep
42%
−0.9%
n=19
Oct
56%
−0.6%
n=18
Nov
72%
+2.4%
n=18
Dec
56%
+0.8%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$98$742026-08-24: 1 insider sale, $920K — Tsourapas Panagiotis2026-08-06: 1 insider sale, $389K — CAHILL JOHN T2026-08-05: 1 insider sale, $14.9M — Wallace Noel R.2026-08-04: 1 insider sale, $14.8M — Wallace Noel R.2026-05-15: 1 insider sale, $203K — Malcolm Gregory2026-05-07: 1 insider sale, $752K — Massey Sally2026-02-12: 1 insider sale, $1.5M — Tsourapas Panagiotis2026-02-11: 1 insider sale, $3.3M — Tsourapas Panagiotis2026-02-10: 1 insider sale, $2.0M — Hazlin John2026-02-06: 1 insider sale, $1.2M — Malcolm Gregory2026-02-05: 1 insider sale, $1.5M — Massey Sally2026-02-04: 3 insider sales, $15.6M — SUTULA STANLEY J III, Wallace Noel R., Daniels Jennifer2025-11-21: 1 insider sale, $100K — Massey Sally2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $100K2026-02: 8 open-market sales, $25.1M2026-05: 2 open-market sales, $955K2026-08: 4 open-market sales, $31.0M↑ buys↓ salesofficer Tsourapas Panagiotis — Sale on 2026-08-24, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CAHILL JOHN T — Sale on 2026-08-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Wallace Noel R. — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Wallace Noel R. — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Malcolm Gregory — Sale on 2026-05-15, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Massey Sally — Sale on 2026-05-07, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Tsourapas Panagiotis — Sale on 2026-02-12, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Tsourapas Panagiotis — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Hazlin John — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Malcolm Gregory — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Massey Sally — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector SUTULA STANLEY J III — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Wallace Noel R. — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Daniels Jennifer — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Massey Sally — Sale on 2025-11-21, filed 3 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-24Tsourapas PanagiotisofficerSale10,000 @ $92.05$920K−13.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open64,901Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-06CAHILL JOHN TdirectorSale4,170 @ $93.37$389K−12.8% of holding−4.8%not yet — horizon still open28,373Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-05Wallace Noel R.directorSale161,021 @ $92.52$14.9M−30.8% of holding−3.9%not yet — horizon still open362,231Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-04Wallace Noel R.directorSale161,021 @ $91.92$14.8M−30.8% of holding−1.8%not yet — horizon still open362,231Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-15Malcolm GregoryofficerSale2,300 @ $88.44$203K−14.5% of holding+1.4%not yet — horizon still open13,598Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-07Massey SallyofficerSale8,599 @ $87.41$752K−38.4% of holding−2.5%not yet — horizon still open13,785Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-12Tsourapas PanagiotisofficerSale15,000 @ $97.81$1.5M−59.0% of holding−4.3%−17.8%10,415Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-11Tsourapas PanagiotisofficerSale35,000 @ $94.61$3.3M−77.1% of holding−2.5%−14.3%10,415Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-10Hazlin JohnofficerSale20,989 @ $94.25$2.0M−54.3% of holding−2.6%−12.7%17,645Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-06Malcolm GregoryofficerSale12,747 @ $94.91$1.2M−51.8% of holding−0.1%−12.7%11,879Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-05Massey SallyofficerSale15,851 @ $95.03$1.5M−53.5% of holding−2.1%−15.2%13,751Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-04SUTULA STANLEY J IIIdirectorSale97,843 @ $94.27$9.2M−63.9% of holding+1.2%−12.9%55,310Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-04Wallace Noel R.directorSale45,568 @ $93.91$4.3M−13.5% of holding+1.2%−12.9%293,188Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-04Daniels JenniferdirectorSale22,000 @ $94.34$2.1M−22.4% of holding+1.2%−12.9%76,406Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-21Massey SallyofficerSale1,237 @ $80.89$100K−8.3% of holding−5.9%−0.3%13,751Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-15Massey SallyofficerSale2,250 @ $88.97$200K−15.2% of holding−1.5%−25.4%12,583Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-25Massey SallyofficerSale8,000 @ $92.02$736K−35.1% of holding+3.7%−17.0%14,805Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

175 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-13Wallace Noel R.directorWithheld for tax4,892350,051Form 4
2026-09-13SUTULA STANLEY J IIIdirectorWithheld for tax1,38570,984Form 4
2026-09-13Tsourapas PanagiotisofficerWithheld for tax9226,850Form 4
2026-09-13Massey SallyofficerWithheld for tax68612,064Form 4
2026-09-13Hazlin JohnofficerWithheld for tax49923,113Form 4
2026-09-13Fishbone BetsyofficerWithheld for tax47213,843Form 4
2026-09-13Malcolm GregoryofficerWithheld for tax22513,081Form 4
2026-09-12Wallace Noel R.directorWithheld for tax3,516354,943Form 4
2026-09-12SUTULA STANLEY J IIIdirectorWithheld for tax92772,369Form 4
2026-09-12Tsourapas PanagiotisofficerWithheld for tax6187,772Form 4
2026-09-12Massey SallyofficerWithheld for tax45912,750Form 4
2026-09-12Hazlin JohnofficerWithheld for tax43923,612Form 4
2026-09-12Fishbone BetsyofficerWithheld for tax33114,315Form 4
2026-09-12Malcolm GregoryofficerWithheld for tax15113,306Form 4
2026-09-11Wallace Noel R.directorWithheld for tax4,071358,459Form 4
2026-09-11SUTULA STANLEY J IIIdirectorWithheld for tax1,19773,296Form 4
2026-09-11Tsourapas PanagiotisofficerWithheld for tax6848,390Form 4
2026-09-11Massey SallyofficerWithheld for tax65113,209Form 4
2026-09-11Hazlin JohnofficerWithheld for tax64924,051Form 4
2026-09-11GRANT SHANEdirectorWithheld for tax62272,148Form 4
2026-09-11Fishbone BetsyofficerWithheld for tax40414,646Form 4
2026-09-11Malcolm GregoryofficerWithheld for tax16713,457Form 4
2026-08-06CAHILL JOHN TdirectorOption exercise4,17032,543Form 4
2026-08-06CAHILL JOHN TdirectorOption exercise4,1700Form 4
2026-08-05Wallace Noel R.directorOption exercise161,021523,252Form 4
2026-08-05Wallace Noel R.directorOption exercise161,0210Form 4
2026-08-04Wallace Noel R.directorOption exercise161,021523,252Form 4
2026-08-04Wallace Noel R.directorOption exercise161,021161,021Form 4
2026-07-01NORRINGTON LORRIE MdirectorAward / grant29342,769Form 4
2026-07-01BILBREY JOHN PdirectorAward / grant26540,229Form 4
2026-07-01Newman BriandirectorAward / grant2097,831Form 4
2026-06-16GRANT SHANEdirectorWithheld for tax23,34772,481Form 4
2026-05-11BOERNER CHRISTOPHER S.directorAward / grant1,3831,383Form 4
2026-05-11Edwards LisadirectorAward / grant2,4242,424Form 4
2026-05-11Edwards LisadirectorAward / grant2,07518,182Form 4
2026-05-11CAHILL JOHN TdirectorAward / grant2,4242,424Form 4
2026-05-11HARRIS C MARTINdirectorAward / grant1,55624,517Form 4
2026-05-11Nelson Kimberly AdirectorAward / grant2,07511,634Form 4
2026-05-11Newman BriandirectorAward / grant2,4242,424Form 4
2026-05-11NORRINGTON LORRIE MdirectorAward / grant2,07542,312Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-07-062026-06-02$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-15$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-13$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-12-082025-11-10$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-12-082025-11-03$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-11-062025-10-07$1–15K
Lisa McclainHousesale2025-10-222025-09-11$1–15K
Rick LarsenHousesale2025-10-162025-10-06$1–15K
Tim MooreHousesale2025-10-102025-09-10$1–15K
Julie JohnsonHousesale2025-10-072025-09-25$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-10-032025-09-05$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-10-032025-09-09$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-10-032025-09-29$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.