CI · TickerCove

CICigna CorporationHealthcare · Medical - Healthcare Plansas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $280.45 · now $280.45 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CI has typically landed between $251.68 and $309.54 — a range of −10.3% to +10.4% from the issuance price $280.45.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($280.45) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$280.45 · 61% of range

$240.32 low$305.8 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.5%

typical move · IQR 8.4%

−10.3%worst (p90)+10.4%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

6 buys · 8 sells · 6 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where CI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $280.45 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $280.45 (+0.0%)
typical $284.6 (+1.5%)
middle 50% $272.79–$296.41
90% range $251.68–$309.54

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2008-10-23	−63.9%	−63.9%	+0.0%
2008-10-22	−63.7%	−63.7%	+0.0%
2008-10-21	−61.0%	−61.0%	+0.0%
3 best
2008-11-21	+75.9%	+0.0%	+83.4%
2008-11-20	+74.9%	−0.6%	+82.3%
2008-12-01	+50.9%	+0.0%	+50.9%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iiAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$76.6B

market cap

$23.58

EPS (TTM)

12.3

P/E (TTM)

2026-07-30

next earnings

Revenue$275.0B

'20'25

Net income$6.0B

'20'25

Free cash flow$8.4B

'20'25

Net margin · by yr2.2%

'20'25

ROE · by yr14.3%

'20'25

Debt / equity · by yr0.75

'20'25

Fair value — three views i

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 54 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.

DCF (intrinsic)$1,929
Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 27.4× · n=54$647.04
Analyst target · range $302.00–$400.00$340.00
Current price · last close 2026-09-16$280.45

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

67%

+2.3%

n=18

Feb

53%

−0.8%

n=19

Mar

58%

+1.6%

n=19

Apr

63%

+2.0%

n=19

May

53%

+1.3%

n=19

Jun

58%

+1.4%

n=19

Jul

58%

+0.4%

n=19

Aug

63%

+2.1%

n=19

Sep

37%

−1.6%

n=19

Oct

56%

−0.5%

n=18

Nov

78%

+4.1%

n=18

Dec

56%

+3.0%

n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-03	Neville Everett	officer	Sale	617 @ $284.05	$175K	−10.9% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	5,053	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-08-18	Jones Nicole S	officer	Sale	2,677 @ $279.61	$749K	−9.4% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	25,880	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-04	Jones Nicole S	officer	Sale	19,436 @ $276.27	$5.4M	−41.6% of holding	+3.4%	not yet — horizon still open	27,256	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-12	Kates Jamie G	officer	Sale	899 @ $298.61	$268K	−27.5% of holding	−2.1%	not yet — horizon still open	2,368	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-12	Cordani David	director	Sale	41,099 @ $290.00	$11.9M	−20.1% of holding	−0.6%	not yet — horizon still open	163,082	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-12	Cordani David	director	Sale	38,487 @ $294.98	$11.4M	−30.3% of holding	−0.6%	not yet — horizon still open	88,545	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-12	Cordani David	director	Sale	34,641 @ $295.98	$10.3M	−39.1% of holding	−0.6%	not yet — horizon still open	53,904	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-12	Cordani David	director	Sale	15,319 @ $298.24	$4.6M	−29.5% of holding	−0.6%	not yet — horizon still open	36,568	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-12	Cordani David	director	Sale	14,292 @ $287.96	$4.1M	−6.2% of holding	−0.6%	not yet — horizon still open	218,020	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-12	Cordani David	director	Sale	13,839 @ $288.85	$4.0M	−6.3% of holding	−0.6%	not yet — horizon still open	204,181	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-12	Cordani David	director	Sale	13,732 @ $291.01	$4.0M	−8.4% of holding	−0.6%	not yet — horizon still open	149,350	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-12	Cordani David	director	Sale	12,315 @ $291.95	$3.6M	−8.2% of holding	−0.6%	not yet — horizon still open	137,035	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-12	Cordani David	director	Sale	7,861 @ $292.88	$2.3M	−5.7% of holding	−0.6%	not yet — horizon still open	129,174	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-12	Cordani David	director	Sale	3,903 @ $286.83	$1.1M	−1.7% of holding	−0.6%	not yet — horizon still open	232,312	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-12	Cordani David	director	Sale	2,231 @ $298.53	$666K	−6.1% of holding	−0.6%	not yet — horizon still open	34,337	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-12	Cordani David	director	Sale	2,142 @ $293.92	$630K	−1.7% of holding	−0.6%	not yet — horizon still open	127,032	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-12	Cordani David	director	Sale	2,017 @ $296.84	$599K	−3.7% of holding	−0.6%	not yet — horizon still open	51,887	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-02	Jones Nicole S	officer	Sale	2,307 @ $288.91	$667K	−6.6% of holding	−2.8%	−16.3%	32,647	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02	Neville Everett	officer	Sale	1,719 @ $288.91	$497K	−23.3% of holding	−2.8%	−16.3%	5,670	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-03	Cordani David	director	Purchase	4,134 @ $241.88	$1000K	+2.7% of holding	+4.4%	+2.2%	157,935	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-10-03	Evanko Brian C	director	Sale	5,368 @ $300.00	$1.6M	−9.5% of holding	−19.0%	−9.9%	51,182	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-15	Jones Nicole S	officer	Sale	28,526 @ $300.00	$8.6M	−52.7% of holding	−3.0%	−7.8%	25,648	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-14	Granger Elder	director	Sale	2,376 @ $310.35	$737K	−30.3% of holding	+9.1%	−22.2%	5,471	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-07	Eder Noelle K	director	Sale	9,944 @ $320.00	$3.2M	−42.6% of holding	+10.4%	−18.7%	13,406	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-03	Cordani David	director	Sale	26,527 @ $308.12	$8.2M	−17.2% of holding	+10.4%	−12.9%	127,767	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-03	Jones Nicole S	officer	Sale	4,904 @ $308.12	$1.5M	−14.3% of holding	+10.4%	−12.9%	29,421	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

131 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-01	Evanko Brian C	director	Award / grant	6,716	6,716	Form 4
2026-09-01	Evanko Brian C	director	Award / grant	3,113	41,030	Form 4
2026-08-31	Kurian George	director	Award / grant	109	2,042	Form 4
2026-08-06	Holgerson Bryan	officer	Award / grant	1	945	Form 4
2026-08-05	Jones Nicole S	officer	Option exercise	1,301	28,557	Form 4
2026-08-05	Jones Nicole S	officer	Option exercise	1,301	0	Form 4
2026-08-04	Jones Nicole S	officer	Option exercise	14,045	46,692	Form 4
2026-08-04	Jones Nicole S	officer	Option exercise	14,045	1,301	Form 4
2026-07-23	Holgerson Bryan	officer	Award / grant	1	944	Form 4
2026-07-09	Holgerson Bryan	officer	Award / grant	1	943	Form 4
2026-06-12	Kates Jamie G	officer	Option exercise	899	3,267	Form 4
2026-06-12	Kates Jamie G	officer	Option exercise	899	0	Form 4
2026-06-01	Koka Durga Prasad	officer	Withheld for tax	729	6,552	Form 4
2026-05-29	Kurian George	director	Award / grant	108	1,922	Form 4
2026-05-13	Cordani David	director	Option exercise	15,458	49,795	Form 4
2026-05-13	Cordani David	director	Option exercise	7,971	57,766	Form 4
2026-05-13	Cordani David	director	Option exercise	15,458	0	Form 4
2026-05-13	Cordani David	director	Option exercise	7,971	0	Form 4
2026-05-12	Cordani David	director	Option exercise	85,519	236,215	Form 4
2026-05-12	Cordani David	director	Option exercise	103,595	150,696	Form 4
2026-05-12	Cordani David	director	Option exercise	103,595	15,458	Form 4
2026-05-12	Cordani David	director	Option exercise	85,519	7,971	Form 4
2026-04-22	McClellan Mark B.	director	Award / grant	782	6,891	Form 4
2026-04-22	Hathi Neesha	director	Award / grant	782	4,151	Form 4
2026-04-22	Hennigan Michael J	director	Award / grant	782	1,350	Form 4
2026-04-22	Ozuah Philip	director	Award / grant	782	2,583	Form 4
2026-04-22	WISEMAN ERIC C	director	Award / grant	782	23,940	Form 4
2026-04-22	ZARCONE DONNA F	director	Award / grant	782	27,517	Form 4
2026-04-22	MAZZARELLA KATHLEEN M	director	Award / grant	782	6,891	Form 4
2026-04-22	FOSS ERIC J	director	Award / grant	782	36,696	Form 4
2026-04-22	Ross Kimberly A.	director	Award / grant	782	5,294	Form 4
2026-04-22	Kurian George	director	Award / grant	782	4,560	Form 4
2026-02-27	Cordani David	director	Withheld for tax	11,024	51,509	Form 4
2026-02-27	Cordani David	director	Withheld for tax	4,408	47,101	Form 4
2026-02-27	Evanko Brian C	director	Withheld for tax	2,979	39,705	Form 4
2026-02-27	Jones Nicole S	officer	Withheld for tax	1,826	35,866	Form 4
2026-02-27	Evanko Brian C	director	Withheld for tax	1,788	37,917	Form 4
2026-02-27	Jones Nicole S	officer	Withheld for tax	912	34,954	Form 4
2026-02-27	Neville Everett	officer	Withheld for tax	883	7,906	Form 4
2026-02-27	Neville Everett	officer	Withheld for tax	517	7,389	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iiDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks

Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

Member	Chamber	Type	Filed	Traded	Size
Alan Armstrong	Senate	purchase	2026-07-21	2026-03-27	$1–15K
Ro Khanna	House	sale	2026-07-06	2026-06-02	$15–50K
Ro Khanna	House	purchase	2026-06-09	2026-05-15	$1–15K
Ro Khanna	House	sale	2026-05-11	2026-04-24	$1–15K
Ro Khanna	House	sale	2026-05-11	2026-04-13	$15–50K
Jared Moskowitz	House	sale	2026-04-30	2026-03-23	$1–15K
Jared Moskowitz	House	sale	2026-04-30	2026-03-23	$1–15K
Gilbert Cisneros	House	sale	2026-04-07	2026-03-13	$1–15K
Ro Khanna	House	purchase	2026-03-09	2026-02-17	$1–15K
Ro Khanna	House	purchase	2026-03-09	2026-02-24	$1–15K
Ro Khanna	House	purchase	2026-02-06	2026-01-29	$15–50K
Ro Khanna	House	purchase	2026-02-06	2026-01-13	$1–15K
Julie Johnson	House	sale	2026-01-15	2025-12-18	$1–15K
Julia Letlow	House	sale	2026-01-13	2025-04-22	$1–15K

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Fair value — three views i

Seasonality · by month i