CAL · TickerCove

CALCaleres, Inc.as of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $12.02 · now $12.02 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, CAL has typically landed between $9.50 and $14.66 — a range of −21.0% to +22.0% from the issuance price $12.02.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($12.02) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$12.02 · 49% of range

$8.76 low$15.42 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−0.0%

typical move · IQR 18.5%

−21.0%worst (p90)+22.0%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where CAL has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $12.02 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $12.02 (+0.0%)
typical $12.02 (-0.0%)
middle 50% $10.9–$13.13
90% range $9.5–$14.66

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-14	−76.7%	−76.7%	+0.0%
2020-02-18	−75.2%	−76.2%	+1.7%
2020-02-13	−72.4%	−72.4%	+0.0%
3 best
2009-03-11	+152.6%	+0.0%	+152.6%
2009-03-12	+125.9%	+0.0%	+131.8%
2009-03-17	+125.8%	+0.0%	+125.8%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

44%

−5.2%

n=18

Feb

53%

−0.9%

n=19

Mar

53%

−2.3%

n=19

Apr

63%

+9.6%

n=19

May

53%

+1.9%

n=19

Jun

53%

+1.1%

n=19

Jul

53%

+2.0%

n=19

Aug

53%

+1.5%

n=19

Sep

47%

−0.0%

n=19

Oct

33%

−2.8%

n=18

Nov

67%

+7.3%

n=18

Dec

50%

+3.5%

n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-05-28	Freidman Daniel R	officer	Sale	11,207 @ $15.00	$168K	−14.7% of holding	−11.1%	not yet — horizon still open	64,780	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-06	Schmidt John W	director	Purchase	7,600 @ $13.39	$102K	+1.7% of holding	−0.6%	−16.5%	453,480	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-27	Greeley Lori	director	Purchase	7,375 @ $17.78	$131K	+281.0% of holding	−9.9%	−40.4%	10,000	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-27	Greeley Lori	director	Purchase	860 @ $17.75	$15K	+50.1% of holding	−9.9%	−40.4%	2,575	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-27	Greeley Lori	director	Purchase	513 @ $17.73	$9K	+51.3% of holding	−9.9%	−40.4%	1,513	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-27	Greeley Lori	director	Purchase	202 @ $17.74	$4K	+13.4% of holding	−9.9%	−40.4%	1,715	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-27	Greeley Lori	director	Purchase	50 @ $17.76	$888	+1.9% of holding	−9.9%	−40.4%	2,625	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-01-17	Gendreau Kyle	director	Purchase	2,735 @ $19.94	$55K	+120.8% of holding	−16.4%	−28.6%	5,000	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-01-17	Gendreau Kyle	director	Purchase	1,373 @ $19.93	$27K	+153.9% of holding	−16.4%	−28.6%	2,265	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-01-17	Gendreau Kyle	director	Purchase	765 @ $19.91	$15K	ownership Δ n/a	−16.4%	−28.6%	765	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-01-17	Gendreau Kyle	director	Purchase	127 @ $19.92	$3K	+16.6% of holding	−16.4%	−28.6%	892	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

99 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-11	Burke Thomas C	officer	Award / grant	26,318	26,318	Form 4
2026-09-11	Hill Willis	officer	Award / grant	27,132	27,132	Form 4
2026-09-11	Costello Brian P	officer	Award / grant	29,845	29,845	Form 4
2026-09-11	Freidman Daniel R	officer	Award / grant	29,303	29,303	Form 4
2026-09-11	Welter Kathleen K	officer	Award / grant	21,706	21,706	Form 4
2026-09-11	Schmidt John W	director	Award / grant	116,280	116,280	Form 4
2026-09-11	Karpel Daniel L	officer	Award / grant	29,845	29,845	Form 4
2026-09-08	Welter Kathleen K	officer	Withheld for tax	1,882	36,616	Form 4
2026-08-01	LANGENSTEIN MOLLY	director	Award / grant	1,950	37,256	Form 4
2026-08-01	KLEIN WARD M	director	Award / grant	1,950	107,198	Form 4
2026-06-08	Freeman Brenda	director	Award / grant	12,196	12,196	Form 4
2026-06-08	Gendreau Kyle	director	Award / grant	12,196	12,196	Form 4
2026-06-08	Greeley Lori	director	Award / grant	12,196	12,196	Form 4
2026-06-08	KLEIN WARD M	director	Award / grant	12,196	12,196	Form 4
2026-06-08	MILLARD WENDA HARRIS	director	Award / grant	12,196	12,196	Form 4
2026-06-08	THORN BRUCE K	director	Award / grant	12,196	36,647	Form 4
2026-06-08	LANGENSTEIN MOLLY	director	Award / grant	12,196	35,306	Form 4
2026-06-08	Gupta Mahendra R	director	Award / grant	12,196	51,336	Form 4
2026-06-08	Flavin Lisa	director	Award / grant	12,196	12,196	Form 4
2026-06-08	Costello Brian P	officer	Award / grant	21,037	45,641	Form 4
2026-06-08	Welter Kathleen K	officer	Award / grant	19,055	38,498	Form 4
2026-06-08	Hill Willis	officer	Award / grant	21,037	77,792	Form 4
2026-06-08	Karpel Daniel L	officer	Award / grant	15,244	39,443	Form 4
2026-06-08	Karpel Daniel L	officer	Award / grant	11,433	50,876	Form 4
2026-06-08	Schmidt John W	director	Award / grant	190,549	605,389	Form 4
2026-06-08	Freidman Daniel R	officer	Award / grant	22,866	87,646	Form 4
2026-06-08	Burke Thomas C	officer	Award / grant	21,037	87,448	Form 4
2026-06-03	MILLARD WENDA HARRIS	director	Option exercise	4,718	47,021	Form 4
2026-06-03	MILLARD WENDA HARRIS	director	Option exercise	4,718	0	Form 4
2026-06-03	MILLARD WENDA HARRIS	director	Option exercise	4,718	47,021	Form 4
2026-06-03	MILLARD WENDA HARRIS	director	Option exercise	4,718	0	Form 4
2026-05-02	KLEIN WARD M	director	Award / grant	1,889	105,248	Form 4
2026-05-02	LANGENSTEIN MOLLY	director	Award / grant	1,889	23,110	Form 4
2026-03-21	Schmidt John W	director	Withheld for tax	14,196	414,840	Form 4
2026-03-21	Hill Willis	officer	Withheld for tax	1,480	56,676	Form 4
2026-03-21	Freidman Daniel R	officer	Withheld for tax	1,346	75,987	Form 4
2026-03-21	Burke Thomas C	officer	Withheld for tax	890	66,411	Form 4
2026-03-16	Schmidt John W	director	Withheld for tax	22,405	429,036	Form 4
2026-03-16	Hill Willis	officer	Withheld for tax	2,751	58,156	Form 4
2026-03-16	Freidman Daniel R	officer	Withheld for tax	2,339	77,333	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i