CHCOCity Holding CompanyFinancial Services · Banks - Regionalas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $143.82 · now $143.82 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CHCO has typically landed between $133.45 and $158.99 — a range of −7.2% to +10.6% from the issuance price $143.82.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($143.82) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CHCO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $143.82 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$133.45worst · -7.2%$158.99best · +10.6%
  • now $143.82 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $144.76 (+0.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $139.28–$150.23
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $133.45–$158.99
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-10-31−27.4%−30.5%+0.0%
2020-02-11−27.2%−27.2%+0.9%
2020-02-21−26.8%−26.8%+0.0%
3 best
2009-03-05+37.5%−5.4%+37.5%
2009-03-09+33.0%+0.0%+45.3%
2009-03-11+32.7%+0.0%+32.7%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
45%
−0.8%
n=20
Feb
45%
+0.6%
n=20
Mar
65%
+1.7%
n=20
Apr
50%
+1.1%
n=20
May
60%
−0.9%
n=20
Jun
65%
+0.6%
n=20
Jul
70%
+3.5%
n=20
Aug
40%
−0.3%
n=20
Sep
50%
+0.1%
n=20
Oct
60%
+3.6%
n=20
Nov
70%
+2.3%
n=20
Dec
50%
+0.4%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$148$1152026-08-26: 1 insider sale, $58K — Rowe Sharon H2026-07-30: 1 insider sale, $650K — HAGEBOECK CHARLES R2026-07-21: 4 insider purchases, $60K — FISHER ROBERT D, STRONG-TREISTER DIANE W, Hoyer James A, Reyes Javier A2026-05-29: 1 insider sale, $231K — HAGEBOECK CHARLES R2026-05-26: 1 insider sale, $164K — LEGGE JEFFREY DALE2026-05-22: 1 insider sale, $145K — BUMGARNER DAVID L2026-05-20: 1 insider sale, $100K — BUMGARNER DAVID L2026-05-12: 1 insider purchase, $12K — Parsons James M.2026-05-06: 1 insider sale, $50K — BUMGARNER DAVID L2026-04-28: 2 insider sales, $886K — HAGEBOECK CHARLES R, Quinlan Michael T Jr2026-04-27: 1 insider sale, $47K — HAGEBOECK CHARLES R2026-04-20: 4 insider purchases, $58K — FISHER ROBERT D, STRONG-TREISTER DIANE W, Reyes Javier A, Hoyer James A2026-03-09: 4 insider purchases, $64K — FISHER ROBERT D, STRONG-TREISTER DIANE W, Hoyer James A, Reyes Javier A2026-02-20: 2 insider sales, $160K — HAGEBOECK CHARLES R …2025-11-24: 2 insider sales, $243K — HAGEBOECK CHARLES R …2025-11-21: 1 insider sale, $73K — Rowe Sharon H2025-10-16: 3 insider purchases, $49K — FISHER ROBERT D, STRONG-TREISTER DIANE W, Reyes Javier A2025-10: 3 open-market purchases, $49K2025-11: 3 open-market sales, $317K2026-02: 2 open-market sales, $160K2026-03: 4 open-market purchases, $64K2026-04: 4 open-market purchases, $58K2026-04: 3 open-market sales, $933K2026-05: 1 open-market purchase, $12K2026-05: 5 open-market sales, $690K2026-07: 4 open-market purchases, $60K2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $650K2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $58K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Rowe Sharon H — Sale on 2026-08-26, filed 1 day after the tradedirector HAGEBOECK CHARLES R — Sale on 2026-07-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector FISHER ROBERT D — Purchase on 2026-07-21, filed same daydirector STRONG-TREISTER DIANE W — Purchase on 2026-07-21, filed same daydirector Hoyer James A — Purchase on 2026-07-21, filed same daydirector Reyes Javier A — Purchase on 2026-07-21, filed same daydirector HAGEBOECK CHARLES R — Sale on 2026-05-29, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer LEGGE JEFFREY DALE — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer BUMGARNER DAVID L — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer BUMGARNER DAVID L — Sale on 2026-05-20, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Parsons James M. — Purchase on 2026-05-12, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer BUMGARNER DAVID L — Sale on 2026-05-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector HAGEBOECK CHARLES R — Sale on 2026-04-28, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Quinlan Michael T Jr — Sale on 2026-04-28, filed 1 day after the tradedirector HAGEBOECK CHARLES R — Sale on 2026-04-27, filed 1 day after the tradedirector FISHER ROBERT D — Purchase on 2026-04-20, filed same daydirector STRONG-TREISTER DIANE W — Purchase on 2026-04-20, filed same daydirector Reyes Javier A — Purchase on 2026-04-20, filed same daydirector Hoyer James A — Purchase on 2026-04-20, filed same daydirector FISHER ROBERT D — Purchase on 2026-03-09, filed same daydirector STRONG-TREISTER DIANE W — Purchase on 2026-03-09, filed same daydirector Hoyer James A — Purchase on 2026-03-09, filed same daydirector Reyes Javier A — Purchase on 2026-03-09, filed same daydirector HAGEBOECK CHARLES R — Sale on 2026-02-20, filed 3 days after the tradedirector HAGEBOECK CHARLES R — Sale on 2026-02-20, filed 3 days after the tradedirector HAGEBOECK CHARLES R — Sale on 2025-11-24, filed 1 day after the tradedirector HAGEBOECK CHARLES R — Sale on 2025-11-24, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Rowe Sharon H — Sale on 2025-11-21, filed 4 days after the tradedirector FISHER ROBERT D — Purchase on 2025-10-16, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STRONG-TREISTER DIANE W — Purchase on 2025-10-16, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Reyes Javier A — Purchase on 2025-10-16, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-26Rowe Sharon HdirectorSale400 @ $143.96$58K−3.6% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open10,576Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-30HAGEBOECK CHARLES RdirectorSale4,485 @ $144.96$650K−9.3% of holding−4.4%not yet — horizon still open43,998Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-21FISHER ROBERT DdirectorPurchase156 @ $134.55$21K+0.3% of holding+3.3%not yet — horizon still open47,507Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-21STRONG-TREISTER DIANE WdirectorPurchase110 @ $134.55$15K+2.8% of holding+3.3%not yet — horizon still open4,097Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-21Hoyer James AdirectorPurchase95 @ $134.55$13K+15.7% of holding+3.3%not yet — horizon still open702Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-21Reyes Javier AdirectorPurchase83 @ $134.55$11K+3.6% of holding+3.3%not yet — horizon still open2,368Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-29HAGEBOECK CHARLES RdirectorSale1,858 @ $124.40$231K−3.7% of holding+7.7%not yet — horizon still open48,483Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-26LEGGE JEFFREY DALEofficerSale1,309 @ $125.00$164K−14.6% of holding+7.9%not yet — horizon still open7,656Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-22BUMGARNER DAVID LofficerSale1,161 @ $124.50$145K−9.8% of holding+6.8%not yet — horizon still open10,666Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-20BUMGARNER DAVID LofficerSale805 @ $124.50$100K−6.4% of holding+2.5%not yet — horizon still open11,827Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-12Parsons James M.directorPurchase100 @ $121.60$12K+3.7% of holding+5.8%not yet — horizon still open2,800Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-06BUMGARNER DAVID LofficerSale402 @ $125.00$50K−3.1% of holding+2.6%not yet — horizon still open12,632Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-28HAGEBOECK CHARLES RdirectorSale5,855 @ $125.30$734K−10.4% of holding−7.1%not yet — horizon still open50,341Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-28Quinlan Michael T JrofficerSale1,210 @ $126.09$153K−26.7% of holding−7.1%not yet — horizon still open3,314Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-27HAGEBOECK CHARLES RdirectorSale375 @ $125.00$47K−0.7% of holding−4.9%not yet — horizon still open56,196Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-20FISHER ROBERT DdirectorPurchase133 @ $126.36$17K+0.3% of holding−6.1%not yet — horizon still open47,111Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-20STRONG-TREISTER DIANE WdirectorPurchase119 @ $126.36$15K+3.1% of holding−6.1%not yet — horizon still open3,987Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-20Reyes Javier AdirectorPurchase103 @ $126.36$13K+4.7% of holding−6.1%not yet — horizon still open2,285Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-20Hoyer James AdirectorPurchase103 @ $126.36$13K+20.4% of holding−6.1%not yet — horizon still open607Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-09FISHER ROBERT DdirectorPurchase213 @ $115.88$25K+0.5% of holding+7.6%+11.6%46,978Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-09STRONG-TREISTER DIANE WdirectorPurchase129 @ $115.88$15K+3.4% of holding+7.6%+11.6%3,871Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-09Hoyer James AdirectorPurchase106 @ $115.88$12K+26.6% of holding+7.6%+11.6%504Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-09Reyes Javier AdirectorPurchase105 @ $115.88$12K+5.1% of holding+7.6%+11.6%2,182Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-20HAGEBOECK CHARLES RdirectorSale833 @ $125.50$105K−1.7% of holding−0.1%+5.5%49,084Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-02-20HAGEBOECK CHARLES RdirectorSale442 @ $125.00$55K−0.9% of holding−0.1%+5.5%49,917Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-24HAGEBOECK CHARLES RdirectorSale1,149 @ $120.73$139K−2.2% of holding−0.7%−8.8%51,227Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-24HAGEBOECK CHARLES RdirectorSale868 @ $120.61$105K−1.7% of holding−0.7%−8.8%50,359Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-21Rowe Sharon HdirectorSale600 @ $122.00$73K−5.3% of holding−3.0%−11.1%10,711Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-10-16FISHER ROBERT DdirectorPurchase183 @ $117.23$21K+0.4% of holding+1.3%+1.4%46,019Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-16STRONG-TREISTER DIANE WdirectorPurchase128 @ $117.23$15K+3.8% of holding+1.3%+1.4%3,477Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-16Reyes Javier AdirectorPurchase105 @ $117.23$12K+6.2% of holding+1.3%+1.4%1,812Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-28FISHER ROBERT DdirectorPurchase113 @ $127.05$14K+0.2% of holding+1.1%−13.2%45,622Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-28STRONG-TREISTER DIANE WdirectorPurchase102 @ $127.05$13K+3.1% of holding+1.1%−13.2%3,349Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-28Reyes Javier AdirectorPurchase90 @ $127.05$11K+5.6% of holding+1.1%−13.2%1,707Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-24LEGGE JEFFREY DALEofficerSale2,500 @ $131.06$328K−26.2% of holding−1.7%−14.4%7,037Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-24Quinlan Michael T JrofficerSale1,000 @ $131.12$131K−35.3% of holding−1.7%−14.4%1,830Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-12Parsons James M.directorPurchase2,200 @ $122.38$269K+440.0% of holding−5.4%−16.9%2,700Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-07FISHER ROBERT DdirectorPurchase163 @ $116.72$19K+0.4% of holding−5.8%−17.2%45,509Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-07FILE W H IIIdirectorPurchase144 @ $116.72$17K+0.5% of holding−5.8%−17.2%26,943Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-07STRONG-TREISTER DIANE WdirectorPurchase120 @ $116.72$14K+3.8% of holding−5.8%−17.2%3,247Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-07Reyes Javier AdirectorPurchase116 @ $116.72$14K+7.7% of holding−5.8%−17.2%1,617Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-06Hoyer James AdirectorPurchase19 @ $116.00$2Kownership Δ n/a−6.4%−18.0%19Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-02BUMGARNER DAVID LofficerSale441 @ $118.00$52K−4.1% of holding−4.3%−19.3%10,195Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-01Quinlan Michael T JrofficerSale1,400 @ $116.22$163K−33.1% of holding−5.2%−19.0%2,830Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-29BUMGARNER DAVID LofficerSale1,058 @ $118.00$125K−9.0% of holding−4.9%−21.3%10,636Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-25FISHER ROBERT DdirectorPurchase191 @ $119.85$23K+0.4% of holding+5.5%−10.6%44,857Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-25STRONG-TREISTER DIANE WdirectorPurchase116 @ $119.85$14K+4.2% of holding+5.5%−10.6%2,861Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-25FILE W H IIIdirectorPurchase108 @ $119.85$13K+0.4% of holding+5.5%−10.6%26,533Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-28BUMGARNER DAVID LofficerSale170 @ $119.00$20K−1.4% of holding+4.3%+0.2%11,694Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-14BUMGARNER DAVID LofficerSale200 @ $120.00$24K−2.1% of holding+7.4%−1.2%9,438Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-06FAIRCHILDS CHARLES WdirectorSale500 @ $120.50$60K−33.0% of holding+2.8%−4.4%1,014Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-30BUMGARNER DAVID LofficerSale556 @ $120.00$67K−5.6% of holding+4.7%+0.4%9,395Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

99 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-21Jones J. ThomasdirectorGift7303,422Form 4
2026-02-25LEGGE JEFFREY DALEofficerOption exercise1,4658,965Form 4
2026-02-25Quinlan Michael T JrofficerAward / grant610610Form 4
2026-02-25Quinlan Michael T JrofficerOption exercise2,1774,524Form 4
2026-02-25Whittaker Timothy JamesofficerAward / grant348348Form 4
2026-02-25LEGGE JEFFREY DALEofficerAward / grant348348Form 4
2026-02-25BUMGARNER DAVID LofficerOption exercise2,04713,034Form 4
2026-02-25BUMGARNER DAVID LofficerAward / grant534534Form 4
2026-02-25HAGEBOECK CHARLES RdirectorOption exercise5,62956,571Form 4
2026-02-25HAGEBOECK CHARLES RdirectorAward / grant1,3651,365Form 4
2026-02-24Quinlan Michael T JrofficerOption exercise1452,347Form 4
2026-02-24LEGGE JEFFREY DALEofficerOption exercise1630Form 4
2026-02-24BUMGARNER DAVID LofficerOption exercise1690Form 4
2026-02-24HAGEBOECK CHARLES RdirectorOption exercise67150,942Form 4
2026-02-24HAGEBOECK CHARLES RdirectorOption exercise6710Form 4
2026-02-24LEGGE JEFFREY DALEofficerOption exercise1637,500Form 4
2026-02-24BUMGARNER DAVID LofficerOption exercise16910,987Form 4
2026-02-24Quinlan Michael T JrofficerOption exercise1450Form 4
2026-02-23HAGEBOECK CHARLES RdirectorOption exercise66550,271Form 4
2026-02-23LEGGE JEFFREY DALEofficerOption exercise1647,337Form 4
2026-02-23LEGGE JEFFREY DALEofficerOption exercise164164Form 4
2026-02-23Quinlan Michael T JrofficerOption exercise1702,202Form 4
2026-02-23Quinlan Michael T JrofficerOption exercise170170Form 4
2026-02-23BUMGARNER DAVID LofficerOption exercise17010,818Form 4
2026-02-23BUMGARNER DAVID LofficerOption exercise170170Form 4
2026-02-23HAGEBOECK CHARLES RdirectorOption exercise665665Form 4
2026-02-22Quinlan Michael T JrofficerOption exercise202403Form 4
2026-02-22BUMGARNER DAVID LofficerOption exercise19010,648Form 4
2026-02-22BUMGARNER DAVID LofficerOption exercise190379Form 4
2026-02-22HAGEBOECK CHARLES RdirectorOption exercise52249,606Form 4
2026-02-22HAGEBOECK CHARLES RdirectorOption exercise5221,043Form 4
2026-02-22LEGGE JEFFREY DALEofficerOption exercise1367,173Form 4
2026-02-22LEGGE JEFFREY DALEofficerOption exercise136272Form 4
2026-02-22Quinlan Michael T JrofficerOption exercise2022,032Form 4
2026-01-28Rowe Sharon HdirectorAward / grant26510,976Form 4
2026-01-28Burton Gregory AdirectorAward / grant2652,478Form 4
2026-01-28Reyes Javier AdirectorAward / grant2652,077Form 4
2026-01-28ROSSI JAMES LdirectorAward / grant26518,764Form 4
2026-01-28FISHER ROBERT DdirectorAward / grant26546,529Form 4
2026-01-28Hoyer James AdirectorAward / grant265398Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.