CATYCathay General BancorpFinancial Services · Banks - Regionalas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $62.00 · now $62.00 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CATY has typically landed between $55.40 and $70.48 — a range of −10.6% to +13.7% from the issuance price $62.00.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($62.00) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CATY has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $62 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$55.4worst · -10.6%$70.48best · +13.7%
  • now $62 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $62.63 (+1.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $59.23–$66.04
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $55.4–$70.48
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2009-01-02−48.3%−48.3%+0.0%
2020-02-21−48.0%−48.0%+0.0%
2020-02-20−47.2%−47.2%+0.0%
3 best
2008-07-14+103.7%−4.0%+111.3%
2008-07-11+103.7%−7.5%+103.7%
2008-07-15+94.7%+0.0%+120.1%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
−1.0%
n=20
Feb
50%
−0.9%
n=20
Mar
45%
−1.3%
n=20
Apr
45%
+0.2%
n=20
May
55%
−0.8%
n=20
Jun
50%
−0.8%
n=20
Jul
55%
+4.5%
n=20
Aug
60%
−0.1%
n=20
Sep
45%
+1.1%
n=20
Oct
70%
+4.2%
n=20
Nov
65%
+3.5%
n=20
Dec
60%
+2.3%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$65$442026-09-02: 1 insider sale, $62K — Sun Richard2026-08-25: 2 insider sales, $162K — Lo Thomas M., Sun Richard2026-08-10: 1 insider sale, $189K — Sun Richard2026-07-31: 1 insider sale, $312K — Sun Richard2026-07-30: 1 insider sale, $317K — Sun Richard2026-07-29: 2 insider sales, $1.3M — Sun Richard …2026-06-09: 1 insider sale, $300K — TANG ANTHONY M2026-06-08: 1 insider sale, $589K — TANG ANTHONY M2026-06-05: 1 insider sale, $292K — TANG ANTHONY M2026-06-04: 1 insider sale, $582K — TANG ANTHONY M2026-05-05: 1 insider sale, $1.1M — WU PETER2026-04-28: 1 insider sale, $31K — Chan May K.2026-04-06: 1 insider sale, $244K — Liu Chang2026-01-29: 2 insider sales, $504K — FERNANDEZ FELIX S, Lo Thomas M.2025-12-04: 1 insider sale, $249K — TANG ANTHONY M2025-12-02: 1 insider sale, $245K — TANG ANTHONY M2025-11-24: 1 insider sale, $363K — CHENG DUNSON K2025-11-21: 1 insider sale, $479K — CHENG DUNSON K2025-11-20: 1 insider sale, $647K — CHENG DUNSON K2025-11-19: 1 insider sale, $46K — CHENG DUNSON K2025-10-28: 1 insider sale, $239K — Liu Chang2025-10-27: 1 insider sale, $47K — Lo Thomas M.2025-10: 2 open-market sales, $286K2025-11: 4 open-market sales, $1.5M2025-12: 2 open-market sales, $494K2026-01: 2 open-market sales, $504K2026-04: 2 open-market sales, $275K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $1.1M2026-06: 4 open-market sales, $1.8M2026-07: 4 open-market sales, $1.9M2026-08: 3 open-market sales, $351K2026-09: 1 open-market sale, $62K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Sun Richard — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Lo Thomas M. — Sale on 2026-08-25, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Sun Richard — Sale on 2026-08-25, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Sun Richard — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Sun Richard — Sale on 2026-07-31, filed same daydirector Sun Richard — Sale on 2026-07-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Sun Richard — Sale on 2026-07-29, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Sun Richard — Sale on 2026-07-29, filed 2 days after the tradedirector TANG ANTHONY M — Sale on 2026-06-09, filed 1 day after the tradedirector TANG ANTHONY M — Sale on 2026-06-08, filed same daydirector TANG ANTHONY M — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed 3 days after the tradedirector TANG ANTHONY M — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector WU PETER — Sale on 2026-05-05, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Chan May K. — Sale on 2026-04-28, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Liu Chang — Sale on 2026-04-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector FERNANDEZ FELIX S — Sale on 2026-01-29, filed 12 days after the tradeofficer Lo Thomas M. — Sale on 2026-01-29, filed 4 days after the tradedirector TANG ANTHONY M — Sale on 2025-12-04, filed same daydirector TANG ANTHONY M — Sale on 2025-12-02, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CHENG DUNSON K — Sale on 2025-11-24, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CHENG DUNSON K — Sale on 2025-11-21, filed same daydirector CHENG DUNSON K — Sale on 2025-11-20, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CHENG DUNSON K — Sale on 2025-11-19, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Liu Chang — Sale on 2025-10-28, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Lo Thomas M. — Sale on 2025-10-27, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-02Sun RicharddirectorSale1,000 @ $62.31$62K−31.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open2,200Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-25Lo Thomas M.officerSale1,600 @ $62.47$100K−40.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open2,362Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-25Sun RicharddirectorSale1,000 @ $62.08$62K−23.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open3,200Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-10Sun RicharddirectorSale3,000 @ $63.09$189K−51.7% of holding−1.8%not yet — horizon still open2,800Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-31Sun RicharddirectorSale5,000 @ $62.43$312K−68.4% of holding−5.8%not yet — horizon still open2,315Form 4 · filed same day
2026-07-30Sun RicharddirectorSale5,000 @ $63.31$317K−44.1% of holding−5.6%not yet — horizon still open6,340Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-29Sun RicharddirectorSale10,000 @ $63.33$633K−57.8% of holding−7.5%not yet — horizon still open7,315Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-29Sun RicharddirectorSale10,000 @ $63.29$633K−46.9% of holding−7.5%not yet — horizon still open11,340Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-09TANG ANTHONY MdirectorSale5,000 @ $59.92$300K−3.3% of holding+1.5%not yet — horizon still open147,876Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-08TANG ANTHONY MdirectorSale10,000 @ $58.90$589K−6.1% of holding+3.3%not yet — horizon still open152,876Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-05TANG ANTHONY MdirectorSale5,000 @ $58.37$292K−3.0% of holding+2.2%not yet — horizon still open162,876Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-04TANG ANTHONY MdirectorSale10,000 @ $58.16$582K−5.6% of holding+6.6%not yet — horizon still open167,876Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-05WU PETERdirectorSale20,000 @ $57.33$1.1M−6.8% of holding−2.0%not yet — horizon still open275,252Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-28Chan May K.officerSale558 @ $56.00$31K−17.2% of holding−2.4%not yet — horizon still open2,693Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-06Liu ChangdirectorSale4,836 @ $50.35$244K−3.6% of holding+1.4%not yet — horizon still open127,819Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-29FERNANDEZ FELIX SdirectorSale8,972 @ $50.54$453K−37.5% of holding+0.9%+18.2%14,960Form 4 · filed 12 days after the trade
2026-01-29Lo Thomas M.officerSale1,000 @ $50.23$50K−33.3% of holding+0.9%+18.2%2,000Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-04TANG ANTHONY MdirectorSale5,000 @ $49.88$249K−2.8% of holding−2.0%+9.6%176,283Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-02TANG ANTHONY MdirectorSale5,000 @ $49.00$245K−2.7% of holding−0.4%+9.6%181,283Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-24CHENG DUNSON KdirectorSale7,590 @ $47.81$363K−5.2% of holding+2.3%+9.2%138,360Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-21CHENG DUNSON KdirectorSale10,000 @ $47.85$479K−6.4% of holding+0.6%+7.3%145,950Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-20CHENG DUNSON KdirectorSale14,000 @ $46.24$647K−8.2% of holding+4.7%+12.0%155,950Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-19CHENG DUNSON KdirectorSale1,000 @ $45.75$46K−0.6% of holding+7.1%+12.7%169,950Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-28Liu ChangdirectorSale5,165 @ $46.24$239K−4.5% of holding+6.7%+17.9%108,478Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-27Lo Thomas M.officerSale1,000 @ $46.83$47K−25.0% of holding+6.8%+15.2%3,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-09TANG ANTHONY MdirectorSale1,222 @ $44.79$55K−0.7% of holding+4.0%−1.5%186,283Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-06TANG ANTHONY MdirectorSale1,200 @ $44.20$53K−0.6% of holding+4.3%−1.2%187,505Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-12TANG ANTHONY MdirectorSale2,000 @ $45.08$90K−1.1% of holding−3.3%−11.5%186,792Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-12Lo Thomas M.officerSale729 @ $45.00$33K−15.4% of holding−3.3%−11.5%4,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-07TANG ANTHONY MdirectorSale2,500 @ $45.00$113K−1.3% of holding−3.1%−0.1%188,792Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-10TANG ANTHONY MdirectorSale2,500 @ $51.52$129K−1.3% of holding−6.7%−13.5%191,292Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-09TANG ANTHONY MdirectorSale2,500 @ $51.04$128K−1.3% of holding−6.8%−11.6%193,792Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

143 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-08Wang Albert Jen-WenofficerWithheld for tax1,2942,718Form 4
2026-09-08Wang Albert Jen-WenofficerOption exercise4,0120Form 4
2026-09-08Wang Albert Jen-WenofficerOption exercise4,0124,012Form 4
2026-07-27Lo Thomas M.officerWithheld for tax9343,962Form 4
2026-07-27Chan May K.officerWithheld for tax4673,691Form 4
2026-07-27Lo Thomas M.officerOption exercise2,8964,896Form 4
2026-07-27Chan May K.officerOption exercise1,4484,158Form 4
2026-07-27Lo Thomas M.officerOption exercise2,8960Form 4
2026-07-27Chan May K.officerOption exercise1,4480Form 4
2026-06-26Chan May K.officerAward / grant886886Form 4
2026-06-26Lo Thomas M.officerAward / grant1,6111,611Form 4
2026-06-26Wang Albert Jen-WenofficerAward / grant5,6405,640Form 4
2026-06-26Deen Diana G.officerAward / grant1,7001,700Form 4
2026-06-26Deen Diana G.officerAward / grant3,4003,400Form 4
2026-06-26Liu ChangdirectorAward / grant9,4089,408Form 4
2026-06-26Liu ChangdirectorAward / grant8,8638,863Form 4
2026-06-26Liu ChangdirectorAward / grant17,72717,727Form 4
2026-06-26SUN ALBERTofficerAward / grant1,6461,646Form 4
2026-06-26SUN ALBERTofficerAward / grant1,5511,551Form 4
2026-06-26SUN ALBERTofficerAward / grant3,1023,102Form 4
2026-06-26Wang Albert Jen-WenofficerAward / grant1,5671,567Form 4
2026-06-26Wang Albert Jen-WenofficerAward / grant3,1343,134Form 4
2026-06-26Wang Albert Jen-WenofficerAward / grant1,6631,663Form 4
2026-06-26Liu ChangdirectorAward / grant9,4089,408Form 4
2026-06-26Liu ChangdirectorAward / grant8,8638,863Form 4
2026-06-26Liu ChangdirectorAward / grant17,72717,727Form 4
2026-06-26Wang Albert Jen-WenofficerAward / grant1,6631,663Form 4
2026-06-26Wang Albert Jen-WenofficerAward / grant1,5671,567Form 4
2026-06-26Wang Albert Jen-WenofficerAward / grant3,1343,134Form 4
2026-06-26CHENG DUNSON KdirectorAward / grant4,8754,875Form 4
2026-06-26CHENG DUNSON KdirectorAward / grant4,5934,593Form 4
2026-06-26CHENG DUNSON KdirectorAward / grant9,1869,186Form 4
2026-06-26Deen Diana G.officerAward / grant1,8041,804Form 4
2026-06-26Deen Diana G.officerAward / grant1,7001,700Form 4
2026-06-26Deen Diana G.officerAward / grant3,4003,400Form 4
2026-06-26SUN ALBERTofficerAward / grant1,6461,646Form 4
2026-06-26SUN ALBERTofficerAward / grant1,5511,551Form 4
2026-06-26SUN ALBERTofficerAward / grant3,1023,102Form 4
2026-06-26CHENG DUNSON KdirectorAward / grant4,8754,875Form 4
2026-06-26CHENG DUNSON KdirectorAward / grant4,5934,593Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.