CGONCG Oncology Inc.Healthcare · Biotechnologyas of 2026-09-25
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-25 at $67.15 · now $67.15 (2026-09-25, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-25 close, CGON has typically landed between $53.03 and $88.32 — a range of −21.0% to +31.5% from the issuance price $67.15.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

649 overlapping 1 month windows · 2024-01-25 – 2026-08-26 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Base rate up 53.7% (90% CI 51.5–55.9%, ≈1,391 obs). Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-25 issuance close ($67.15) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-26, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CGON has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-25 close of $67.15 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$53.03worst · -21.0%$88.32best · +31.5%
  • now $67.15 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $67.89 (+1.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $62.17–$73.6
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $53.03–$88.32
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 649 windows spanning 2024-01-25 to 2026-09-25. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2025-03-10−40.5%−40.5%+8.9%
2025-03-07−36.7%−36.7%+6.8%
2025-03-06−36.3%−36.3%+5.7%
3 best
2025-04-08+54.8%+0.0%+86.3%
2025-08-19+51.9%−0.5%+51.9%
2025-04-03+50.4%−16.8%+55.0%

649 overlapping windows · 2024-01-25 – 2026-09-25 · not cherry-picked

Pending catalysts

  • November 2026 — Trial primary completion: Phase 3 primary completion: A Study of Adjuvant Cretostimogene Grenadenorepvec for Treatment of Intermediate Risk NMIBC Following TURBT (source, as of 2026-08-14)
  • 2027-03-31 — Trial primary completion: Phase 2 primary completion: Phase 2 Study to Evaluate Safety and Efficacy of Cretostimogene Grenadenorepvec in High-Risk NMIBC (source, as of 2026-08-14)
  • 2030-06-16 — Trial primary completion: Phase 3 primary completion: Study of Cretostimogene Given in Patients With Non-Muscle Invasive Bladder Cancer ,Unresponsive to Bacillus-Calmette-Guerin (source, as of 2026-08-14)

Public, scheduled events — dated attention, not a prediction of the outcome. See the FDA catalysts page for the historical base rate.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~3 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
100%
+15.1%
n=2
Feb
67%
+6.3%
n=3
Mar
33%
+2.7%
n=3
Apr
33%
+0.1%
n=3
May
0%
−10.2%
n=3
Jun
67%
+4.1%
n=3
Jul
100%
+2.8%
n=3
Aug
100%
+5.5%
n=3
Sep
67%
+13.9%
n=3
Oct
50%
+0.8%
n=2
Nov
50%
+0.7%
n=2
Dec
0%
−12.4%
n=2

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$81$252026-09-15: 1 insider sale, $73K — POST LEONARD E2026-08-14: 1 insider sale, $75K — POST LEONARD E2026-07-15: 1 insider sale, $71K — POST LEONARD E2026-07-10: 1 insider sale, $1.8M — Mulay James2026-06-25: 1 insider purchase, $24.8M — Liu Brian Guan-Chyun2026-06-24: 1 insider sale, $350K — POST LEONARD E2026-06-22: 1 insider sale, $325K — POST LEONARD E2026-06-15: 2 insider sales, $118K — Mulay James …2026-06-04: 1 insider sale, $55K — POST LEONARD E2026-04-17: 1 insider sale, $1.1M — Mulay James2026-03-16: 2 insider sales, $125K — Mulay James …2026-01-09: 2 insider sales, $585K — Mulay James …2025-11-17: 1 insider sale, $41K — POST LEONARD E2025-10-13: 1 insider sale, $43K — POST LEONARD E2025-10-09: 1 insider sale, $260K — Mulay James2025-09-30: 1 insider sale, $200K — POST LEONARD E2025-09-29: 1 insider sale, $500K — Mulay James2025-09-19: 1 insider sale, $139K — Mulay James2025-09-18: 1 insider sale, $746K — Mulay James2025-09-15: 1 insider sale, $35K — POST LEONARD E2025-09-11: 1 insider purchase, $50.0M — Liu Brian Guan-Chyun2025-09-05: 4 insider sales, $852K — Mulay James …2025-09-03: 5 insider sales, $2.8M — Song Hong Fang, POST LEONARD E …2025-09: 1 open-market purchase, $50.0M2025-09: 14 open-market sales, $5.3M2025-10: 2 open-market sales, $303K2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $41K2026-01: 2 open-market sales, $585K2026-03: 2 open-market sales, $125K2026-04: 1 open-market sale, $1.1M2026-06: 1 open-market purchase, $24.8M2026-06: 5 open-market sales, $848K2026-07: 2 open-market sales, $1.9M2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $75K2026-09: 1 open-market sale, $73K↑ buys↓ salesdirector POST LEONARD E — Sale on 2026-09-15, filed 2 days after the tradedirector POST LEONARD E — Sale on 2026-08-14, filed 4 days after the tradedirector POST LEONARD E — Sale on 2026-07-15, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Mulay James — Sale on 2026-07-10, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Liu Brian Guan-Chyun — Purchase on 2026-06-25, filed 4 days after the tradedirector POST LEONARD E — Sale on 2026-06-24, filed 1 day after the tradedirector POST LEONARD E — Sale on 2026-06-22, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Mulay James — Sale on 2026-06-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Mulay James — Sale on 2026-06-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector POST LEONARD E — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Mulay James — Sale on 2026-04-17, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Mulay James — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Mulay James — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Mulay James — Sale on 2026-01-09, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Mulay James — Sale on 2026-01-09, filed 4 days after the tradedirector POST LEONARD E — Sale on 2025-11-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector POST LEONARD E — Sale on 2025-10-13, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Mulay James — Sale on 2025-10-09, filed 1 day after the tradedirector POST LEONARD E — Sale on 2025-09-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Mulay James — Sale on 2025-09-29, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Mulay James — Sale on 2025-09-19, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Mulay James — Sale on 2025-09-18, filed 4 days after the tradedirector POST LEONARD E — Sale on 2025-09-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Liu Brian Guan-Chyun — Purchase on 2025-09-11, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Mulay James — Sale on 2025-09-05, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Mulay James — Sale on 2025-09-05, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Mulay James — Sale on 2025-09-05, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Mulay James — Sale on 2025-09-05, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Song Hong Fang — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Song Hong Fang — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector POST LEONARD E — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Song Hong Fang — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Song Hong Fang — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-15POST LEONARD EdirectorSale1,000 @ $72.98$73K−100.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-14POST LEONARD EdirectorSale1,000 @ $74.54$75K−100.0% of holding−0.6%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-07-15POST LEONARD EdirectorSale1,000 @ $71.17$71K−100.0% of holding−0.7%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-10Mulay JamesdirectorSale24,165 @ $75.16$1.8M−100.0% of holding−0.6%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-25Liu Brian Guan-ChyundirectorPurchase371,085 @ $66.87$24.8M+24.5% of holding+0.3%not yet — horizon still open1,886,236Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-24POST LEONARD EdirectorSale5,000 @ $70.00$350K−100.0% of holding+0.1%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-22POST LEONARD EdirectorSale5,000 @ $65.00$325K−100.0% of holding+4.2%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-15Mulay JamesdirectorSale1,310 @ $60.12$79K−100.0% of holding+17.0%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-15Mulay JamesdirectorSale654 @ $60.12$39K−100.0% of holding+17.0%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-04POST LEONARD EdirectorSale1,000 @ $54.50$55K−100.0% of holding+24.4%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-17Mulay JamesdirectorSale15,600 @ $73.01$1.1M−100.0% of holding−18.3%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-16Mulay JamesdirectorSale1,310 @ $63.50$83K−100.0% of holding−2.2%−3.4%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-16Mulay JamesdirectorSale654 @ $63.50$42K−100.0% of holding−2.2%−3.4%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-09Mulay JamesdirectorSale10,491 @ $52.99$556K−100.0% of holding−1.8%+23.5%0Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-01-09Mulay JamesdirectorSale654 @ $44.16$29K−100.0% of holding−1.8%+23.5%0Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-17POST LEONARD EdirectorSale1,000 @ $41.43$41K−100.0% of holding−10.3%+45.0%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-10-13POST LEONARD EdirectorSale1,000 @ $43.25$43K−100.0% of holding−12.6%+51.4%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-09Mulay JamesdirectorSale5,903 @ $43.99$260K−100.0% of holding−10.7%+49.5%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-30POST LEONARD EdirectorSale5,000 @ $40.09$200K−100.0% of holding+3.5%+66.9%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-29Mulay JamesdirectorSale12,755 @ $39.19$500K−100.0% of holding+8.3%+74.6%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-19Mulay JamesdirectorSale3,574 @ $38.99$139K−100.0% of holding+17.0%+76.7%0Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-18Mulay JamesdirectorSale19,112 @ $39.01$746K−100.0% of holding+6.2%+68.9%0Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-15POST LEONARD EdirectorSale1,000 @ $35.10$35K−100.0% of holding+23.4%+96.3%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-11Liu Brian Guan-ChyundirectorPurchase1,515,151 @ $33.00$50.0Mownership Δ n/a+30.9%+92.6%1,515,151Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-05Mulay JamesdirectorSale12,342 @ $30.47$376K−45.7% of holding+11.2%+79.9%14,673Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-05Mulay JamesdirectorSale7,465 @ $32.64$244K−70.6% of holding+11.2%+79.9%3,113Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-05Mulay JamesdirectorSale4,095 @ $31.42$129K−27.9% of holding+11.2%+79.9%10,578Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-05Mulay JamesdirectorSale3,113 @ $33.22$103K−100.0% of holding+11.2%+79.9%0Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-03Song Hong FangdirectorSale69,695 @ $27.60$1.9M−2.3% of holding+34.7%+104.1%2,934,236Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-03Song Hong FangdirectorSale30,105 @ $28.24$850K−1.0% of holding+34.7%+104.1%2,904,131Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-03POST LEONARD EdirectorSale1,000 @ $28.00$28K−100.0% of holding+34.7%+104.1%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-03Song Hong FangdirectorSale100 @ $28.99$3K−0.0% of holding+34.7%+104.1%2,903,931Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-03Song Hong FangdirectorSale100 @ $28.96$3K−0.0% of holding+34.7%+104.1%2,904,031Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-17POST LEONARD EdirectorSale2,000 @ $28.00$56K−100.0% of holding−12.1%+75.6%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-21POST LEONARD EdirectorSale1,000 @ $28.00$28K−100.0% of holding−5.4%+48.1%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-28POST LEONARD EdirectorSale1,000 @ $30.76$31K−100.0% of holding−16.3%+33.2%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-17POST LEONARD EdirectorSale1,000 @ $28.00$28K−100.0% of holding−22.4%+12.2%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-18POST LEONARD EdirectorSale1,000 @ $28.61$29K−100.0% of holding+9.7%−11.9%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-13POST LEONARD EdirectorSale1,000 @ $29.66$30K−100.0% of holding−6.1%−17.1%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-16Song Hong FangdirectorSale700,000 @ $28.00$19.6M−18.9% of holding+0.7%−11.4%3,003,931Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-16POST LEONARD EdirectorSale1,000 @ $28.84$29K−100.0% of holding+0.7%−11.4%0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-06POST LEONARD EdirectorSale750 @ $34.40$26K−75.0% of holding−9.3%−23.9%250Form 4 · filed same day
2024-12-06POST LEONARD EdirectorSale250 @ $34.98$9K−100.0% of holding−9.3%−23.9%0Form 4 · filed same day
2024-08-29Song Hong FangdirectorSale424,210 @ $35.36$15.0M−42.0% of holding−0.2%−36.4%586,982Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-08-29Song Hong FangdirectorSale226,245 @ $35.36$8.0M−5.8% of holding−0.2%−36.4%3,703,931Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

105 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-15POST LEONARD EdirectorOption exercise1,0001,000Form 4
2026-09-15POST LEONARD EdirectorOption exercise1,000103,077Form 4
2026-08-14POST LEONARD EdirectorOption exercise1,0001,000Form 4
2026-08-14POST LEONARD EdirectorOption exercise1,000104,077Form 4
2026-07-15POST LEONARD EdirectorOption exercise1,0001,000Form 4
2026-07-15POST LEONARD EdirectorOption exercise1,000105,077Form 4
2026-07-10Mulay JamesdirectorOption exercise24,16524,165Form 4
2026-07-10Mulay JamesdirectorOption exercise24,1650Form 4
2026-06-24POST LEONARD EdirectorOption exercise5,0005,000Form 4
2026-06-24POST LEONARD EdirectorOption exercise5,000106,077Form 4
2026-06-22POST LEONARD EdirectorOption exercise5,0005,000Form 4
2026-06-22POST LEONARD EdirectorOption exercise5,000111,077Form 4
2026-06-15Mulay JamesdirectorOption exercise1,3101,310Form 4
2026-06-15Mulay JamesdirectorOption exercise654654Form 4
2026-06-15Mulay JamesdirectorOption exercise1,3102,620Form 4
2026-06-15Mulay JamesdirectorOption exercise6540Form 4
2026-06-04POST LEONARD EdirectorOption exercise1,0001,000Form 4
2026-06-04POST LEONARD EdirectorAward / grant9,3549,354Form 4
2026-06-04Graf Susan EdirectorAward / grant9,3549,354Form 4
2026-06-04Rossi ChristinadirectorAward / grant9,3549,354Form 4
2026-06-04Mulay JamesdirectorAward / grant9,3549,354Form 4
2026-06-04Tong Victor Edward JrdirectorAward / grant9,3549,354Form 4
2026-06-04Liu Brian Guan-ChyundirectorAward / grant9,3549,354Form 4
2026-06-04POST LEONARD EdirectorOption exercise1,000116,077Form 4
2026-04-17Mulay JamesdirectorOption exercise15,60015,600Form 4
2026-04-17Mulay JamesdirectorOption exercise15,6000Form 4
2026-04-15Kasturi VijayofficerAward / grant79,21679,216Form 4
2026-04-15DETORE JAMES M.officerAward / grant90,57490,574Form 4
2026-04-15Patterson Joshua F.officerAward / grant45,26645,266Form 4
2026-04-15Kuan ArthurdirectorAward / grant271,600271,600Form 4
2026-04-15Bellete AmbawofficerAward / grant107,508107,508Form 4
2026-03-16Mulay JamesdirectorOption exercise1,3101,310Form 4
2026-03-16Mulay JamesdirectorOption exercise654654Form 4
2026-03-16Mulay JamesdirectorOption exercise654654Form 4
2026-03-16Mulay JamesdirectorOption exercise1,3103,930Form 4
2026-03-12Kuan ArthurdirectorOption exercise64,612200,763Form 4
2026-03-12Kuan ArthurdirectorWithheld for tax1,847198,916Form 4
2026-03-12Kuan ArthurdirectorOption exercise64,6120Form 4
2026-03-04Kuan ArthurdirectorOption exercise102,871139,022Form 4
2026-03-04Kuan ArthurdirectorWithheld for tax2,871136,151Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.