Issued 2026-09-16 at $69.42 · now $69.42 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CECO has typically landed between $57.73 and $88.72 — a range of −16.8% to +27.8% from the issuance price $69.42.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($69.42) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CECO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $69.42 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $69.42 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $71.66 (+3.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $65.35–$77.98
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $57.73–$88.72
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-10-14 | −53.6% | −53.6% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-18 | −52.0% | −52.0% | +0.1% |
| 2020-02-13 | −50.8% | −50.8% | +0.3% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-03-05 | +87.3% | −1.8% | +87.3% |
| 2009-03-06 | +84.0% | +0.0% | +90.7% |
| 2009-03-09 | +75.4% | +0.0% | +85.0% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | DEZWIREK JASON | director | Sale | 34,000 @ $97.28 | $3.3M | −20.5% of holding | −23.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 132,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-24 | DEZWIREK JASON | director | Sale | 34,000 @ $96.61 | $3.3M | −17.0% of holding | −21.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 166,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-24 | Johansson Peter K. | officer | Sale | 30,000 @ $96.49 | $2.9M | −42.4% of holding | −21.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 40,746 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | WALLMAN RICHARD F | director | Purchase | 20,000 @ $76.85 | $1.5M | +23.4% of holding | +9.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 105,500 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-01 | Nanda Munish | director | Sale | 11,218 @ $74.00 | $830K | −15.3% of holding | +0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 62,031 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-29 | WALLMAN RICHARD F | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $73.25 | $733K | +4.5% of holding | −3.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 229,909 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-29 | WALLMAN RICHARD F | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $73.80 | $369K | +6.2% of holding | −3.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 85,500 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-22 | Gleason Todd R | director | Sale | 98,101 @ $50.45 | $4.9M | −19.3% of holding | −0.9% | +24.3% | 410,835 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-19 | Gleason Todd R | director | Sale | 85,000 @ $49.10 | $4.2M | −16.6% of holding | +1.6% | +20.2% | 427,734 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-19 | Gleason Todd R | director | Sale | 16,199 @ $50.38 | $816K | −3.8% of holding | +1.6% | +20.2% | 411,535 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-19 | Gleason Todd R | director | Sale | 700 @ $51.15 | $36K | −0.2% of holding | +1.6% | +20.2% | 410,835 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-18 | Gleason Todd R | director | Sale | 100,000 @ $51.30 | $5.1M | −19.6% of holding | −5.0% | +9.3% | 410,835 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-05 | WALLMAN RICHARD F | director | Purchase | 3,000 @ $46.93 | $141K | +3.9% of holding | +8.5% | +3.5% | 80,500 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-29 | WALLMAN RICHARD F | director | Purchase | 3,000 @ $44.25 | $133K | +1.4% of holding | +8.7% | +12.7% | 219,909 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-29 | WALLMAN RICHARD F | director | Purchase | 1,500 @ $44.25 | $66K | +2.0% of holding | +8.7% | +12.7% | 77,500 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-31 | DEZWIREK JASON | director | Sale | 19,617 @ $43.79 | $859K | −8.5% of holding | −0.6% | +39.9% | 210,383 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-07-31 | DEZWIREK JASON | director | Sale | 10,383 @ $43.07 | $447K | −4.9% of holding | −0.6% | +39.9% | 200,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-07-30 | DEZWIREK JASON | director | Sale | 43,685 @ $43.09 | $1.9M | −14.6% of holding | +5.0% | +51.1% | 256,315 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-30 | DEZWIREK JASON | director | Sale | 21,986 @ $42.34 | $931K | −8.6% of holding | +5.0% | +51.1% | 234,329 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-30 | Mannarino Claudio A | director | Sale | 11,801 @ $41.25 | $487K | −13.1% of holding | +5.0% | +51.1% | 78,029 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-30 | Mannarino Claudio A | director | Sale | 7,759 @ $41.98 | $326K | −8.0% of holding | +5.0% | +51.1% | 89,830 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-30 | DEZWIREK JASON | director | Sale | 4,329 @ $41.36 | $179K | −1.8% of holding | +5.0% | +51.1% | 230,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-30 | Mannarino Claudio A | director | Sale | 440 @ $40.41 | $18K | −0.6% of holding | +5.0% | +51.1% | 77,589 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-31 | Johansson Peter K. | officer | Sale | 22,500 @ $22.80 | $513K | −26.6% of holding | +5.2% | +104.8% | 62,160 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-27 | Johansson Peter K. | officer | Sale | 5,601 @ $24.15 | $135K | −6.2% of holding | −19.0% | +83.2% | 84,660 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-26 | WALLMAN RICHARD F | director | Purchase | 14,000 @ $25.19 | $353K | +22.6% of holding | +4.5% | +81.5% | 76,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-26 | WALLMAN RICHARD F | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $25.15 | $25K | +0.5% of holding | +4.5% | +81.5% | 207,117 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
94 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Johansson Peter K. | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,914 | 37,832 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-15 | Harris-Peterson Candace | officer | Withheld for tax | 890 | 21,101 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-05 | Kovachev Kiril | officer | Withheld for tax | 460 | 15,801 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Harris-Peterson Candace | officer | Award / grant | 3,105 | 21,991 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Nanda Munish | director | Award / grant | 2,215 | 64,246 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | RICHEY VICTOR L JR | director | Award / grant | 2,215 | 2,215 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | KNOWLING ROBERT E JR | director | Award / grant | 2,215 | 13,077 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | GEORGE MARCUS J | director | Award / grant | 2,215 | 38,905 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Mannarino Claudio A | director | Award / grant | 1,108 | 78,697 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | SACHS VALERIE GENTILE | director | Award / grant | 3,190 | 105,334 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Mannarino Claudio A | director | Award / grant | 1,107 | 7,113 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | SIEGEL LAURIE | director | Award / grant | 2,215 | 22,133 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | WALLMAN RICHARD F | director | Award / grant | 3,443 | 233,352 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | DEZWIREK JASON | director | Award / grant | 2,215 | 1,236,080 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Harris-Peterson Candace | officer | Award / grant | 2,735 | 5,868 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | RICHEY VICTOR L JR | director | Award / grant | 6,378 | 6,378 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | GEORGE MARCUS J | director | Award / grant | 36,690 | 36,690 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Harris-Peterson Candace | officer | Award / grant | 3,133 | 3,133 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Harris-Peterson Candace | officer | Award / grant | 6,313 | 12,181 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Harris-Peterson Candace | officer | Award / grant | 1,401 | 13,582 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Harris-Peterson Candace | officer | Award / grant | 4,679 | 18,261 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Harris-Peterson Candace | officer | Award / grant | 625 | 18,886 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | GEORGE MARCUS J | director | Award / grant | 36,690 | 36,690 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Harris-Peterson Candace | officer | Award / grant | 3,133 | 3,133 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Harris-Peterson Candace | officer | Award / grant | 2,735 | 5,868 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Harris-Peterson Candace | officer | Award / grant | 6,313 | 12,181 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Harris-Peterson Candace | officer | Award / grant | 1,401 | 13,582 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Harris-Peterson Candace | officer | Award / grant | 4,679 | 18,261 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | Harris-Peterson Candace | officer | Award / grant | 625 | 18,886 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-01 | RICHEY VICTOR L JR | director | Award / grant | 6,378 | 6,378 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Gleason Todd R | director | Withheld for tax | 2,110 | 450,688 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Johansson Peter K. | officer | Withheld for tax | 653 | 70,726 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-31 | Gregory Alyson Noel | officer | Withheld for tax | 175 | 23,019 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-17 | Johansson Peter K. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,570 | 71,379 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-17 | Kovachev Kiril | officer | Withheld for tax | 346 | 16,261 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-17 | Gregory Alyson Noel | officer | Withheld for tax | 139 | 23,194 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Gleason Todd R | director | Award / grant | 17,563 | 17,563 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Johansson Peter K. | officer | Award / grant | 3,944 | 72,949 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Kovachev Kiril | officer | Award / grant | 1,753 | 16,607 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-16 | Gregory Alyson Noel | officer | Award / grant | 3,155 | 23,333 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.