Issued 2026-09-16 at $73.22 · now $73.22 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CCI has typically landed between $64.41 and $81.29 — a range of −12.0% to +11.0% from the issuance price $73.22.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($73.22) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CCI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $73.22 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $73.22 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $72.36 (-1.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $68.47–$76.25
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $64.41–$81.29
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-10-23 | −46.9% | −46.9% | +16.8% |
| 2008-10-22 | −46.9% | −46.9% | +12.0% |
| 2008-09-11 | −45.3% | −45.3% | +4.2% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2008-11-21 | +64.1% | +0.0% | +85.6% |
| 2008-11-20 | +59.1% | −4.2% | +77.8% |
| 2009-03-05 | +45.4% | +0.0% | +45.4% |
4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.
Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.
iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 29 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.- DCF (intrinsic)$-10.45
- Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 32.9× · n=29$80.87
- Analyst target · range $91.00–$95.00$93.00
- Current price · last close 2026-09-16$73.22
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 | Collins Robert Sean | officer | Sale | 1,500 @ $75.89 | $114K | −22.7% of holding | +1.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 5,113 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-05 | Stephens Kevin A | director | Purchase | 820 @ $90.24 | $74K | +3.5% of holding | +0.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 23,934 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-02-27 | Collins Robert Sean | officer | Sale | 3,000 @ $87.49 | $262K | −34.1% of holding | −2.3% | −25.6% | 5,800 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-25 | Adams Edward B JR | officer | Sale | 4,650 @ $86.34 | $401K | −15.6% of holding | −1.6% | −21.2% | 25,183 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-02-06 | Levendos Christopher | officer | Sale | 1,883 @ $79.71 | $150K | −11.9% of holding | +11.4% | −19.3% | 13,935 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-28 | Levendos Christopher | officer | Sale | 1,065 @ $93.98 | $100K | −6.3% of holding | −3.2% | −9.0% | 15,818 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-24 | SCHLANGER DANIEL K | officer | Sale | 30,000 @ $98.08 | $2.9M | −31.4% of holding | −8.4% | −16.1% | 65,571 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-08 | SCHLANGER DANIEL K | officer | Sale | 15,000 @ $105.80 | $1.6M | −13.6% of holding | −11.6% | −28.2% | 95,571 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-06 | Levendos Christopher | officer | Sale | 1,417 @ $105.83 | $150K | −7.7% of holding | −11.0% | −31.5% | 16,883 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-09 | Stephens Kevin A | director | Purchase | 380 @ $103.27 | $39K | +1.9% of holding | −11.7% | −32.4% | 20,441 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-02 | SCHLANGER DANIEL K | officer | Sale | 19,995 @ $106.38 | $2.1M | −15.3% of holding | −11.7% | −34.7% | 110,576 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-02 | Adams Edward B JR | officer | Sale | 8,000 @ $106.37 | $851K | −28.0% of holding | −11.7% | −34.7% | 20,528 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-02 | Collins Robert Sean | officer | Sale | 3,600 @ $106.72 | $384K | −35.8% of holding | −11.7% | −34.7% | 6,465 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-02 | Levendos Christopher | officer | Sale | 2,810 @ $106.90 | $300K | −13.3% of holding | −11.7% | −34.7% | 18,300 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-02 | SCHLANGER DANIEL K | officer | Sale | 5 @ $106.88 | $534 | −0.0% of holding | −11.7% | −34.7% | 110,571 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
123 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Hinson Kristoffer L | officer | Award / grant | 11,083 | 11,083 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Adams Edward B JR | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,702 | 33,971 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Piche Catherine | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,186 | 20,505 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Collins Robert Sean | officer | Withheld for tax | 325 | 6,613 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Collins Robert Sean | officer | Award / grant | 1,138 | 6,938 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Adams Edward B JR | officer | Award / grant | 14,490 | 39,673 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-01 | Piche Catherine | officer | Award / grant | 5,031 | 22,691 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-10 | PATEL SUNIT S | director | Withheld for tax | 3,797 | 13,050 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-10 | PATEL SUNIT S | director | Option exercise | 9,649 | 16,847 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-10 | PATEL SUNIT S | director | Option exercise | 9,649 | 19,303 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Melone Anthony J. | director | Award / grant | 2,673 | 35,473 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Goldsmith Andrea Jo | director | Award / grant | 2,673 | 15,589 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | PATEL SUNIT S | director | Award / grant | 20,218 | 20,218 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Genrich Jason | director | Award / grant | 1,025 | 6,576 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | KABAT KEVIN T | director | Award / grant | 2,673 | 9,149 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Jones Tammy | director | Award / grant | 2,673 | 12,077 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Collins Robert Sean | officer | Award / grant | 4,874 | 4,874 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Bartolo P Robert | director | Award / grant | 4,590 | 47,382 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | MOTLAGH KATHERINE | director | Award / grant | 2,673 | 5,183 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Stephens Kevin A | director | Award / grant | 2,673 | 23,114 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Piche Catherine | officer | Award / grant | 16,811 | 16,811 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Adams Edward B JR | officer | Award / grant | 13,176 | 13,176 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Hillabrant Christian H | director | Award / grant | 47,706 | 47,706 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Thornton Matthew III | director | Award / grant | 2,673 | 14,792 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-25 | Grace Timothy P. | officer | Award / grant | 8,632 | 8,632 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Levendos Christopher | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,520 | 25,117 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Adams Edward B JR | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,757 | 29,833 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Piche Catherine | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,607 | 17,660 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | PATEL SUNIT S | director | Withheld for tax | 1,447 | 7,198 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Collins Robert Sean | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,054 | 8,800 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Collins Robert Sean | officer | Option exercise | 1,467 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Adams Edward B JR | officer | Option exercise | 2,434 | 24,730 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Adams Edward B JR | officer | Option exercise | 3,598 | 28,328 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Adams Edward B JR | officer | Option exercise | 4,262 | 32,590 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Adams Edward B JR | officer | Option exercise | 2,434 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Adams Edward B JR | officer | Option exercise | 3,598 | 3,598 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Adams Edward B JR | officer | Option exercise | 4,262 | 8,526 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Collins Robert Sean | officer | Option exercise | 796 | 796 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Collins Robert Sean | officer | Option exercise | 1,467 | 7,932 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Collins Robert Sean | officer | Option exercise | 796 | 8,728 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.
As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date
A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).
| Member | Chamber | Type | Filed | Traded | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Armstrong | Senate | purchase | 2026-07-21 | 2026-03-27 | $1–15K |
| Robert J. Wittman | House | sale | 2026-07-10 | 2026-06-30 | $1–15K |
| Sheldon Whitehouse | Senate | sale | 2026-07-08 | 2026-06-25 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2026-07-06 | 2026-06-30 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-06-09 | 2026-05-15 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-06-09 | 2026-05-01 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-05-11 | 2026-04-13 | $1–15K |
| Josh Gottheimer | House | sale | 2026-04-08 | 2026-03-24 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-04-07 | 2026-03-23 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2026-02-06 | 2026-01-29 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | purchase | 2026-02-06 | 2026-01-06 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2026-02-06 | 2026-01-23 | $1–15K |
| Gilbert Cisneros | House | sale | 2026-01-12 | 2025-12-19 | $1–15K |
| Ro Khanna | House | sale | 2025-12-08 | 2025-11-10 | $1–15K |
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.