Issued 2026-09-16 at $2.39 · now $2.39 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CCO has typically landed between $1.83 and $3.10 — a range of −23.6% to +29.6% from the issuance price $2.39.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($2.39) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CCO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $2.39 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $2.39 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $2.4 (+0.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $2.18–$2.62
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1.83–$3.1
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-21 | −83.5% | −83.5% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-24 | −82.3% | −83.0% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-18 | −81.0% | −81.0% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-03-23 | +113.6% | +0.0% | +113.6% |
| 2020-03-24 | +100.2% | +0.0% | +104.8% |
| 2023-01-03 | +100.0% | +0.0% | +100.0% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
35%
+2.0%
n=20
Feb
45%
−0.9%
n=20
Mar
40%
−3.4%
n=20
Apr
45%
+1.7%
n=20
May
55%
−2.2%
n=20
Jun
40%
+0.3%
n=20
Jul
45%
+2.2%
n=20
Aug
40%
−1.6%
n=20
Sep
60%
+2.0%
n=20
Oct
50%
−2.0%
n=20
Nov
75%
+9.0%
n=20
Dec
75%
+6.5%
n=20
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | White Raymond T. | director | Sale | 2,107,996 @ $2.40 | $5.0M | −100.0% of holding | +0.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | White Raymond T. | director | Sale | 303,271 @ $2.40 | $726K | −76.9% of holding | +0.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 91,003 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | White Raymond T. | director | Sale | 204,633 @ $2.40 | $490K | −100.0% of holding | +0.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | White Raymond T. | director | Sale | 187,371 @ $2.40 | $449K | −100.0% of holding | +0.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-15 | White Raymond T. | director | Sale | 900 @ $2.40 | $2K | −100.0% of holding | +0.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-09 | White Raymond T. | director | Sale | 19,761,023 @ $2.40 | $47.4M | −90.4% of holding | −2.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 2,107,996 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-09 | White Raymond T. | director | Sale | 1,918,300 @ $2.40 | $4.6M | −90.4% of holding | −2.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 204,633 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-09 | White Raymond T. | director | Sale | 1,756,473 @ $2.40 | $4.2M | −90.4% of holding | −2.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 187,371 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | ARES MANAGEMENT LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 13,000,000 @ $1.13 | $14.7M | −24.0% of holding | +3.9% | +83.9% | 41,197,491 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-10 | ARES MANAGEMENT LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 13,000,000 @ $1.13 | $14.7M | −24.0% of holding | +3.9% | +83.9% | 41,197,491 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-09 | ARES MANAGEMENT LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,631,555 @ $1.39 | $2.3M | −2.9% of holding | +2.9% | +71.5% | 54,197,491 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-09 | ARES MANAGEMENT LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 1,631,555 @ $1.39 | $2.3M | −2.9% of holding | +2.9% | +71.5% | 54,197,491 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-04 | MORENO ARTURO R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 500,000 @ $1.06 | $530K | +0.7% of holding | +14.4% | +86.5% | 67,612,859 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-01 | MORENO ARTURO R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,500,000 @ $1.04 | $1.6M | +2.3% of holding | +20.5% | +102.2% | 67,112,859 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-31 | MORENO ARTURO R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,000,000 @ $1.07 | $1.1M | +1.5% of holding | +14.9% | +87.1% | 65,612,859 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-07-30 | MORENO ARTURO R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 450,000 @ $1.09 | $491K | +0.7% of holding | +14.4% | +97.4% | 64,612,859 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-07-29 | MORENO ARTURO R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 28,507 @ $1.09 | $31K | +0.0% of holding | +11.6% | +89.9% | 64,162,859 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-05 | MORENO ARTURO R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 38,815 @ $1.06 | $41K | +0.1% of holding | +4.3% | +67.4% | 64,134,352 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-02 | MORENO ARTURO R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 250,000 @ $1.06 | $265K | +0.4% of holding | +12.2% | +75.0% | 64,095,537 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-30 | MORENO ARTURO R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 358,187 @ $1.07 | $383K | +0.6% of holding | +5.2% | +69.4% | 63,845,537 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-28 | MORENO ARTURO R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 23,334 @ $1.06 | $25K | +0.0% of holding | +8.3% | +65.6% | 63,487,350 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-12 | MORENO ARTURO R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 400,000 @ $1.15 | $460K | +0.6% of holding | −3.2% | +52.0% | 63,464,016 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-09 | MORENO ARTURO R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 169,658 @ $1.10 | $187K | +0.3% of holding | −1.5% | +48.3% | 63,064,016 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-08 | MORENO ARTURO R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 200,000 @ $1.09 | $218K | +0.3% of holding | −0.6% | +45.5% | 62,894,358 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-07 | MORENO ARTURO R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 120,443 @ $1.09 | $131K | +0.2% of holding | −3.1% | +43.1% | 62,694,358 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-06 | WELLS SCOTT | director | Purchase | 50,000 @ $1.08 | $54K | +1.5% of holding | −6.1% | +38.1% | 3,392,205 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-06 | MORENO ARTURO R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 21,241 @ $1.07 | $23K | +0.0% of holding | −6.1% | +38.1% | 62,573,915 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-02 | MORENO ARTURO R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 325,567 @ $1.07 | $348K | +0.5% of holding | −3.3% | +46.6% | 62,552,674 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-28 | MORENO ARTURO R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 83,378 @ $1.02 | $85K | +0.1% of holding | −2.8% | +71.0% | 62,227,107 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-25 | MORENO ARTURO R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 500,000 @ $1.02 | $510K | +0.8% of holding | −1.5% | +71.4% | 62,143,729 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-24 | MORENO ARTURO R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 144,601 @ $1.02 | $147K | +0.2% of holding | −1.1% | +57.0% | 61,643,729 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-22 | MORENO ARTURO R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 53,932 @ $0.97 | $52K | +0.1% of holding | +3.9% | +61.0% | 61,499,128 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-21 | MORENO ARTURO R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 29,289 @ $0.94 | $28K | +0.0% of holding | +7.6% | +66.3% | 61,445,196 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-17 | MORENO ARTURO R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 205,449 @ $0.95 | $195K | +0.3% of holding | +8.1% | +50.6% | 61,415,907 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-16 | MORENO ARTURO R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 980,644 @ $0.93 | $912K | +1.6% of holding | +12.5% | +24.7% | 61,210,458 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-14 | MORENO ARTURO R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 500,000 @ $1.01 | $505K | +0.8% of holding | +13.9% | +17.0% | 60,229,814 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-11 | MORENO ARTURO R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 112,722 @ $1.01 | $114K | +0.2% of holding | +3.7% | +1.3% | 59,729,814 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-10 | MORENO ARTURO R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 273,727 @ $1.01 | $277K | +0.5% of holding | +1.6% | +2.3% | 59,617,092 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-09 | MORENO ARTURO R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 500,000 @ $1.00 | $500K | +0.8% of holding | +4.8% | +7.7% | 59,343,365 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-08 | MORENO ARTURO R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,410,831 @ $0.87 | $1.2M | +2.5% of holding | +13.2% | +31.9% | 58,843,365 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-07 | MORENO ARTURO R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 2,500,000 @ $0.94 | $2.4M | +4.6% of holding | +11.0% | +25.5% | 57,432,534 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-04 | MORENO ARTURO R | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 2,500,000 @ $0.97 | $2.4M | +4.8% of holding | +6.6% | +25.5% | 54,932,534 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-28 | MORELAND W BENJAMIN | director | Purchase | 800,000 @ $1.26 | $1.0M | +46.8% of holding | −5.6% | −10.0% | 2,510,821 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-28 | WELLS SCOTT | director | Purchase | 50,000 @ $1.26 | $63K | +1.4% of holding | −5.6% | −10.0% | 3,525,144 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
62 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-29 | WELLS SCOTT | director | Withheld for tax | 615,755 | 5,482,261 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-29 | FELDMAN LYNN | officer | Withheld for tax | 224,446 | 1,785,228 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-29 | McCuin Robert | officer | Withheld for tax | 210,750 | 922,159 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-29 | Sailer David | officer | Withheld for tax | 142,829 | 1,326,779 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-29 | DILGER JASON | officer | Withheld for tax | 65,128 | 793,691 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-29 | McCuin Robert | officer | Award / grant | 105,042 | 1,027,201 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-29 | Sailer David | officer | Award / grant | 196,078 | 1,522,857 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-29 | FELDMAN LYNN | officer | Award / grant | 458,333 | 2,009,674 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-29 | FELDMAN LYNN | officer | Award / grant | 196,078 | 1,981,306 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-29 | McCuin Robert | officer | Award / grant | 416,666 | 1,132,909 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-29 | WELLS SCOTT | director | Award / grant | 1,564,814 | 6,098,016 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-29 | WELLS SCOTT | director | Award / grant | 560,224 | 6,042,485 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-29 | DILGER JASON | officer | Award / grant | 165,509 | 858,819 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-29 | DILGER JASON | officer | Award / grant | 49,019 | 842,710 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-29 | Sailer David | officer | Award / grant | 291,666 | 1,469,608 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | WELLS SCOTT | director | Withheld for tax | 382,812 | 4,533,202 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Sailer David | officer | Withheld for tax | 194,345 | 1,177,942 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | FELDMAN LYNN | officer | Withheld for tax | 185,229 | 1,551,341 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | McCuin Robert | officer | Withheld for tax | 129,189 | 716,243 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | DILGER JASON | officer | Withheld for tax | 71,136 | 693,310 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | MORELAND W BENJAMIN | director | Award / grant | 52,301 | 2,563,122 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Dionne John D. | director | Award / grant | 43,933 | 722,412 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | HOBSON ANDREW W | director | Award / grant | 41,841 | 815,939 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | KING THOMAS C. | director | Award / grant | 39,748 | 838,299 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | MARCHESE JOE | director | Award / grant | 38,702 | 844,046 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | White Raymond T. | director | Award / grant | 37,656 | 331,513 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | YOON JINHY | director | Award / grant | 62,761 | 205,485 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | HAMMITT LISA | director | Award / grant | 62,761 | 499,687 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | HOBSON ANDREW W | director | Award / grant | 62,761 | 878,700 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | KING THOMAS C. | director | Award / grant | 62,761 | 901,060 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | White Raymond T. | director | Award / grant | 62,761 | 394,274 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | MORELAND W BENJAMIN | director | Award / grant | 62,761 | 2,625,883 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | JONES TIMOTHY PETER | director | Award / grant | 62,761 | 190,030 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | MARCHESE JOE | director | Award / grant | 62,761 | 906,807 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-18 | Dionne John D. | director | Award / grant | 62,761 | 785,173 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-29 | Dionne John D. | director | Award / grant | 6,172 | 678,479 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-28 | WELLS SCOTT | director | Award / grant | 1,523,809 | 4,916,014 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-28 | FELDMAN LYNN | officer | Award / grant | 600,000 | 1,736,570 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-28 | Sailer David | officer | Award / grant | 600,000 | 1,372,287 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-28 | DILGER JASON | officer | Award / grant | 250,000 | 764,446 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.