CCBCoastal Financial Corporationas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $45.41 · now $45.41 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CCB has typically landed between $39.29 and $54.07 — a range of −13.5% to +19.1% from the issuance price $45.41.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,019 overlapping 1 month windows · 2018-07-18 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($45.41) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CCB has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $45.41 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$39.29worst · -13.5%$54.07best · +19.1%
  • now $45.41 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $45.73 (+0.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $42.53–$48.93
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $39.29–$54.07
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,019 windows spanning 2018-07-18 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−46.7%−47.5%+0.0%
2020-02-18−46.5%−46.5%+2.1%
2020-02-20−44.7%−47.6%+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-18+55.3%+0.0%+55.4%
2020-03-23+52.8%+0.0%+53.2%
2021-02-01+51.4%+0.0%+51.4%

2,019 overlapping windows · 2018-07-18 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~9 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
25%
−3.7%
n=8
Feb
50%
+3.4%
n=8
Mar
38%
−8.6%
n=8
Apr
38%
+1.6%
n=8
May
50%
+1.0%
n=8
Jun
63%
+4.0%
n=8
Jul
75%
+4.9%
n=8
Aug
44%
−3.0%
n=9
Sep
44%
−0.8%
n=9
Oct
50%
+6.9%
n=8
Nov
88%
+12.1%
n=8
Dec
63%
+4.7%
n=8

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$119$452026-08-07: 1 insider purchase, $13K — Adams Christopher D2026-08-06: 2 insider purchases, $883K — Sprink Eric M, HOVDE STEVEN D2026-08-05: 1 insider purchase, $220K — HOVDE STEVEN D2026-06-02: 1 insider sale, $500K — Hamilton Brian T2026-05-08: 1 insider sale, $22K — Lane Thomas D2026-05-01: 1 insider sale, $232K — Hamilton Brian T2026-03-03: 1 insider sale, $11K — Hamilton Brian T2026-02-06: 1 insider sale, $4K — Hamilton Brian T2026-02-04: 1 insider sale, $15K — Hamilton Brian T2026-01-26: 1 insider sale, $145K — EDWARDS JOEL G2026-01-22: 1 insider sale, $464K — Sprink Eric M2026-01-21: 1 insider sale, $960K — Sprink Eric M2026-01-16: 1 insider sale, $342K — Sprink Eric M2026-01-15: 1 insider sale, $499K — Sprink Eric M2026-01-09: 2 insider sales, $476K — Sprink Eric M …2026-01-07: 1 insider sale, $353K — Sprink Eric M2026-01-06: 1 insider sale, $931K — Sprink Eric M2026-01-05: 1 insider sale, $1.0M — Sprink Eric M2026-01-02: 1 insider sale, $950K — Sprink Eric M2025-12-10: 2 insider sales, $352K — HOVDE STEVEN D …2025-12-09: 1 insider sale, $173K — HOVDE STEVEN D2025-12-08: 2 insider sales, $342K — HOVDE STEVEN D …2025-12-05: 2 insider sales, $293K — HOVDE STEVEN D …2025-09-18: 2 insider sales, $2.3M — Sprink Eric M, EDWARDS JOEL G2025-09-17: 2 insider sales, $1.1M — Sprink Eric M, EDWARDS JOEL G2025-09-16: 2 insider sales, $863K — Sprink Eric M, EDWARDS JOEL G2025-09-15: 4 insider sales, $2.3M — Sprink Eric M, EDWARDS JOEL G, Klee Stephan, Hamilton Brian T2025-09-12: 1 insider sale, $221K — EDWARDS JOEL G2025-09-11: 1 insider sale, $335K — EDWARDS JOEL G2025-09-10: 1 insider sale, $222K — EDWARDS JOEL G2025-09: 13 open-market sales, $7.4M2025-12: 7 open-market sales, $1.2M2026-01: 11 open-market sales, $6.1M2026-02: 2 open-market sales, $20K2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $11K2026-05: 2 open-market sales, $254K2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $500K2026-08: 4 open-market purchases, $1.1M↑ buys↓ salesdirector Adams Christopher D — Purchase on 2026-08-07, filed same daydirector Sprink Eric M — Purchase on 2026-08-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector HOVDE STEVEN D — Purchase on 2026-08-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector HOVDE STEVEN D — Purchase on 2026-08-05, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Hamilton Brian T — Sale on 2026-06-02, filed same daydirector Lane Thomas D — Sale on 2026-05-08, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Hamilton Brian T — Sale on 2026-05-01, filed same daydirector Hamilton Brian T — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed same daydirector Hamilton Brian T — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Hamilton Brian T — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer EDWARDS JOEL G — Sale on 2026-01-26, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Sprink Eric M — Sale on 2026-01-22, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Sprink Eric M — Sale on 2026-01-21, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Sprink Eric M — Sale on 2026-01-16, filed same daydirector Sprink Eric M — Sale on 2026-01-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Sprink Eric M — Sale on 2026-01-09, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Sprink Eric M — Sale on 2026-01-09, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Sprink Eric M — Sale on 2026-01-07, filed same daydirector Sprink Eric M — Sale on 2026-01-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Sprink Eric M — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed same daydirector Sprink Eric M — Sale on 2026-01-02, filed 3 days after the tradedirector HOVDE STEVEN D — Sale on 2025-12-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector HOVDE STEVEN D — Sale on 2025-12-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector HOVDE STEVEN D — Sale on 2025-12-09, filed same daydirector HOVDE STEVEN D — Sale on 2025-12-08, filed same daydirector HOVDE STEVEN D — Sale on 2025-12-08, filed same daydirector HOVDE STEVEN D — Sale on 2025-12-05, filed 3 days after the tradedirector HOVDE STEVEN D — Sale on 2025-12-05, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Sprink Eric M — Sale on 2025-09-18, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer EDWARDS JOEL G — Sale on 2025-09-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Sprink Eric M — Sale on 2025-09-17, filed same dayofficer EDWARDS JOEL G — Sale on 2025-09-17, filed same daydirector Sprink Eric M — Sale on 2025-09-16, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer EDWARDS JOEL G — Sale on 2025-09-16, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Sprink Eric M — Sale on 2025-09-15, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer EDWARDS JOEL G — Sale on 2025-09-15, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Klee Stephan — Sale on 2025-09-15, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Hamilton Brian T — Sale on 2025-09-15, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer EDWARDS JOEL G — Sale on 2025-09-12, filed same dayofficer EDWARDS JOEL G — Sale on 2025-09-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer EDWARDS JOEL G — Sale on 2025-09-10, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-07Adams Christopher DdirectorPurchase290 @ $45.15$13K+1.0% of holding−38.7%not yet — horizon still open30,407Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-06Sprink Eric MdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $44.45$445K+6.1% of holding−38.7%not yet — horizon still open173,238Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-06HOVDE STEVEN DdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $43.83$438K+60.6% of holding−38.7%not yet — horizon still open26,500Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-05HOVDE STEVEN DdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $44.00$220K+43.5% of holding−38.7%not yet — horizon still open16,500Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-02Hamilton Brian TdirectorSale7,000 @ $71.42$500K−9.4% of holding+12.6%not yet — horizon still open67,571Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-08Lane Thomas DdirectorSale300 @ $72.60$22K−100.0% of holding−1.4%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-01Hamilton Brian TdirectorSale3,079 @ $75.44$232K−4.0% of holding−12.9%not yet — horizon still open74,571Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-03Hamilton Brian TdirectorSale146 @ $72.37$11K−0.2% of holding+3.2%not yet — horizon still open77,186Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-06Hamilton Brian TdirectorSale48 @ $88.95$4K−0.1% of holding−9.7%−58.2%77,332Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-02-04Hamilton Brian TdirectorSale171 @ $89.67$15K−0.2% of holding−9.5%−59.0%77,380Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-26EDWARDS JOEL GofficerSale1,300 @ $111.34$145K−10.2% of holding−26.9%−66.7%11,462Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-22Sprink Eric MdirectorSale4,000 @ $116.01$464K−2.5% of holding−33.7%−67.6%159,126Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-21Sprink Eric MdirectorSale8,402 @ $114.27$960K−4.9% of holding−27.3%−70.8%163,126Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-16Sprink Eric MdirectorSale3,000 @ $114.15$342K−1.7% of holding−23.9%−40.4%171,528Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-15Sprink Eric MdirectorSale4,356 @ $114.51$499K−2.4% of holding−23.3%−39.2%174,528Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-09Sprink Eric MdirectorSale2,000 @ $119.25$239K−1.1% of holding−24.6%−41.5%180,884Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-01-09Sprink Eric MdirectorSale2,000 @ $118.50$237K−1.1% of holding−24.6%−41.5%178,884Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-01-07Sprink Eric MdirectorSale3,000 @ $117.60$353K−1.6% of holding−25.5%−43.4%182,884Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-06Sprink Eric MdirectorSale8,000 @ $116.35$931K−4.1% of holding−26.0%−42.7%185,884Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-05Sprink Eric MdirectorSale8,778 @ $114.95$1.0M−4.3% of holding−22.6%−42.6%193,884Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-02Sprink Eric MdirectorSale8,349 @ $113.73$950K−4.0% of holding−21.9%−41.2%202,662Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-10HOVDE STEVEN DdirectorSale1,500 @ $118.50$178K−11.5% of holding−7.4%−45.9%11,500Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-10HOVDE STEVEN DdirectorSale1,500 @ $116.00$174K−10.3% of holding−7.4%−45.9%13,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-09HOVDE STEVEN DdirectorSale1,500 @ $115.50$173K−9.4% of holding−0.3%−46.1%14,500Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-08HOVDE STEVEN DdirectorSale1,500 @ $114.50$172K−8.6% of holding+2.6%−44.5%16,000Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-08HOVDE STEVEN DdirectorSale1,500 @ $113.50$170K−7.9% of holding+2.6%−44.5%17,500Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-05HOVDE STEVEN DdirectorSale1,611 @ $112.00$180K−7.5% of holding+3.1%−44.8%20,000Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-05HOVDE STEVEN DdirectorSale1,000 @ $112.50$113K−5.0% of holding+3.1%−44.8%19,000Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-18Sprink Eric MdirectorSale10,683 @ $114.65$1.2M−4.8% of holding−12.2%−34.3%211,011Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-18EDWARDS JOEL GofficerSale9,425 @ $114.67$1.1M−42.5% of holding−12.2%−34.3%12,762Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-17Sprink Eric MdirectorSale5,000 @ $110.21$551K−2.2% of holding−10.1%−31.7%221,694Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-17EDWARDS JOEL GofficerSale5,000 @ $110.05$550K−18.4% of holding−10.1%−31.7%22,187Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-16Sprink Eric MdirectorSale4,000 @ $107.90$432K−1.7% of holding−2.8%−31.0%226,694Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-16EDWARDS JOEL GofficerSale4,000 @ $107.90$432K−12.8% of holding−2.8%−31.0%27,187Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-15Sprink Eric MdirectorSale10,500 @ $108.82$1.1M−4.4% of holding−0.0%−30.1%230,694Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-15EDWARDS JOEL GofficerSale5,000 @ $108.91$545K−13.8% of holding−0.0%−30.1%31,187Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-15Klee StephandirectorSale4,350 @ $109.14$475K−72.4% of holding−0.0%−30.1%1,661Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-15Hamilton Brian TdirectorSale1,708 @ $109.10$186K−2.0% of holding−0.0%−30.1%84,701Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-12EDWARDS JOEL GofficerSale2,000 @ $110.59$221K−5.2% of holding−4.4%−31.6%36,187Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-11EDWARDS JOEL GofficerSale3,000 @ $111.71$335K−7.3% of holding−6.5%−32.2%38,187Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-10EDWARDS JOEL GofficerSale2,000 @ $110.96$222K−4.6% of holding−3.5%−33.3%41,187Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-16EDWARDS JOEL GofficerSale3,128 @ $88.44$277K−7.0% of holding−8.1%+4.1%41,387Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-04-14Tisdel Gregory AdirectorSale1,600 @ $79.07$127K−10.3% of holding+0.4%+14.1%14,006Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

103 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01Hamilton Brian TdirectorWithheld for tax23266,654Form 4
2026-08-03Hamilton Brian TdirectorWithheld for tax22666,886Form 4
2026-08-03Rivas Freddy IofficerWithheld for tax16611,884Form 4
2026-07-01Hamilton Brian TdirectorWithheld for tax22967,112Form 4
2026-06-02Hamilton Brian TdirectorWithheld for tax23067,341Form 4
2026-05-26Delorier Rilla SdirectorAward / grant1,1936,584Form 4
2026-05-26Adams Christopher DdirectorAward / grant1,75430,117Form 4
2026-05-26Akella-Mishra SadhanadirectorAward / grant1,3698,096Form 4
2026-05-26HOVDE STEVEN DdirectorAward / grant1,3331,717,293Form 4
2026-05-26Lane Thomas DdirectorAward / grant1,47485,306Form 4
2026-05-26Tisdel Gregory AdirectorAward / grant1,19316,174Form 4
2026-05-26Klee StephandirectorAward / grant1,3692,488Form 4
2026-05-26Unger PameladirectorAward / grant1,1936,255Form 4
2026-05-26Patterson Michael RobertdirectorAward / grant1,4048,294Form 4
2026-05-26Chapman Jeffrey MdirectorAward / grant1,5321,532Form 4
2026-05-04Sarvela Elizabeth AnnofficerWithheld for tax683,293Form 4
2026-05-01Hamilton Brian TdirectorWithheld for tax23077,650Form 4
2026-04-01Hamilton Brian TdirectorWithheld for tax22877,880Form 4
2026-03-30Hamilton Brian TdirectorWithheld for tax1,79278,108Form 4
2026-03-11Hamilton Brian TdirectorAward / grant2,71479,900Form 4
2026-03-11Soto Brandon JohnofficerAward / grant67333,673Form 4
2026-03-11Sprink Eric MdirectorAward / grant4,860163,238Form 4
2026-02-05Sprink Eric MdirectorWithheld for tax1,730158,378Form 4
2026-02-03Sprink Eric MdirectorWithheld for tax733160,108Form 4
2026-01-26Sprink Eric MdirectorWithheld for tax4,764165,153Form 4
2026-01-26Sprink Eric MdirectorWithheld for tax4,312160,841Form 4
2026-01-26Sprink Eric MdirectorOption exercise2,673169,917Form 4
2026-01-26Sprink Eric MdirectorOption exercise3,382167,244Form 4
2026-01-26Sprink Eric MdirectorOption exercise2,854163,862Form 4
2026-01-26Sprink Eric MdirectorOption exercise1,882161,008Form 4
2026-01-26Sprink Eric MdirectorOption exercise2,8545,710Form 4
2026-01-26Sprink Eric MdirectorOption exercise2,6738,022Form 4
2026-01-26Sprink Eric MdirectorOption exercise1,8820Form 4
2026-01-26Sprink Eric MdirectorOption exercise3,3823,383Form 4
2025-12-31Hamilton Brian TdirectorWithheld for tax22977,551Form 4
2025-12-01Hamilton Brian TdirectorWithheld for tax6,23277,780Form 4
2025-11-28Hamilton Brian TdirectorWithheld for tax23284,012Form 4
2025-10-31Hamilton Brian TdirectorWithheld for tax22984,244Form 4
2025-09-30Hamilton Brian TdirectorWithheld for tax22884,473Form 4
2025-08-29Hamilton Brian TdirectorWithheld for tax22886,409Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.