Issued 2026-09-16 at $6.33 · now $6.33 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CCC has typically landed between $5.34 and $7.26 — a range of −15.7% to +14.7% from the issuance price $6.33.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,461 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-10-05 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($6.33) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CCC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $6.33 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $6.33 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $6.28 (-0.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $5.94–$6.62
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $5.34–$7.26
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-01-13 | −39.4% | −39.4% | +0.0% |
| 2026-01-14 | −39.4% | −39.4% | +0.0% |
| 2026-01-12 | −39.1% | −39.1% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-06-23 | +59.1% | +0.0% | +59.1% |
| 2026-06-25 | +55.2% | +0.0% | +55.2% |
| 2026-06-24 | +53.0% | +0.0% | +55.2% |
1,461 overlapping windows · 2020-10-05 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-24 | Christo Rodney | officer | Sale | 5,847 @ $6.17 | $36K | −100.0% of holding | −30.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-09 | Christo Rodney | officer | Sale | 50,321 @ $6.13 | $308K | −100.0% of holding | −6.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-15 | Williams Teri | director | Sale | 68,000 @ $7.52 | $511K | −90.0% of holding | +4.8% | −51.4% | 7,558 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-07 | Wei Eric | director | Sale | 27,391,934 @ $7.76 | $212.6M | −100.0% of holding | −7.3% | −51.3% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-07 | Young Lauren | director | Sale | 27,391,934 @ $7.76 | $212.6M | −100.0% of holding | −7.3% | −51.3% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-07 | ADVENT INTERNATIONAL, L.P. | director | Sale | 27,391,934 @ $7.76 | $212.6M | −100.0% of holding | −7.3% | −51.3% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-07 | ADVENT INTERNATIONAL, L.P. | director | Sale | 9,084,247 @ $7.76 | $70.5M | −100.0% of holding | −7.3% | −51.3% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-07 | Young Lauren | director | Sale | 9,084,247 @ $7.76 | $70.5M | −100.0% of holding | −7.3% | −51.3% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-07 | Wei Eric | director | Sale | 9,084,247 @ $7.76 | $70.5M | −100.0% of holding | −7.3% | −51.3% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-07 | ADVENT INTERNATIONAL, L.P. | director | Sale | 866,345 @ $7.76 | $6.7M | −100.0% of holding | −7.3% | −51.3% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-07 | Young Lauren | director | Sale | 866,345 @ $7.76 | $6.7M | −100.0% of holding | −7.3% | −51.3% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-07 | Wei Eric | director | Sale | 866,345 @ $7.76 | $6.7M | −100.0% of holding | −7.3% | −51.3% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
59 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-11 | Valdez Joshua James | officer | Withheld for tax | 58,055 | 101,690 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Valdez Joshua James | officer | Option exercise | 159,745 | 159,744 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Valdez Joshua James | officer | Option exercise | 159,745 | 159,745 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | INGRAM WILLIAM | director | Option exercise | 31,250 | 108,862 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | INGRAM WILLIAM | director | Option exercise | 31,250 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | INGRAM WILLIAM | director | Award / grant | 60,573 | 60,573 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Schloss Eileen | director | Option exercise | 31,250 | 81,384 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Schloss Eileen | director | Option exercise | 31,250 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Schloss Eileen | director | Award / grant | 60,573 | 60,573 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Williams Teri | director | Option exercise | 28,410 | 35,968 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Williams Teri | director | Option exercise | 28,410 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Williams Teri | director | Award / grant | 60,573 | 60,573 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | De Crescenzo Neil E. | director | Option exercise | 28,410 | 241,839 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | De Crescenzo Neil E. | director | Option exercise | 28,410 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | De Crescenzo Neil E. | director | Award / grant | 55,067 | 55,067 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Eilam Barak | director | Option exercise | 22,013 | 22,013 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Eilam Barak | director | Option exercise | 22,013 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Eilam Barak | director | Award / grant | 55,067 | 55,067 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Schweitzer John Arthur | director | Option exercise | 11,221 | 11,221 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Schweitzer John Arthur | director | Option exercise | 11,221 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-21 | Schweitzer John Arthur | director | Award / grant | 55,067 | 55,067 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Welsh Timothy A | director | Withheld for tax | 25,332 | 362,641 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Welsh Timothy A | director | Option exercise | 82,781 | 387,973 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Welsh Timothy A | director | Option exercise | 82,781 | 165,564 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-23 | Herb Brian | officer | Withheld for tax | 15,703 | 377,471 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-23 | Christo Rodney | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,424 | 5,847 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-23 | Christo Rodney | officer | Option exercise | 8,271 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-23 | Christo Rodney | officer | Option exercise | 8,271 | 8,271 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-23 | Herb Brian | officer | Option exercise | 35,445 | 393,174 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-23 | Herb Brian | officer | Option exercise | 35,445 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Herb Brian | officer | Withheld for tax | 119,226 | 357,729 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Christo Rodney | officer | Withheld for tax | 20,909 | 50,321 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Herb Brian | officer | Award / grant | 113,344 | 343,928 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Valdez Joshua James | officer | Award / grant | 199,681 | 199,681 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Valdez Joshua James | officer | Award / grant | 319,489 | 319,489 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Welsh Timothy A | director | Award / grant | 375,400 | 375,400 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Christo Rodney | officer | Award / grant | 15,067 | 15,067 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Christo Rodney | officer | Award / grant | 26,447 | 41,514 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Christo Rodney | officer | Disposition | 16,540 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Christo Rodney | officer | Option exercise | 9,854 | 9,854 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.
As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date
A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).
| Member | Chamber | Type | Filed | Traded | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Susie Lee | House | purchase | 2021-07-13 | 2021-06-21 | $1–15K |
| Susie Lee | House | purchase | 2021-06-14 | 2021-05-26 | $1–15K |
| Susie Lee | House | purchase | 2020-12-08 | 2020-11-11 | $1–15K |
| Susie Lee | House | purchase | 2020-07-10 | 2020-06-04 | $1–15K |
| Suzan K. Delbene | House | sale | 2016-03-11 | 2016-02-26 | $15–50K |
| Ms. Suzan K. Delbene | House | purchase | 2014-06-12 | 2014-05-12 | $15–50K |
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.