CCSCentury Communities, Inc.Consumer Cyclical · Residential Constructionas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $60.85 · now $60.85 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CCS has typically landed between $51.31 and $71.75 — a range of −15.7% to +17.9% from the issuance price $60.85.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

3,059 overlapping 1 month windows · 2014-06-18 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($60.85) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CCS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $60.85 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$51.31worst · -15.7%$71.75best · +17.9%
  • now $60.85 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $61.2 (+0.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $56.76–$65.64
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $51.31–$71.75
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,059 windows spanning 2014-06-18 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−72.4%−72.4%+3.4%
2020-02-21−69.2%−73.0%+0.0%
2020-02-20−69.0%−73.3%+0.0%
3 best
2020-04-23+93.7%+0.0%+93.7%
2020-04-03+91.6%+0.0%+91.6%
2020-04-24+89.9%+0.0%+89.9%

3,059 overlapping windows · 2014-06-18 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~13 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
67%
+3.9%
n=12
Feb
50%
+3.1%
n=12
Mar
67%
−2.7%
n=12
Apr
58%
+4.3%
n=12
May
58%
+4.2%
n=12
Jun
42%
+2.3%
n=12
Jul
69%
+3.9%
n=13
Aug
62%
+1.1%
n=13
Sep
38%
−2.3%
n=13
Oct
33%
−2.8%
n=12
Nov
67%
+5.0%
n=12
Dec
33%
−0.9%
n=12

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$74$482026-02-12: 2 insider sales, $7.3M — Francescon Dale …2026-02: 2 open-market sales, $7.3M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Francescon Dale — Sale on 2026-02-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Francescon Dale — Sale on 2026-02-12, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-02-12Francescon DaledirectorSale87,736 @ $72.32$6.3M−13.3% of holding−17.1%−15.8%574,026Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-12Francescon DaledirectorSale12,364 @ $73.29$906K−2.2% of holding−17.1%−15.8%561,662Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-12Ramirez Elisa ZdirectorPurchase400 @ $55.74$22Kownership Δ n/a−5.4%−11.1%400Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-09Ramirez Elisa ZdirectorPurchase500 @ $54.68$27K+5.9% of holding−2.9%−7.4%8,981Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-09Ramirez Elisa ZdirectorPurchase500 @ $54.68$27Kownership Δ n/a−2.9%−7.4%500Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-04-28Ramirez Elisa ZdirectorPurchase1,500 @ $53.86$81K+21.5% of holding−8.2%−7.0%8,481Form 4 · filed 15 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

99 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-09Francescon DaledirectorAward / grant191397Form 4
2026-09-09Francescon Robert JdirectorAward / grant333693Form 4
2026-09-09DIXON JOHN SCOTTofficerAward / grant151581Form 4
2026-08-01DIXON JOHN SCOTTofficerWithheld for tax74813,999Form 4
2026-08-01DIXON JOHN SCOTTofficerOption exercise59430Form 4
2026-08-01DIXON JOHN SCOTTofficerOption exercise1,6491,648Form 4
2026-08-01DIXON JOHN SCOTTofficerOption exercise1,64914,688Form 4
2026-08-01DIXON JOHN SCOTTofficerOption exercise5914,747Form 4
2026-08-01DIXON JOHN SCOTTofficerOption exercise5914,747Form 4
2026-08-01DIXON JOHN SCOTTofficerOption exercise1,64914,688Form 4
2026-06-10Francescon DaledirectorAward / grant206206Form 4
2026-06-10DIXON JOHN SCOTTofficerAward / grant173489Form 4
2026-06-10Francescon Robert JdirectorAward / grant360360Form 4
2026-05-06Box John PdirectorAward / grant3,22562,920Form 4
2026-05-06Francescon DaledirectorAward / grant36,85336,853Form 4
2026-05-06Francescon Robert JdirectorAward / grant64,49264,492Form 4
2026-05-06GUERICKE KEITH RdirectorAward / grant3,22543,912Form 4
2026-05-06Ramirez Elisa ZdirectorAward / grant3,22512,206Form 4
2026-05-06Arvielo Patricia L.directorAward / grant3,22516,932Form 4
2026-05-06DIXON JOHN SCOTTofficerAward / grant13,82013,820Form 4
2026-05-06Lippman James MdirectorAward / grant3,22536,607Form 4
2026-03-11DIXON JOHN SCOTTofficerAward / grant93316Form 4
2026-02-08DIXON JOHN SCOTTofficerOption exercise2,1300Form 4
2026-02-08DIXON JOHN SCOTTofficerWithheld for tax64113,039Form 4
2026-02-08DIXON JOHN SCOTTofficerOption exercise2,13013,583Form 4
2026-02-08DIXON JOHN SCOTTofficerOption exercise9713,680Form 4
2026-02-08DIXON JOHN SCOTTofficerOption exercise9713,680Form 4
2026-02-08DIXON JOHN SCOTTofficerOption exercise2,13013,583Form 4
2026-02-08DIXON JOHN SCOTTofficerOption exercise97223Form 4
2026-02-08DIXON JOHN SCOTTofficerOption exercise97223Form 4
2026-02-07DIXON JOHN SCOTTofficerOption exercise1,9411,942Form 4
2026-02-07DIXON JOHN SCOTTofficerWithheld for tax57511,453Form 4
2026-02-07DIXON JOHN SCOTTofficerOption exercise58320Form 4
2026-02-07DIXON JOHN SCOTTofficerOption exercise1,94111,970Form 4
2026-02-07DIXON JOHN SCOTTofficerOption exercise5812,028Form 4
2026-02-07DIXON JOHN SCOTTofficerOption exercise58320Form 4
2026-02-07DIXON JOHN SCOTTofficerOption exercise1,94111,970Form 4
2026-02-07DIXON JOHN SCOTTofficerOption exercise5812,028Form 4
2026-02-05DIXON JOHN SCOTTofficerWithheld for tax74110,029Form 4
2026-02-05DIXON JOHN SCOTTofficerOption exercise2,1694,339Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.