CCThe Chemours Companyas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $14.42 · now $14.42 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CC has typically landed between $10.95 and $17.88 — a range of −24.1% to +24.0% from the issuance price $14.42.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,794 overlapping 1 month windows · 2015-06-19 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($14.42) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $14.42 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$10.95worst · -24.1%$17.88best · +24.0%
  • now $14.42 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $14.35 (-0.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $12.76–$15.94
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $10.95–$17.88
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,794 windows spanning 2015-06-19 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−57.1%−57.1%+0.0%
2020-02-20−53.0%−53.0%+0.0%
2020-03-05−51.5%−51.5%+0.0%
3 best
2016-02-16+82.6%+0.0%+87.5%
2016-02-18+82.4%−1.7%+82.4%
2016-02-10+81.8%+0.0%+82.6%

2,794 overlapping windows · 2015-06-19 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~12 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
64%
+5.2%
n=11
Feb
45%
+0.4%
n=11
Mar
64%
+7.0%
n=11
Apr
64%
+8.1%
n=11
May
36%
−2.6%
n=11
Jun
36%
+1.6%
n=11
Jul
67%
+1.8%
n=12
Aug
42%
+0.3%
n=12
Sep
50%
−5.8%
n=12
Oct
45%
−1.5%
n=11
Nov
55%
+7.9%
n=11
Dec
36%
−1.4%
n=11

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$28$102026-08-12: 1 insider purchase, $30K — Familiar Calderon Gerardo2026-08-11: 1 insider purchase, $51K — Dignam Denise2026-08-07: 7 insider purchases, $448K — Cowan Alister, CRANSTON MARY B, Martinko Joseph T., Foley Michael Robert …2026-08-06: 1 insider purchase, $50K — HOSTETTER SHANE2025-08: 1 open-market purchase, $49K2026-08: 10 open-market purchases, $579K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Familiar Calderon Gerardo — Purchase on 2026-08-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Dignam Denise — Purchase on 2026-08-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Cowan Alister — Purchase on 2026-08-07, filed 4 days after the tradedirector CRANSTON MARY B — Purchase on 2026-08-07, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Martinko Joseph T. — Purchase on 2026-08-07, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Foley Michael Robert — Purchase on 2026-08-07, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Foley Michael Robert — Purchase on 2026-08-07, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Foley Michael Robert — Purchase on 2026-08-07, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Foley Michael Robert — Purchase on 2026-08-07, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer HOSTETTER SHANE — Purchase on 2026-08-06, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-12Familiar Calderon GerardoofficerPurchase1,935 @ $15.53$30K+3.4% of holding−0.3%not yet — horizon still open58,547Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-11Dignam DenisedirectorPurchase3,378 @ $14.95$51K+1.0% of holding+3.5%not yet — horizon still open339,916Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-07Cowan AlisterdirectorPurchase13,000 @ $15.62$203K+29.6% of holding−17.8%not yet — horizon still open56,988Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-07CRANSTON MARY BdirectorPurchase6,000 @ $15.82$95K+5.6% of holding−17.8%not yet — horizon still open113,141Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-07Martinko Joseph T.officerPurchase1,940 @ $15.47$30K+3.6% of holding−17.8%not yet — horizon still open55,431Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-07Foley Michael RobertofficerPurchase1,934 @ $15.51$30Kownership Δ n/a−17.8%not yet — horizon still open—Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-07Foley Michael RobertofficerPurchase1,934 @ $15.51$30Kownership Δ n/a−17.8%not yet — horizon still open—Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-07Foley Michael RobertofficerPurchase1,934 @ $15.51$30Kownership Δ n/a−17.8%not yet — horizon still open—Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-07Foley Michael RobertofficerPurchase1,934 @ $15.51$30Kownership Δ n/a−17.8%not yet — horizon still open—Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-06HOSTETTER SHANEofficerPurchase3,350 @ $14.94$50K+3.4% of holding−17.8%not yet — horizon still open102,698Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-08Dignam DenisedirectorPurchase4,068 @ $12.06$49K+2.2% of holding+35.5%+47.8%191,546Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-03Gumpel DamianofficerPurchase7,822 @ $9.95$78K+6.3% of holding+25.0%+15.3%131,701Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-02Gumpel DamianofficerPurchase13,400 @ $9.22$124K+12.1% of holding+30.4%+22.9%123,879Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-19HOSTETTER SHANEofficerPurchase4,450 @ $11.28$50K+8.1% of holding−2.0%−10.6%59,694Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

97 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-12Will DavidofficerWithheld for tax2,42630,868Form 4
2026-08-06HOSTETTER SHANEofficerWithheld for tax3,08799,348Form 4
2026-08-01Familiar Calderon GerardoofficerWithheld for tax94358,499Form 4
2026-08-01Martinko Joseph T.officerWithheld for tax66354,819Form 4
2026-08-01Dignam DenisedirectorWithheld for tax477337,493Form 4
2026-08-01Wellman Kristine MofficerWithheld for tax39174,419Form 4
2026-06-30MATHER COURTNEYdirectorAward / grant1,4018,984Form 4
2026-05-06CRANSTON MARY BdirectorAward / grant7,182106,830Form 4
2026-05-06Fletcher PameladirectorAward / grant7,18232,383Form 4
2026-05-06SATTERTHWAITE LIVINGSTONdirectorAward / grant7,18230,808Form 4
2026-05-06Cowan AlisterdirectorAward / grant7,18243,881Form 4
2026-05-06Kava Joseph DanieldirectorAward / grant7,18224,603Form 4
2026-05-06Brokaw George RdirectorAward / grant7,18221,643Form 4
2026-05-06Kane Erin NdirectorAward / grant7,18274,063Form 4
2026-05-06Keohane Sean DdirectorAward / grant7,18272,555Form 4
2026-05-06MATHER COURTNEYdirectorAward / grant7,18221,643Form 4
2026-05-06Turner Leslie MdirectorAward / grant7,18224,603Form 4
2026-03-31MATHER COURTNEYdirectorAward / grant1,3057,552Form 4
2026-03-02Will DavidofficerAward / grant8,33733,084Form 4
2026-03-02Wellman Kristine MofficerAward / grant25,70873,751Form 4
2026-03-02Familiar Calderon GerardoofficerAward / grant25,70857,292Form 4
2026-03-02Foley Michael RobertofficerAward / grant25,01328,513Form 4
2026-03-02Foley Michael RobertofficerAward / grant50,02778,540Form 4
2026-03-02HOSTETTER SHANEofficerAward / grant47,387101,857Form 4
2026-03-02Martinko Joseph T.officerAward / grant28,48853,889Form 4
2026-03-02Dignam DenisedirectorAward / grant169,538335,314Form 4
2026-03-01Dignam DenisedirectorWithheld for tax22,220165,776Form 4
2026-03-01Wellman Kristine MofficerWithheld for tax3,35948,043Form 4
2026-03-01HOSTETTER SHANEofficerWithheld for tax3,23254,470Form 4
2026-03-01Martinko Joseph T.officerWithheld for tax2,78925,401Form 4
2026-03-01Familiar Calderon GerardoofficerWithheld for tax2,63531,584Form 4
2026-03-01Will DavidofficerWithheld for tax69924,747Form 4
2026-02-24Dignam DenisedirectorWithheld for tax742187,996Form 4
2026-02-24Wellman Kristine MofficerWithheld for tax67551,402Form 4
2026-02-24Wellman Kristine MofficerAward / grant1,78152,077Form 4
2026-02-24Dignam DenisedirectorAward / grant2,261188,738Form 4
2025-12-31MATHER COURTNEYdirectorAward / grant2,2266,216Form 4
2025-12-31SATTERTHWAITE LIVINGSTONdirectorAward / grant1,2984,615Form 4
2025-09-30MATHER COURTNEYdirectorAward / grant1,6573,961Form 4
2025-09-30SATTERTHWAITE LIVINGSTONdirectorAward / grant9663,280Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'24 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Ro KhannaHousesale2024-02-052024-01-10$1–15K
Michael C. BurgessHousepurchase2023-09-052023-08-09$15–50K
Michael C. BurgessHousesale2023-07-182023-07-06$1–15K
Michael C. BurgessHousepurchase2023-07-182023-07-06$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2022-12-062022-11-03$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2020-05-132020-04-07$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2018-11-092018-10-02$1–15K
Tammy DuckworthSenatesale2017-11-072017-10-10$1–15K
Richard L. HannaHousesale2015-11-092015-10-01$1–15K
Richard L. HannaHouseexchange2015-08-132015-06-30$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.