Issued 2026-09-25 at $49.86 · now $49.86 (2026-09-25, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-25 close, CCBG has typically landed between $45.56 and $55.77 — a range of −8.6% to +11.9% from the issuance price $49.86.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,010 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-26 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Base rate up 53.7% (90% CI 51.5–55.9%, ≈1,391 obs). Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-25 issuance close ($49.86) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-26, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CCBG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-25 close of $49.86 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $49.86 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $50.21 (+0.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $48.11–$52.32
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $45.56–$55.77
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2009-01-22 | −48.5% | −50.6% | +0.0% |
| 2009-01-20 | −47.2% | −47.2% | +12.7% |
| 2009-01-21 | −44.8% | −53.1% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2016-11-09 | +44.6% | +0.0% | +44.6% |
| 2008-07-14 | +41.7% | +0.0% | +41.7% |
| 2008-08-20 | +41.7% | −6.8% | +41.7% |
5,010 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-25 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-26 | BARRON THOMAS A | director | Sale | 6,000 @ $46.38 | $278K | −3.9% of holding | +7.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 147,979 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-14 | BARRON THOMAS A | director | Sale | 8,000 @ $41.06 | $328K | −5.3% of holding | +4.2% | −0.6% | 143,297 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-09-10 | BARRON THOMAS A | director | Sale | 3,000 @ $33.81 | $101K | −2.1% of holding | −5.6% | +4.0% | 140,681 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-07-30 | BARRON THOMAS A | director | Sale | 8,000 @ $35.26 | $282K | −5.3% of holding | −6.3% | −5.3% | 143,681 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-03-06 | Butler William F | director | Purchase | 701 @ $28.38 | $20K | +15.7% of holding | −5.2% | +13.1% | 5,165 | Form 4 · filed 362 days after the trade |
| 2024-02-29 | Criser Marshall M III | director | Purchase | 1,300 @ $28.19 | $37K | +9.4% of holding | −5.0% | +12.3% | 15,200 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
213 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Corum Bethany Harding | officer | Award / grant | 20 | 20 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-06 | Williams Ashbel C | director | Award / grant | 226 | 7,552 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-06 | Crowell Kimberly | director | Award / grant | 269 | 8,353 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-06 | Grant William E | director | Award / grant | 265 | 31,696 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-06 | Johnson Laura L | director | Award / grant | 286 | 43,041 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-06 | Antoine Robert | director | Award / grant | 266 | 1,025 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-06 | Davenport Bonnie | director | Award / grant | 225 | 9,687 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-06 | Connally Stan W | director | Award / grant | 366 | 34,363 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-06 | SAMPLE JOHN G JR | director | Award / grant | 180 | 32,180 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-13 | BARRON THOMAS A | director | Gift | 1,650 | 153,979 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-07 | Davenport Bonnie | director | Award / grant | 257 | 9,414 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-07 | Johnson Laura L | director | Award / grant | 326 | 42,510 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-07 | SAMPLE JOHN G JR | director | Award / grant | 189 | 32,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-07 | Connally Stan W | director | Award / grant | 416 | 33,857 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-07 | Grant William E | director | Award / grant | 303 | 31,302 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-07 | Antoine Robert | director | Award / grant | 302 | 2,923 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-07 | Williams Ashbel C | director | Award / grant | 256 | 7,292 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-07 | Crowell Kimberly | director | Award / grant | 305 | 8,038 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Davenport Bonnie | director | Award / grant | 757 | 9,107 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Butler William F | director | Award / grant | 757 | 5,044 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Crowell Kimberly | director | Award / grant | 757 | 7,689 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | SAMPLE JOHN G JR | director | Award / grant | 757 | 31,811 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Connally Stan W | director | Award / grant | 757 | 33,293 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Johnson Laura L | director | Award / grant | 757 | 41,922 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Grant William E | director | Award / grant | 757 | 30,862 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Criser Marshall M III | director | Award / grant | 757 | 7,819 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Antoine Robert | director | Award / grant | 757 | 2,604 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-26 | Williams Ashbel C | director | Award / grant | 757 | 6,999 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-20 | SMITH WILLIAM G JR | director | Award / grant | 9,868 | 2,369,664 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-20 | Larkin Jep | officer | Award / grant | 2,740 | 9,760 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-20 | BARRON THOMAS A | director | Award / grant | 3,562 | 155,629 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-20 | Corum Bethany Harding | officer | Award / grant | 4,111 | 15,299 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-20 | BARRON THOMAS A | director | Award / grant | 8,770 | 152,067 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-20 | Corum Bethany Harding | officer | Award / grant | 970 | 16,269 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-20 | SMITH WILLIAM G JR | director | Award / grant | 8,904 | 2,378,568 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | Antoine Robert | director | Award / grant | 26 | 1,847 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | Crowell Kimberly | director | Award / grant | 27 | 6,932 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | Connally Stan W | director | Award / grant | 13 | 32,536 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | Johnson Laura L | director | Award / grant | 39 | 41,165 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-06 | SAMPLE JOHN G JR | director | Award / grant | 6 | 31,054 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.