Issued 2026-09-16 at $3.86 · now $3.86 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CAMP has typically landed between $2.14 and $6.65 — a range of −44.5% to +72.2% from the issuance price $3.86.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
461 overlapping 1 month windows · 2024-10-11 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($3.86) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where CAMP has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $3.86 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $3.86 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $3.8 (-1.6%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $3.13–$4.47
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.14–$6.65
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2025-03-18 | −70.6% | −70.6% | +0.0% |
| 2025-03-14 | −67.9% | −67.9% | +0.0% |
| 2025-03-17 | −65.5% | −66.9% | +2.6% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2025-09-05 | +127.0% | +0.0% | +127.0% |
| 2025-08-13 | +122.6% | −3.4% | +122.6% |
| 2025-09-03 | +111.3% | +0.0% | +130.5% |
461 overlapping windows · 2024-10-11 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~2 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Gold Kelly | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $3.96 | $40K | ownership Δ n/a | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 10,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-27 | Schwab Andrew J. | director | Sale | 400,000 @ $4.04 | $1.6M | −16.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 2,033,270 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | Schwab Andrew J. | director | Sale | 10 @ $4.50 | $45 | −0.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 2,433,270 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-21 | Schwab Andrew J. | director | Sale | 32,018 @ $4.50 | $144K | −1.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 2,433,280 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-20 | Schwab Andrew J. | director | Sale | 114,700 @ $4.54 | $521K | −4.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 2,465,298 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Schwab Andrew J. | director | Sale | 45,147 @ $4.76 | $215K | −1.7% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 2,579,998 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-19 | Tardiff Daniel | officer | Sale | 1,738 @ $4.76 | $8K | −100.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 0 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-08-03 | 5AM Partners VI, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 3,179,558 @ $1.53 | $4.9M | ownership Δ n/a | −10.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 3,179,558 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Young Richard A | director | Purchase | 16,378 @ $1.65 | $27K | +9.6% of holding | −10.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 186,388 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Maricich Yuri | officer | Purchase | 6,551 @ $1.65 | $11K | +108.1% of holding | −10.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 12,611 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Mandel-Brehm Josh | director | Purchase | 6,551 @ $1.65 | $11K | +2.4% of holding | −10.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 284,968 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-03 | Gold Kelly | director | Purchase | 6,551 @ $1.65 | $11K | +9.7% of holding | −10.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 74,428 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-11 | 5AM Partners VI, LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 2,941,176 @ $1.53 | $4.5M | ownership Δ n/a | +33.9% | +93.3% | 2,941,176 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-11 | Nashat Amir | director | Purchase | 1,221,721 @ $1.53 | $1.9M | +76.2% of holding | +33.9% | +93.3% | 2,825,500 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-11 | Polaris Management Co. VII, L.L.C. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 1,221,721 @ $1.53 | $1.9M | +76.2% of holding | +33.9% | +93.3% | 2,825,500 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-11 | Nashat Amir | director | Purchase | 85,468 @ $1.53 | $131K | +76.2% of holding | +33.9% | +93.3% | 197,661 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-11 | Polaris Management Co. VII, L.L.C. | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 85,468 @ $1.53 | $131K | +76.2% of holding | +33.9% | +93.3% | 197,661 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-11 | Young Richard A | director | Purchase | 15,151 @ $1.65 | $25K | +9.8% of holding | +33.9% | +93.3% | 170,010 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-11 | Gold Kelly | director | Purchase | 6,060 @ $1.65 | $10K | +9.8% of holding | +33.9% | +93.3% | 67,877 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-11 | Mandel-Brehm Josh | director | Purchase | 6,060 @ $1.65 | $10K | +2.2% of holding | +33.9% | +93.3% | 278,417 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-09-11 | Maricich Yuri | officer | Purchase | 6,060 @ $1.65 | $10K | ownership Δ n/a | +33.9% | +93.3% | 6,060 | Form 4 · filed same day |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
31 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-03 | Schwab Andrew J. | director | Award / grant | 3,179,558 | 3,179,558 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Schwab Andrew J. | director | Award / grant | 28,000 | 28,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Young Richard A | director | Award / grant | 28,000 | 28,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | WILLIAMS DOUGLAS E | director | Award / grant | 28,000 | 28,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Nashat Amir | director | Award / grant | 28,000 | 28,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Stewart Murray | director | Award / grant | 28,000 | 28,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-10 | Holtzman Steven H | director | Award / grant | 28,000 | 28,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Mandel-Brehm Josh | director | Award / grant | 580,000 | 580,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Maricich Yuri | officer | Award / grant | 215,000 | 215,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Tardiff Daniel | officer | Award / grant | 170,000 | 170,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Gold Kelly | director | Award / grant | 215,000 | 215,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | MacLean Michael F | director | Award / grant | 56,000 | 56,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-11 | Tardiff Daniel | officer | Award / grant | 145,500 | 145,500 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-11 | Maricich Yuri | officer | Award / grant | 190,000 | 190,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-11 | Mandel-Brehm Josh | director | Award / grant | 425,000 | 425,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-12-11 | Gold Kelly | director | Award / grant | 190,000 | 190,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-11 | Schwab Andrew J. | director | Award / grant | 2,941,176 | 2,941,176 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-25 | Ragan Paula | director | Award / grant | 9,000 | 9,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-25 | Schwab Andrew J. | director | Award / grant | 9,000 | 9,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-25 | Young Richard A | director | Award / grant | 9,000 | 9,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-25 | Thadhani Ravi I. | director | Award / grant | 9,000 | 9,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-25 | Nashat Amir | director | Award / grant | 9,000 | 9,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-25 | Holtzman Steven H | director | Award / grant | 9,000 | 9,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-25 | Higgins Michael J | director | Award / grant | 9,000 | 9,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-25 | Boylan James P | director | Award / grant | 9,000 | 9,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-01 | Bumcrot David | officer | Award / grant | 45,000 | 45,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-01 | Mandel-Brehm Josh | director | Award / grant | 160,000 | 160,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-01 | Gold Kelly | director | Award / grant | 80,000 | 80,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-01 | Maricich Yuri | officer | Award / grant | 80,000 | 80,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-17 | Stewart Murray | director | Award / grant | 17,787 | 17,787 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-17 | WILLIAMS DOUGLAS E | director | Award / grant | 17,787 | 17,787 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.