Issued 2026-09-16 at $54.60 · now $54.60 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CBZ has typically landed between $47.04 and $62.74 — a range of −13.8% to +14.9% from the issuance price $54.60.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($54.60) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CBZ has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $54.6 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $54.6 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $55.21 (+1.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $52.53–$57.89
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $47.04–$62.74
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-01-13 | −47.7% | −47.7% | +0.0% |
| 2026-01-15 | −45.6% | −46.0% | +0.0% |
| 2026-01-14 | −45.6% | −45.6% | +0.7% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-06-30 | +72.2% | +0.0% | +72.2% |
| 2026-06-29 | +69.8% | −0.8% | +69.8% |
| 2026-07-01 | +60.7% | +0.0% | +61.2% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-13 | Lakhia Brad S. | officer | Purchase | 12,775 @ $25.97 | $332K | +9.4% of holding | +6.2% | +93.5% | 148,480 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-13 | YOUNG RODNEY A | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $26.05 | $26K | +12.0% of holding | +6.2% | +93.5% | 9,310 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-10 | WILEY BENAREE PRATT | director | Sale | 17,956 @ $26.39 | $474K | −49.9% of holding | +5.3% | +96.5% | 18,000 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-02 | WILEY BENAREE PRATT | director | Sale | 8,288 @ $49.54 | $411K | −18.7% of holding | +1.6% | −44.7% | 35,956 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-26 | Lakhia Brad S. | officer | Purchase | 2,060 @ $48.51 | $100K | +5.3% of holding | +6.5% | −41.5% | 40,584 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-08 | YOUNG RODNEY A | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $62.43 | $125K | +31.7% of holding | −10.8% | −55.3% | 8,310 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-04 | Lakhia Brad S. | officer | Purchase | 1,593 @ $62.78 | $100K | +4.3% of holding | −6.5% | −51.4% | 38,524 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-14 | GROVE WARE H | officer | Sale | 4,029 @ $70.16 | $283K | −1.3% of holding | +18.6% | −40.0% | 301,518 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-06 | WILEY BENAREE PRATT | director | Sale | 6,526 @ $71.75 | $468K | −13.5% of holding | +12.3% | −30.2% | 41,759 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-04 | YOUNG RODNEY A | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $76.18 | $76K | +33.9% of holding | +1.6% | −32.3% | 3,949 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-10 | GROVE WARE H | officer | Sale | 8,143 @ $79.11 | $644K | −2.7% of holding | +7.8% | −12.7% | 293,826 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-09 | YOUNG RODNEY A | director | Purchase | 1,000 @ $77.56 | $78K | +51.3% of holding | +8.5% | −11.9% | 2,949 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2021-10-14 | DeGroote Michael H | director | Sale | 8,362 @ $34.72 | $290K | −6.3% of holding | +7.5% | +19.7% | 124,592 | Form 4 · filed 1264 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
121 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | SHERMAN A HAAG | director | Withheld for tax | 22,354 | 47,771 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | SHERMAN A HAAG | director | Option exercise | 50,000 | 70,125 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | SHERMAN A HAAG | director | Option exercise | 50,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | Raffa Kathy A | director | Award / grant | 6,051 | 8,412 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | BURDICK RICK L | director | Award / grant | 6,051 | 8,412 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | SHERMAN A HAAG | director | Award / grant | 6,051 | 20,125 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | SLOTKIN TODD J | director | Award / grant | 6,051 | 57,229 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | MARABITO RICHARD T | director | Award / grant | 6,051 | 18,887 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | YOUNG RODNEY A | director | Award / grant | 6,051 | 15,361 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-15 | France Gina D | director | Award / grant | 6,051 | 76,086 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-17 | Lakhia Brad S. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,647 | 146,833 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | GRISKO JEROME P | director | Gift | 5,429 | 513,174 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | GRISKO JEROME P | director | Gift | 5,429 | 345,675 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | GRISKO JEROME P | director | Gift | 38,595 | 474,579 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | GRISKO JEROME P | director | Gift | 33,166 | 340,246 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | GRISKO JEROME P | director | Gift | 33,166 | 127,652 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-13 | GRISKO JEROME P | director | Gift | 38,595 | 62,920 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Kouzelos Michael P | officer | Award / grant | 21,760 | 389,718 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | GRISKO JEROME P | director | Award / grant | 85,709 | 160,818 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Lakhia Brad S. | officer | Award / grant | 65,941 | 106,525 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Lakhia Brad S. | officer | Award / grant | 28,025 | 134,550 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-06 | Mangan Michael T. | officer | Award / grant | 3,462 | 7,633 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-14 | GRISKO JEROME P | director | Withheld for tax | 4,510 | 75,109 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-14 | Kouzelos Michael P | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,059 | 367,958 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-14 | Mangan Michael T. | officer | Withheld for tax | 183 | 4,171 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | GRISKO JEROME P | director | Withheld for tax | 14,756 | 79,619 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Kouzelos Michael P | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,766 | 369,017 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Mangan Michael T. | officer | Withheld for tax | 928 | 4,354 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | GRISKO JEROME P | director | Award / grant | 32,899 | 94,375 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Kouzelos Michael P | officer | Award / grant | 10,623 | 373,783 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Mangan Michael T. | officer | Award / grant | 2,065 | 5,282 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | GRISKO JEROME P | director | Withheld for tax | 3,469 | 61,476 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Kouzelos Michael P | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,116 | 363,160 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-09 | Mangan Michael T. | officer | Withheld for tax | 204 | 3,217 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-08 | GRISKO JEROME P | director | Withheld for tax | 4,241 | 64,945 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-08 | Kouzelos Michael P | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,370 | 364,276 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-08 | Mangan Michael T. | officer | Withheld for tax | 266 | 3,421 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-08 | GRISKO JEROME P | director | Option exercise | 9,454 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-08 | Kouzelos Michael P | officer | Option exercise | 3,053 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-08 | GRISKO JEROME P | director | Option exercise | 9,454 | 69,186 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.