CARSCars.com Inc.Communication Services · Internet Content & Informationas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $11.53 · now $11.53 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CARS has typically landed between $9.66 and $14.04 — a range of −16.2% to +21.8% from the issuance price $11.53.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,315 overlapping 1 month windows · 2017-06-01 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($11.53) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where CARS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $11.53 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$9.66worst · -16.2%$14.04best · +21.8%
  • now $11.53 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $11.47 (-0.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $10.48–$12.46
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $9.66–$14.04
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,315 windows spanning 2017-06-01 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−69.0%−69.0%+0.3%
2020-02-24−67.3%−69.1%+0.0%
2020-02-20−65.5%−65.5%+1.9%
3 best
2020-07-09+72.3%+0.0%+72.3%
2020-04-06+71.5%−2.7%+71.5%
2020-07-08+61.9%−5.3%+61.9%

2,315 overlapping windows · 2017-06-01 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
56%
+4.2%
n=9
Feb
44%
−8.1%
n=9
Mar
33%
−8.6%
n=9
Apr
67%
+3.2%
n=9
May
44%
+0.8%
n=9
Jun
44%
+2.0%
n=9
Jul
60%
+7.4%
n=10
Aug
50%
−6.3%
n=10
Sep
30%
−3.5%
n=10
Oct
33%
−0.1%
n=9
Nov
89%
+17.6%
n=9
Dec
44%
−2.3%
n=9

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$14$82026-08-20: 1 insider sale, $98K — McGovern Jr. Donald A.2026-08-17: 1 insider sale, $692K — Marks Angelique Strong2026-06-12: 1 insider sale, $323K — Jain Sonia2026-06-11: 1 insider sale, $503K — Jain Sonia2026-03-13: 1 insider purchase, $15K — Ross Jenell2025-12-17: 1 insider sale, $153K — Jain Sonia2025-12-02: 1 insider sale, $329K — Crawford Matthew B.2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $177K2025-12: 2 open-market sales, $482K2026-03: 1 open-market purchase, $15K2026-06: 2 open-market sales, $826K2026-08: 2 open-market sales, $790K↑ buys↓ salesdirector McGovern Jr. Donald A. — Sale on 2026-08-20, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Marks Angelique Strong — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Jain Sonia — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Jain Sonia — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Ross Jenell — Purchase on 2026-03-13, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Jain Sonia — Sale on 2025-12-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Crawford Matthew B. — Sale on 2025-12-02, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-20McGovern Jr. Donald A.directorSale8,000 @ $12.25$98K−7.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open102,900Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-17Marks Angelique StrongofficerSale57,980 @ $11.94$692K−27.9% of holding−0.4%not yet — horizon still open149,636Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-12Jain SoniadirectorSale34,021 @ $9.49$323K−9.8% of holding+22.3%not yet — horizon still open312,833Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-11Jain SoniadirectorSale52,579 @ $9.56$503K−13.2% of holding+15.7%not yet — horizon still open346,854Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-13Ross JenelldirectorPurchase1,995 @ $7.56$15K+3.0% of holding+28.2%+39.0%69,478Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-17Jain SoniadirectorSale11,400 @ $13.45$153K−4.5% of holding−13.8%−37.9%243,642Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-02Crawford Matthew B.officerSale27,358 @ $12.03$329K−27.8% of holding+0.3%−33.5%71,103Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-08Crawford Matthew B.officerSale15,000 @ $11.77$177K−13.2% of holding+5.7%−20.2%98,461Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-09Vetter Thomas AlexdirectorPurchase27,239 @ $10.75$293K+3.3% of holding−4.3%−12.8%844,266Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-09Vetter Thomas AlexdirectorPurchase631 @ $10.68$7K+0.1% of holding−4.3%−12.8%844,897Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

42 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-05FORBES SCOTT EdirectorAward / grant25,478218,866Form 4
2026-06-05Subramanian BaladirectorAward / grant18,267126,578Form 4
2026-06-05Greenthal Jill AdirectorAward / grant18,267127,545Form 4
2026-06-05Ross JenelldirectorAward / grant18,26787,745Form 4
2026-06-05Hale Thomas EdirectorAward / grant18,26795,497Form 4
2026-06-05WIENER BRYANdirectorAward / grant18,267108,211Form 4
2026-06-05McGovern Jr. Donald A.directorAward / grant18,267110,900Form 4
2026-03-11Jain SoniadirectorAward / grant156,267399,433Form 4
2026-03-11Gosselin LisaofficerAward / grant124,282209,455Form 4
2026-03-11Marks Angelique StrongofficerAward / grant64,603207,616Form 4
2026-03-11Hartmann TobiasdirectorAward / grant344,150577,977Form 4
2026-03-02Vetter Thomas AlexdirectorWithheld for tax71,665773,232Form 4
2026-03-02Vetter Thomas AlexdirectorWithheld for tax67,444843,585Form 4
2026-03-02Jain SoniadirectorWithheld for tax19,621224,021Form 4
2026-03-02Marks Angelique StrongofficerWithheld for tax16,442143,013Form 4
2026-03-02Gosselin LisaofficerWithheld for tax8,25685,173Form 4
2026-03-02Jain SoniadirectorWithheld for tax7,391243,166Form 4
2026-03-02Jain SoniadirectorAward / grant26,536250,557Form 4
2026-03-02Vetter Thomas AlexdirectorAward / grant137,797911,092Form 4
2025-12-22Hartmann TobiasdirectorAward / grant233,827233,827Form 4
2025-12-22Hartmann TobiasdirectorAward / grant155,885155,885Form 4
2025-10-01Jain SoniadirectorWithheld for tax29,226255,042Form 4
2025-06-06Greenthal Jill AdirectorAward / grant18,305109,278Form 4
2025-06-06WIENER BRYANdirectorAward / grant18,30589,944Form 4
2025-06-06DEVARD JERRIdirectorAward / grant18,305112,230Form 4
2025-06-06Revelle GregdirectorAward / grant18,305117,230Form 4
2025-06-06Hale Thomas EdirectorAward / grant18,30577,230Form 4
2025-06-06Kelly Michael JosephdirectorAward / grant18,305109,363Form 4
2025-06-06McGovern Jr. Donald A.directorAward / grant18,30592,633Form 4
2025-06-06FORBES SCOTT EdirectorAward / grant25,530193,388Form 4
2025-06-06Ross JenelldirectorAward / grant18,30567,483Form 4
2025-06-06Subramanian BaladirectorAward / grant18,305108,311Form 4
2025-05-01Marks Angelique StrongofficerWithheld for tax6,352159,455Form 4
2025-03-21Jain SoniadirectorAward / grant91,022284,268Form 4
2025-03-21Crawford Matthew B.officerAward / grant36,244113,461Form 4
2025-03-21Vetter Thomas AlexdirectorAward / grant257,732817,027Form 4
2025-03-21Gosselin LisaofficerAward / grant93,42993,429Form 4
2025-03-21Marks Angelique StrongofficerAward / grant73,068165,807Form 4
2025-03-03Vetter Thomas AlexdirectorWithheld for tax39,639559,295Form 4
2025-03-03Jain SoniadirectorWithheld for tax10,954193,246Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.