CBT · TickerCove

CBTCabot Corp.Basic Materials · Chemicals - Specialtyas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $78.46 · now $78.46 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CBT has typically landed between $69.29 and $89.17 — a range of −11.7% to +13.7% from the issuance price $78.46.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($78.46) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$78.46 · 58% of range

$57.64 low$93.4 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.3%

typical move · IQR 12.3%

−11.7%worst (p90)+13.7%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where CBT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $78.46 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $78.46 (+0.0%)
typical $79.49 (+1.3%)
middle 50% $74.65–$84.33
90% range $69.29–$89.17

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-20	−50.9%	−50.9%	+0.0%
2020-02-21	−48.5%	−50.5%	+0.0%
2020-02-19	−46.3%	−46.3%	+1.6%
3 best
2009-07-09	+57.2%	−0.5%	+57.2%
2009-07-06	+56.7%	−1.4%	+56.7%
2009-04-08	+55.9%	+0.0%	+55.9%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

40%

−0.0%

n=20

Feb

70%

+4.7%

n=20

Mar

55%

−0.4%

n=20

Apr

60%

+3.8%

n=20

May

50%

+1.9%

n=20

Jun

40%

−4.1%

n=20

Jul

50%

+4.0%

n=20

Aug

45%

−0.5%

n=20

Sep

45%

−0.3%

n=20

Oct

45%

+0.6%

n=20

Nov

70%

+3.0%

n=20

Dec

60%

−0.3%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-28	Keohane Sean D	director	Sale	134,895 @ $85.00	$11.5M	−25.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	404,134	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-24	Keohane Sean D	director	Sale	2,779 @ $85.50	$238K	−1.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	288,873	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-07	Keohane Sean D	director	Sale	91,923 @ $86.41	$7.9M	−18.5% of holding	−7.4%	not yet — horizon still open	404,134	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-14	Keohane Sean D	director	Sale	80,304 @ $79.24	$6.4M	−17.9% of holding	−2.6%	−9.2%	369,195	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-14	Keohane Sean D	director	Sale	24,086 @ $79.25	$1.9M	−6.2% of holding	−2.6%	−9.2%	363,887	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-14	Keohane Sean D	director	Sale	7,677 @ $79.62	$611K	−2.1% of holding	−2.6%	−9.2%	361,518	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-14	Keohane Sean D	director	Sale	2,369 @ $79.63	$189K	−0.7% of holding	−2.6%	−9.2%	361,518	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

153 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-11	Keohane Sean D	director	Award / grant	284	48,115	Form 4
2026-09-11	McLaughlin Erica	director	Award / grant	61	10,362	Form 4
2026-09-11	Kalita Karen A	officer	Award / grant	31	5,341	Form 4
2026-09-11	DELGROSSO DOUGLAS G	director	Award / grant	31	5,196	Form 4
2026-09-11	Nathoo Raffiq	director	Award / grant	11	1,889	Form 4
2026-09-11	Dumont Lisa M	officer	Award / grant	4	747	Form 4
2026-09-11	Masterson William F III	officer	Award / grant	3	530	Form 4
2026-08-28	Keohane Sean D	director	Option exercise	134,895	539,029	Form 4
2026-08-28	Keohane Sean D	director	Option exercise	134,895	0	Form 4
2026-08-24	Keohane Sean D	director	Option exercise	2,779	291,652	Form 4
2026-08-24	Keohane Sean D	director	Option exercise	2,779	134,895	Form 4
2026-08-07	Keohane Sean D	director	Option exercise	91,923	496,057	Form 4
2026-08-07	Keohane Sean D	director	Option exercise	91,923	0	Form 4
2026-06-30	Nathoo Raffiq	director	Award / grant	262	1,878	Form 4
2026-06-30	Keohane Sean D	director	Award / grant	84	47,831	Form 4
2026-06-12	Keohane Sean D	director	Award / grant	256	47,747	Form 4
2026-06-12	McLaughlin Erica	director	Award / grant	55	10,301	Form 4
2026-06-12	Kalita Karen A	officer	Award / grant	28	5,310	Form 4
2026-06-12	DELGROSSO DOUGLAS G	director	Award / grant	28	5,165	Form 4
2026-06-12	Nathoo Raffiq	director	Award / grant	9	1,616	Form 4
2026-06-12	Dumont Lisa M	officer	Award / grant	4	743	Form 4
2026-06-12	Masterson William F III	officer	Award / grant	3	527	Form 4
2026-03-31	Nathoo Raffiq	director	Award / grant	315	1,608	Form 4
2026-03-13	Keohane Sean D	director	Award / grant	306	47,491	Form 4
2026-03-13	McLaughlin Erica	director	Award / grant	66	10,246	Form 4
2026-03-13	Kalita Karen A	officer	Award / grant	34	5,281	Form 4
2026-03-13	DELGROSSO DOUGLAS G	director	Award / grant	33	5,137	Form 4
2026-03-13	Nathoo Raffiq	director	Award / grant	8	1,292	Form 4
2026-03-13	Dumont Lisa M	officer	Award / grant	5	739	Form 4
2026-03-13	Masterson William F III	officer	Award / grant	3	524	Form 4
2026-01-08	Kirby William C.	director	Award / grant	486	27,688	Form 4
2026-01-08	Vanlancker Thierry FJ	director	Award / grant	2,298	4,902	Form 4
2026-01-08	Williams Michelle Elizabeth	director	Award / grant	2,298	6,776	Form 4
2026-01-08	Wilson Frank Anders	director	Award / grant	2,298	18,552	Form 4
2026-01-08	Yan Christine Y	director	Award / grant	2,298	17,171	Form 4
2026-01-08	DELGROSSO DOUGLAS G	director	Award / grant	2,298	15,079	Form 4
2026-01-08	Morrow Michael M	director	Award / grant	2,298	22,302	Form 4
2026-01-08	Nathoo Raffiq	director	Award / grant	2,298	9,266	Form 4
2026-01-08	Arnold Cynthia A	director	Award / grant	2,298	19,620	Form 4
2026-01-08	ENRIQUEZ CABOT JUAN	director	Award / grant	486	41,526	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i