Issued 2026-09-16 at $31.25 · now $31.25 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CHYM has typically landed between $23.29 and $43.00 — a range of −25.5% to +37.6% from the issuance price $31.25.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
296 overlapping 1 month windows · 2025-06-12 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($31.25) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CHYM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $31.25 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $31.25 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $30.86 (-1.3%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $25.65–$36.06
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $23.29–$43
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 296 windows spanning 2025-06-12 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-04-20 | −30.6% | −30.6% | +0.0% |
| 2026-02-26 | −29.1% | −29.1% | +0.0% |
| 2026-01-22 | −28.3% | −28.4% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-07-24 | +58.0% | +0.0% | +59.8% |
| 2026-07-23 | +57.9% | −0.3% | +59.3% |
| 2026-07-13 | +51.5% | −1.2% | +51.5% |
296 overlapping windows · 2025-06-12 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~2 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
100%
+1.0%
n=1
Feb
0%
−12.9%
n=1
Mar
0%
−15.4%
n=1
Apr
100%
+16.7%
n=1
May
0%
−14.9%
n=1
Jun
100%
+10.1%
n=1
Jul
50%
+6.0%
n=2
Aug
50%
+10.4%
n=2
Sep
0%
−14.6%
n=2
Oct
0%
−14.9%
n=1
Nov
100%
+23.1%
n=1
Dec
100%
+19.1%
n=1
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Feuille James | director | Sale | 161,437 @ $32.70 | $5.3M | −100.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-16 | Feuille James | director | Sale | 62,218 @ $31.46 | $2.0M | −0.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 6,593,889 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-16 | Feuille James | director | Sale | 33,182 @ $32.19 | $1.1M | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 6,560,707 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-15 | Feuille James | director | Sale | 94,446 @ $33.20 | $3.1M | −1.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 6,657,061 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-15 | FRANKEL ADAM B | officer | Sale | 86,948 @ $33.23 | $2.9M | −18.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 379,882 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-15 | FRANKEL ADAM B | officer | Sale | 15,054 @ $33.78 | $509K | −4.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 364,828 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-15 | Feuille James | director | Sale | 954 @ $33.95 | $32K | −0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 6,656,107 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,386,429 @ $33.97 | $47.1M | −7.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 16,572,395 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,386,429 @ $33.97 | $47.1M | −7.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 16,572,395 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 712,293 @ $33.97 | $24.2M | −7.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 8,514,248 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 712,293 @ $33.97 | $24.2M | −7.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 8,514,248 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 419,637 @ $33.97 | $14.3M | −7.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,016,036 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 419,637 @ $33.97 | $14.3M | −7.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,016,036 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 218,211 @ $33.97 | $7.4M | −7.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 2,608,340 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 218,211 @ $33.97 | $7.4M | −7.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 2,608,340 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 144,485 @ $33.97 | $4.9M | −7.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,727,071 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 144,485 @ $33.97 | $4.9M | −7.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,727,071 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 119,566 @ $33.97 | $4.1M | −7.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,429,199 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 119,566 @ $33.97 | $4.1M | −7.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,429,199 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | Feuille James | director | Sale | 93,428 @ $34.08 | $3.2M | −1.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 6,753,479 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 85,707 @ $34.25 | $2.9M | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 16,486,688 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 85,707 @ $34.25 | $2.9M | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 16,486,688 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 44,033 @ $34.25 | $1.5M | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 8,470,215 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 44,033 @ $34.25 | $1.5M | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 8,470,215 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 28,323 @ $33.97 | $962K | −7.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 338,549 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 28,323 @ $33.97 | $962K | −7.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 338,549 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 25,941 @ $34.25 | $888K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,990,095 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 25,941 @ $34.25 | $888K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,990,095 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 13,490 @ $34.25 | $462K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 2,594,850 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 13,490 @ $34.25 | $462K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 2,594,850 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 8,932 @ $34.25 | $306K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,718,139 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 8,932 @ $34.25 | $306K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,718,139 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 7,391 @ $34.25 | $253K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,421,808 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 7,391 @ $34.25 | $253K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,421,808 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | Feuille James | director | Sale | 1,972 @ $34.41 | $68K | −0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 6,751,507 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,751 @ $34.25 | $60K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 336,798 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-14 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,751 @ $34.25 | $60K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 336,798 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | CAROLAN SHAWN T | director | Sale | 272,437 @ $33.05 | $9.0M | −100.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | Feuille James | director | Sale | 161,090 @ $32.89 | $5.3M | −82.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 34,411 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | Feuille James | director | Sale | 97,308 @ $33.03 | $3.2M | −1.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 6,846,907 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 94,984 @ $33.07 | $3.1M | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 17,958,824 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 94,984 @ $33.07 | $3.1M | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 17,958,824 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 48,800 @ $33.07 | $1.6M | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 9,226,541 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 48,800 @ $33.07 | $1.6M | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 9,226,541 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 28,749 @ $33.07 | $951K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,435,673 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 28,749 @ $33.07 | $951K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 5,435,673 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | Marshall Cynthia | director | Sale | 20,000 @ $33.09 | $662K | −41.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 28,548 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 14,950 @ $33.07 | $494K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 2,826,551 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 14,950 @ $33.07 | $494K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 2,826,551 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 9,899 @ $33.07 | $327K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,871,556 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 9,899 @ $33.07 | $327K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,871,556 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 8,191 @ $33.07 | $271K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,548,765 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 8,191 @ $33.07 | $271K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,548,765 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | CAROLAN SHAWN T | director | Sale | 2,770 @ $33.05 | $92K | −100.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,940 @ $33.07 | $64K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 366,872 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | DST Global Advisors Ltd | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,940 @ $33.07 | $64K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 366,872 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-11 | CAROLAN SHAWN T | director | Sale | 1,800 @ $33.05 | $59K | −100.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-10 | CAROLAN SHAWN T | director | Sale | 297,318 @ $33.21 | $9.9M | −52.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 272,437 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-10 | Feuille James | director | Sale | 93,492 @ $33.15 | $3.1M | −1.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 6,944,215 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-10 | CAROLAN SHAWN T | director | Sale | 3,023 @ $33.21 | $100K | −52.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 2,770 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
23 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | FRANKEL ADAM B | officer | Option exercise | 60,000 | 466,830 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | FRANKEL ADAM B | officer | Option exercise | 60,000 | 213,567 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-13 | Britt Christopher R | director | Option exercise | 125,000 | 875,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-13 | King Ryan A | director | Option exercise | 75,000 | 525,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-13 | Britt Christopher R | director | Option exercise | 125,000 | 360,417 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-13 | King Ryan A | director | Option exercise | 75,000 | 191,667 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | King Ryan A | director | Conversion | 34,941 | 11,810,900 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-09 | King Ryan A | director | Conversion | 34,941 | 42,421 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Britt Christopher R | director | Conversion | 200,000 | 200,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-01 | Britt Christopher R | director | Conversion | 200,000 | 14,155,103 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-28 | Britt Christopher R | director | Conversion | 88,618 | 100,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-28 | Asmerom Amine | officer | Award / grant | 92,379 | 300,480 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-28 | FRANKEL ADAM B | officer | Award / grant | 115,474 | 406,830 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-28 | Britt Christopher R | director | Conversion | 88,618 | 14,355,103 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-18 | King Ryan A | director | Gift | 7,480 | 7,480 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-18 | King Ryan A | director | Gift | 7,480 | 116,667 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-18 | Britt Christopher R | director | Gift | 11,382 | 11,382 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-18 | Britt Christopher R | director | Gift | 11,382 | 235,417 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Troughton Mark T | officer | Withheld for tax | 26,072 | 4,173,999 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | FRANKEL ADAM B | officer | Withheld for tax | 12,439 | 291,356 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Britt Christopher R | director | Withheld for tax | 12,160 | 246,799 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | Asmerom Amine | officer | Withheld for tax | 10,040 | 206,906 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-17 | King Ryan A | director | Withheld for tax | 4,187 | 124,147 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.