Issued 2026-09-16 at $190.47 · now $190.47 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CBRS has typically landed between $131.95 and $255.88 — a range of −30.7% to +34.3% from the issuance price $190.47.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
65 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-05-14 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($190.47) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CBRS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $190.47 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $190.47 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $170.15 (-10.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $148.97–$191.33
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $131.95–$255.88
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-05-27 | −32.0% | −36.9% | +0.0% |
| 2026-05-26 | −30.3% | −30.3% | +10.4% |
| 2026-05-14 | −29.9% | −35.4% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-07-17 | +45.8% | −2.0% | +51.6% |
| 2026-07-14 | +28.6% | −16.9% | +28.6% |
| 2026-07-15 | +25.5% | −7.9% | +42.4% |
65 overlapping windows · 2026-05-14 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Lie Sean | officer | Sale | 53,460 @ $210.16 | $11.2M | −13.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 345,569 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Vassallo Steven | director | Sale | 21,773 @ $210.37 | $4.6M | −10.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 179,087 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Vassallo Steven | director | Sale | 21,117 @ $209.81 | $4.4M | −9.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 200,860 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 7,439 @ $211.85 | $1.6M | −22.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 26,174 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Vassallo Steven | director | Sale | 7,110 @ $211.56 | $1.5M | −4.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 171,977 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 6,721 @ $209.99 | $1.4M | −14.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 39,766 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 6,153 @ $210.91 | $1.3M | −15.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 33,613 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 3,897 @ $213.95 | $834K | −17.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 18,953 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 3,324 @ $213.04 | $708K | −12.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 22,850 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 1,707 @ $208.84 | $356K | −3.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 46,487 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 1,500 @ $207.80 | $312K | −3.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 48,194 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 1,400 @ $214.98 | $301K | −7.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 17,553 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 1,200 @ $204.06 | $245K | −2.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 50,494 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 1,100 @ $199.18 | $219K | −2.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 53,194 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 900 @ $202.97 | $183K | −1.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 51,694 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 800 @ $206.30 | $165K | −1.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 49,694 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 600 @ $215.81 | $129K | −3.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 16,953 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 300 @ $201.75 | $61K | −0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 52,594 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 300 @ $200.79 | $60K | −0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 52,894 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-04 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 100 @ $216.62 | $22K | −0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 16,853 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 66,237 @ $199.33 | $13.2M | −42.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 90,451 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 43,553 @ $196.20 | $8.5M | −17.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 210,859 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 33,575 @ $200.13 | $6.7M | −37.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 56,876 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 32,864 @ $198.18 | $6.5M | −17.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 156,688 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 21,307 @ $197.45 | $4.2M | −10.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 189,552 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | Lie Sean | officer | Sale | 16,293 @ $210.01 | $3.4M | −4.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 368,926 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-21 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 12,092 @ $203.37 | $2.5M | −29.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 29,253 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 8,832 @ $201.12 | $1.8M | −15.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 48,044 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 6,699 @ $202.28 | $1.4M | −13.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 41,345 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 4,800 @ $204.44 | $981K | −16.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 24,453 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 4,594 @ $208.86 | $960K | −21.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 16,859 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 1,600 @ $205.32 | $329K | −6.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 22,853 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 1,400 @ $207.28 | $290K | −6.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 21,453 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 6 @ $210.21 | $1K | −0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 16,853 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Lie Sean | officer | Sale | 133,383 @ $205.67 | $27.4M | −13.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 886,318 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Lie Sean | officer | Sale | 119,311 @ $208.69 | $24.9M | −17.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 565,483 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Lie Sean | officer | Sale | 114,976 @ $209.86 | $24.1M | −20.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 450,507 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Lie Sean | officer | Sale | 108,507 @ $207.68 | $22.5M | −13.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 684,794 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Lie Sean | officer | Sale | 93,017 @ $206.67 | $19.2M | −10.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 793,301 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Lie Sean | officer | Sale | 47,766 @ $204.87 | $9.8M | −4.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,019,701 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Lie Sean | officer | Sale | 46,214 @ $210.56 | $9.7M | −10.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 404,293 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Lie Sean | officer | Sale | 24,652 @ $212.64 | $5.2M | −6.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 368,926 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Lie Sean | officer | Sale | 11,706 @ $203.78 | $2.4M | −1.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 1,067,467 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Lie Sean | officer | Sale | 10,715 @ $211.42 | $2.3M | −2.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 393,578 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Mallick Dhiraj | officer | Sale | 6,810 @ $220.43 | $1.5M | −4.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 137,857 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Mallick Dhiraj | officer | Sale | 6,237 @ $221.47 | $1.4M | −4.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 131,620 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 4,666 @ $220.43 | $1.0M | −5.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 79,087 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 4,273 @ $221.47 | $946K | −5.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 74,814 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Lie Sean | officer | Sale | 3,723 @ $220.43 | $821K | −0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 605,208 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Mallick Dhiraj | officer | Sale | 3,465 @ $219.58 | $761K | −2.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 144,667 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Lie Sean | officer | Sale | 3,409 @ $221.47 | $755K | −0.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 601,799 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Mallick Dhiraj | officer | Sale | 3,305 @ $216.40 | $715K | −2.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 153,645 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Mallick Dhiraj | officer | Sale | 3,055 @ $218.54 | $668K | −2.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 148,132 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Mallick Dhiraj | officer | Sale | 2,925 @ $222.42 | $651K | −2.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 128,695 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Mallick Dhiraj | officer | Sale | 2,458 @ $217.58 | $535K | −1.6% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 151,187 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 2,374 @ $219.58 | $521K | −2.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 83,753 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 2,264 @ $216.40 | $490K | −2.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 89,904 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 2,093 @ $218.54 | $457K | −2.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 86,127 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Sale | 2,004 @ $222.42 | $446K | −2.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 72,810 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-18 | Mallick Dhiraj | officer | Sale | 1,937 @ $215.67 | $418K | −1.2% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 156,950 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
181 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Other acquisition | 120 | 806 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-08 | Vishria Eric | director | Other acquisition | 44,507 | 231,347 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Conversion | 37,441 | 54,294 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Conversion | 37,441 | 13,945,134 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | Lie Sean | officer | Gift | 16,038 | 399,029 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Option exercise | 37,441 | 13,982,575 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | Lie Sean | officer | Conversion | 46,141 | 7,582,992 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Option exercise | 37,441 | 525,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | Lie Sean | officer | Option exercise | 46,141 | 289,021 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | Lie Sean | officer | Option exercise | 46,141 | 7,629,133 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | Lie Sean | officer | Conversion | 46,141 | 415,067 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | Lie Sean | officer | Conversion | 46,141 | 415,067 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | Lie Sean | officer | Conversion | 46,141 | 415,067 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-04 | Lie Sean | officer | Conversion | 46,141 | 415,067 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | Susan Lior | director | Other acquisition | 902,236 | 7,392,944 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | Susan Lior | director | Other acquisition | 47,470 | 255,041 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | Susan Lior | director | Other acquisition | 47,470 | 255,041 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | Susan Lior | director | Other acquisition | 47,470 | 255,041 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | Susan Lior | director | Other acquisition | 46,455 | 290,661 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | Susan Lior | director | Other acquisition | 902,236 | 7,392,944 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | Susan Lior | director | Other acquisition | 46,455 | 290,661 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | Susan Lior | director | Other acquisition | 902,236 | 7,392,944 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | Susan Lior | director | Other acquisition | 902,236 | 7,392,944 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | Susan Lior | director | Other acquisition | 46,455 | 290,661 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | Susan Lior | director | Other acquisition | 46,455 | 290,661 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-02 | Susan Lior | director | Other acquisition | 47,470 | 255,041 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | Vishria Eric | director | Other acquisition | 44,507 | 186,840 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | Benchmark Capital Management Co. VIII, L.L.C. | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 963,818 | 8,861,375 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | Benchmark Capital Management Co. VIII, L.L.C. | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 963,818 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | Feldman Andrew D. | director | Other acquisition | 120 | 686 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-24 | Benchmark Capital Management Co. VIII, L.L.C. | tenPercentOwner | Conversion | 963,818 | 963,818 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Lie Sean | officer | Conversion | 16,293 | 7,582,992 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Vassallo Steven | director | Other acquisition | 23,970 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Lie Sean | officer | Option exercise | 16,293 | 335,162 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Vassallo Steven | director | Other acquisition | 287,932 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Vassallo Steven | director | Other acquisition | 87,313 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Vassallo Steven | director | Other acquisition | 1,112,904 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Vassallo Steven | director | Other acquisition | 18,155 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Lie Sean | officer | Option exercise | 16,293 | 7,599,285 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-21 | Vassallo Steven | director | Other acquisition | 34,548 | 139,618 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.