CASHPathward Financial, Inc.Financial Services · Banks - Regionalas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $78.45 · now $78.45 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CASH has typically landed between $68.52 and $91.42 — a range of −12.7% to +16.5% from the issuance price $78.45.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($78.45) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CASH has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $78.45 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$68.52worst · -12.7%$91.42best · +16.5%
  • now $78.45 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $78.64 (+0.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $73.57–$83.7
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $68.52–$91.42
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2010-09-30−60.0%−60.0%+3.9%
2010-10-05−59.5%−60.0%+3.9%
2010-09-29−59.3%−59.3%+3.9%
3 best
2009-04-14+82.9%+0.0%+82.9%
2009-04-13+74.5%+0.0%+74.5%
2009-04-08+69.1%−1.2%+69.1%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
65%
+3.7%
n=20
Feb
45%
+0.7%
n=20
Mar
50%
−0.8%
n=20
Apr
60%
+3.1%
n=20
May
60%
+3.7%
n=20
Jun
70%
+4.2%
n=20
Jul
65%
+3.2%
n=20
Aug
45%
−1.7%
n=20
Sep
40%
+0.8%
n=20
Oct
45%
−0.4%
n=20
Nov
75%
+4.0%
n=20
Dec
55%
+2.0%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$100$662026-05-29: 1 insider sale, $370K — Hoople Elizabeth G.2026-04-29: 1 insider sale, $432K — Hajek Douglas J.2026-02-23: 1 insider sale, $1.5M — Pharr Brett L.2026-02-09: 1 insider sale, $282K — Stork Kendall E2026-01-30: 1 insider sale, $130K — Perretta Christopher2025-10-31: 1 insider sale, $204K — Hajek Douglas J.2025-10-28: 1 insider sale, $173K — Mehta Neeraj2025-10-24: 2 insider sales, $1.2M — Sharett Anthony M., Dombrowski Nadia2025-10: 4 open-market sales, $1.6M2026-01: 1 open-market sale, $130K2026-02: 2 open-market sales, $1.8M2026-04: 1 open-market sale, $432K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $370K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Hoople Elizabeth G. — Sale on 2026-05-29, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Hajek Douglas J. — Sale on 2026-04-29, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Pharr Brett L. — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Stork Kendall E — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Perretta Christopher — Sale on 2026-01-30, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Hajek Douglas J. — Sale on 2025-10-31, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Mehta Neeraj — Sale on 2025-10-28, filed 34 days after the tradeofficer Sharett Anthony M. — Sale on 2025-10-24, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Dombrowski Nadia — Sale on 2025-10-24, filed 6 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-29Hoople Elizabeth G.directorSale4,500 @ $82.29$370K−13.8% of holding+7.0%not yet — horizon still open28,050Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-29Hajek Douglas J.directorSale5,000 @ $86.37$432K−28.9% of holding−11.1%not yet — horizon still open12,281Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-23Pharr Brett L.directorSale15,641 @ $93.88$1.5M−16.7% of holding+1.9%−22.9%78,261Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-09Stork Kendall EdirectorSale3,000 @ $94.15$282K−58.2% of holding−2.6%−18.4%2,153Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-30Perretta ChristopherdirectorSale1,450 @ $89.94$130K−17.8% of holding+3.0%−9.5%6,700Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-10-31Hajek Douglas J.directorSale3,000 @ $68.11$204K−15.3% of holding+6.2%+19.6%16,631Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-10-28Mehta NeerajdirectorSale2,500 @ $69.34$173K−51.0% of holding+4.4%+20.5%2,400Form 4 · filed 34 days after the trade
2025-10-24Sharett Anthony M.officerSale11,500 @ $71.55$823K−31.4% of holding−1.1%+19.0%25,155Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-10-24Dombrowski NadiaofficerSale5,000 @ $71.46$357K−43.4% of holding−1.1%+19.0%6,528Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade
2025-04-29Stork Kendall EdirectorSale4,000 @ $79.33$317K−39.4% of holding−9.1%−38.2%6,153Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-25Pharr Brett L.directorSale10,365 @ $78.07$809K−12.9% of holding−8.2%−33.0%69,750Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-04-25Hajek Douglas J.directorSale1,850 @ $79.26$147K−8.6% of holding−8.2%−33.0%19,631Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-04-25Warren Jennifer W.officerSale1,667 @ $77.97$130K−24.9% of holding−8.2%−33.0%5,019Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

62 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-04Mehta NeerajdirectorAward / grant4004,450Form 4
2026-09-04SHULMAN BECKY SdirectorAward / grant40030,499Form 4
2026-09-04Hoople Elizabeth G.directorAward / grant40028,450Form 4
2026-09-04MCCRAY RONALD DdirectorAward / grant40014,557Form 4
2026-09-04Stork Kendall EdirectorAward / grant40012,053Form 4
2026-09-04Perretta ChristopherdirectorAward / grant4008,750Form 4
2026-09-04Zlatkus Lizabeth HdirectorAward / grant40015,400Form 4
2026-09-04Hajek Douglas J.directorAward / grant40012,681Form 4
2026-06-07Ferri Eric AnthonyofficerAward / grant8,6388,638Form 4
2026-02-24MCCRAY RONALD DdirectorAward / grant1,65014,157Form 4
2026-02-24Stork Kendall EdirectorAward / grant1,6509,500Form 4
2026-02-24Zlatkus Lizabeth HdirectorAward / grant1,65015,000Form 4
2026-02-24SHULMAN BECKY SdirectorAward / grant1,65030,099Form 4
2026-02-24Hajek Douglas J.directorAward / grant1,65017,281Form 4
2026-02-24Hoople Elizabeth G.directorAward / grant1,65032,550Form 4
2026-02-24Perretta ChristopherdirectorAward / grant1,6508,350Form 4
2026-02-24Mehta NeerajdirectorAward / grant1,6504,050Form 4
2025-12-16Sharett Anthony M.officerGift65035,316Form 4
2025-12-09Hajek Douglas J.directorGift1,00015,631Form 4
2025-12-05Pharr Brett L.directorWithheld for tax2,19293,902Form 4
2025-12-05Sharett Anthony M.officerWithheld for tax77638,966Form 4
2025-12-05Sigrist GregofficerWithheld for tax73717,776Form 4
2025-12-05Dombrowski NadiaofficerWithheld for tax35311,556Form 4
2025-12-05Ingram Charles C.officerWithheld for tax23531,298Form 4
2025-12-05Warren Jennifer W.officerWithheld for tax2217,234Form 4
2025-12-05Berde Anjana ThatteofficerWithheld for tax1142,458Form 4
2025-12-04MCCRAY RONALD DdirectorGift1,36313,181Form 4
2025-12-04MCCRAY RONALD DdirectorGift33712,844Form 4
2025-12-04MCCRAY RONALD DdirectorGift33712,507Form 4
2025-11-14Dombrowski NadiaofficerAward / grant2,26111,909Form 4
2025-11-14Sharett Anthony M.officerAward / grant5,36339,742Form 4
2025-11-14Sigrist GregofficerAward / grant5,16818,513Form 4
2025-11-14Ingram Charles C.officerAward / grant2,99231,533Form 4
2025-11-14Warren Jennifer W.officerAward / grant1,9346,705Form 4
2025-11-14Warren Jennifer W.officerAward / grant7507,455Form 4
2025-11-14Berde Anjana ThatteofficerAward / grant1,5102,572Form 4
2025-11-14Pharr Brett L.directorAward / grant15,91696,094Form 4
2025-11-14Stork Kendall EdirectorGift1,0005,153Form 4
2025-11-04Sharett Anthony M.officerAward / grant13,61238,767Form 4
2025-11-04Pharr Brett L.directorAward / grant34,71893,840Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.