CHEChemed CorporationHealthcare · Medical - Care Facilitiesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $509.91 · now $509.91 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CHE has typically landed between $458.23 and $565.37 — a range of −10.1% to +10.9% from the issuance price $509.91.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($509.91) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CHE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $509.91 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$458.23worst · -10.1%$565.37best · +10.9%
  • now $509.91 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $510.44 (+0.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $490.39–$530.48
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $458.23–$565.37
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-18−28.9%−31.8%+0.0%
2008-09-11−28.7%−28.7%+4.6%
2008-09-16−28.2%−29.0%+4.2%
3 best
2007-04-09+34.0%+0.0%+34.0%
2007-04-30+33.3%+0.0%+36.7%
2007-01-22+32.7%+0.0%+32.7%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+0.6%
n=20
Feb
65%
+3.8%
n=20
Mar
80%
+1.6%
n=20
Apr
55%
+0.1%
n=20
May
60%
+2.1%
n=20
Jun
50%
+0.7%
n=20
Jul
60%
+3.2%
n=20
Aug
50%
+0.2%
n=20
Sep
45%
−0.4%
n=20
Oct
60%
+1.9%
n=20
Nov
70%
+2.8%
n=20
Dec
45%
+0.6%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$553$3682026-08-21: 2 insider sales, $1.6M — MCNAMARA KEVIN J, LEE SPENCER S2026-08-03: 1 insider sale, $1.1M — MCNAMARA KEVIN J2026-07-31: 1 insider sale, $101K — GRACE PATRICK P2026-06-09: 1 insider sale, $603K — LINDELL ANDREA R2026-05-29: 1 insider sale, $219K — WALSH GEORGE J III2026-05-08: 1 insider sale, $26K — GRACE PATRICK P2026-05-01: 1 insider sale, $842K — MCNAMARA KEVIN J2026-03-27: 1 insider sale, $554K — MCNAMARA KEVIN J2026-03-12: 1 insider sale, $806K — MCNAMARA KEVIN J2025-11-24: 1 insider sale, $875K — MCNAMARA KEVIN J2025-09-26: 1 insider sale, $1.4M — MCNAMARA KEVIN J2025-09-09: 1 insider sale, $70K — GRACE PATRICK P2025-08: 1 open-market purchase, $83K2025-08: 2 open-market sales, $5.1M2025-09: 2 open-market sales, $1.5M2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $875K2026-03: 2 open-market sales, $1.4M2026-05: 3 open-market sales, $1.1M2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $603K2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $101K2026-08: 3 open-market sales, $2.7M↑ buys↓ salesdirector MCNAMARA KEVIN J — Sale on 2026-08-21, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer LEE SPENCER S — Sale on 2026-08-21, filed 3 days after the tradedirector MCNAMARA KEVIN J — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector GRACE PATRICK P — Sale on 2026-07-31, filed 3 days after the tradedirector LINDELL ANDREA R — Sale on 2026-06-09, filed 1 day after the tradedirector WALSH GEORGE J III — Sale on 2026-05-29, filed same daydirector GRACE PATRICK P — Sale on 2026-05-08, filed same daydirector MCNAMARA KEVIN J — Sale on 2026-05-01, filed 3 days after the tradedirector MCNAMARA KEVIN J — Sale on 2026-03-27, filed 3 days after the tradedirector MCNAMARA KEVIN J — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector MCNAMARA KEVIN J — Sale on 2025-11-24, filed 1 day after the tradedirector MCNAMARA KEVIN J — Sale on 2025-09-26, filed 3 days after the tradedirector GRACE PATRICK P — Sale on 2025-09-09, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-21MCNAMARA KEVIN JdirectorSale2,000 @ $541.16$1.1M−2.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open70,418Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-21LEE SPENCER SofficerSale1,000 @ $541.04$541K−6.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open13,912Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-03MCNAMARA KEVIN JdirectorSale2,000 @ $539.51$1.1M−2.8% of holding−5.2%not yet — horizon still open70,418Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-31GRACE PATRICK PdirectorSale190 @ $532.00$101K−5.1% of holding−5.2%not yet — horizon still open3,533Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-09LINDELL ANDREA RdirectorSale1,347 @ $447.33$603K−22.7% of holding+6.8%not yet — horizon still open4,578Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-29WALSH GEORGE J IIIdirectorSale500 @ $437.83$219K−13.5% of holding+10.3%not yet — horizon still open3,209Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-08GRACE PATRICK PdirectorSale60 @ $425.78$26K−1.8% of holding+5.4%not yet — horizon still open3,337Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-01MCNAMARA KEVIN JdirectorSale2,000 @ $421.13$842K−2.2% of holding−6.6%not yet — horizon still open90,219Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-27MCNAMARA KEVIN JdirectorSale1,500 @ $369.37$554K−1.6% of holding+2.0%not yet — horizon still open92,219Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-12MCNAMARA KEVIN JdirectorSale2,000 @ $403.18$806K−2.1% of holding−6.3%+14.0%93,719Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-24MCNAMARA KEVIN JdirectorSale2,000 @ $437.55$875K−2.1% of holding−3.8%−12.4%94,197Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-26MCNAMARA KEVIN JdirectorSale3,000 @ $461.28$1.4M−3.0% of holding−9.0%−14.9%96,197Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-09GRACE PATRICK PdirectorSale150 @ $463.39$70K−4.2% of holding−9.8%−17.3%3,397Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-05MCNAMARA KEVIN JdirectorSale2,000 @ $428.55$857K−2.0% of holding+4.2%−6.0%99,197Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-04Westfall Nicholas MichaelofficerSale10,012 @ $421.91$4.2M−100.0% of holding+6.7%−7.3%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-04WALSH GEORGE J IIIdirectorPurchase200 @ $417.10$83K+6.0% of holding+6.7%−7.3%3,523Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-16LEE SPENCER SofficerSale1,500 @ $577.99$867K−9.3% of holding−5.7%−38.4%14,627Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-07LEE SPENCER SofficerSale1,500 @ $577.86$867K−8.5% of holding−9.3%−45.2%16,127Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-05MCNAMARA KEVIN JdirectorSale1,500 @ $576.45$865K−1.5% of holding−8.2%−45.3%101,197Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-31MCNAMARA KEVIN JdirectorSale1,000 @ $615.33$615K−1.0% of holding−4.6%−46.8%101,679Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-06MCNAMARA KEVIN JdirectorSale2,000 @ $593.67$1.2M−1.9% of holding+12.0%−35.2%102,679Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-03LEE SPENCER SofficerSale1,326 @ $592.25$785K−7.0% of holding+8.2%−31.7%17,627Form 4 · filed same day
2024-12-30Judkins Brian CofficerPurchase145 @ $519.50$75K+9.5% of holding+4.2%−17.1%1,678Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

114 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-10Judkins Brian CofficerWithheld for tax5,8783,344Form 4
2026-08-10Judkins Brian CofficerOption exercise6,7869,222Form 4
2026-08-10Judkins Brian CofficerOption exercise6,78631,281Form 4
2026-08-05Wherley Joel LofficerWithheld for tax2,2701,181Form 4
2026-08-05Wherley Joel LofficerOption exercise2,59930,220Form 4
2026-08-05Wherley Joel LofficerOption exercise2,5993,451Form 4
2026-08-03MCNAMARA KEVIN JdirectorOption exercise2,001264,158Form 4
2026-07-31MCNAMARA KEVIN JdirectorWithheld for tax19,80272,418Form 4
2026-07-31MCNAMARA KEVIN JdirectorOption exercise2,00192,220Form 4
2026-05-18McCarthy Eileen PdirectorAward / grant3861,241Form 4
2026-05-18Heaney Christopher JdirectorAward / grant3862,775Form 4
2026-05-18DeLyons RondirectorAward / grant3862,052Form 4
2026-05-18Mount John Meredith Jr.directorAward / grant3861,316Form 4
2026-05-18WALSH GEORGE J IIIdirectorAward / grant3863,709Form 4
2026-05-18GRACE PATRICK PdirectorAward / grant3863,723Form 4
2026-05-18LINDELL ANDREA RdirectorAward / grant3865,925Form 4
2026-02-13MCNAMARA KEVIN JdirectorOption exercise2,71496,911Form 4
2026-02-13MCNAMARA KEVIN JdirectorWithheld for tax1,19295,719Form 4
2026-02-13LEE SPENCER SofficerOption exercise49915,066Form 4
2026-02-13Witzeman Michael DofficerOption exercise4136,073Form 4
2026-02-13Judkins Brian CofficerOption exercise3512,538Form 4
2026-02-13Wherley Joel LofficerOption exercise273932Form 4
2026-02-13HUTTON THOMAS CdirectorOption exercise19932,553Form 4
2026-02-13LEE SPENCER SofficerWithheld for tax15414,912Form 4
2026-02-13Witzeman Michael DofficerWithheld for tax1205,953Form 4
2026-02-13Judkins Brian CofficerWithheld for tax1022,436Form 4
2026-02-13Wherley Joel LofficerWithheld for tax80852Form 4
2026-02-13HUTTON THOMAS CdirectorWithheld for tax7232,481Form 4
2026-02-13Witzeman Michael DofficerAward / grant1,3943,464Form 4
2026-02-13Wherley Joel LofficerOption exercise0932Form 4
2026-02-13Wherley Joel LofficerOption exercise2201,290Form 4
2026-02-13Wherley Joel LofficerOption exercise2201,070Form 4
2026-02-13Wherley Joel LofficerAward / grant1,1422,212Form 4
2026-02-13HUTTON THOMAS CdirectorOption exercise032,553Form 4
2026-02-13HUTTON THOMAS CdirectorOption exercise160774Form 4
2026-02-13HUTTON THOMAS CdirectorOption exercise160614Form 4
2026-02-13HUTTON THOMAS CdirectorAward / grant374988Form 4
2026-02-13LEE SPENCER SofficerOption exercise015,066Form 4
2026-02-13LEE SPENCER SofficerOption exercise4021,966Form 4
2026-02-13LEE SPENCER SofficerOption exercise4021,564Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.