CELH · TickerCove

CELHCelsius Holdings, Inc.Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholicas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $28.25 · now $28.25 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CELH has typically landed between $21.44 and $38.31 — a range of −24.1% to +35.6% from the issuance price $28.25.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

4,923 overlapping 1 month windows · 2007-01-22 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($28.25) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$28.25 · 11% of range

$23.77 low$64.86 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−0.6%

typical move · IQR 24.1%

−24.1%worst (p90)+35.6%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where CELH has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $28.25 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $28.25 (+0.0%)
typical $28.07 (-0.6%)
middle 50% $24.67–$31.47
90% range $21.44–$38.31

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,923 windows spanning 2007-01-22 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2007-03-02	−67.2%	−67.2%	+0.3%
2007-03-12	−65.7%	−67.3%	+0.0%
2007-03-13	−65.6%	−65.9%	+0.0%
3 best
2009-06-18	+256.7%	−5.5%	+256.7%
2009-06-19	+215.0%	−5.5%	+256.7%
2014-02-13	+214.3%	+0.0%	+214.3%

4,923 overlapping windows · 2007-01-22 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

63%

+10.1%

n=19

Feb

55%

+6.5%

n=20

Mar

55%

+10.0%

n=20

Apr

40%

+2.4%

n=20

May

55%

+9.7%

n=20

Jun

60%

+8.5%

n=20

Jul

30%

+6.9%

n=20

Aug

60%

+4.7%

n=20

Sep

25%

−8.9%

n=20

Oct

37%

−1.4%

n=19

Nov

26%

−8.3%

n=19

Dec

47%

−0.3%

n=19

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-15	DeSantis Damon	director	Purchase	16,000 @ $27.95	$447K	+0.6% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	2,728,187	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-09-15	Kravitz Hal	director	Purchase	12,000 @ $28.00	$336K	+5.3% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	239,158	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-14	DeSantis Damon	director	Purchase	20,000 @ $27.65	$553K	+0.7% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	2,712,187	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-10	Fieldly John	director	Purchase	18,000 @ $27.44	$494K	+1.9% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	956,063	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-22	Kravitz Hal	director	Purchase	8,400 @ $29.73	$250K	+3.8% of holding	−3.9%	not yet — horizon still open	227,158	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-22	Fieldly John	director	Purchase	8,475 @ $29.36	$249K	+0.9% of holding	−3.9%	not yet — horizon still open	937,540	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-21	Hanson Eric	officer	Purchase	7,500 @ $29.04	$218K	+10.9% of holding	−4.2%	not yet — horizon still open	76,392	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-03-02	Russell Joyce	director	Sale	2,880 @ $51.31	$148K	−13.3% of holding	−23.0%	−48.5%	18,837	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

292 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-07	Previn Fletcher F	director	Award / grant	3,812	3,812	Form 4
2026-08-03	DeSantis Deborah	other	Other acquisition	150,000	10,882,396	Form 4
2026-08-03	Milmoe William H.	director	Other acquisition	150,000	10,882,396	Form 4
2026-08-03	DeSantis Dean	other	Other acquisition	150,000	10,882,396	Form 4
2026-08-03	DeSantis Dean	other	Other acquisition	150,000	0	Form 4
2026-08-03	Milmoe William H.	director	Other acquisition	150,000	0	Form 4
2026-08-03	DeSantis Deborah	other	Other acquisition	150,000	0	Form 4
2026-07-31	DeSantis Dean	other	Other acquisition	150,000	11,032,396	Form 4
2026-07-31	DeSantis Deborah	other	Other acquisition	150,000	11,032,396	Form 4
2026-07-31	Milmoe William H.	director	Other acquisition	150,000	11,032,396	Form 4
2026-07-31	DeSantis Deborah	other	Other acquisition	150,000	0	Form 4
2026-07-31	DeSantis Dean	other	Other acquisition	150,000	0	Form 4
2026-07-31	Milmoe William H.	director	Other acquisition	150,000	0	Form 4
2026-07-30	Milmoe William H.	director	Other acquisition	150,000	11,182,396	Form 4
2026-07-30	DeSantis Dean	other	Other acquisition	150,000	11,182,396	Form 4
2026-07-30	DeSantis Deborah	other	Other acquisition	150,000	11,182,396	Form 4
2026-07-30	DeSantis Deborah	other	Other acquisition	150,000	0	Form 4
2026-07-30	DeSantis Dean	other	Other acquisition	150,000	0	Form 4
2026-07-30	Milmoe William H.	director	Other acquisition	150,000	0	Form 4
2026-07-29	Milmoe William H.	director	Other acquisition	150,000	11,332,396	Form 4
2026-07-29	DeSantis Dean	other	Other acquisition	150,000	11,332,396	Form 4
2026-07-29	DeSantis Deborah	other	Other acquisition	150,000	11,332,396	Form 4
2026-07-29	DeSantis Deborah	other	Other acquisition	150,000	0	Form 4
2026-07-29	Milmoe William H.	director	Other acquisition	150,000	0	Form 4
2026-07-29	DeSantis Dean	other	Other acquisition	150,000	0	Form 4
2026-07-28	Milmoe William H.	director	Other acquisition	150,000	11,482,396	Form 4
2026-07-28	DeSantis Dean	other	Other acquisition	150,000	11,482,396	Form 4
2026-07-28	DeSantis Deborah	other	Other acquisition	150,000	11,482,396	Form 4
2026-07-28	Milmoe William H.	director	Other acquisition	150,000	0	Form 4
2026-07-28	DeSantis Deborah	other	Other acquisition	150,000	0	Form 4
2026-07-28	DeSantis Dean	other	Other acquisition	150,000	0	Form 4
2026-07-27	Milmoe William H.	director	Other acquisition	150,000	11,632,396	Form 4
2026-07-27	DeSantis Dean	other	Other acquisition	150,000	11,632,396	Form 4
2026-07-27	DeSantis Deborah	other	Other acquisition	150,000	11,632,396	Form 4
2026-07-27	Milmoe William H.	director	Other acquisition	150,000	0	Form 4
2026-07-27	DeSantis Dean	other	Other acquisition	150,000	0	Form 4
2026-07-27	DeSantis Deborah	other	Other acquisition	150,000	0	Form 4
2026-07-24	Milmoe William H.	director	Other acquisition	150,000	11,782,396	Form 4
2026-07-24	DeSantis Deborah	other	Other acquisition	150,000	11,782,396	Form 4
2026-07-24	DeSantis Dean	other	Other acquisition	150,000	11,782,396	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i