CHWYChewy, Inc.Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retailas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $20.91 · now $20.91 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CHWY has typically landed between $16.03 and $26.48 — a range of −23.4% to +26.6% from the issuance price $20.91.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,803 overlapping 1 month windows · 2019-06-14 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($20.91) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CHWY has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $20.91 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$16.03worst · -23.4%$26.48best · +26.6%
  • now $20.91 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $20.46 (-2.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $18.2–$22.73
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $16.03–$26.48
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,803 windows spanning 2019-06-14 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2022-04-11−45.3%−45.3%+0.1%
2022-04-19−42.7%−44.2%+0.0%
2022-04-12−40.0%−45.3%+0.0%
3 best
2024-05-23+84.4%+0.0%+84.4%
2020-03-16+80.9%+0.0%+80.9%
2020-03-12+76.7%+0.0%+87.1%

1,803 overlapping windows · 2019-06-14 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~8 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
43%
−1.9%
n=7
Feb
14%
−1.5%
n=7
Mar
14%
−5.0%
n=7
Apr
29%
−4.7%
n=7
May
43%
+3.8%
n=7
Jun
71%
+13.2%
n=7
Jul
50%
+0.7%
n=8
Aug
63%
+1.8%
n=8
Sep
13%
−13.0%
n=8
Oct
71%
+4.5%
n=7
Nov
71%
+6.4%
n=7
Dec
57%
+5.2%
n=7

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$42$182026-08-03: 2 insider sales, $1.1M — Singh Sumit …2026-06-29: 2 insider sales, $82K — Hu Da-Wai …2026-05-04: 2 insider sales, $2.2M — Singh Sumit …2026-04-01: 1 insider sale, $219K — Hu Da-Wai2026-03-02: 1 insider sale, $82K — Deppe Christopher S.2026-02-02: 1 insider sale, $377K — Mehta Satish2025-12-03: 1 insider sale, $297K — Mehta Satish2025-12-02: 3 insider sales, $1.6M — Singh Sumit, Mehta Satish …2025-11-04: 1 insider sale, $152K — Mehta Satish2025-11-03: 4 insider sales, $752K — Singh Sumit, Mehta Satish, Billings William G. …2025-10-09: 1 insider sale, $500.0M — Argos Holdings GP LLC2025-09-15: 1 insider sale, $1.6M — Mehta Satish2025-08: 5 open-market sales, $2.4M2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $1.6M2025-10: 1 open-market sale, $500.0M2025-11: 5 open-market sales, $904K2025-12: 4 open-market sales, $1.9M2026-02: 1 open-market sale, $377K2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $82K2026-04: 1 open-market sale, $219K2026-05: 2 open-market sales, $2.2M2026-06: 2 open-market sales, $82K2026-08: 2 open-market sales, $1.1M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Singh Sumit — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Singh Sumit — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Hu Da-Wai — Sale on 2026-06-29, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Hu Da-Wai — Sale on 2026-06-29, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Singh Sumit — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Singh Sumit — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Hu Da-Wai — Sale on 2026-04-01, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Deppe Christopher S. — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Mehta Satish — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Mehta Satish — Sale on 2025-12-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Singh Sumit — Sale on 2025-12-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Mehta Satish — Sale on 2025-12-02, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Singh Sumit — Sale on 2025-12-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Mehta Satish — Sale on 2025-11-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Singh Sumit — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Mehta Satish — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Singh Sumit — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Billings William G. — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Argos Holdings GP LLC — Sale on 2025-10-09, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Mehta Satish — Sale on 2025-09-15, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-03Singh SumitdirectorSale43,244 @ $23.01$995K−4.7% of holding+2.7%not yet — horizon still open886,630Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-03Singh SumitdirectorSale6,233 @ $23.01$143K−4.7% of holding+2.7%not yet — horizon still open125,404Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-29Hu Da-WaiofficerSale4,103 @ $19.49$80K−100.0% of holding+21.5%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-29Hu Da-WaiofficerSale100 @ $19.48$2K−2.4% of holding+21.5%not yet — horizon still open4,103Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-04Singh SumitdirectorSale83,306 @ $25.60$2.1M−8.7% of holding−19.4%not yet — horizon still open874,061Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-04Singh SumitdirectorSale4,220 @ $25.60$108K−3.3% of holding−19.4%not yet — horizon still open123,955Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-01Hu Da-WaiofficerSale8,149 @ $26.91$219K−100.0% of holding−14.0%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-03-02Deppe Christopher S.officerSale3,043 @ $26.87$82K−66.0% of holding+4.7%−24.4%1,566Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-02Mehta SatishofficerSale13,013 @ $28.99$377K−4.5% of holding−8.7%−26.6%273,835Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-03Mehta SatishofficerSale8,872 @ $33.53$297K−3.7% of holding−6.2%−47.7%229,702Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-02Singh SumitdirectorSale40,789 @ $33.73$1.4M−6.1% of holding−0.5%−49.5%623,185Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-02Mehta SatishofficerSale6,056 @ $33.73$204K−2.5% of holding−0.5%−49.5%238,574Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-02Singh SumitdirectorSale639 @ $33.73$22K−0.8% of holding−0.5%−49.5%76,710Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-04Mehta SatishofficerSale4,642 @ $32.65$152K−2.0% of holding−2.8%−38.9%229,702Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-03Singh SumitdirectorSale16,289 @ $32.72$533K−2.8% of holding+3.0%−33.3%563,408Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-03Mehta SatishofficerSale3,288 @ $32.72$108K−1.4% of holding+3.0%−33.3%234,344Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-03Singh SumitdirectorSale2,289 @ $32.72$75K−2.9% of holding+3.0%−33.3%75,777Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-03Billings William G.officerSale1,121 @ $32.72$37K−3.5% of holding+3.0%−33.3%31,045Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-09Argos Holdings GP LLCtenPercentOwnerSale13,280,212 @ $37.65$500.0M−100.0% of holding−13.8%−38.0%0Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-09-15Mehta SatishofficerSale46,765 @ $34.69$1.6M−16.9% of holding+3.2%−33.8%229,702Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-05Mehta SatishofficerSale8,727 @ $35.82$313K−3.1% of holding+16.7%−29.5%276,467Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-04Singh SumitdirectorSale29,557 @ $35.57$1.1M−5.2% of holding+11.7%−34.3%540,406Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-04Billings William G.officerSale20,142 @ $35.57$716K−40.6% of holding+11.7%−34.3%29,464Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-04Mehta SatishofficerSale5,967 @ $35.57$212K−2.0% of holding+11.7%−34.3%285,194Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-04Singh SumitdirectorSale4,264 @ $35.57$152K−5.6% of holding+11.7%−34.3%72,549Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-25Argos Holdings GP LLCtenPercentOwnerSale27,544,910 @ $41.75$1.1B−92.0% of holding−19.8%−38.9%2,395,210Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-25Argos Holdings GP LLCtenPercentOwnerSale2,395,210 @ $41.75$100.0M−100.0% of holding−19.8%−38.9%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-19Singh SumitdirectorSale46,007 @ $43.23$2.0M−8.5% of holding−4.5%−32.5%497,162Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-19Singh SumitdirectorSale29,135 @ $42.67$1.2M−5.1% of holding−4.5%−32.5%543,169Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-16Singh SumitdirectorSale132,948 @ $42.08$5.6M−18.9% of holding−1.2%−33.4%572,304Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-14Singh SumitdirectorSale146,102 @ $40.67$5.9M−17.1% of holding+0.1%−36.5%707,213Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-14Singh SumitdirectorSale1,961 @ $41.02$80K−0.3% of holding+0.1%−36.5%705,252Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-13Singh SumitdirectorSale50,743 @ $40.09$2.0M−5.6% of holding+1.5%−32.8%853,315Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-05Reeder DaviddirectorSale11,582 @ $36.44$422K−100.0% of holding+19.3%−34.9%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-02Singh SumitdirectorSale56,550 @ $36.50$2.1M−5.9% of holding+24.7%−29.1%904,058Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-02Mehta SatishofficerSale9,243 @ $36.50$337K−3.2% of holding+24.7%−29.1%276,467Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-02Reeder DaviddirectorSale7,863 @ $36.50$287K−40.4% of holding+24.7%−29.1%11,582Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-02Singh SumitdirectorSale2,867 @ $36.50$105K−4.1% of holding+24.7%−29.1%66,316Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-04-02Singh SumitdirectorSale8,552 @ $33.35$285K−12.1% of holding+7.4%−3.8%62,096Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-06Mehta SatishofficerSale71,365 @ $35.60$2.5M−21.4% of holding+1.3%+6.9%262,853Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-03Singh SumitdirectorSale201 @ $36.92$7K−0.4% of holding−3.1%−0.5%48,354Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-07Reeder DaviddirectorSale262,433 @ $37.35$9.8M−85.3% of holding−3.2%−10.2%45,125Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-07Mehta SatishofficerSale66,258 @ $37.93$2.5M−16.5% of holding−3.2%−10.2%334,218Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-07Reeder DaviddirectorSale45,125 @ $38.23$1.7M−100.0% of holding−3.2%−10.2%0Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-06Singh SumitdirectorSale56,952 @ $38.22$2.2M−6.5% of holding−10.2%−12.3%820,752Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-06Reeder DaviddirectorSale53,571 @ $38.22$2.0M−14.8% of holding−10.2%−12.3%307,558Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-06Mehta SatishofficerSale11,566 @ $38.22$442K−2.8% of holding−10.2%−12.3%400,476Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-06Singh SumitdirectorSale6,550 @ $38.22$250K−12.0% of holding−10.2%−12.3%48,035Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-05Singh SumitdirectorSale57,432 @ $37.90$2.2M−6.1% of holding−8.8%−12.3%877,704Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-05Reeder DaviddirectorSale54,022 @ $37.90$2.0M−13.0% of holding−8.8%−12.3%361,129Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-05Mehta SatishofficerSale11,664 @ $37.90$442K−2.8% of holding−8.8%−12.3%412,042Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-05Singh SumitdirectorSale6,606 @ $37.90$250K−10.8% of holding−8.8%−12.3%54,585Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-04Singh SumitdirectorSale57,337 @ $37.96$2.2M−5.8% of holding−4.3%−15.8%935,136Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-04Reeder DaviddirectorSale53,931 @ $37.96$2.0M−11.5% of holding−4.3%−15.8%415,151Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-04Mehta SatishofficerSale11,645 @ $37.96$442K−2.7% of holding−4.3%−15.8%423,706Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-04Singh SumitdirectorSale5,158 @ $37.96$196K−7.8% of holding−4.3%−15.8%61,191Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-03Reeder DaviddirectorSale53,834 @ $38.14$2.1M−10.3% of holding−0.8%−15.8%469,082Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-03Singh SumitdirectorSale53,193 @ $38.14$2.0M−5.1% of holding−0.8%−15.8%992,473Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-03Mehta SatishofficerSale11,755 @ $38.14$448K−2.6% of holding−0.8%−15.8%435,351Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-03Singh SumitdirectorSale4,234 @ $38.14$161K−6.0% of holding−0.8%−15.8%66,349Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

115 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01Singh SumitdirectorWithheld for tax7,567898,291Form 4
2026-09-01Deppe Christopher S.officerWithheld for tax1,5419,576Form 4
2026-09-01Singh SumitdirectorWithheld for tax1,273127,364Form 4
2026-09-01Billings William G.officerWithheld for tax62557,055Form 4
2026-09-01Hu Da-WaiofficerWithheld for tax4454,203Form 4
2026-07-31Singh SumitdirectorWithheld for tax28,649929,874Form 4
2026-07-31Billings William G.officerWithheld for tax11,13456,094Form 4
2026-07-31Singh SumitdirectorWithheld for tax3,715131,637Form 4
2026-07-31Hu Da-WaiofficerWithheld for tax9092,823Form 4
2026-07-31Deppe Christopher S.officerWithheld for tax6247,206Form 4
2026-07-09STAR JAMES AdirectorAward / grant10,66510,665Form 4
2026-07-09Dickson KristinedirectorAward / grant10,66510,665Form 4
2026-07-09Nelson James LarrydirectorAward / grant10,66510,665Form 4
2026-07-09GOLDHABER NATHANIELdirectorAward / grant10,66510,665Form 4
2026-07-09Nesbitt Martin H.directorAward / grant10,66510,665Form 4
2026-07-09ELLINGER DEBORAH GdirectorAward / grant10,66510,665Form 4
2026-06-01Singh SumitdirectorWithheld for tax7,567885,722Form 4
2026-06-01Singh SumitdirectorWithheld for tax1,273125,915Form 4
2026-06-01Billings William G.officerWithheld for tax62538,937Form 4
2026-06-01Hu Da-WaiofficerWithheld for tax4454,203Form 4
2026-06-01Deppe Christopher S.officerWithheld for tax1826,247Form 4
2026-05-01Singh SumitdirectorWithheld for tax15,462957,367Form 4
2026-05-01Deppe Christopher S.officerWithheld for tax2,8575,969Form 4
2026-05-01Singh SumitdirectorWithheld for tax2,172128,175Form 4
2026-05-01Billings William G.officerWithheld for tax1,06437,976Form 4
2026-05-01Hu Da-WaiofficerWithheld for tax9092,823Form 4
2026-04-08Singh SumitdirectorAward / grant92,38192,381Form 4
2026-04-08Singh SumitdirectorAward / grant13,81813,818Form 4
2026-04-08Singh SumitdirectorAward / grant59,21959,219Form 4
2026-04-08Deppe Christopher S.officerAward / grant5,9225,922Form 4
2026-04-08Deppe Christopher S.officerAward / grant71,06271,062Form 4
2026-04-08Deppe Christopher S.officerAward / grant346,670346,670Form 4
2026-04-08Hu Da-WaiofficerAward / grant37,48637,486Form 4
2026-04-08Billings William G.officerAward / grant32,57132,571Form 4
2026-04-08Singh SumitdirectorAward / grant394,868394,868Form 4
2026-04-01Singh SumitdirectorWithheld for tax1,021124,830Form 4
2026-03-25Deppe Christopher S.officerAward / grant4,3424,342Form 4
2026-03-25Singh SumitdirectorAward / grant47,65347,653Form 4
2026-03-25Singh SumitdirectorAward / grant526,284526,284Form 4
2026-03-25Hu Da-WaiofficerAward / grant49,96249,962Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.