Issued 2026-09-16 at $1.51 · now $1.51 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CBUS has typically landed between $0.86 and $2.36 — a range of −43.3% to +56.2% from the issuance price $1.51.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,280 overlapping 1 month windows · 2017-07-20 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($1.51) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CBUS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $1.51 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $1.51 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $1.41 (-6.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $1.14–$1.68
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $0.8563–$2.36
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,280 windows spanning 2017-07-20 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-03-10 | −68.3% | −68.3% | +2.0% |
| 2023-05-31 | −66.7% | −68.3% | +0.0% |
| 2022-03-25 | −66.4% | −66.4% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2023-01-03 | +208.3% | +0.0% | +223.3% |
| 2022-12-30 | +190.5% | −10.1% | +190.5% |
| 2022-12-29 | +166.9% | −10.1% | +166.9% |
2,280 overlapping windows · 2017-07-20 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
56%
+28.9%
n=9
Feb
67%
+7.0%
n=9
Mar
22%
−17.7%
n=9
Apr
33%
−8.3%
n=9
May
44%
+10.8%
n=9
Jun
11%
−20.2%
n=9
Jul
44%
+9.1%
n=9
Aug
30%
−5.4%
n=10
Sep
30%
−3.0%
n=10
Oct
22%
−12.5%
n=9
Nov
44%
+0.5%
n=9
Dec
56%
+13.4%
n=9
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-06-13 | Sauer Noel | officer | Sale | 4 @ $1.49 | $6 | −0.0% of holding | +5.2% | −6.8% | 105,476 | Form 4 · filed 278 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-25 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $1.92 | $2K | −13.0% of holding | +5.0% | −39.8% | 7,707 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-24 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.07 | $2K | −11.5% of holding | +12.2% | −39.5% | 8,857 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-21 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.20 | $3K | −10.3% of holding | +9.8% | −42.3% | 10,007 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-20 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.35 | $3K | −9.3% of holding | +2.2% | −46.9% | 11,157 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-19 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.58 | $3K | −8.5% of holding | +1.7% | −48.9% | 12,307 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-18 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.52 | $3K | −7.3% of holding | −1.9% | −52.8% | 14,607 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-18 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.52 | $3K | −7.9% of holding | −1.9% | −52.8% | 13,457 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-14 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.60 | $3K | −6.8% of holding | −1.1% | −51.2% | 15,757 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-13 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.53 | $3K | −6.4% of holding | −1.1% | −51.7% | 16,907 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-12 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.45 | $3K | −6.0% of holding | −6.3% | −49.4% | 18,057 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-11 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.48 | $3K | −5.6% of holding | −1.4% | −50.8% | 19,207 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-10 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.52 | $3K | −5.3% of holding | −6.3% | −52.3% | 20,357 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-07 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.50 | $3K | −5.1% of holding | −8.9% | −50.7% | 21,507 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-06 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.55 | $3K | −4.8% of holding | −11.9% | −48.6% | 22,657 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-05 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.52 | $3K | −4.6% of holding | −7.6% | −46.5% | 23,807 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-04 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.45 | $3K | −4.4% of holding | −9.9% | −43.9% | 24,957 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-02-03 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.41 | $3K | −4.2% of holding | −7.3% | −42.9% | 26,107 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-31 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.55 | $3K | −4.0% of holding | −17.1% | −42.0% | 27,257 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-30 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.46 | $3K | −3.9% of holding | −22.8% | −44.9% | 28,407 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-29 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.42 | $3K | −3.7% of holding | −14.4% | −44.8% | 29,557 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-28 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.44 | $3K | −3.6% of holding | −18.5% | −43.7% | 30,707 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-27 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.37 | $3K | −3.5% of holding | −20.1% | −44.4% | 31,857 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-24 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.60 | $3K | −3.4% of holding | −16.7% | −39.3% | 33,007 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-23 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.59 | $3K | −3.3% of holding | −24.9% | −43.9% | 34,157 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-22 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.31 | $3K | −3.2% of holding | −18.9% | −41.8% | 35,307 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-21 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.50 | $3K | −3.1% of holding | −8.9% | −31.0% | 36,457 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-21 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.50 | $3K | −3.0% of holding | −8.9% | −31.0% | 37,607 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-17 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.50 | $3K | −2.9% of holding | −8.6% | −36.5% | 38,757 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-16 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.75 | $3K | −2.8% of holding | +2.3% | −40.1% | 39,907 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-15 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.56 | $3K | −2.7% of holding | −9.8% | −44.7% | 41,057 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-14 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.42 | $3K | −2.7% of holding | +1.4% | −37.6% | 42,207 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-13 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.34 | $3K | −2.6% of holding | +3.4% | −38.5% | 43,357 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-10 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.57 | $3K | −2.5% of holding | +0.7% | −42.4% | 45,657 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-10 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.57 | $3K | −2.5% of holding | +0.7% | −42.4% | 44,507 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-08 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.80 | $3K | −2.4% of holding | −5.3% | −46.9% | 46,807 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-07 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $3.06 | $4K | −2.3% of holding | −14.9% | −52.4% | 47,957 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-06 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $3.14 | $4K | −2.3% of holding | −17.3% | −52.4% | 49,107 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-03 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $2.89 | $3K | −2.2% of holding | −20.8% | −55.1% | 50,257 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-19 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $3.45 | $4K | −2.2% of holding | −10.5% | −47.4% | 51,407 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-18 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $3.75 | $4K | −2.1% of holding | −26.2% | −57.9% | 52,557 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-17 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $3.85 | $4K | −2.1% of holding | −37.7% | −60.0% | 53,707 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-16 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $4.06 | $5K | −2.1% of holding | −35.1% | −60.3% | 54,857 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-13 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $3.87 | $4K | −2.0% of holding | −37.7% | −63.5% | 56,007 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-12 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $4.08 | $5K | −2.0% of holding | −29.0% | −62.5% | 57,157 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-11 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $4.35 | $5K | −1.9% of holding | −37.1% | −61.6% | 58,307 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-10 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $4.43 | $5K | −1.9% of holding | −42.8% | −65.6% | 59,457 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-09 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $4.15 | $5K | −1.9% of holding | −42.9% | −64.8% | 60,607 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-06 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $3.86 | $4K | −1.8% of holding | −35.9% | −62.0% | 61,757 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-05 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $4.00 | $5K | −1.8% of holding | −24.4% | −58.5% | 62,907 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-04 | Prante Gerhard | director | Sale | 1,150 @ $4.39 | $5K | −1.8% of holding | −24.7% | −58.6% | 64,057 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
71 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 | Wichner Craig | director | Award / grant | 894,309 | 894,309 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-08 | Wichner Craig | director | Award / grant | 1,047,620 | 1,047,620 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Box Kimberly Ann | director | Award / grant | 77,586 | 77,586 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Urban Thomas | director | Award / grant | 64,748 | 64,748 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Wichner Craig | director | Award / grant | 77,586 | 77,586 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Lehmann Jean-Pierre Jules | director | Award / grant | 64,748 | 763,904 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Prante Gerhard | director | Award / grant | 64,748 | 104,945 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | RIGGS RORY B | director | Award / grant | 77,586 | 77,586 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Moretti August J | director | Award / grant | 77,586 | 77,586 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Finn Mark Terrence | director | Award / grant | 77,586 | 77,586 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Gocal Gregory Francis William | officer | Award / grant | 57,000 | 422,890 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Gocal Gregory Francis William | officer | Award / grant | 114,000 | 114,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Sauer Noel | officer | Award / grant | 38,000 | 139,879 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Sauer Noel | officer | Award / grant | 76,000 | 76,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Stokes Jason | officer | Award / grant | 57,000 | 167,865 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Stokes Jason | officer | Award / grant | 114,000 | 114,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Urban Thomas | director | Award / grant | 9,094 | 9,094 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Broos Carlo | officer | Award / grant | 57,000 | 154,275 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Broos Carlo | officer | Award / grant | 114,000 | 114,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Beetham Peter | director | Award / grant | 195,000 | 686,825 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-24 | Beetham Peter | director | Award / grant | 390,000 | 390,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-30 | Beetham Peter | director | Withheld for tax | 16,112 | 491,825 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-30 | Gocal Gregory Francis William | officer | Withheld for tax | 8,954 | 365,890 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-30 | Broos Carlo | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,676 | 97,275 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-30 | Stokes Jason | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,695 | 110,865 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-30 | Sauer Noel | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,763 | 101,879 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-19 | Stokes Jason | officer | Withheld for tax | 4,795 | 114,560 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-29 | Lehmann Jean-Pierre Jules | director | Award / grant | 666,666 | 699,156 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-29 | RIGGS RORY B | director | Award / grant | 333,333 | 14,916,640 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-11 | Stokes Jason | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,519 | 119,355 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-11 | Sauer Noel | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,834 | 103,642 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-11 | Broos Carlo | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,496 | 100,951 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-05 | Wichner Craig | director | Award / grant | 45,627 | 45,627 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-11 | Box Kimberly Ann | director | Award / grant | 54,722 | 54,722 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-09 | RIGGS RORY B | director | Exercise | 50,000 | 14,583,307 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-09 | RIGGS RORY B | director | Exercise | 4,000,000 | 14,533,307 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-09 | RIGGS RORY B | director | Exercise | 50,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-09 | RIGGS RORY B | director | Exercise | 4,000,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-05 | RIGGS RORY B | director | Award / grant | 5,714,286 | 10,533,307 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-22 | Moretti August J | director | Award / grant | 39,301 | 39,301 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.