CHRWC.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc.Industrials · Integrated Freight & Logisticsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $153.47 · now $153.47 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CHRW has typically landed between $134.96 and $176.62 — a range of −12.1% to +15.1% from the issuance price $153.47.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($153.47) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CHRW has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $153.47 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$134.96worst · -12.1%$176.62best · +15.1%
  • now $153.47 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $155.43 (+1.3%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $147.38–$163.47
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $134.96–$176.62
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2026-07-23−31.1%−31.1%+0.0%
2026-07-21−31.0%−31.0%+0.0%
2026-07-22−30.6%−30.6%+0.0%
3 best
2008-10-15+34.1%+0.0%+39.1%
2025-07-30+32.4%+0.0%+32.4%
2008-10-09+29.8%+0.0%+39.5%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$22.0B
market cap
$4.94
EPS (TTM)
37.8
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-29
next earnings
Revenue$16.2B
'20'25
Net income$587M
'20'25
Free cash flow$895M
'20'25
Net margin · by yr3.6%
'20'25
ROE · by yr31.8%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.88
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 74 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $153.47$41.77$243.94
  • DCF (intrinsic)$55.71
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 30.7× · n=74$151.43
  • Analyst target · range $91.00–$230.00$210.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$153.47

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
44%
−0.3%
n=18
Feb
37%
−2.8%
n=19
Mar
68%
+2.1%
n=19
Apr
47%
+1.0%
n=19
May
42%
+0.8%
n=19
Jun
53%
−0.2%
n=19
Jul
58%
+2.3%
n=19
Aug
74%
+2.7%
n=19
Sep
68%
+1.2%
n=19
Oct
61%
−0.4%
n=18
Nov
72%
+2.6%
n=18
Dec
72%
+1.7%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$209$1172026-02-12: 4 insider purchases, $502K — Bozeman David P, RAJAN ARUN, Lee Damon J., Castagnetto Michael D.2026-02-09: 2 insider sales, $3.0M — Freeman Angela K., Short Michael John2026-02-02: 1 insider sale, $553K — Castagnetto Michael D.2026-01-15: 1 insider sale, $215K — Short Michael John2025-12-31: 1 insider sale, $387K — Short Michael John2025-11-17: 1 insider sale, $382K — RAJAN ARUN2025-11-06: 2 insider sales, $7.5M — Freeman Angela K. …2025-11-03: 2 insider sales, $6.9M — Castagnetto Michael D. …2025-08-15: 1 insider sale, $304K — RAJAN ARUN2025-08: 3 open-market sales, $1.7M2025-11: 5 open-market sales, $14.7M2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $387K2026-01: 1 open-market sale, $215K2026-02: 4 open-market purchases, $502K2026-02: 3 open-market sales, $3.6M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Bozeman David P — Purchase on 2026-02-12, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer RAJAN ARUN — Purchase on 2026-02-12, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Lee Damon J. — Purchase on 2026-02-12, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Castagnetto Michael D. — Purchase on 2026-02-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Freeman Angela K. — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Short Michael John — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Castagnetto Michael D. — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Short Michael John — Sale on 2026-01-15, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Short Michael John — Sale on 2025-12-31, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer RAJAN ARUN — Sale on 2025-11-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Freeman Angela K. — Sale on 2025-11-06, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Freeman Angela K. — Sale on 2025-11-06, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Castagnetto Michael D. — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Castagnetto Michael D. — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer RAJAN ARUN — Sale on 2025-08-15, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-02-12Bozeman David PdirectorPurchase1,223 @ $163.34$200K+0.6% of holding+3.8%−25.4%190,600Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-12RAJAN ARUNofficerPurchase605 @ $167.11$101K+0.5% of holding+3.8%−25.4%133,656Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-12Lee Damon J.officerPurchase620 @ $162.52$101K+1.5% of holding+3.8%−25.4%41,364Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-12Castagnetto Michael D.officerPurchase594 @ $168.24$100K+1.7% of holding+3.8%−25.4%35,488Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-09Freeman Angela K.directorSale8,579 @ $200.52$1.7M−13.4% of holding−9.4%−38.7%55,611Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-09Short Michael JohnofficerSale6,368 @ $201.30$1.3M−10.9% of holding−9.4%−38.7%52,101Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-02Castagnetto Michael D.officerSale2,849 @ $194.20$553K−9.2% of holding−2.9%−33.0%28,149Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-15Short Michael JohnofficerSale1,230 @ $175.00$215K−2.2% of holding+2.5%+10.4%53,928Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-12-31Short Michael JohnofficerSale2,390 @ $161.91$387K−4.2% of holding+21.5%+7.4%55,158Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-11-17RAJAN ARUNofficerSale2,500 @ $152.77$382K−1.9% of holding+4.4%+7.2%128,091Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-06Freeman Angela K.directorSale38,738 @ $149.49$5.8M−33.5% of holding+1.9%+4.6%76,874Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-06Freeman Angela K.directorSale11,146 @ $150.47$1.7M−14.5% of holding+1.9%+4.6%65,728Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-03Castagnetto Michael D.officerSale26,050 @ $151.48$3.9M−32.8% of holding+4.8%+3.6%53,262Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-03Castagnetto Michael D.officerSale19,216 @ $152.00$2.9M−36.1% of holding+4.8%+3.6%34,046Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-15RAJAN ARUNofficerSale2,500 @ $121.74$304K−1.9% of holding+8.3%+40.9%130,591Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-11Freeman Angela K.directorSale5,713 @ $116.24$664K−8.0% of holding+7.8%+61.2%65,728Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-06Short Michael JohnofficerSale6,364 @ $117.24$746K−9.5% of holding+5.4%+61.5%60,401Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-14Freeman Angela K.directorSale5,700 @ $97.42$555K−7.4% of holding−5.6%+40.9%71,441Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-27Freeman Angela K.directorSale8,000 @ $100.39$803K−9.4% of holding+7.3%+20.4%77,027Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-18Short Michael JohnofficerSale12,209 @ $99.58$1.2M−16.8% of holding+7.3%+20.3%60,286Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-18Castagnetto Michael D.officerSale5,016 @ $99.60$500K−12.7% of holding+7.3%+20.3%34,586Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-12-31Castagnetto Michael D.officerSale2,032 @ $103.81$211K−5.6% of holding−7.0%−11.7%34,469Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2024-12-11Campbell Ben GofficerSale25,976 @ $110.00$2.9M−27.3% of holding−1.9%−12.7%69,066Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

128 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-08Lee Damon J.officerWithheld for tax4,69836,736Form 4
2026-06-30Goodburn Mark A.directorAward / grant19313,944Form 4
2026-06-30Gokey Timothy CdirectorAward / grant16326,972Form 4
2026-06-26Bozeman David PdirectorWithheld for tax11,693178,978Form 4
2026-05-29RAJAN ARUNofficerAward / grant8,714133,340Form 4
2026-05-07Feitzinger Edward G.directorAward / grant9922,262Form 4
2026-05-07MCGARRY MICHAEL HdirectorAward / grant9924,467Form 4
2026-05-07Goodburn Mark A.directorAward / grant99213,751Form 4
2026-05-07Crawford Kermit RdirectorAward / grant99210,902Form 4
2026-05-07GUILFOILE MARYdirectorAward / grant99222,552Form 4
2026-05-07Kozlak Jodee AdirectorAward / grant99229,006Form 4
2026-05-07Robbins Paige KdirectorAward / grant9924,467Form 4
2026-05-07Tolliver PauladirectorAward / grant99217,375Form 4
2026-05-07Gokey Timothy CdirectorAward / grant99226,809Form 4
2026-05-05Capers Dorothy TrefonofficerWithheld for tax1,20419,360Form 4
2026-03-31Goodburn Mark A.directorAward / grant21912,759Form 4
2026-03-31Gokey Timothy CdirectorAward / grant19325,817Form 4
2026-02-17RAJAN ARUNofficerWithheld for tax9,030124,626Form 4
2026-02-17Short Michael JohnofficerWithheld for tax7,80344,298Form 4
2026-02-17Freeman Angela K.directorWithheld for tax6,78748,824Form 4
2026-02-17Castagnetto Michael D.officerWithheld for tax3,00932,479Form 4
2026-02-09Freeman Angela K.directorWithheld for tax5,92664,190Form 4
2026-02-09Short Michael JohnofficerWithheld for tax3,78758,469Form 4
2026-02-04Bozeman David PdirectorWithheld for tax13,564189,377Form 4
2026-02-04Short Michael JohnofficerAward / grant3,61862,256Form 4
2026-02-04Bozeman David PdirectorAward / grant20,740171,740Form 4
2026-02-04Freeman Angela K.directorAward / grant3,93067,495Form 4
2026-02-04Lee Damon J.officerAward / grant5,61040,744Form 4
2026-02-04Castagnetto Michael D.officerAward / grant4,94033,089Form 4
2026-02-04Castagnetto Michael D.officerAward / grant1,80534,894Form 4
2026-02-04Freeman Angela K.directorAward / grant2,62170,116Form 4
2026-02-04Bozeman David PdirectorAward / grant31,201202,941Form 4
2026-02-04Short Michael JohnofficerAward / grant4,71058,638Form 4
2026-02-04RAJAN ARUNofficerAward / grant11,780125,826Form 4
2026-02-04RAJAN ARUNofficerAward / grant7,225133,051Form 4
2026-02-04Capers Dorothy TrefonofficerAward / grant3,48020,564Form 4
2026-01-02RAJAN ARUNofficerWithheld for tax7,848114,046Form 4
2025-12-31Bozeman David PdirectorWithheld for tax11,209151,000Form 4
2025-12-31RAJAN ARUNofficerWithheld for tax6,197121,894Form 4
2025-12-31Short Michael JohnofficerWithheld for tax2,85357,548Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
April Mcclain DelaneyHousesale2026-06-052026-05-15$1–15K
April Mcclain DelaneyHousesale2026-06-052026-05-18$1–15K
April Mcclain DelaneyHousepurchase2026-06-052026-05-21$1–15K
April Mcclain DelaneyHousepurchase2026-06-052026-05-28$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-05-112026-04-13$1–15K
April Mcclain DelaneyHousesale2026-05-062026-04-24$15–50K
April Mcclain DelaneyHousepurchase2026-03-102026-02-09$1–15K
April Mcclain DelaneyHousepurchase2026-03-102026-02-06$1–15K
April Mcclain DelaneyHousepurchase2026-03-102026-02-13$15–50K
April Mcclain DelaneyHousepurchase2026-03-102026-02-05$1–15K
Valerie HoyleHousesale2025-10-102025-09-23$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2025-09-122025-08-05$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-09-092025-08-04$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-09-092025-08-04$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.