CHCT · TickerCove

CHCTCommunity Healthcare Trust IncorporatedReal Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilitiesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $14.66 · now $14.66 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CHCT has typically landed between $12.70 and $16.24 — a range of −13.4% to +10.8% from the issuance price $14.66.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

2,827 overlapping 1 month windows · 2015-05-20 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($14.66) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$14.66 · 36% of range

$12.18 low$19.02 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.1%

typical move · IQR 10.3%

−13.4%worst (p90)+10.8%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where CHCT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $14.66 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $14.66 (+0.0%)
typical $14.5 (-1.1%)
middle 50% $13.74–$15.25
90% range $12.7–$16.24

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,827 windows spanning 2015-05-20 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-18	−55.9%	−55.9%	+3.7%
2020-02-20	−49.0%	−57.0%	+1.1%
2020-02-21	−48.7%	−57.4%	+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-18	+61.4%	+0.0%	+74.0%
2020-03-20	+29.9%	+0.0%	+46.8%
2020-03-23	+25.3%	+0.0%	+44.2%

2,827 overlapping windows · 2015-05-20 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~12 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

55%

+2.6%

n=11

Feb

45%

+0.2%

n=11

Mar

55%

−1.6%

n=11

Apr

36%

−0.2%

n=11

May

55%

+0.5%

n=11

Jun

75%

+3.4%

n=12

Jul

67%

+2.3%

n=12

Aug

50%

−1.8%

n=12

Sep

25%

−3.6%

n=12

Oct

64%

+2.7%

n=11

Nov

55%

+1.1%

n=11

Dec

64%

+0.9%

n=11

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-14	Dupuy David H.	director	Purchase	10,000 @ $15.13	$151K	+1.8% of holding	−0.4%	not yet — horizon still open	557,262	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-11	Hensley Robert Z	director	Purchase	8,000 @ $15.21	$122K	+8.4% of holding	−1.3%	not yet — horizon still open	103,702	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-04	Cotman Cathrine	director	Purchase	4,000 @ $14.66	$59K	+11.9% of holding	+5.6%	+18.9%	37,635	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-28	Van Horn R. Lawrence	director	Purchase	11,815 @ $16.37	$193K	+15.4% of holding	−2.1%	−13.6%	88,502	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-13	Dupuy David H.	director	Purchase	10,000 @ $16.23	$162K	+2.2% of holding	+0.4%	−20.3%	458,500	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-30	Cotman Cathrine	director	Purchase	3,000 @ $17.10	$51K	+14.4% of holding	−7.8%	−35.0%	23,861	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-30	Cotman Cathrine	director	Sale	3,000 @ $17.09	$51K	−12.6% of holding	−7.8%	−35.0%	20,861	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

49 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-18	Monroe William G. IV	officer	Award / grant	27,573	255,912	Form 4
2026-08-18	Dupuy David H.	director	Award / grant	26,853	584,115	Form 4
2026-08-18	Stach Leigh Ann	officer	Award / grant	14,810	475,955	Form 4
2026-08-14	Stach Leigh Ann	officer	Withheld for tax	4,983	461,145	Form 4
2026-07-30	Stach Leigh Ann	officer	Award / grant	8,589	466,128	Form 4
2026-07-30	Dupuy David H.	director	Award / grant	15,573	547,262	Form 4
2026-07-30	Monroe William G. IV	officer	Award / grant	10,163	228,339	Form 4
2026-06-30	Dupuy David H.	director	Withheld for tax	2,556	531,689	Form 4
2026-06-30	Monroe William G. IV	officer	Withheld for tax	1,630	218,176	Form 4
2026-06-30	Stach Leigh Ann	officer	Withheld for tax	1,435	457,539	Form 4
2026-05-21	Van Horn R. Lawrence	director	Award / grant	7,661	102,385	Form 4
2026-05-21	GULMI CLAIRE M	director	Award / grant	7,661	71,523	Form 4
2026-05-21	Gardner Alan	director	Award / grant	7,661	104,521	Form 4
2026-05-21	Cotman Cathrine	director	Award / grant	6,036	49,893	Form 4
2026-05-21	Hensley Robert Z	director	Award / grant	6,036	95,702	Form 4
2026-05-07	GULMI CLAIRE M	director	Award / grant	6,222	63,862	Form 4
2026-05-07	Gardner Alan	director	Award / grant	6,222	96,860	Form 4
2026-05-07	Hensley Robert Z	director	Award / grant	6,222	89,666	Form 4
2026-05-07	Van Horn R. Lawrence	director	Award / grant	6,222	94,724	Form 4
2026-01-15	Dupuy David H.	director	Award / grant	29,941	534,245	Form 4
2026-01-15	Monroe William G. IV	officer	Award / grant	29,605	219,806	Form 4
2026-01-15	Stach Leigh Ann	officer	Award / grant	17,889	463,617	Form 4
2026-01-15	Stach Leigh Ann	officer	Withheld for tax	4,643	458,974	Form 4
2025-08-07	Dupuy David H.	director	Award / grant	29,338	504,304	Form 4
2025-08-07	Monroe William G. IV	officer	Award / grant	29,009	190,201	Form 4
2025-08-07	Stach Leigh Ann	officer	Award / grant	17,529	445,728	Form 4
2025-07-24	Stach Leigh Ann	officer	Award / grant	9,662	428,199	Form 4
2025-07-24	Dupuy David H.	director	Award / grant	17,518	474,966	Form 4
2025-07-24	Monroe William G. IV	officer	Award / grant	11,433	161,192	Form 4
2025-06-30	Dupuy David H.	director	Withheld for tax	1,052	457,448	Form 4
2025-06-30	Monroe William G. IV	officer	Withheld for tax	650	149,759	Form 4
2025-06-30	Stach Leigh Ann	officer	Withheld for tax	604	418,537	Form 4
2025-06-02	Monroe William G. IV	officer	Award / grant	7,000	150,409	Form 4
2025-05-15	Gardner Alan	director	Award / grant	15,865	90,638	Form 4
2025-05-15	GULMI CLAIRE M	director	Award / grant	7,933	56,950	Form 4
2025-05-15	Van Horn R. Lawrence	director	Award / grant	7,933	76,687	Form 4
2025-05-15	Cotman Cathrine	director	Award / grant	6,250	33,635	Form 4
2025-05-15	Hensley Robert Z	director	Award / grant	6,250	83,444	Form 4
2025-05-01	Gardner Alan	director	Award / grant	6,524	74,773	Form 4
2025-05-01	Hensley Robert Z	director	Award / grant	6,524	77,194	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i