Issued 2026-09-16 at $9.88 · now $9.88 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CCAP has typically landed between $8.79 and $10.81 — a range of −11.1% to +9.4% from the issuance price $9.88.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,643 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-02-03 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($9.88) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CCAP has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $9.88 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $9.88 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $9.96 (+0.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $9.55–$10.37
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $8.79–$10.81
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-21 | −62.4% | −62.4% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-24 | −60.1% | −61.9% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-25 | −58.8% | −61.7% | +0.4% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2020-03-23 | +71.8% | +0.0% | +118.9% |
| 2020-03-24 | +60.3% | +0.0% | +108.9% |
| 2020-03-25 | +51.1% | +0.0% | +103.5% |
1,643 overlapping windows · 2020-02-03 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~7 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | FIDELITY & GUARANTY LIFE INSURANCE CO | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 139,054 @ $10.23 | $1.4M | −3.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 3,680,307 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-08 | FIDELITY & GUARANTY LIFE INSURANCE CO | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 126,436 @ $10.33 | $1.3M | −3.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 3,819,361 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | FIDELITY & GUARANTY LIFE INSURANCE CO | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 10,471 @ $10.39 | $109K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 3,945,797 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | FIDELITY & GUARANTY LIFE INSURANCE CO | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 5,011 @ $10.34 | $52K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 3,956,268 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | FIDELITY & GUARANTY LIFE INSURANCE CO | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 45,000 @ $10.44 | $470K | −1.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 3,961,279 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | FIDELITY & GUARANTY LIFE INSURANCE CO | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 11,285 @ $10.50 | $118K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,006,279 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-31 | FIDELITY & GUARANTY LIFE INSURANCE CO | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 40,000 @ $10.62 | $425K | −1.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,017,564 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-28 | FIDELITY & GUARANTY LIFE INSURANCE CO | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 15,000 @ $10.60 | $159K | −0.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,057,564 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-27 | FIDELITY & GUARANTY LIFE INSURANCE CO | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 27,195 @ $10.60 | $288K | −0.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,072,564 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-26 | FIDELITY & GUARANTY LIFE INSURANCE CO | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 32,091 @ $10.60 | $340K | −0.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,099,759 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-25 | FIDELITY & GUARANTY LIFE INSURANCE CO | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 40,000 @ $10.74 | $430K | −1.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,131,850 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | FIDELITY & GUARANTY LIFE INSURANCE CO | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 33,457 @ $10.72 | $359K | −0.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 4,171,850 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Chung Henry | director | Purchase | 2,500 @ $10.89 | $27K | +11.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 23,917 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Lombard Gerhard | officer | Purchase | 2,000 @ $10.91 | $22K | +5.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 40,509 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-21 | Chung Henry | director | Purchase | 4,500 @ $11.45 | $52K | +27.7% of holding | −0.2% | not yet — horizon still open | 20,722 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Breaux Jason | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $11.19 | $56K | +10.5% of holding | −1.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 52,636 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-19 | Strandberg Steven F. | director | Purchase | 85,000 @ $11.28 | $958K | +73.2% of holding | −2.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 201,135 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-18 | Lombard Gerhard | officer | Purchase | 1,000 @ $11.12 | $11K | +2.7% of holding | +1.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 37,373 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-17 | Lombard Gerhard | officer | Purchase | 2,000 @ $13.34 | $27K | +6.2% of holding | +12.1% | −20.5% | 34,284 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-28 | Bouek Kirill | officer | Purchase | 200 @ $15.67 | $3K | +23.3% of holding | −7.7% | −17.0% | 1,057 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-25 | Barrios Raymond | officer | Purchase | 2,230 @ $15.63 | $35K | +14.0% of holding | −4.1% | −17.7% | 18,162 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-25 | Barrios Raymond | officer | Purchase | 1,015 @ $15.62 | $16K | +5.6% of holding | −4.1% | −17.7% | 19,177 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.