CDWCDW CorporationTechnology · Information Technology Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $149.96 · now $149.96 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CDW has typically landed between $130.81 and $168.69 — a range of −12.8% to +12.5% from the issuance price $149.96.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

3,304 overlapping 1 month windows · 2013-06-27 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($149.96) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CDW has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $149.96 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$130.81worst · -12.8%$168.69best · +12.5%
  • now $149.96 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $150.25 (+0.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $142.63–$157.87
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $130.81–$168.69
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,304 windows spanning 2013-06-27 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-20−42.3%−42.3%+0.0%
2020-02-18−37.2%−37.2%+2.5%
2020-02-14−36.7%−36.9%+0.0%
3 best
2026-05-13+32.4%+0.0%+41.2%
2026-05-12+30.8%+0.0%+42.8%
2026-05-14+29.3%−0.1%+38.8%

3,304 overlapping windows · 2013-06-27 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$17.1B
market cap
$8.22
EPS (TTM)
16.3
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-05
next earnings
Revenue$22.4B
'20'25
Net income$1.1B
'20'25
Free cash flow$1.1B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr4.8%
'20'25
ROE · by yr40.9%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr2.43
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 80 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $149.96$110.35$293.82
  • DCF (intrinsic)$162.28
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 34.2× · n=80$281.16
  • Analyst target · range $123.00–$170.00$147.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$149.96

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~14 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
38%
−0.0%
n=13
Feb
62%
+3.7%
n=13
Mar
46%
−1.1%
n=13
Apr
69%
+1.9%
n=13
May
62%
+1.3%
n=13
Jun
69%
+2.6%
n=13
Jul
79%
+4.2%
n=14
Aug
71%
+3.1%
n=14
Sep
57%
−0.4%
n=14
Oct
62%
+1.0%
n=13
Nov
77%
+3.4%
n=13
Dec
54%
+0.1%
n=13

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$168$992026-08-07: 1 insider sale, $3.7M — CONNELLY ELIZABETH H.2026-05-27: 1 insider purchase, $2.0M — NELMS DAVID W2026-05-18: 1 insider purchase, $499K — LEAHY CHRISTINE A2025-12-08: 1 insider sale, $1.1M — Chawla Sona2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $1.1M2026-05: 2 open-market purchases, $2.5M2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $3.7M↑ buys↓ salesdirector CONNELLY ELIZABETH H. — Sale on 2026-08-07, filed 4 days after the tradedirector NELMS DAVID W — Purchase on 2026-05-27, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LEAHY CHRISTINE A — Purchase on 2026-05-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Chawla Sona — Sale on 2025-12-08, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-07CONNELLY ELIZABETH H.directorSale26,695 @ $137.62$3.7M−43.8% of holding+7.3%not yet — horizon still open34,215Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-27NELMS DAVID WdirectorPurchase18,000 @ $111.43$2.0M+54.5% of holding+19.3%not yet — horizon still open51,025Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-18LEAHY CHRISTINE AdirectorPurchase4,830 @ $103.39$499K+2.6% of holding+22.2%not yet — horizon still open193,357Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-08Chawla SonadirectorSale7,400 @ $146.17$1.1M−20.8% of holding−10.4%−17.1%28,110Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-13KULEVICH FREDERICK J.officerSale16,171 @ $190.62$3.1M−25.2% of holding−10.9%−41.7%48,065Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-13KULEVICH FREDERICK J.officerSale11,988 @ $191.28$2.3M−24.9% of holding−10.9%−41.7%36,077Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-08LEAHY CHRISTINE AdirectorSale17,910 @ $182.13$3.3M−11.0% of holding−7.3%−40.1%145,531Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-08LEAHY CHRISTINE AdirectorSale14,530 @ $181.27$2.6M−8.2% of holding−7.3%−40.1%163,441Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-08LEAHY CHRISTINE AdirectorSale7,877 @ $179.99$1.4M−4.2% of holding−7.3%−40.1%177,971Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-08LEAHY CHRISTINE AdirectorSale600 @ $182.85$110K−0.4% of holding−7.3%−40.1%144,931Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

242 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-10LEAHY CHRISTINE AdirectorAward / grant825194,480Form 4
2026-09-10MIRALLES ALBERT JOSEPH JRofficerAward / grant29947,644Form 4
2026-09-10Sanderson Katherine ElizabethofficerAward / grant24324,743Form 4
2026-09-10CONNELLY ELIZABETH H.directorAward / grant23834,453Form 4
2026-09-10TAN HANGofficerAward / grant21334,179Form 4
2026-09-10Kumar MukeshofficerAward / grant19220,723Form 4
2026-09-10KULEVICH FREDERICK J.officerAward / grant18544,825Form 4
2026-09-10NELMS DAVID WdirectorAward / grant14851,563Form 4
2026-09-10BELL JAMES AdirectorAward / grant9626,454Form 4
2026-09-10ADDICOTT VIRGINIA C.directorAward / grant8218,675Form 4
2026-09-10Foxx Anthony RdirectorAward / grant306,758Form 4
2026-09-10LOCY PETER RofficerAward / grant295,951Form 4
2026-09-10Swedish JosephdirectorAward / grant2920,232Form 4
2026-09-10Jones Marc EllisdirectorAward / grant204,533Form 4
2026-09-10CLARIZIO LYNDA MdirectorAward / grant715,748Form 4
2026-09-10Grier Kelly JdirectorAward / grant74,069Form 4
2026-08-17Kumar MukeshofficerWithheld for tax1,14720,530Form 4
2026-08-07CONNELLY ELIZABETH H.directorOption exercise14,90060,910Form 4
2026-08-07CONNELLY ELIZABETH H.directorOption exercise11,79546,010Form 4
2026-08-07CONNELLY ELIZABETH H.directorOption exercise14,9000Form 4
2026-08-07CONNELLY ELIZABETH H.directorOption exercise11,7950Form 4
2026-07-01Swedish JosephdirectorAward / grant20820,202Form 4
2026-07-01NELMS DAVID WdirectorAward / grant22951,415Form 4
2026-06-10LEAHY CHRISTINE AdirectorAward / grant298193,655Form 4
2026-06-10TAN HANGofficerAward / grant16533,967Form 4
2026-06-10NELMS DAVID WdirectorAward / grant16151,186Form 4
2026-06-10MIRALLES ALBERT JOSEPH JRofficerAward / grant10847,344Form 4
2026-06-10Kumar MukeshofficerAward / grant10521,678Form 4
2026-06-10BELL JAMES AdirectorAward / grant10526,358Form 4
2026-06-10ADDICOTT VIRGINIA C.directorAward / grant9018,593Form 4
2026-06-10CONNELLY ELIZABETH H.directorAward / grant8834,215Form 4
2026-06-10KULEVICH FREDERICK J.officerAward / grant6544,640Form 4
2026-06-10Sanderson Katherine ElizabethofficerAward / grant6524,499Form 4
2026-06-10Foxx Anthony RdirectorAward / grant336,728Form 4
2026-06-10Swedish JosephdirectorAward / grant3119,994Form 4
2026-06-10Jones Marc EllisdirectorAward / grant224,513Form 4
2026-06-10LOCY PETER RofficerAward / grant195,921Form 4
2026-06-10CLARIZIO LYNDA MdirectorAward / grant815,741Form 4
2026-06-10Grier Kelly JdirectorAward / grant84,062Form 4
2026-05-11TAN HANGofficerAward / grant33,80233,802Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
April Mcclain DelaneyHousesale2026-06-052026-05-14$1–15K
April Mcclain DelaneyHousesale2026-06-052026-05-15$1–15K
April Mcclain DelaneyHousesale2026-06-052026-05-19$1–15K
April Mcclain DelaneyHousesale2026-06-052026-05-18$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-05-112026-04-24$1–15K
April Mcclain DelaneyHousesale2026-03-102026-02-24$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-24$1–15K
April Mcclain DelaneyHousesale2026-01-052025-12-05$1–15K
April Mcclain DelaneyHousesale2026-01-052025-12-02$1–15K
April Mcclain DelaneyHousepurchase2025-08-052025-07-09$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-05-122025-04-09$1–15K
Rob BresnahanHousepurchase2025-05-082025-04-08$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-04-102025-03-06$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-03-062025-02-25$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.