CATCaterpillar Inc.Industrials · Agricultural - Machineryas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $782.72 · now $782.72 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CAT has typically landed between $691.68 and $917.03 — a range of −11.6% to +17.2% from the issuance price $782.72.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-022026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($782.72) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CAT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $782.72 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$691.68worst · -11.6%$917.03best · +17.2%
  • now $782.72 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $800.8 (+2.3%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $749.75$851.85
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $691.68$917.03
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-09-26−48.4%−48.4%+0.0%
2008-09-25−45.7%−45.7%+3.5%
2008-09-24−42.2%−42.2%+3.9%
3 best
2009-07-09+57.9%−0.3%+58.3%
2009-07-10+56.4%+0.0%+58.8%
2009-07-08+56.1%−0.2%+58.6%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-022026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$409.4B
market cap
$20.10
EPS (TTM)
44.2
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-04
next earnings
Revenue$67.6B
'20'25
Net income$8.9B
'20'25
Free cash flow$10.3B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr13.1%
'20'25
ROE · by yr41.6%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr2.03
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 74 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $782.72$112.17$1,300
  • DCF (intrinsic)$194.08
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 30.7× · n=74$616.13
  • Analyst target · range $658.00$1,218$845.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$782.72

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
67%
+0.5%
n=18
Feb
63%
+1.5%
n=19
Mar
47%
+2.4%
n=19
Apr
58%
+4.0%
n=19
May
47%
−1.7%
n=19
Jun
47%
+1.0%
n=19
Jul
58%
+3.4%
n=19
Aug
47%
−0.5%
n=19
Sep
58%
+0.6%
n=19
Oct
67%
+3.3%
n=18
Nov
78%
+5.2%
n=18
Dec
56%
+1.8%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$1K$4042026-08-28: 14 insider sales, $26.2M — Creed Joseph E …2026-05-14: 8 insider sales, $11.4M — Johnson Denise C …2026-05-13: 3 insider sales, $6.0M — Johnson Denise C, Schaupp William E …2026-05-11: 2 insider sales, $14.9M — Fassino Anthony D. …2026-05-06: 5 insider sales, $45.2M — BONFIELD ANDREW R J, De Lange Bob, Fassino Anthony D. …2026-05-05: 2 insider sales, $5.1M — Shurman Rodney Michael …2026-05-04: 1 insider sale, $5.0M — Kaiser Jason2026-05-04: 1 insider purchase, $219K — MacLennan David2026-03-05: 5 insider sales, $1.8M — Creed Joseph E …2026-02-23: 1 insider sale, $1.7M — Shurman Rodney Michael2026-02-17: 2 insider sales, $2.1M — Shurman Rodney Michael, Schaupp William E2026-02-13: 1 insider sale, $6.1M — Fassino Anthony D.2026-02-12: 1 insider sale, $1.3M — Kaiser Jason2026-02-11: 1 insider sale, $9.6M — De Lange Bob2026-02-06: 2 insider sales, $20.7M — De Lange Bob, Fassino Anthony D.2026-02-04: 3 insider sales, $11.3M — De Lange Bob …2026-02-02: 10 insider sales, $44.8M — Johnson Denise C, De Lange Bob, Fassino Anthony D. …2025-12-31: 7 insider sales, $5.8M — BONFIELD ANDREW R J …2025-12-01: 7 insider sales, $5.7M — BONFIELD ANDREW R J …2025-11-11: 13 insider sales, $6.0M — Kaiser Jason …2025-11-10: 1 insider sale, $4.7M — Fassino Anthony D.2025-11-06: 1 insider purchase, $171K — MacLennan David2025-11-05: 2 insider sales, $8.9M — De Lange Bob, Schaupp William E2025-10-10: 1 insider sale, $8.7M — Umpleby III Donald J2025-09-22: 1 insider sale, $7.9M — Umpleby III Donald J2025-09-02: 1 insider sale, $7.1M — Umpleby III Donald J2025-08-15: 1 insider sale, $953K — SCHWAB SUSAN C2025-08: 2 open-market sales, $1.9M2025-09: 2 open-market sales, $15.0M2025-10: 1 open-market sale, $8.7M2025-11: 1 open-market purchase, $171K2025-11: 16 open-market sales, $19.6M2025-12: 14 open-market sales, $11.5M2026-02: 21 open-market sales, $97.7M2026-03: 5 open-market sales, $1.8M2026-05: 1 open-market purchase, $219K2026-05: 21 open-market sales, $87.6M2026-08: 14 open-market sales, $26.2M↑ buys↓ salesofficer Creed Joseph E — Sale on 2026-08-28, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Creed Joseph E — Sale on 2026-08-28, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Creed Joseph E — Sale on 2026-08-28, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Creed Joseph E — Sale on 2026-08-28, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Creed Joseph E — Sale on 2026-08-28, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Creed Joseph E — Sale on 2026-08-28, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Creed Joseph E — Sale on 2026-08-28, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Creed Joseph E — Sale on 2026-08-28, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Creed Joseph E — Sale on 2026-08-28, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Creed Joseph E — Sale on 2026-08-28, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Creed Joseph E — Sale on 2026-08-28, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Creed Joseph E — Sale on 2026-08-28, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Creed Joseph E — Sale on 2026-08-28, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Creed Joseph E — Sale on 2026-08-28, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Johnson Denise C — Sale on 2026-05-14, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Johnson Denise C — Sale on 2026-05-14, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Johnson Denise C — Sale on 2026-05-14, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Johnson Denise C — Sale on 2026-05-14, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Johnson Denise C — Sale on 2026-05-14, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Johnson Denise C — Sale on 2026-05-14, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Johnson Denise C — Sale on 2026-05-14, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Johnson Denise C — Sale on 2026-05-14, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Johnson Denise C — Sale on 2026-05-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Johnson Denise C — Sale on 2026-05-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Schaupp William E — Sale on 2026-05-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Fassino Anthony D. — Sale on 2026-05-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Fassino Anthony D. — Sale on 2026-05-11, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer BONFIELD ANDREW R J — Sale on 2026-05-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector De Lange Bob — Sale on 2026-05-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector De Lange Bob — Sale on 2026-05-06, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Fassino Anthony D. — Sale on 2026-05-06, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Fassino Anthony D. — Sale on 2026-05-06, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Shurman Rodney Michael — Sale on 2026-05-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Shurman Rodney Michael — Sale on 2026-05-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kaiser Jason — Sale on 2026-05-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector MacLennan David — Purchase on 2026-05-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Creed Joseph E — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Creed Joseph E — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Creed Joseph E — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Creed Joseph E — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Creed Joseph E — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Shurman Rodney Michael — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Shurman Rodney Michael — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Schaupp William E — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Fassino Anthony D. — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Kaiser Jason — Sale on 2026-02-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector De Lange Bob — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector De Lange Bob — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Fassino Anthony D. — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 3 days after the tradedirector De Lange Bob — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector De Lange Bob — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector De Lange Bob — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Johnson Denise C — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 2 days after the tradedirector De Lange Bob — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Fassino Anthony D. — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Johnson Denise C — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Johnson Denise C — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Johnson Denise C — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Johnson Denise C — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Johnson Denise C — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Johnson Denise C — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Johnson Denise C — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer BONFIELD ANDREW R J — Sale on 2025-12-31, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer BONFIELD ANDREW R J — Sale on 2025-12-31, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer BONFIELD ANDREW R J — Sale on 2025-12-31, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer BONFIELD ANDREW R J — Sale on 2025-12-31, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer BONFIELD ANDREW R J — Sale on 2025-12-31, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer BONFIELD ANDREW R J — Sale on 2025-12-31, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer BONFIELD ANDREW R J — Sale on 2025-12-31, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer BONFIELD ANDREW R J — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer BONFIELD ANDREW R J — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer BONFIELD ANDREW R J — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer BONFIELD ANDREW R J — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer BONFIELD ANDREW R J — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer BONFIELD ANDREW R J — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer BONFIELD ANDREW R J — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kaiser Jason — Sale on 2025-11-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Kaiser Jason — Sale on 2025-11-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Kaiser Jason — Sale on 2025-11-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Kaiser Jason — Sale on 2025-11-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Kaiser Jason — Sale on 2025-11-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Kaiser Jason — Sale on 2025-11-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Kaiser Jason — Sale on 2025-11-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Kaiser Jason — Sale on 2025-11-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Kaiser Jason — Sale on 2025-11-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Kaiser Jason — Sale on 2025-11-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Kaiser Jason — Sale on 2025-11-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Kaiser Jason — Sale on 2025-11-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Kaiser Jason — Sale on 2025-11-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Fassino Anthony D. — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector MacLennan David — Purchase on 2025-11-06, filed same daydirector De Lange Bob — Sale on 2025-11-05, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Schaupp William E — Sale on 2025-11-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Umpleby III Donald J — Sale on 2025-10-10, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Umpleby III Donald J — Sale on 2025-09-22, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Umpleby III Donald J — Sale on 2025-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SCHWAB SUSAN C — Sale on 2025-08-15, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-28Creed Joseph EofficerSale6,135 @ $807.41$5.0M−10.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open53,518Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-28Creed Joseph EofficerSale5,035 @ $811.31$4.1M−11.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open40,666Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-28Creed Joseph EofficerSale4,831 @ $813.72$3.9M−12.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open34,555Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-28Creed Joseph EofficerSale3,382 @ $806.31$2.7M−5.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open59,653Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-28Creed Joseph EofficerSale3,041 @ $810.31$2.5M−6.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open45,701Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-28Creed Joseph EofficerSale2,639 @ $808.20$2.1M−4.9% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open50,879Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-28Creed Joseph EofficerSale2,137 @ $809.08$1.7M−4.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open48,742Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-28Creed Joseph EofficerSale1,351 @ $805.36$1.1M−2.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open63,035Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-28Creed Joseph EofficerSale1,280 @ $812.09$1.0M−3.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open39,386Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-28Creed Joseph EofficerSale750 @ $803.39$603K−1.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open64,906Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-28Creed Joseph EofficerSale540 @ $801.10$433K−0.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open65,936Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-28Creed Joseph EofficerSale520 @ $803.86$418K−0.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open64,386Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-28Creed Joseph EofficerSale480 @ $800.19$384K−0.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open66,476Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-28Creed Joseph EofficerSale280 @ $802.10$225K−0.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open65,656Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-14Johnson Denise CofficerSale2,302 @ $908.76$2.1M−4.1% of holding+0.6%not yet — horizon still open53,400Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-14Johnson Denise CofficerSale2,259 @ $905.73$2.0M−3.7% of holding+0.6%not yet — horizon still open58,384Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-14Johnson Denise CofficerSale1,787 @ $904.70$1.6M−2.9% of holding+0.6%not yet — horizon still open60,643Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-14Johnson Denise CofficerSale1,605 @ $911.92$1.5M−3.1% of holding+0.6%not yet — horizon still open49,825Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-14Johnson Denise CofficerSale1,568 @ $909.70$1.4M−2.9% of holding+0.6%not yet — horizon still open51,832Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-14Johnson Denise CofficerSale1,491 @ $906.73$1.4M−2.6% of holding+0.6%not yet — horizon still open56,893Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-14Johnson Denise CofficerSale1,191 @ $907.98$1.1M−2.1% of holding+0.6%not yet — horizon still open55,702Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-14Johnson Denise CofficerSale402 @ $910.65$366K−0.8% of holding+0.6%not yet — horizon still open51,430Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-13Johnson Denise CofficerSale3,546 @ $909.46$3.2M−6.3% of holding+1.0%not yet — horizon still open52,475Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-13Johnson Denise CofficerSale2,650 @ $910.24$2.4M−5.1% of holding+1.0%not yet — horizon still open49,825Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-13Schaupp William EofficerSale360 @ $906.00$326K−40.4% of holding+1.0%not yet — horizon still open530Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-11Fassino Anthony D.officerSale15,440 @ $916.75$14.2M−24.8% of holding−5.7%not yet — horizon still open46,884Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-11Fassino Anthony D.officerSale843 @ $917.73$774K−1.8% of holding−5.7%not yet — horizon still open46,041Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-06BONFIELD ANDREW R JofficerSale15,674 @ $918.71$14.4M−22.8% of holding−2.9%not yet — horizon still open52,935Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-06De Lange BobdirectorSale14,470 @ $922.55$13.3M−13.1% of holding−2.9%not yet — horizon still open95,781Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-06De Lange BobdirectorSale9,752 @ $923.47$9.0M−10.2% of holding−2.9%not yet — horizon still open86,029Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-06Fassino Anthony D.officerSale8,802 @ $926.23$8.2M−15.9% of holding−2.9%not yet — horizon still open46,391Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-06Fassino Anthony D.officerSale350 @ $926.83$324K−0.8% of holding−2.9%not yet — horizon still open46,041Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-05Shurman Rodney MichaelofficerSale5,152 @ $903.14$4.7M−62.9% of holding−0.6%not yet — horizon still open3,033Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-05Shurman Rodney MichaelofficerSale487 @ $903.55$440K−16.1% of holding−0.6%not yet — horizon still open2,546Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-04Kaiser JasonofficerSale5,642 @ $883.03$5.0M−37.0% of holding+0.8%not yet — horizon still open9,594Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-04MacLennan DaviddirectorPurchase250 @ $876.84$219K+3.1% of holding+0.8%not yet — horizon still open8,206Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-05Creed Joseph EofficerSale800 @ $718.44$575K−2.2% of holding+5.2%−0.3%36,363Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-05Creed Joseph EofficerSale585 @ $719.39$421K−1.6% of holding+5.2%−0.3%35,778Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-05Creed Joseph EofficerSale575 @ $720.10$414K−1.6% of holding+5.2%−0.3%35,203Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-05Creed Joseph EofficerSale420 @ $717.01$301K−1.1% of holding+5.2%−0.3%37,163Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-05Creed Joseph EofficerSale120 @ $721.00$87K−0.3% of holding+5.2%−0.3%35,083Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-23Shurman Rodney MichaelofficerSale2,278 @ $759.61$1.7M−61.2% of holding−1.2%−4.9%1,443Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-17Shurman Rodney MichaelofficerSale1,764 @ $763.39$1.3M−55.1% of holding−6.2%−2.6%1,440Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-17Schaupp William EofficerSale972 @ $764.20$743K−54.1% of holding−6.2%−2.6%824Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-13Fassino Anthony D.officerSale7,891 @ $776.90$6.1M−14.5% of holding−7.7%+0.4%46,643Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-12Kaiser JasonofficerSale1,690 @ $776.70$1.3M−16.3% of holding−5.9%−1.2%8,661Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-11De Lange BobdirectorSale12,507 @ $767.08$9.6M−12.8% of holding−6.2%−2.3%84,997Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-06De Lange BobdirectorSale22,656 @ $720.11$16.3M−22.1% of holding+0.6%+3.2%79,953Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-02-06Fassino Anthony D.officerSale6,033 @ $722.15$4.4M−12.8% of holding+0.6%+3.2%41,151Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-02-04De Lange BobdirectorSale9,223 @ $704.42$6.5M−9.6% of holding+0.4%+11.7%86,800Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-04De Lange BobdirectorSale6,817 @ $705.70$4.8M−7.9% of holding+0.4%+11.7%79,983Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-04De Lange BobdirectorSale30 @ $706.28$21K−0.0% of holding+0.4%+11.7%79,953Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-02Johnson Denise CofficerSale20,145 @ $680.76$13.7M−27.7% of holding+7.4%+15.8%52,501Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-02De Lange BobdirectorSale15,977 @ $682.99$10.9M−16.7% of holding+7.4%+15.8%79,953Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-02Fassino Anthony D.officerSale10,671 @ $680.45$7.3M−20.6% of holding+7.4%+15.8%41,151Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-02Johnson Denise CofficerSale7,411 @ $680.11$5.0M−14.6% of holding+7.4%+15.8%43,350Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-02Johnson Denise CofficerSale2,994 @ $681.69$2.0M−5.7% of holding+7.4%+15.8%49,507Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-02Johnson Denise CofficerSale2,761 @ $682.84$1.9M−5.6% of holding+7.4%+15.8%46,746Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-02Johnson Denise CofficerSale2,258 @ $683.90$1.5M−4.8% of holding+7.4%+15.8%44,488Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-02Johnson Denise CofficerSale1,431 @ $680.11$973K−1.9% of holding+7.4%+15.8%72,646Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

202 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-28Creed Joseph EofficerOption exercise44,4030Form 4
2026-08-28Creed Joseph EofficerOption exercise44,40378,958Form 4
2026-08-28Creed Joseph EofficerWithheld for tax12,00266,956Form 4
2026-08-26Creed Joseph EofficerAward / grant1911,291Form 4
2026-08-26Kaiser JasonofficerAward / grant115,476Form 4
2026-08-26Epley Kyle JosephofficerAward / grant115,862Form 4
2026-08-26Epley Kyle JosephofficerAward / grant75,869Form 4
2026-07-24Creed Joseph EofficerAward / grant1811,483Form 4
2026-07-24Kaiser JasonofficerAward / grant105,567Form 4
2026-07-24Epley Kyle JosephofficerAward / grant75,961Form 4
2026-07-24Epley Kyle JosephofficerAward / grant55,954Form 4
2026-06-30MacLennan DaviddirectorAward / grant22476Form 4
2026-06-26Creed Joseph EofficerAward / grant1612,028Form 4
2026-06-26Epley Kyle JosephofficerAward / grant66,242Form 4
2026-06-26Kaiser JasonofficerAward / grant55,831Form 4
2026-06-10Fish James C JrdirectorAward / grant2113,687Form 4
2026-06-10Johnson GeralddirectorAward / grant2113,907Form 4
2026-06-10KEENE NAZZIC SdirectorAward / grant211728Form 4
2026-06-10WILKINS RAYFORD JRdirectorAward / grant2118,416Form 4
2026-06-10MacLennan DaviddirectorAward / grant2118,420Form 4
2026-06-10Marks Judith FrandirectorAward / grant2111,938Form 4
2026-06-10SCHWAB SUSAN CdirectorAward / grant2116,197Form 4
2026-06-10REED DEBRA LdirectorAward / grant21113,204Form 4
2026-05-26Creed Joseph EofficerAward / grant1811,001Form 4
2026-05-26Epley Kyle JosephofficerAward / grant65,711Form 4
2026-05-14Johnson Denise CofficerOption exercise16,0780Form 4
2026-05-14Johnson Denise CofficerOption exercise16,07865,903Form 4
2026-05-14Johnson Denise CofficerWithheld for tax3,47362,430Form 4
2026-05-13Johnson Denise CofficerOption exercise7,90057,725Form 4
2026-05-13Johnson Denise CofficerOption exercise7,90016,078Form 4
2026-05-13Johnson Denise CofficerWithheld for tax1,70456,021Form 4
2026-05-11Fassino Anthony D.officerOption exercise21,4030Form 4
2026-05-11Fassino Anthony D.officerOption exercise21,40367,444Form 4
2026-05-11Fassino Anthony D.officerWithheld for tax5,12062,324Form 4
2026-05-11Creed Joseph EofficerWithheld for tax57434,507Form 4
2026-05-11Pambianchi Christine MofficerWithheld for tax2243,083Form 4
2026-05-08Epley Kyle JosephofficerAward / grant51517,705Form 4
2026-05-08Epley Kyle JosephofficerAward / grant1,3941,394Form 4
2026-05-06BONFIELD ANDREW R JofficerWithheld for tax7,38068,609Form 4
2026-05-06De Lange BobdirectorOption exercise28,105114,134Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Tim WalbergHousepurchase2026-06-032025-02-07$15–50K
Jared MoskowitzHousesale2026-04-302026-03-31$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-03-092026-02-19$1–15K
John BoozmanSenatepurchase2026-02-152026-01-29$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-23$1–15K
Markwayne MullinSenatepurchase2026-01-162025-12-29$15–50K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2025-12-152025-11-18$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-12-082025-11-25$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2025-11-182025-10-17$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-11-062025-10-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-11-062025-10-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-11-062025-10-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-11-062025-10-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-11-062025-10-27$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.