CHTRCharter Communications, Inc.Communication Services · Telecommunications Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $135.00 · now $135.00 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CHTR has typically landed between $107.99 and $157.11 — a range of −20.0% to +16.4% from the issuance price $135.00.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,179 overlapping 1 month windows · 2010-01-05 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($135.00) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CHTR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $135 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$107.99worst · -20.0%$157.11best · +16.4%
  • now $135 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $132.25 (-2.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $123.55–$140.95
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $107.99–$157.11
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,179 windows spanning 2010-01-05 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2026-04-20−41.8%−42.6%+0.0%
2026-04-16−40.5%−40.5%+3.7%
2026-04-17−40.3%−40.7%+3.4%
3 best
2013-02-21+34.1%+0.0%+37.3%
2013-02-19+33.2%−3.0%+33.2%
2020-03-20+32.0%+0.0%+34.4%

4,179 overlapping windows · 2010-01-05 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$16.6B
market cap
$38.51
EPS (TTM)
3.2
P/E (TTM)
2026-10-30
next earnings
Revenue$54.8B
'20'25
Net income$5.0B
'20'25
Free cash flow$4.4B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr9.1%
'20'25
ROE · by yr31.1%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr6.05
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 17 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $135.00$45.97$1,192
  • DCF (intrinsic)$1,113
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 16.0× · n=17$617.19
  • Analyst target · range $125.00–$437.00$170.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$135.00

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~17 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
63%
+2.2%
n=16
Feb
59%
+1.8%
n=17
Mar
59%
+1.5%
n=17
Apr
59%
+0.3%
n=17
May
65%
+1.7%
n=17
Jun
59%
+3.0%
n=17
Jul
71%
+3.2%
n=17
Aug
59%
+0.9%
n=17
Sep
41%
−3.4%
n=17
Oct
38%
−0.1%
n=16
Nov
63%
+2.7%
n=16
Dec
63%
+0.2%
n=16

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$283$1232026-05-27: 2 insider sales, $2.7M — Rutledge Thomas …2026-05-26: 1 insider sale, $10.1M — Rutledge Thomas2026-05-15: 1 insider purchase, $1.4M — Ramos Mauricio2026-04-28: 4 insider purchases, $2.4M — Davis Wade, Winfrey Christopher L, Nair Balan …2026-04-01: 2 insider purchases, $0 — Liberty Broadband Corp …2025-11-05: 1 insider sale, $271K — MERRITT DAVID C2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $271K2026-04: 6 open-market purchases, $2.4M2026-05: 1 open-market purchase, $1.4M2026-05: 3 open-market sales, $12.7M↑ buys↓ salesother Rutledge Thomas — Sale on 2026-05-27, filed 1 day after the tradeother Rutledge Thomas — Sale on 2026-05-27, filed 1 day after the tradeother Rutledge Thomas — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Ramos Mauricio — Purchase on 2026-05-15, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Davis Wade — Purchase on 2026-04-28, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Winfrey Christopher L — Purchase on 2026-04-28, filed same daydirector Winfrey Christopher L — Purchase on 2026-04-28, filed same daydirector Nair Balan — Purchase on 2026-04-28, filed same daydirector Liberty Broadband Corp — Purchase on 2026-04-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Liberty Broadband Corp — Purchase on 2026-04-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector MERRITT DAVID C — Sale on 2025-11-05, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-27Rutledge ThomasotherSale9,100 @ $146.96$1.3M−100.0% of holding−6.6%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-27Rutledge ThomasotherSale9,100 @ $146.92$1.3M−100.0% of holding−6.6%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-26Rutledge ThomasotherSale69,633 @ $144.45$10.1M−94.6% of holding−8.0%not yet — horizon still open3,968Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-15Ramos MauriciodirectorPurchase9,929 @ $140.93$1.4M+105.9% of holding−0.5%not yet — horizon still open19,309Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-28Davis WadedirectorPurchase5,728 @ $173.72$995K+478.5% of holding−21.0%not yet — horizon still open6,925Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-28Winfrey Christopher LdirectorPurchase3,468 @ $172.23$597K+4.9% of holding−21.0%not yet — horizon still open74,409Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-28Winfrey Christopher LdirectorPurchase3,468 @ $172.23$597Kownership Δ n/a−21.0%not yet — horizon still open3,468Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-28Nair BalandirectorPurchase1,000 @ $175.46$175K+9.1% of holding−21.0%not yet — horizon still open12,029Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-01Liberty Broadband CorpdirectorPurchase——ownership Δ n/a−30.6%not yet — horizon still open—Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-01Liberty Broadband CorpdirectorPurchase——ownership Δ n/a−30.6%not yet — horizon still open—Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-05MERRITT DAVID CdirectorSale1,200 @ $226.18$271K−10.6% of holding−10.1%−40.7%10,146Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-31Winfrey Christopher LdirectorPurchase3,670 @ $273.10$1.0M+5.5% of holding−3.5%−33.6%70,243Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-31Nair BalandirectorPurchase360 @ $274.21$99K+3.9% of holding−3.5%−33.6%9,622Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-16DiGeronimo Richard JofficerSale1,551 @ $423.81$657K−18.6% of holding−13.1%−66.2%6,804Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-04-02Liberty Broadband CorpdirectorPurchase——ownership Δ n/a+1.1%−48.1%—Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-02Liberty Broadband CorpdirectorPurchase——ownership Δ n/a+1.1%−48.1%—Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

202 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01Jeffery NickdirectorAward / grant347,078347,078Form 4
2026-09-01Jeffery NickdirectorAward / grant13,33313,333Form 4
2026-09-01Jeffery NickdirectorAward / grant76,46676,466Form 4
2026-08-20Fischer Jessica MofficerAward / grant37,65237,652Form 4
2026-08-20Ray Richard AdamofficerAward / grant21,33621,336Form 4
2026-08-20Ray Richard AdamofficerAward / grant54,93254,932Form 4
2026-08-20Haughton Jamal HofficerAward / grant20,08120,081Form 4
2026-08-20Howard Kevin DofficerAward / grant22,61922,619Form 4
2026-08-20Howard Kevin DofficerAward / grant8,7858,785Form 4
2026-08-20Haughton Jamal HofficerAward / grant51,70151,701Form 4
2026-08-20Winfrey Christopher LdirectorAward / grant297,281297,281Form 4
2026-08-20Winfrey Christopher LdirectorAward / grant115,466115,466Form 4
2026-08-20DiGeronimo Richard JofficerAward / grant151,872151,872Form 4
2026-08-20DiGeronimo Richard JofficerAward / grant58,98858,988Form 4
2026-08-20Fischer Jessica MofficerAward / grant96,93996,939Form 4
2026-08-19Greatrex Mark JamesdirectorAward / grant1,0091,009Form 4
2026-08-19Taylor Alexander CoxdirectorAward / grant1,6815,681Form 4
2026-08-19Taylor Alexander CoxdirectorAward / grant5386,219Form 4
2026-08-19CLEMENT DALLAS SdirectorAward / grant1,0091,009Form 4
2026-08-19CLEMENT DALLAS SdirectorAward / grant5381,547Form 4
2026-08-19Greatrex Mark JamesdirectorAward / grant5381,547Form 4
2026-08-19Liberty Broadband CorpdirectorOther acquisition38,583,6630Form 4
2026-08-19Liberty Broadband CorpdirectorOther acquisition38,583,6630Form 4
2026-08-19Liberty Broadband CorpdirectorOther acquisition38,583,6630Form 4
2026-08-19Liberty Broadband CorpdirectorOther acquisition38,583,6630Form 4
2026-08-19Liberty Broadband CorpdirectorOther acquisition38,583,6630Form 4
2026-08-19Liberty Broadband CorpdirectorOther acquisition38,583,6630Form 4
2026-08-13Liberty Broadband CorpdirectorDisposition9,90038,583,663Form 4
2026-07-27Howard Kevin DofficerAward / grant901901Form 4
2026-07-27Howard Kevin DofficerAward / grant234234Form 4
2026-07-14Liberty Broadband CorpdirectorDisposition129,90738,593,563Form 4
2026-06-11Liberty Broadband CorpdirectorDisposition31,31538,723,470Form 4
2026-05-15Haughton Jamal HofficerAward / grant1,1501,150Form 4
2026-05-15Haughton Jamal HofficerAward / grant8,9728,972Form 4
2026-05-12Liberty Broadband CorpdirectorDisposition1,262,07838,754,785Form 4
2026-04-21Rutledge ThomasotherWithheld for tax866,24857,395Form 4
2026-04-21Rutledge ThomasotherOption exercise904,200923,643Form 4
2026-04-21Rutledge ThomasotherWithheld for tax708,56172,194Form 4
2026-04-21Rutledge ThomasotherOption exercise723,360780,755Form 4
2026-04-21Nair BalandirectorAward / grant91810,540Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-07-062026-06-02$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-07-062026-06-16$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-07-062026-06-30$1–15K
Michael T. McCaulHousepurchase2026-06-102026-05-11$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-06-092026-05-01$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-06-092026-05-15$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-06-092026-05-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-05-112026-04-24$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-05-082026-04-14$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-04-072026-03-23$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-04-072026-03-13$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-17$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-23$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.