Issued 2026-09-16 at $36.27 · now $36.27 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CIX has typically landed between $31.27 and $44.90 — a range of −13.8% to +23.8% from the issuance price $36.27.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($36.27) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CIX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $36.27 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $36.27 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $36.61 (+0.9%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $34.77–$38.45
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $31.27–$44.9
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2007-12-10 | −42.8% | −42.8% | +0.0% |
| 2007-12-27 | −41.3% | −41.3% | +0.6% |
| 2007-10-26 | −39.8% | −39.8% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2024-02-21 | +77.2% | +0.0% | +77.2% |
| 2024-02-20 | +62.3% | −3.6% | +62.3% |
| 2024-02-22 | +61.2% | +0.0% | +72.1% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 | MANIX ANN | director | Sale | 795 @ $29.73 | $24K | −8.3% of holding | +14.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,777 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | MANIX ANN | director | Sale | 330 @ $29.42 | $10K | −3.2% of holding | +14.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 9,905 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | MANIX ANN | director | Sale | 200 @ $29.44 | $6K | −2.0% of holding | +14.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 9,705 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | MANIX ANN | director | Sale | 100 @ $29.53 | $3K | −1.0% of holding | +14.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 9,605 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | MANIX ANN | director | Sale | 33 @ $29.56 | $975 | −0.3% of holding | +14.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 9,572 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | MANIX ANN | director | Sale | 20 @ $29.41 | $588 | −0.2% of holding | +14.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,235 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | MANIX ANN | director | Sale | 20 @ $29.41 | $588 | −0.2% of holding | +14.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,255 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-11 | MANIX ANN | director | Sale | 2 @ $29.74 | $59 | −0.0% of holding | +14.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 8,775 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-11 | Hanley Bryan A. | officer | Purchase | 500 @ $22.15 | $11K | +32.3% of holding | +2.1% | −6.5% | 2,050 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-11 | Hanley Bryan A. | officer | Purchase | 200 @ $22.50 | $5K | +9.8% of holding | +2.1% | −6.5% | 2,250 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-11 | Hanley Bryan A. | officer | Purchase | 50 @ $21.50 | $1K | +3.3% of holding | +2.1% | −6.5% | 1,550 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
14 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Feehan Loretta J. | director | Award / grant | 1,700 | 13,400 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | JAMES SCOTT C | director | Award / grant | 1,700 | 1,700 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | BARRY THOMAS E | director | Award / grant | 1,700 | 12,100 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | MANIX ANN | director | Award / grant | 1,700 | 10,275 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Herrington Terri | director | Award / grant | 1,700 | 10,100 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Tidlund Mary A. | director | Award / grant | 1,700 | 8,100 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Simmons Michael Shawn | director | Award / grant | 1,700 | 1,700 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-20 | Norris Gina A. | director | Award / grant | 1,700 | 3,250 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-21 | MANIX ANN | director | Award / grant | 750 | 8,575 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-21 | Tidlund Mary A. | director | Award / grant | 750 | 6,400 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-21 | Norris Gina A. | director | Award / grant | 750 | 1,550 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-21 | BARRY THOMAS E | director | Award / grant | 750 | 10,400 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-21 | Herrington Terri | director | Award / grant | 750 | 8,400 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-21 | Feehan Loretta J. | director | Award / grant | 750 | 11,700 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.