CALY · TickerCove

CALYCallaway Golf CompanyConsumer Cyclical · Leisureas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $14.83 · now $14.83 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CALY has typically landed between $12.00 and $18.06 — a range of −19.1% to +21.8% from the issuance price $14.83.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($14.83) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$14.83 · 58% of range

$8.14 low$19.66 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.1%

typical move · IQR 15.5%

−19.1%worst (p90)+21.8%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where CALY has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $14.83 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $14.83 (+0.0%)
typical $14.66 (-1.1%)
middle 50% $13.51–$15.82
90% range $12–$18.06

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-18	−72.8%	−72.8%	+0.0%
2020-02-14	−62.6%	−62.6%	+0.8%
2020-02-19	−62.5%	−72.2%	+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-18	+105.2%	+0.0%	+117.6%
2025-06-02	+56.7%	+0.0%	+56.7%
2020-04-23	+49.7%	+0.0%	+49.7%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

60%

+3.3%

n=20

Feb

55%

−2.1%

n=20

Mar

55%

+0.2%

n=20

Apr

75%

+4.1%

n=20

May

40%

−1.5%

n=20

Jun

50%

+0.5%

n=20

Jul

70%

+4.2%

n=20

Aug

50%

−1.9%

n=20

Sep

55%

−0.3%

n=20

Oct

40%

−2.3%

n=20

Nov

60%

+5.5%

n=20

Dec

45%

−0.6%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-07	BREWER OLIVER G III	director	Sale	520 @ $18.00	$9K	−0.1% of holding	−10.5%	not yet — horizon still open	452,830	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-07	BREWER OLIVER G III	director	Sale	294 @ $18.00	$5K	−0.1% of holding	−10.5%	not yet — horizon still open	200,983	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-07	BREWER OLIVER G III	director	Sale	293 @ $18.00	$5K	−0.1% of holding	−10.5%	not yet — horizon still open	200,983	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-07	BREWER OLIVER G III	director	Sale	293 @ $18.00	$5K	−0.1% of holding	−10.5%	not yet — horizon still open	200,984	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-06	Hickey Glenn F.	officer	Sale	28,843 @ $18.74	$541K	−28.5% of holding	−8.7%	not yet — horizon still open	72,239	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-06	BREWER OLIVER G III	director	Sale	25,070 @ $18.30	$459K	−5.2% of holding	−8.7%	not yet — horizon still open	453,350	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-06	BREWER OLIVER G III	director	Sale	14,135 @ $18.30	$259K	−6.6% of holding	−8.7%	not yet — horizon still open	201,276	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-06	BREWER OLIVER G III	director	Sale	14,135 @ $18.30	$259K	−6.6% of holding	−8.7%	not yet — horizon still open	201,277	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-06	BREWER OLIVER G III	director	Sale	14,134 @ $18.30	$259K	−6.6% of holding	−8.7%	not yet — horizon still open	201,277	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-12	ANDERSON ERIK J	director	Sale	25,000 @ $15.73	$393K	−4.1% of holding	+6.8%	not yet — horizon still open	580,459	Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade
2026-05-11	ANDERSON ERIK J	director	Sale	50,000 @ $17.54	$877K	−7.6% of holding	+2.8%	not yet — horizon still open	605,459	Form 4 · filed 8 days after the trade
2026-05-11	ANDERSON ERIK J	director	Sale	25,000 @ $16.29	$407K	−3.7% of holding	+2.8%	not yet — horizon still open	655,459	Form 4 · filed 8 days after the trade
2026-02-23	ANDERSON ERIK J	director	Sale	10,000 @ $13.82	$138K	−1.4% of holding	+2.4%	+1.1%	680,459	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-19	ANDERSON ERIK J	director	Sale	10,000 @ $13.98	$140K	−1.4% of holding	−1.6%	+0.2%	690,459	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-18	ANDERSON ERIK J	director	Sale	20,000 @ $13.64	$273K	−2.8% of holding	+5.4%	+7.0%	700,459	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-17	ANDERSON ERIK J	director	Sale	40,000 @ $13.43	$537K	−5.3% of holding	+4.6%	+7.3%	720,459	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-27	PEP TG Investments GP LLC	tenPercentOwner	Sale	10,000,000 @ $14.70	$147.0M	−47.2% of holding	−5.8%	+16.2%	11,175,226	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

111 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-15	Ogunlesi Adebayo O.	director	Award / grant	1,823	160,758	Form 4
2026-09-15	Mandel Mark D.	director	Award / grant	1,657	1,657	Form 4
2026-09-15	FLEISCHER RUSSELL L	director	Award / grant	1,906	157,769	Form 4
2026-08-26	Reed Timothy R.	officer	Withheld for tax	7,011	172,482	Form 4
2026-08-26	Thomas Jennifer L.	officer	Withheld for tax	3,506	87,665	Form 4
2026-08-26	Thomas Jennifer L.	officer	Option exercise	6,494	0	Form 4
2026-08-26	Reed Timothy R.	officer	Option exercise	12,988	179,493	Form 4
2026-08-26	Thomas Jennifer L.	officer	Option exercise	6,494	91,171	Form 4
2026-08-26	Reed Timothy R.	officer	Option exercise	12,988	0	Form 4
2026-06-15	Ogunlesi Adebayo O.	director	Award / grant	1,611	158,935	Form 4
2026-06-15	FLEISCHER RUSSELL L	director	Award / grant	1,684	155,863	Form 4
2026-05-29	Ogunlesi Adebayo O.	director	Option exercise	18,546	0	Form 4
2026-05-29	FLEISCHER RUSSELL L	director	Option exercise	18,546	154,179	Form 4
2026-05-29	FLEISCHER RUSSELL L	director	Option exercise	18,546	0	Form 4
2026-05-29	THORNLEY ANTHONY S	director	Option exercise	18,546	107,330	Form 4
2026-05-29	THORNLEY ANTHONY S	director	Option exercise	18,546	0	Form 4
2026-05-29	LUNDGREN JOHN F	director	Option exercise	18,546	120,956	Form 4
2026-05-29	LUNDGREN JOHN F	director	Option exercise	18,546	0	Form 4
2026-05-29	SEGRE LINDA B	director	Option exercise	18,546	86,015	Form 4
2026-05-29	SEGRE LINDA B	director	Option exercise	18,546	0	Form 4
2026-05-29	Ogunlesi Adebayo O.	director	Option exercise	18,546	157,324	Form 4
2026-05-29	Holloway Bavan	director	Option exercise	18,546	41,447	Form 4
2026-05-29	Holloway Bavan	director	Option exercise	18,546	0	Form 4
2026-05-21	Rao Varsha Rajendra	director	Option exercise	18,546	71,717	Form 4
2026-05-21	Rao Varsha Rajendra	director	Option exercise	18,546	0	Form 4
2026-05-21	Dundon Thomas G.	director	Award / grant	8,181	8,181	Form 4
2026-05-21	Holloway Bavan	director	Award / grant	8,181	8,181	Form 4
2026-05-21	Mandel Mark D.	director	Award / grant	8,181	8,181	Form 4
2026-05-21	ANDERSON ERIK J	director	Option exercise	18,546	39,153	Form 4
2026-05-21	FLEISCHER RUSSELL L	director	Award / grant	8,181	8,181	Form 4
2026-05-21	ANDERSON ERIK J	director	Option exercise	18,546	0	Form 4
2026-05-21	THORNLEY ANTHONY S	director	Award / grant	8,181	8,181	Form 4
2026-05-21	LUNDGREN JOHN F	director	Award / grant	8,181	8,181	Form 4
2026-05-21	SEGRE LINDA B	director	Award / grant	8,181	8,181	Form 4
2026-05-21	Ogunlesi Adebayo O.	director	Award / grant	8,181	8,181	Form 4
2026-04-23	Leposky Mark F	director	Withheld for tax	3,096	348,651	Form 4
2026-04-23	Leposky Mark F	director	Option exercise	6,243	351,747	Form 4
2026-04-23	Leposky Mark F	director	Option exercise	6,243	0	Form 4
2026-03-19	BREWER OLIVER G III	director	Gift	2,200	215,412	Form 4
2026-03-19	BREWER OLIVER G III	director	Gift	2,200	215,411	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i