CBRECBRE Group, Inc.Real Estate · Real Estate - Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $138.56 · now $138.56 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CBRE has typically landed between $120.22 and $156.76 — a range of −13.2% to +13.1% from the issuance price $138.56.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($138.56) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CBRE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $138.56 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$120.22worst · -13.2%$156.76best · +13.1%
  • now $138.56 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $141.22 (+1.9%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $132.76–$149.67
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $120.22–$156.76
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-25−67.2%−67.2%+2.7%
2008-09-26−66.6%−68.1%+0.0%
2008-09-24−65.1%−65.1%+6.8%
3 best
2009-03-20+145.3%+0.0%+153.0%
2009-03-16+110.7%−9.6%+122.2%
2009-03-24+107.3%+0.0%+107.3%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$40.8B
market cap
$4.38
EPS (TTM)
31.8
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-29
next earnings
Revenue$40.5B
'20'25
Net income$1.2B
'20'25
Free cash flow$1.2B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr2.9%
'20'25
ROE · by yr13.0%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr1.13
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 29 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $138.56$78.00$192.93
  • DCF (intrinsic)$85.92
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 32.9× · n=29$143.98
  • Analyst target · range $169.00–$185.00$179.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$138.56

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+1.1%
n=18
Feb
58%
+2.3%
n=19
Mar
58%
+2.7%
n=19
Apr
58%
+5.3%
n=19
May
37%
−2.0%
n=19
Jun
58%
+1.4%
n=19
Jul
68%
+4.7%
n=19
Aug
42%
−1.9%
n=19
Sep
42%
−1.5%
n=19
Oct
61%
−0.1%
n=18
Nov
83%
+4.5%
n=18
Dec
56%
+2.7%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$172$1252026-08-13: 2 insider sales, $367K — Giamartino Emma E., Doellinger Chad J2026-07-29: 1 insider sale, $400K — Kohli Vikramaditya2026-05-15: 1 insider sale, $294K — Giamartino Emma E.2026-05-05: 1 insider sale, $15K — Doellinger Chad J2026-03-12: 1 insider sale, $15K — Doellinger Chad J2026-03-11: 1 insider sale, $63K — Doellinger Chad J2026-02-26: 1 insider sale, $1.4M — Giamartino Emma E.2025-11-10: 1 insider sale, $152K — Kohli Vikramaditya2025-08-13: 1 insider sale, $315K — Giamartino Emma E.2025-08: 2 open-market sales, $470K2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $152K2026-02: 1 open-market sale, $1.4M2026-03: 2 open-market sales, $78K2026-05: 2 open-market sales, $309K2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $400K2026-08: 2 open-market sales, $367K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Giamartino Emma E. — Sale on 2026-08-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Doellinger Chad J — Sale on 2026-08-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kohli Vikramaditya — Sale on 2026-07-29, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Giamartino Emma E. — Sale on 2026-05-15, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Doellinger Chad J — Sale on 2026-05-05, filed same dayofficer Doellinger Chad J — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed same dayofficer Doellinger Chad J — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Giamartino Emma E. — Sale on 2026-02-26, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kohli Vikramaditya — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Giamartino Emma E. — Sale on 2025-08-13, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-13Giamartino Emma E.officerSale2,250 @ $148.29$334K−2.0% of holding−5.1%not yet — horizon still open108,479Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-13Doellinger Chad JofficerSale228 @ $148.29$34K−0.5% of holding−5.1%not yet — horizon still open41,778Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-29Kohli VikramadityaofficerSale2,666 @ $150.00$400K−1.9% of holding−6.1%not yet — horizon still open134,869Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-15Giamartino Emma E.officerSale2,250 @ $130.74$294K−2.0% of holding+2.7%not yet — horizon still open110,729Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-05Doellinger Chad JofficerSale107 @ $140.35$15K−0.3% of holding−12.8%not yet — horizon still open42,006Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-12Doellinger Chad JofficerSale116 @ $130.06$15K−0.3% of holding+7.4%−8.8%42,403Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-11Doellinger Chad JofficerSale471 @ $133.51$63K−1.1% of holding+5.9%−8.5%42,519Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-26Giamartino Emma E.officerSale9,223 @ $148.61$1.4M−6.8% of holding−4.4%−14.3%126,501Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-10Kohli VikramadityaofficerSale1,000 @ $152.41$152K−0.9% of holding+2.3%−16.9%110,473Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-13Giamartino Emma E.officerSale2,000 @ $157.60$315K−1.9% of holding+0.8%−20.9%103,371Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-11Kohli VikramadityaofficerSale1,000 @ $154.90$155K−0.9% of holding+3.4%+1.5%111,473Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-29Caplan Lindsey SofficerSale1,494 @ $155.37$232K−5.3% of holding+1.4%−2.9%26,717Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-29Caplan Lindsey SofficerSale1,000 @ $155.37$155K−5.0% of holding+1.4%−2.9%19,131Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-24Caplan Lindsey SofficerSale1,935 @ $140.00$271K−8.8% of holding−0.6%+4.4%20,131Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-24Caplan Lindsey SofficerSale1,497 @ $140.00$210K−5.0% of holding−0.6%+4.4%28,211Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-19Giamartino Emma E.officerSale1,972 @ $129.10$255K−1.8% of holding+1.8%+2.0%105,371Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-05Doellinger Chad JofficerSale133 @ $125.91$17K−0.5% of holding−4.6%−2.4%27,812Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-02Doellinger Chad JofficerSale494 @ $126.05$62K−1.7% of holding−6.5%−0.6%27,945Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-17Giamartino Emma E.officerSale2,000 @ $125.69$251K−1.8% of holding−2.9%+9.5%107,343Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-12Doellinger Chad JofficerSale116 @ $128.74$15K−0.4% of holding−2.5%+12.0%28,619Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-11Doellinger Chad JofficerSale797 @ $126.31$101K−2.7% of holding−2.6%+11.2%28,735Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

131 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-27Cobert Beth F.directorGift2,06828,267Form 4
2026-05-27Cobert Beth F.directorGift2,0681,907Form 4
2026-05-26Sanjiv YajnikdirectorGift2,0683,433Form 4
2026-05-26GILYARD REGINALD HAROLDdirectorGift2,0681,907Form 4
2026-05-26GILYARD REGINALD HAROLDdirectorGift2,06821,891Form 4
2026-05-26Goodman ShiradirectorGift2,0681,907Form 4
2026-05-26Goodman ShiradirectorGift2,06822,198Form 4
2026-05-26Sanjiv YajnikdirectorGift2,06829,587Form 4
2026-05-21Sanjiv YajnikdirectorAward / grant1,5265,501Form 4
2026-05-21Boze Brandon BdirectorAward / grant83910,188Form 4
2026-05-21Sanjiv YajnikdirectorAward / grant1,9073,975Form 4
2026-05-21LOPEZ GERARDO IdirectorAward / grant1,90747,537Form 4
2026-05-21Boze Brandon BdirectorAward / grant1,9079,349Form 4
2026-05-21Cobert Beth F.directorAward / grant1,9073,975Form 4
2026-05-21GILYARD REGINALD HAROLDdirectorAward / grant1,9073,975Form 4
2026-05-21Soni GunjandirectorAward / grant1,9075,929Form 4
2026-05-21Metcalfe Guy AdirectorAward / grant1,9078,518Form 4
2026-05-21Goodman ShiradirectorAward / grant1,9073,975Form 4
2026-05-01Doellinger Chad JofficerWithheld for tax29042,113Form 4
2026-05-01Horn Andrew SofficerWithheld for tax5812,414Form 4
2026-03-10SULENTIC ROBERT EdirectorWithheld for tax26,8541,344,782Form 4
2026-03-10Giamartino Emma E.officerWithheld for tax6,784112,979Form 4
2026-03-10SULENTIC ROBERT EdirectorWithheld for tax5,5861,371,636Form 4
2026-03-10Kohli VikramadityaofficerWithheld for tax4,827137,535Form 4
2026-03-10Giamartino Emma E.officerWithheld for tax2,822119,763Form 4
2026-03-10Kohli VikramadityaofficerWithheld for tax2,009142,362Form 4
2026-03-10Glanzman Andrew RofficerWithheld for tax86956,471Form 4
2026-03-10Glanzman Andrew RofficerWithheld for tax81757,340Form 4
2026-03-10Horn Andrew SofficerWithheld for tax18712,472Form 4
2026-03-10Doellinger Chad JofficerWithheld for tax15642,990Form 4
2026-03-10Horn Andrew SofficerWithheld for tax15612,659Form 4
2026-03-05SULENTIC ROBERT EdirectorWithheld for tax4,9921,377,222Form 4
2026-03-05SULENTIC ROBERT EdirectorWithheld for tax3,7441,382,214Form 4
2026-03-05Giamartino Emma E.officerWithheld for tax2,357122,585Form 4
2026-03-05Kohli VikramadityaofficerWithheld for tax2,113144,371Form 4
2026-03-05Giamartino Emma E.officerWithheld for tax1,559124,942Form 4
2026-03-05Hodari JamieofficerWithheld for tax1,12042,316Form 4
2026-03-05Glanzman Andrew RofficerWithheld for tax78558,157Form 4
2026-03-05Kohli VikramadityaofficerWithheld for tax767146,484Form 4
2026-03-05Glanzman Andrew RofficerWithheld for tax73958,942Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-07-062026-06-02$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-07-062026-06-30$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-15$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-06-092026-05-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-03-092026-02-17$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-03-092026-02-24$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-12-082025-11-10$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-11-062025-10-07$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-09-092025-08-04$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-09-092025-08-04$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-08-072025-07-01$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-08-072025-07-01$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.