Issued 2026-09-16 at $2.70 · now $2.70 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CATX has typically landed between $1.83 and $3.98 — a range of −32.1% to +47.4% from the issuance price $2.70.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
4,993 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($2.70) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CATX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $2.7 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $2.7 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $2.61 (-3.3%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $2.18–$3.04
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $1.83–$3.98
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2024-10-23 | −74.3% | −74.3% | +5.6% |
| 2024-10-24 | −70.8% | −74.8% | +3.8% |
| 2024-11-05 | −69.9% | −75.7% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2009-07-17 | +565.3% | −7.3% | +565.3% |
| 2020-12-15 | +476.6% | +0.0% | +476.6% |
| 2009-07-20 | +466.7% | −4.2% | +587.5% |
4,993 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Lantheus Alpha Therapy, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 167,149 @ $3.15 | $526K | −1.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 11,273,364 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | Lantheus Alpha Therapy, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 80,783 @ $3.11 | $251K | −0.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 11,440,513 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-02 | Lantheus Alpha Therapy, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 42,129 @ $3.11 | $131K | −0.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 11,521,296 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Lantheus Holdings, Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 35,769 @ $3.12 | $112K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 11,563,425 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Lantheus Alpha Therapy, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 35,769 @ $3.12 | $112K | −0.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 11,563,425 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-31 | Lantheus Alpha Therapy, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 78,145 @ $3.14 | $246K | −0.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 11,599,194 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-31 | Lantheus Holdings, Inc. | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 78,145 @ $3.14 | $246K | −0.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 11,599,194 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-13 | Hunt Jonathan Robert | officer | Purchase | 11,000 @ $2.03 | $22K | +22.5% of holding | +21.4% | +65.6% | 59,800 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-12 | Williamson Robert F III | director | Purchase | 9,498 @ $2.10 | $20K | +2595.1% of holding | +26.2% | +68.7% | 9,864 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-31 | Williamson Robert F III | director | Purchase | 38,145 @ $2.14 | $82K | +53.8% of holding | +15.9% | +41.3% | 108,982 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-31 | Woods Lori A | director | Purchase | 23,475 @ $2.13 | $50K | +14.7% of holding | +15.9% | +41.3% | 183,460 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-03-28 | Graham Juan | officer | Purchase | 33,333 @ $2.25 | $75K | +1649.3% of holding | +9.8% | +32.1% | 35,354 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-28 | Williamson Robert F III | director | Purchase | 22,192 @ $2.27 | $50K | +45.6% of holding | +9.8% | +32.1% | 70,837 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-28 | Spoor Johan M. | director | Purchase | 22,026 @ $2.24 | $49K | +59.0% of holding | +9.8% | +32.1% | 59,383 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-28 | Spoor Johan M. | director | Purchase | 4,650 @ $2.21 | $10K | ownership Δ n/a | +9.8% | +32.1% | 4,650 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-04 | HENSON HEIDI | director | Purchase | 25,975 @ $3.85 | $100K | ownership Δ n/a | −3.2% | −12.3% | 25,975 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
18 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-02 | Puhlmann Markus | officer | Award / grant | 150,000 | 150,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Hunt Jonathan Robert | officer | Award / grant | 90,000 | 90,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | HENSON HEIDI | director | Award / grant | 50,000 | 50,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Woods Lori A | director | Award / grant | 50,000 | 50,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Williamson Robert F III | director | Award / grant | 50,000 | 50,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Spoor Johan M. | director | Award / grant | 735,000 | 735,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Morich Frank | director | Award / grant | 50,000 | 50,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-02 | Martinez Maria E | director | Award / grant | 50,000 | 50,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-04 | Sendek Joel | officer | Award / grant | 600,000 | 600,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-03 | Martinez Maria E | director | Award / grant | 75,000 | 75,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-03 | Spoor Johan M. | director | Award / grant | 650,000 | 650,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-03 | Puhlmann Markus | officer | Award / grant | 165,000 | 165,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-03 | Williamson Robert F III | director | Award / grant | 50,000 | 50,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-03 | HENSON HEIDI | director | Award / grant | 50,000 | 50,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-03 | Hunt Jonathan Robert | officer | Award / grant | 75,000 | 75,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-03 | Woods Lori A | director | Award / grant | 50,000 | 50,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-03 | Morich Frank | director | Award / grant | 50,000 | 50,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-01-06 | Graham Juan | officer | Award / grant | 400,000 | 400,000 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.