Issued 2026-09-16 at $8.91 · now $8.91 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CHPT has typically landed between $6.03 and $12.02 — a range of −32.4% to +34.9% from the issuance price $8.91.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,739 overlapping 1 month windows · 2019-09-16 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($8.91) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CHPT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $8.91 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $8.91 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $8.24 (-7.5%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $7.2–$9.29
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $6.03–$12.02
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2023-09-29 | −50.5% | −50.5% | +0.0% |
| 2023-09-27 | −50.4% | −50.4% | +0.0% |
| 2023-09-28 | −50.0% | −50.0% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-10-28 | +178.8% | −0.7% | +178.8% |
| 2020-10-26 | +160.5% | −6.6% | +160.5% |
| 2020-11-09 | +154.7% | −3.0% | +154.7% |
1,739 overlapping windows · 2019-09-16 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~7 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Singh Jagdeep CA | officer | Sale | 9,719 @ $7.14 | $69K | −4.9% of holding | −21.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 187,846 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-23 | Khetani Mansi | officer | Sale | 8,152 @ $7.13 | $58K | −4.3% of holding | −21.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 179,348 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-23 | Batill Eric | officer | Sale | 4,979 @ $7.13 | $36K | −3.4% of holding | −21.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 143,631 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-23 | Vice John David | officer | Sale | 4,072 @ $7.13 | $29K | −2.3% of holding | −21.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 171,507 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-23 | Novruzova Natella Fakhradovna | officer | Sale | 2,242 @ $7.13 | $16K | −7.1% of holding | −21.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 29,315 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-13 | Wilmer Richard | director | Purchase | 46,847 @ $5.34 | $250K | +10.1% of holding | +7.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 511,224 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-23 | Batill Eric | officer | Sale | 2,695 @ $5.30 | $14K | −3.3% of holding | +24.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 78,610 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-23 | Singh Jagdeep CA | officer | Sale | 2,562 @ $5.30 | $14K | −2.0% of holding | +24.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 122,565 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-23 | Khetani Mansi | officer | Sale | 2,311 @ $5.30 | $12K | −1.8% of holding | +24.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 128,500 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-23 | Vice John David | officer | Sale | 1,117 @ $5.30 | $6K | −0.9% of holding | +24.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 121,579 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-23 | Singh Jagdeep CA | officer | Sale | 4,832 @ $6.99 | $34K | −3.7% of holding | −8.8% | −28.5% | 124,627 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-23 | Khetani Mansi | officer | Sale | 3,943 @ $6.99 | $28K | −2.9% of holding | −8.8% | −28.5% | 130,363 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-23 | Batill Eric | officer | Sale | 2,976 @ $6.98 | $21K | −3.5% of holding | −8.8% | −28.5% | 81,305 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-23 | Vice John David | officer | Sale | 919 @ $6.99 | $6K | −0.7% of holding | −8.8% | −28.5% | 122,696 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-23 | Vice John David | officer | Sale | 2,363 @ $11.27 | $27K | −1.9% of holding | −1.0% | −50.4% | 123,615 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-23 | Batill Eric | officer | Sale | 2,058 @ $11.27 | $23K | −2.4% of holding | −1.0% | −50.4% | 84,281 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-23 | Singh Jagdeep CA | officer | Sale | 1,703 @ $11.27 | $19K | −1.3% of holding | −1.0% | −50.4% | 129,459 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-23 | Khetani Mansi | officer | Sale | 1,302 @ $11.27 | $15K | −1.0% of holding | −1.0% | −50.4% | 134,306 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-23 | Chavez Rebecca | officer | Sale | 36,090 @ $0.67 | $24K | −1.3% of holding | −8.0% | −60.5% | 2,637,478 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-23 | Singh Jagdeep CA | officer | Sale | 35,070 @ $0.67 | $23K | −1.3% of holding | −8.0% | −60.5% | 2,613,290 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-23 | Khetani Mansi | officer | Sale | 26,798 @ $0.67 | $18K | −1.0% of holding | −8.0% | −60.5% | 2,702,180 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-23 | Vice John David | officer | Sale | 7,858 @ $0.67 | $5K | −0.3% of holding | −8.0% | −60.5% | 2,519,642 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-21 | Chavez Rebecca | officer | Sale | 24,494 @ $0.65 | $16K | −2.0% of holding | −6.3% | −38.8% | 1,173,568 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-21 | Singh Jagdeep CA | officer | Sale | 23,070 @ $0.65 | $15K | −2.0% of holding | −6.3% | −38.8% | 1,148,360 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-21 | Khetani Mansi | officer | Sale | 11,327 @ $0.65 | $7K | −0.9% of holding | −6.3% | −38.8% | 1,228,978 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-23 | Chavez Rebecca | officer | Sale | 60,849 @ $1.14 | $70K | −4.8% of holding | −15.7% | −38.8% | 1,198,062 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-23 | Singh Jagdeep CA | officer | Sale | 36,574 @ $1.14 | $42K | −3.1% of holding | −15.7% | −38.8% | 1,161,430 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-23 | Gerdes Henrik | officer | Sale | 28,536 @ $1.14 | $33K | −7.3% of holding | −15.7% | −38.8% | 362,060 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-23 | Khetani Mansi | officer | Sale | 22,038 @ $1.14 | $25K | −1.8% of holding | −15.7% | −38.8% | 1,230,305 | Form 4 · filed same day |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
89 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-21 | Bowman Roxanne | director | Award / grant | 6,680 | 63,553 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | CHIZEN BRUCE R | director | Award / grant | 18,370 | 39,189 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | CHIZEN BRUCE R | director | Award / grant | 6,680 | 45,869 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | CHIZEN BRUCE R | director | Award / grant | 5,010 | 50,879 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | LESCHLY MARK | director | Award / grant | 18,370 | 39,745 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | LESCHLY MARK | director | Award / grant | 6,680 | 46,425 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | Bowman Roxanne | director | Award / grant | 18,370 | 56,873 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | LESCHLY MARK | director | Award / grant | 1,336 | 47,761 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | WAGONER G RICHARD JR | director | Award / grant | 18,370 | 39,782 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | WAGONER G RICHARD JR | director | Award / grant | 6,680 | 46,462 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | HARRIS JEFFREY | director | Award / grant | 18,370 | 39,745 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | HARRIS JEFFREY | director | Award / grant | 6,680 | 46,425 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | HARRIS JEFFREY | director | Award / grant | 3,340 | 49,765 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | Heystee Susan | director | Award / grant | 18,370 | 39,265 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | Heystee Susan | director | Award / grant | 6,680 | 45,945 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | Singh-Bushell Ekta | director | Award / grant | 18,370 | 38,947 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | Singh-Bushell Ekta | director | Award / grant | 6,680 | 45,627 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | Dhruv Mitesh | director | Award / grant | 18,370 | 43,132 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | Dhruv Mitesh | director | Award / grant | 6,680 | 49,812 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | Harries Axel | director | Award / grant | 18,370 | 39,745 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | Harries Axel | director | Award / grant | 6,680 | 46,425 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | Linse Michael | director | Award / grant | 18,370 | 39,745 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | Linse Michael | director | Award / grant | 6,680 | 46,425 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-21 | Linse Michael | director | Award / grant | 2,505 | 48,930 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-20 | Wilmer Richard | director | Withheld for tax | 7,631 | 503,593 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Novruzova Natella Fakhradovna | officer | Award / grant | 20,000 | 31,557 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Vice John David | officer | Award / grant | 54,000 | 175,579 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Batill Eric | officer | Award / grant | 70,000 | 148,610 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Singh Jagdeep CA | officer | Award / grant | 75,000 | 197,565 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Khetani Mansi | officer | Award / grant | 59,000 | 187,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-20 | Wilmer Richard | director | Withheld for tax | 8,151 | 464,377 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-20 | Wilmer Richard | director | Withheld for tax | 22,115 | 472,028 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-20 | Wilmer Richard | director | Withheld for tax | 2,774 | 494,143 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-02 | Batill Eric | officer | Award / grant | 60,000 | 86,339 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-02 | Batill Eric | officer | Award / grant | 60,000 | 86,339 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-08 | Bowman Roxanne | director | Award / grant | 254,785 | 770,067 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-08 | Singh-Bushell Ekta | director | Award / grant | 254,785 | 411,552 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-08 | HARRIS JEFFREY | director | Award / grant | 254,785 | 427,517 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-08 | CHIZEN BRUCE R | director | Award / grant | 254,785 | 416,424 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-08 | Harries Axel | director | Award / grant | 254,785 | 427,517 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.