CBL · TickerCove

CBLCBL & Associates Properties, Inc.as of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $53.06 · now $53.06 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CBL has typically landed between $46.41 and $61.43 — a range of −12.5% to +15.8% from the issuance price $53.06.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

1,189 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-11-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($53.06) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$53.06 · 84% of range

$26.93 low$58.11 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.5%

typical move · IQR 11.8%

−12.5%worst (p90)+15.8%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

2 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

3 buys · 11 sells · 2 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where CBL has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $53.06 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $53.06 (+0.0%)
typical $53.86 (+1.5%)
middle 50% $50.73–$56.98
90% range $46.41–$61.43

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,189 windows spanning 2021-11-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2022-04-08	−31.8%	−31.8%	+1.3%
2022-04-11	−31.1%	−31.2%	+2.2%
2022-04-12	−28.6%	−31.8%	+1.3%
3 best
2022-06-29	+38.3%	+0.0%	+38.3%
2022-06-30	+32.3%	+0.0%	+32.3%
2022-06-28	+31.0%	−3.9%	+31.0%

1,189 overlapping windows · 2021-11-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~5 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

40%

+1.8%

n=5

Feb

40%

−0.7%

n=5

Mar

80%

+2.0%

n=5

Apr

20%

−4.0%

n=5

May

60%

+2.4%

n=5

Jun

60%

+0.4%

n=5

Jul

80%

+11.0%

n=5

Aug

40%

+1.7%

n=5

Sep

−3.9%

n=5

Oct

50%

+3.2%

n=4

Nov

100%

+13.4%

n=4

Dec

60%

−1.0%

n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-03	Curry Jeffery V.	officer	Sale	681 @ $55.10	$38K	−0.5% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	144,818	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-08-18	Reinsmidt Kathryn A.	officer	Sale	17,515 @ $57.10	$1.0M	−11.2% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	138,539	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-18	Grody Howard B.	officer	Sale	4,728 @ $48.06	$227K	−5.8% of holding	+16.9%	not yet — horizon still open	77,311	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-18	Grody Howard B.	officer	Sale	1,000 @ $47.92	$48K	−1.3% of holding	+16.9%	not yet — horizon still open	76,311	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-05	Fields David Michael	director	Sale	3,592 @ $47.97	$172K	−16.2% of holding	+7.2%	not yet — horizon still open	18,522	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-02	Jaenicke Benjamin W	officer	Sale	5,974 @ $48.45	$289K	−4.4% of holding	+11.6%	not yet — horizon still open	131,133	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-02	Jaenicke Benjamin W	officer	Sale	526 @ $48.56	$26K	−0.4% of holding	+11.6%	not yet — horizon still open	130,607	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-22	CANYON CAPITAL ADVISORS LLC	other	Sale	1,050,000 @ $46.44	$48.8M	−12.4% of holding	+10.7%	not yet — horizon still open	7,416,294	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-14	Cobb Andrew Franklin	officer	Sale	8,099 @ $45.80	$371K	−12.0% of holding	+3.8%	not yet — horizon still open	59,673	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-14	Cobb Andrew Franklin	officer	Sale	51 @ $46.31	$2K	−0.1% of holding	+3.8%	not yet — horizon still open	59,622	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-02	Curry Jeffery V.	officer	Sale	5,000 @ $33.33	$167K	−4.9% of holding	+10.3%	+33.2%	97,602	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-17	TORRES MICHAEL A	director	Purchase	2,500 @ $31.90	$80K	+166.7% of holding	+19.4%	+42.7%	4,000	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-17	TORRES MICHAEL A	director	Purchase	1,500 @ $31.75	$48K	ownership Δ n/a	+19.4%	+42.7%	1,500	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-10	Cobb Andrew Franklin	officer	Sale	6,917 @ $28.35	$196K	−14.7% of holding	+9.8%	+48.5%	39,989	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-10-10	Cobb Andrew Franklin	officer	Sale	451 @ $29.06	$13K	−1.1% of holding	+9.8%	+48.5%	39,538	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-30	Fields David Michael	director	Sale	1,623 @ $30.22	$49K	−8.0% of holding	−7.0%	+33.2%	18,768	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-27	Jaenicke Benjamin W	officer	Sale	5,000 @ $31.00	$155K	−8.4% of holding	−4.8%	+17.1%	54,598	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-07	CONTIS DAVID J	director	Sale	5,215 @ $29.12	$152K	−7.6% of holding	−7.0%	+0.9%	63,824	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-14	Gifford Robert G	director	Sale	2,086 @ $28.75	$60K	−9.2% of holding	+5.9%	−10.0%	20,508	Form 4 · filed 48 days after the trade
2025-01-10	Cobb Andrew Franklin	officer	Sale	6,800 @ $28.84	$196K	−15.4% of holding	+2.0%	−12.0%	37,247	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-19	Curry Jeffery V.	officer	Sale	50 @ $29.86	$1K	−0.1% of holding	−9.4%	−15.0%	90,280	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-05	OCM Xb CBL-E Holdings, LLC	tenPercentOwner	Sale	1,000,000 @ $30.40	$30.4M	−25.1% of holding	−2.0%	−14.8%	2,983,967	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-04-11	Gifford Robert G	director	Sale	3,100 @ $22.00	$68K	−15.1% of holding	−0.7%	+5.3%	17,408	Form 4 · filed 330 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

148 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-09	Curry Jeffery V.	officer	Gift	1,800	143,018	Form 4
2026-09-01	Jaenicke Benjamin W	officer	Withheld for tax	1,968	128,639	Form 4
2026-04-08	Curry Jeffery V.	officer	Gift	2,476	145,499	Form 4
2026-04-06	Curry Jeffery V.	officer	Gift	3,000	147,975	Form 4
2026-02-17	LEBOVITZ STEPHEN D	director	Withheld for tax	3,634	557,019	Form 4
2026-02-17	Jaenicke Benjamin W	officer	Withheld for tax	3,421	137,107	Form 4
2026-02-17	Jaenicke Benjamin W	officer	Withheld for tax	2,191	140,528	Form 4
2026-02-17	LEBOVITZ STEPHEN D	director	Withheld for tax	1,985	560,653	Form 4
2026-02-17	Curry Jeffery V.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,515	150,975	Form 4
2026-02-17	LEBOVITZ MICHAEL I	officer	Withheld for tax	1,515	110,542	Form 4
2026-02-17	Reinsmidt Kathryn A.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,515	156,054	Form 4
2026-02-17	LEBOVITZ MICHAEL I	officer	Withheld for tax	1,146	112,057	Form 4
2026-02-17	Curry Jeffery V.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,146	152,490	Form 4
2026-02-17	Reinsmidt Kathryn A.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,146	157,569	Form 4
2026-02-17	Cobb Andrew Franklin	officer	Withheld for tax	471	67,772	Form 4
2026-02-17	Grody Howard B.	officer	Withheld for tax	471	82,039	Form 4
2026-02-17	Cobb Andrew Franklin	officer	Withheld for tax	409	68,243	Form 4
2026-02-17	Grody Howard B.	officer	Withheld for tax	409	82,510	Form 4
2026-02-17	Cope Jennifer	officer	Withheld for tax	216	30,960	Form 4
2026-02-17	Khalili Joseph	officer	Withheld for tax	216	30,899	Form 4
2026-02-17	Khalili Joseph	officer	Withheld for tax	188	30,711	Form 4
2026-02-17	Cope Jennifer	officer	Withheld for tax	188	30,772	Form 4
2026-02-11	LEBOVITZ STEPHEN D	director	Withheld for tax	49,909	562,638	Form 4
2026-02-11	Reinsmidt Kathryn A.	officer	Withheld for tax	8,319	158,715	Form 4
2026-02-11	LEBOVITZ MICHAEL I	officer	Withheld for tax	8,319	113,203	Form 4
2026-02-11	Curry Jeffery V.	officer	Withheld for tax	8,319	153,636	Form 4
2026-02-11	Cobb Andrew Franklin	officer	Withheld for tax	4,255	68,652	Form 4
2026-02-11	Grody Howard B.	officer	Withheld for tax	4,252	82,919	Form 4
2026-02-11	LEBOVITZ STEPHEN D	director	Withheld for tax	2,755	369,489	Form 4
2026-02-11	Jaenicke Benjamin W	officer	Withheld for tax	1,982	50,648	Form 4
2026-02-11	Reinsmidt Kathryn A.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,716	95,385	Form 4
2026-02-11	Curry Jeffery V.	officer	Withheld for tax	1,705	90,306	Form 4
2026-02-11	LEBOVITZ MICHAEL I	officer	Withheld for tax	1,702	49,873	Form 4
2026-02-11	Cope Jennifer	officer	Withheld for tax	1,215	31,176	Form 4
2026-02-11	Khalili Joseph	officer	Withheld for tax	1,214	31,115	Form 4
2026-02-11	Cobb Andrew Franklin	officer	Withheld for tax	657	36,421	Form 4
2026-02-11	Grody Howard B.	officer	Withheld for tax	657	50,685	Form 4
2026-02-11	Khalili Joseph	officer	Withheld for tax	263	17,178	Form 4
2026-02-11	Cope Jennifer	officer	Withheld for tax	263	17,240	Form 4
2026-02-11	LEBOVITZ MICHAEL I	officer	Award / grant	43,035	100,382	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iiDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks

Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

Member	Chamber	Type	Filed	Traded	Size
Greg Gianforte	Senate	sale	2019-10-20	2019-09-11	$15–50K
Greg Gianforte	Senate	purchase	2019-01-23	2018-12-21	$50–100K
Greg Gianforte	Senate	sale	2018-04-13	2018-03-26	$15–50K
Greg Gianforte	Senate	sale	2018-02-14	2018-02-06	$1–15K
Greg Gianforte	Senate	purchase	2018-01-04	2017-12-15	$50–100K
Robert P Corker Jr	Senate	purchase	2015-08-31	2015-08-24	$500K–1M
Robert P Corker Jr	Senate	sale	2015-03-20	2014-02-25	$100–250K
Robert P Corker Jr	Senate	sale	2015-03-20	2014-02-25	$250–500K
Robert P Corker Jr	Senate	sale	2015-03-20	2014-02-25	$100–250K
Robert P Corker Jr	Senate	sale	2015-03-20	2014-02-24	$500K–1M
Robert P Corker Jr	Senate	sale	2015-03-20	2014-02-24	$500K–1M
Robert P Corker Jr	Senate	sale	2015-03-20	2014-02-24	$500K–1M
Robert P Corker Jr	Senate	sale	2015-03-20	2014-02-24	$500K–1M
Robert P Corker Jr	Senate	sale	2015-03-20	2014-02-24	$100–250K

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Seasonality · by month i