CDZICadiz Inc.Utilities · Regulated Wateras of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $3.56 · now $3.56 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CDZI has typically landed between $2.56 and $4.76 — a range of −28.1% to +33.6% from the issuance price $3.56.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($3.56) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CDZI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $3.56 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$2.56worst · -28.1%$4.76best · +33.6%
  • now $3.56 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $3.54 (-0.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $3.13–$3.95
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.56–$4.76
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2015-09-11−65.8%−65.8%+4.1%
2015-09-14−65.6%−66.2%+2.7%
2015-09-10−63.2%−63.2%+6.9%
3 best
2009-05-13+104.0%−1.0%+117.8%
2009-05-12+102.3%−8.0%+102.3%
2009-05-15+100.3%+0.0%+120.0%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
45%
−0.5%
n=20
Feb
30%
−2.3%
n=20
Mar
35%
−3.0%
n=20
Apr
35%
−2.3%
n=20
May
60%
+5.0%
n=20
Jun
50%
−1.8%
n=20
Jul
60%
+5.6%
n=20
Aug
45%
+3.3%
n=20
Sep
30%
−6.2%
n=20
Oct
45%
−4.2%
n=20
Nov
65%
+5.2%
n=20
Dec
70%
+7.0%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$7$32026-05-26: 1 insider purchase, $508K — O'Hara David Mark2026-05-20: 1 insider sale, $11K — Rivera Cathryn2026-05: 1 open-market purchase, $508K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $11K↑ buys↓ salesdirector O'Hara David Mark — Purchase on 2026-05-26, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Rivera Cathryn — Sale on 2026-05-20, filed 14 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-26O'Hara David MarkdirectorPurchase110,865 @ $4.58$508K+1589.2% of holding−18.4%not yet — horizon still open117,841Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-20Rivera CathrynofficerSale2,500 @ $4.33$11K−1.7% of holding−4.3%not yet — horizon still open145,000Form 4 · filed 14 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

53 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-09Hernandez Jacinto JdirectorAward / grant800,000800,000Form 4
2026-07-01Dreyfus Maria S.directorAward / grant4,464196,570Form 4
2026-07-01O'Hara David MarkdirectorAward / grant4,464125,357Form 4
2026-07-01Lloyd Barbara AdirectorAward / grant1,11629,491Form 4
2026-06-30Dreyfus Maria S.directorAward / grant6,103192,106Form 4
2026-06-30Echaveste MariadirectorAward / grant6,10345,730Form 4
2026-06-30COURTER STEPHEN EdirectorAward / grant6,10381,592Form 4
2026-06-30Lombard Kenneth TdirectorAward / grant6,10330,990Form 4
2026-06-30Polanco Richard GarciadirectorAward / grant6,10328,155Form 4
2026-06-30Lloyd Barbara AdirectorAward / grant6,10328,375Form 4
2026-06-30Hickox Winston HdirectorAward / grant6,103199,174Form 4
2026-06-30O'Hara David MarkdirectorAward / grant3,052120,893Form 4
2026-04-08Rivera CathrynofficerAward / grant10,000147,500Form 4
2026-04-08Kennedy Susan PdirectorAward / grant125,0001,121,921Form 4
2026-04-08SPEER STANLEY EofficerAward / grant25,075283,860Form 4
2026-04-08Kennedy Susan PdirectorDisposition150,500439,500Form 4
2026-04-08Kennedy Susan PdirectorDisposition150,500439,500Form 4
2026-04-01O'Hara David MarkdirectorAward / grant3,2673,267Form 4
2026-04-01Dreyfus Maria S.directorAward / grant3,709186,003Form 4
2026-04-01O'Hara David MarkdirectorAward / grant3,7096,976Form 4
2026-04-01Lloyd Barbara AdirectorAward / grant92722,272Form 4
2026-01-02Dreyfus Maria S.directorAward / grant3,267182,294Form 4
2026-01-02Lloyd Barbara AdirectorAward / grant81721,345Form 4
2025-10-31SPEER STANLEY EofficerOption exercise13,425297,285Form 4
2025-10-31Kennedy Susan PdirectorOption exercise50,0001,171,921Form 4
2025-10-31SPEER STANLEY EofficerOption exercise25,000260,000Form 4
2025-10-31Kennedy Susan PdirectorOption exercise50,000389,500Form 4
2025-10-31Kennedy Susan PdirectorOption exercise50,000389,500Form 4
2025-10-31SPEER STANLEY EofficerOption exercise25,000260,000Form 4
2025-10-06SPEER STANLEY EofficerAward / grant285,000285,000Form 4
2025-10-06SPEER STANLEY EofficerAward / grant141,600258,785Form 4
2025-10-01Dreyfus Maria S.directorAward / grant4,223179,027Form 4
2025-10-01Lloyd Barbara AdirectorAward / grant1,05620,528Form 4
2025-07-01Dreyfus Maria S.directorAward / grant6,209174,804Form 4
2025-07-01Lloyd Barbara AdirectorAward / grant1,55219,472Form 4
2025-06-30Dreyfus Maria S.directorAward / grant8,212168,595Form 4
2025-06-30Lloyd Barbara AdirectorAward / grant8,21217,920Form 4
2025-06-30Hickox Winston HdirectorAward / grant8,212193,071Form 4
2025-06-30Echaveste MariadirectorAward / grant8,21239,627Form 4
2025-06-30COURTER STEPHEN EdirectorAward / grant8,21275,489Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.