Issued 2026-09-16 at $55.32 · now $55.32 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CASS has typically landed between $49.62 and $61.94 — a range of −10.3% to +12.0% from the issuance price $55.32.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($55.32) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CASS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $55.32 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $55.32 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $55.69 (+0.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $52.96–$58.42
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $49.62–$61.94
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2020-02-18 | −44.6% | −44.6% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-19 | −43.1% | −44.5% | +0.0% |
| 2020-02-21 | −42.3% | −44.2% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2016-11-04 | +32.4% | +0.0% | +33.5% |
| 2016-10-27 | +32.2% | −0.3% | +34.5% |
| 2016-10-21 | +31.6% | −2.5% | +31.6% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-02 | Resch Martin H. | officer | Purchase | 500 @ $38.69 | $19K | +1.2% of holding | −1.1% | +16.8% | 41,920 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-01 | Resch Martin H. | officer | Purchase | 500 @ $39.50 | $20K | +1.2% of holding | +6.1% | +6.3% | 41,420 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-01 | Normile Michael James | officer | Purchase | 200 @ $39.61 | $8K | +1.3% of holding | +6.1% | +6.3% | 15,910 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-31 | Resch Martin H. | officer | Purchase | 500 @ $39.75 | $20K | +1.2% of holding | +5.7% | +3.9% | 40,920 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-21 | Normile Michael James | officer | Purchase | 250 @ $39.25 | $10K | +1.6% of holding | −6.5% | −33.9% | 15,710 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-04-21 | Resch Martin H. | officer | Purchase | 200 @ $39.00 | $8K | +0.5% of holding | −6.5% | −33.9% | 40,420 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
110 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | RUPP JOSEPH D | director | Award / grant | 236 | 24,217 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-10 | WICKS FRANK | director | Award / grant | 236 | 34,519 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-10 | Schilling Randall L | director | Award / grant | 236 | 33,886 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | RUPP JOSEPH D | director | Award / grant | 262 | 23,981 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | Schilling Randall L | director | Award / grant | 262 | 33,650 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-11 | WICKS FRANK | director | Award / grant | 262 | 34,283 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Marr Ann Walter | director | Award / grant | 1,704 | 8,460 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | EDWARDS BENJAMIN F IV | director | Award / grant | 1,704 | 29,604 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Drabik John J | director | Award / grant | 1,704 | 1,704 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | BRUNNGRABER ERIC H | director | Award / grant | 1,704 | 171,766 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | RUPP JOSEPH D | director | Award / grant | 1,704 | 23,719 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Schilling Randall L | director | Award / grant | 1,704 | 33,388 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Henry Wendy J. | director | Award / grant | 1,704 | 8,385 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | Ebel Robert A | director | Award / grant | 1,704 | 26,973 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-23 | WICKS FRANK | director | Award / grant | 1,704 | 34,021 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | LINDEMANN JAMES J | director | Withheld for tax | 8,446 | 25,466 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | Clermont Ralph W | director | Withheld for tax | 6,847 | 18,293 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-21 | Roth Sally H | director | Withheld for tax | 2,509 | 8,376 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Resch Martin H. | officer | Withheld for tax | 894 | 49,793 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Resch Martin H. | officer | Withheld for tax | 830 | 50,938 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Resch Martin H. | officer | Award / grant | 1,975 | 51,768 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-17 | Roth Sally H | director | Withheld for tax | 540 | 10,885 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Schilling Randall L | director | Award / grant | 301 | 31,684 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | WICKS FRANK | director | Award / grant | 301 | 32,317 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | RUPP JOSEPH D | director | Award / grant | 301 | 22,015 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Clermont Ralph W | director | Award / grant | 301 | 25,140 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | LINDEMANN JAMES J | director | Award / grant | 301 | 33,912 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-26 | BRUNNGRABER ERIC H | director | Withheld for tax | 3,876 | 170,062 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-26 | BRUNNGRABER ERIC H | director | Withheld for tax | 3,727 | 165,724 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-26 | Resch Martin H. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,980 | 48,353 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-26 | Resch Martin H. | officer | Withheld for tax | 1,692 | 50,687 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-26 | Normile Michael James | officer | Withheld for tax | 911 | 17,835 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-26 | Normile Michael James | officer | Withheld for tax | 837 | 18,784 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-26 | Cavellier James M Jr | officer | Withheld for tax | 647 | 20,086 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-26 | Erdbruegger Dwight D | officer | Withheld for tax | 635 | 22,945 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-26 | Cavellier James M Jr | officer | Withheld for tax | 601 | 21,160 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-26 | Schuckman Matthew Steven | officer | Withheld for tax | 548 | 11,983 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-26 | Erdbruegger Dwight D | officer | Withheld for tax | 539 | 21,833 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-26 | Schuckman Matthew Steven | officer | Withheld for tax | 509 | 12,958 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-26 | BRUNNGRABER ERIC H | director | Award / grant | 8,214 | 173,938 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.