CDE · TickerCove

CDECoeur Mining, Inc.Basic Materials · Goldas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $18.98 · now $18.98 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CDE has typically landed between $14.52 and $25.80 — a range of −23.5% to +35.9% from the issuance price $18.98.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($18.98) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$18.98 · 39% of range

$13.8 low$27.12 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.8%

typical move · IQR 24.4%

−23.5%worst (p90)+35.9%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where CDE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $18.98 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $18.98 (+0.0%)
typical $19.32 (+1.8%)
middle 50% $17.01–$21.64
90% range $14.52–$25.8

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2008-09-26	−76.8%	−76.8%	+0.0%
2008-09-25	−68.1%	−68.1%	+0.0%
2008-09-29	−64.2%	−72.1%	+3.4%
3 best
2008-11-20	+146.9%	+0.0%	+171.9%
2016-01-19	+116.8%	+0.0%	+116.8%
2016-02-02	+112.3%	+0.0%	+112.3%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

40%

−1.6%

n=20

Feb

45%

+1.5%

n=20

Mar

50%

+1.3%

n=20

Apr

35%

+2.2%

n=20

May

55%

+2.2%

n=20

Jun

35%

+1.2%

n=20

Jul

50%

+3.6%

n=20

Aug

55%

+2.9%

n=20

Sep

40%

−0.2%

n=20

Oct

50%

−2.8%

n=20

Nov

60%

+1.0%

n=20

Dec

50%

+4.9%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-08	Nault Casey M.	officer	Sale	10,000 @ $21.06	$211K	−1.9% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	530,086	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19	THOMPSON J KENNETH	director	Sale	25,000 @ $20.77	$519K	−8.9% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	257,333	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19	Nault Casey M.	officer	Sale	10,000 @ $20.00	$200K	−1.8% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	540,086	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-19	Whelan Thomas S	officer	Sale	6,000 @ $20.87	$125K	−100.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	0	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-12	McGrath Aoife	officer	Purchase	635 @ $16.95	$11K	+0.3% of holding	−9.5%	not yet — horizon still open	184,653	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-01	Watkinson Kenneth J	officer	Sale	39,000 @ $18.60	$725K	−33.6% of holding	−13.0%	not yet — horizon still open	77,204	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-10	Watkinson Kenneth J	officer	Sale	22,001 @ $15.05	$331K	−15.4% of holding	+6.5%	+23.2%	121,006	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-08	KREBS MITCHELL J	director	Sale	125,000 @ $14.65	$1.8M	−5.4% of holding	+25.9%	+55.4%	2,197,309	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-05	KREBS MITCHELL J	director	Sale	125,000 @ $14.56	$1.8M	−5.1% of holding	+27.8%	+49.3%	2,322,309	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-22	Nault Casey M.	officer	Sale	102,257 @ $12.00	$1.2M	−15.2% of holding	+46.3%	+98.1%	568,623	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-14	Das Paramita	director	Purchase	385 @ $11.57	$4K	+0.5% of holding	+43.6%	+87.0%	76,920	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-12	THOMPSON J KENNETH	director	Sale	8,324 @ $11.74	$98K	−2.9% of holding	+27.2%	+86.2%	277,086	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-12	McGrath Aoife	officer	Sale	8,000 @ $11.69	$94K	−3.8% of holding	+27.2%	+86.2%	203,318	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-08	Beaudoin Pierre	director	Sale	24,794 @ $11.61	$288K	−13.2% of holding	+20.9%	+88.1%	163,568	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-08	Beaudoin Pierre	director	Sale	23,568 @ $11.53	$272K	−14.4% of holding	+20.9%	+88.1%	140,000	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-08	Watkinson Kenneth J	officer	Sale	8,000 @ $11.62	$93K	−5.3% of holding	+20.9%	+88.1%	143,007	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-07	Nault Casey M.	officer	Sale	100,000 @ $10.02	$1.0M	−13.0% of holding	+26.4%	+80.2%	670,880	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-09	McGrath Aoife	officer	Sale	8,000 @ $9.34	$75K	−3.6% of holding	−6.9%	+49.6%	211,318	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-21	Luna Eduardo	director	Sale	17,160 @ $7.83	$134K	−14.4% of holding	+12.9%	+74.1%	101,841	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-09	Beaudoin Pierre	director	Sale	20,551 @ $7.27	$149K	−9.8% of holding	+10.9%	+67.8%	188,362	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-09	Beaudoin Pierre	director	Sale	20,000 @ $7.34	$147K	−9.6% of holding	+10.9%	+67.8%	188,362	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-09	Beaudoin Pierre	director	Sale	20,000 @ $7.30	$146K	−9.6% of holding	+10.9%	+67.8%	188,362	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-09	Watkinson Kenneth J	officer	Sale	12,350 @ $7.40	$91K	−9.2% of holding	+10.9%	+67.8%	122,104	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-14	Das Paramita	director	Purchase	850 @ $6.00	$5K	+1.1% of holding	+4.6%	+162.8%	76,535	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-26	Whelan Thomas S	officer	Purchase	10,000 @ $5.25	$53K	+1.5% of holding	+24.9%	+127.9%	668,450	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-21	Das Paramita	director	Purchase	685 @ $5.53	$4K	+1.2% of holding	+18.7%	+113.1%	58,525	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

130 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-03-20	Schonberner Marilyn Joy	director	Withheld for tax	1,495	2,608	Form 4
2026-03-20	Godin Patrick	director	Award / grant	4,103	4,103	Form 4
2026-03-20	Schonberner Marilyn Joy	director	Award / grant	4,103	4,103	Form 4
2026-02-27	KREBS MITCHELL J	director	Withheld for tax	42,428	2,149,517	Form 4
2026-02-27	Whelan Thomas S	officer	Withheld for tax	20,345	661,774	Form 4
2026-02-27	Routledge Michael	officer	Withheld for tax	17,459	512,512	Form 4
2026-02-27	Nault Casey M.	officer	Withheld for tax	15,911	550,086	Form 4
2026-02-27	McGrath Aoife	officer	Withheld for tax	12,408	184,018	Form 4
2026-02-27	Schouten Emilie C.	officer	Withheld for tax	9,816	447,373	Form 4
2026-02-27	Watkinson Kenneth J	officer	Withheld for tax	5,616	116,204	Form 4
2026-02-26	KREBS MITCHELL J	director	Withheld for tax	51,406	2,191,945	Form 4
2026-02-26	Whelan Thomas S	officer	Withheld for tax	26,020	682,119	Form 4
2026-02-26	Routledge Michael	officer	Withheld for tax	21,153	529,971	Form 4
2026-02-26	Nault Casey M.	officer	Withheld for tax	19,278	565,997	Form 4
2026-02-26	McGrath Aoife	officer	Withheld for tax	15,034	196,426	Form 4
2026-02-26	Schouten Emilie C.	officer	Withheld for tax	11,893	457,189	Form 4
2026-02-26	Watkinson Kenneth J	officer	Withheld for tax	5,500	121,820	Form 4
2026-02-20	KREBS MITCHELL J	director	Withheld for tax	17,398	2,243,351	Form 4
2026-02-20	Whelan Thomas S	officer	Withheld for tax	7,879	708,139	Form 4
2026-02-20	Routledge Michael	officer	Withheld for tax	6,158	551,124	Form 4
2026-02-20	Nault Casey M.	officer	Withheld for tax	6,117	585,275	Form 4
2026-02-20	McGrath Aoife	officer	Withheld for tax	4,357	211,460	Form 4
2026-02-20	Schouten Emilie C.	officer	Withheld for tax	4,277	469,082	Form 4
2026-02-20	Beaudoin Pierre	director	Withheld for tax	2,595	142,652	Form 4
2026-02-20	Watkinson Kenneth J	officer	Withheld for tax	862	127,320	Form 4
2026-02-20	Adamany Linda	director	Award / grant	5,247	244,928	Form 4
2026-02-20	Beaudoin Pierre	director	Award / grant	5,247	145,247	Form 4
2026-02-20	Hull Jeane L.	director	Award / grant	5,247	84,705	Form 4
2026-02-20	THOMPSON J KENNETH	director	Award / grant	5,247	282,333	Form 4
2026-02-20	Das Paramita	director	Award / grant	5,247	82,167	Form 4
2026-02-20	McGrath Aoife	officer	Award / grant	12,461	207,674	Form 4
2026-02-20	McGrath Aoife	officer	Award / grant	8,143	215,817	Form 4
2026-02-20	MELLOR ROBERT E	director	Award / grant	1,888	292,364	Form 4
2026-02-20	Luna Eduardo	director	Award / grant	5,247	107,088	Form 4
2026-02-20	KREBS MITCHELL J	director	Award / grant	51,945	2,221,476	Form 4
2026-02-20	KREBS MITCHELL J	director	Award / grant	39,273	2,260,749	Form 4
2026-02-20	Schouten Emilie C.	officer	Award / grant	10,882	473,359	Form 4
2026-02-20	Watkinson Kenneth J	officer	Award / grant	7,358	125,242	Form 4
2026-02-20	Watkinson Kenneth J	officer	Award / grant	2,940	128,182	Form 4
2026-02-20	Schouten Emilie C.	officer	Award / grant	13,292	462,477	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i